Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Monday - January 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   01/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:092     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J J'S CROWN 3 4 1½ 1nk   1nk 1¼ (valdez-cabral mar)VERGARA P 122 5.00 20% 4.10 4.10 W
MAJESTIC CAFE 5 5 6 3.2   2nk 2¼ (silva jr)CRUZ M 122 3.50 5.70 P
YHA YHA 1 7 7 7   6 3 (score robert)LINDSAY CHAD 122 12.00 17.30  
VODKA TWIST 7 1 3 5   5 4 (whitehouse wi)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00 9.40  
ROCKTHEPULPIT 6 2 4 4   3 5 (pierce micha)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.00 18% 4.50 3.80  
SIR DEPUTY 4 3 2½ 2nk   43 65 (evans justi)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 5.30  
DOODLE TIME 2 6 5 6   7 77 (hernandez migu)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 2.00 25% 2.90 1.40  
 
TUP-2   01/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:12 1:242   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SINGLE LADY 6 1 1 1½ 11 1 1 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 12% 7.10 3.80 W
BARONESS VONTRAPPE 1 3 3 3 21 2 2 (woolley l)WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00 2.80 P
LADY COMMISSIONER 5 5 6 55 5 55 34 (evans justin)VERGARA P 122 2.50 8% 10.80 1.50 S
SURE ANGEL 2 2 2 42 4 33 4 (bratcher ryan)MAWING A 122 6.00 17.60  
JUST CLASSY 4 4 5 6 6 6 56 (bullene micha)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 4.50 47% 1.10 6.90  
SABINOS PRIDE 3 6 4 2½ 31 4 6 (hone bart)ZUNINO L 122 3.50 3.30  
 
TUP-3   01/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 3 F PT- 3:44
See original race card.
:22 :452 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS HARD KNOCKS 8 8 7 4¾   1nk 1 (hone bart)ZUNINO L 121 3.00 43% 1.30 1.90 W
BIG HEAT 5 6 43 3.2   2nk 2 (kenney dan)CORBETT W 121 3.50 19% 4.40 1.80 P
TEMPORARILY 6 7 9 6   4 3 (evans justin)VERGARA P 121 4.00 14% 6.20 2.10 S
SMILING SALSA 3 3 2nk 2nk   3½ 47 (person kennet)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 10.00 14.40  
PONTIFFANY 7 2 3 5   6 59 (kubinova eli)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 8.00 32.00  
PRINCESS OF MALIBU 4 4 54 9   7 6 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 121 6.00 17.20  
WUMPMUG 1 9 8 7   8 710¼ (barrio sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 12.00 24.20  
LAFONDA 2 5 1nk 1nk   54 811¼ (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 15.00 5% 19.00 55.70  
10  CHOCOLATE FRECKLES 9 1 6 8   914½ 926½ (woolley l)WADE LYNDIE 121 8.00 18.90  
SCR  SAVONA (IRE)               (perren a)ENRIQUEZ D 121 10.00    
 
TUP-4   01/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($11.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:221 :451 :571     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVERS BLING 4 2 1 1   1 1 (valdez-cabral mar)CRUZ M 124 3.50 16% 5.20 6.00 W
SON OF SMALLS 6 7 4 33   2 2 (lucarelli fr)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50 37% 1.70 0.90 P
BRON AND THE BROW 9 8 54 43   3 32 (lavanway days)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 15.00 10% 8.70 7.70 S
MR. ARTISTIC 5 5 6 5   56 4 (hodgson barry)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 7% 13.70 3.40  
MR PHOENIX 1 3 2 2   44 5 (gleason m)MAWING A 124 12.00 13.90  
MYBESTISYETTOCOME 8 6 88 7   612 611½ (simpson shann)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 5.00 21.90  
PAST LIFE 2 4 77 9   712½ 711¾ (gale bryce)ZUNINO L 124 15.00 76.90  
10  CASTLE DONOVAN LAD 10 10 1011 1012½   818½ 820¾ (whitehouse w)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 10.00 89.30  
RAY OF SUMMER 7 1 33 6   922 934 (whitehouse wi)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 65.80  
TAMARANDO'S MINE 3 9 9 8   10100 10100 (madrigal el)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 4.50 6% 15.90 7.70  
 
TUP-5   01/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:111 1:241   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONQUEST COBRA 3 5 6 6 54 2½ 1¼ (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 10% 9.50 2.50 W
SPIRIT MISSION 7 3 2 2½ 1nk 1½ 2¼ (barr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 12.00 23.20  
BLAME IT ON KITTY 2 9 97 8 8 6 3 (kubinova eli)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00 9% 10.30 6.60 S
DEWEY 8 4 4 43 3 41 43 (gutierrez ju)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
DEVIL'S TEETH 6 1 1 1½ 2nk 3½ 5 (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 5.80  
PRICE TO PAY 1 6 8 9 9 5 6 (kenney ryan)CARTER KYLE 124 6.00 5.90  
POPPY'S C NOTE 4 8 7 7 65 8 7 (madrigal el)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 9.10  
WRATH 5 2 32 33 4 7 89 (ecoffey gilbe)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 12.00 7.10  
PRESS BRIEFING 9 7 5 5 76 9 910¼ (gibbs tyler)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.00 27% 2.80 5.70  
10  WORKING 10 10 1010 1012¼ 1011¼ 1011¼ 1015¼ (christian bi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 20.00 97.30  
SCR  PLAYOFF BOUND               (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  WILD WILD KINGDOM               (christian bil)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
 
TUP-6   01/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:221 :453 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C C THE BARTENDER 5 7 52 3   1½ 1 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 9% 10.50 8.80 W
EMMA'S A BEAST 3 8 86 8   6 2 (kubinova eliska)MAWING A 124 10.00 9% 10.30 12.60 P
OUT OF THE SKY 2 5 75 7   5 3 (esquibel mark)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00 8.40  
ADORABLE BRITTANY 7 4 2nk 2nk   3 43 (valdez-cabral mar)CRUZ M 124 6.00 3.10  
SUNSHINE EMILY 1 6 4 5   2½ 53 (lucarelli fr)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.00 29% 2.40 3.90  
SWEET HONOR 6 2 1nk 1nk   42 6 (fales ralph)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 6% 16.30 22.30  
WRIGHT WINGED 8 3 63 6   8 7 (gutierrez ju)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00 14.60  
10  ABRAA JABRAA 9 1 31 4   7 8 (diodoro robertino)WADE LYNDIE 124 4.00 18% 4.50 1.40  
IN CLASS 4 9 9 912¼   913¾ 914¾ (gomez alejand)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00 59.90  
SCR  PARAWAN               (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 5.00    
 
TUP-7   01/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
See original race card.
1:181         1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEPHEN JAMES 7 1 11 1   14 12 (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 12.00 7% 13.30 3.90 W
SHOTGUN RIDER 4 7 65 5   37 22 (bullene mic)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 8% 11.30 5.80 P
MANCUSO AT THE MIC 6 4 31 3   24 33 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 3.50 20% 4.00 4.80 S
OXBOW PARK 3 8 7 7   49 44 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.50 12% 7.10 6.30  
10  SWITCHERONIMO 9 2 8 8   8 5 (valdez-cabral mar)VERGARA P 124 4.00 21% 3.70 4.30  
MY PAL 1 9 910¾ 911¼   7 6 (martinez a)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 21.90  
REDDISH 2 6 5 4   59 7 (simp)DA FAUSTO 124 20.00 43.90  
IZEISMAGA 5 3 21 2   6 814¾ (hone bart)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 2.50  
FLOYD MONEYMAKER 8 5 42 6   919¾ 918¾ (brinkerhoff val)MAWING A 124 6.00 12.60  
SCR  PARK LANE LAD               (buechler si)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 5.00    
 
TUP-8   01/17/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($27.3K) 3 ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:221 :463 1:11     1:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITY AT NIGHT 6 1 2 2nk   12 1 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 44% 1.30 0.60 W
JUAN BRAVO 1 7 54 3   3 2 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 28% 2.60 2.00 P
CHROME KING 2 6 77 7   59 3 (hernandez migu)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 10.00 7% 13.20 23.30 S
TENGO SED 7 2 1 1nk   22 4 (silva l)CRUZ M 121 12.00 29.70  
TWO GUNS 5 3 32 42   4 5 (schnell don)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 8.90  
HEY NOW 4 4 64 64   611½ 614½ (kenney dan)WADE LYNDIE 121 5.00 16.70  
VELVET GHOST 3 5 4 53   716½ 722 (diodoro robertino)VERGARA P 121 4.50 7.90  
SCR  DRINKING AGAIN               (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 121 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.