Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Monday - January 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-1   01/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YHA YHA         (score robert)LINDSAY CHAD 122 12.00    
DOODLE TIME Jan03         (hernandez migu)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 2.00 25% 2.90    
J J'S CROWN         (valdez-cabral mar)VERGARA P 122 5.00 20% 4.10    
SIR DEPUTY         (evans justi)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00    
MAJESTIC CAFE         (silva jr)CRUZ M 122 3.50    
ROCKTHEPULPIT         (pierce micha)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
VODKA TWIST         (whitehouse wi)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00    
 
TUP-2   01/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARONESS VONTRAPPE         (woolley l)WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00    
SURE ANGEL         (bratcher ryan)MAWING A 122 6.00    
SABINOS PRIDE         (hone bart)ZUNINO L 122 3.50    
JUST CLASSY         (bullene micha)SCRIVER L 122 4.50 47% 1.10    
LADY COMMISSIONER         (evans justin)VERGARA P 122 2.50 8% 10.80    
SINGLE LADY Jan03         (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 12% 7.10    
 
TUP-3   01/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 3 F PT- 3:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WUMPMUG         (barrio sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 12.00    
LAFONDA Jan03         (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SMILING SALSA         (person kennet)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 10.00    
PRINCESS OF MALIBU         (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 121 6.00    
BIG HEAT         (kenney dan)CORBETT W 121 3.50 19% 4.40    
TEMPORARILY         (evans justin)VERGARA P 121 4.00 14% 6.20    
PONTIFFANY Jan03         (kubinova eli)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 8.00    
MISS HARD KNOCKS         (hone bart)ZUNINO L 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  SAVONA (IRE)         (perren a)ENRIQUEZ D 121 10.00    
10  CHOCOLATE FRECKLES         (woolley l)WADE LYNDIE 121 8.00    
 
TUP-4   01/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($11.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR PHOENIX         (gleason m)MAWING A 124 12.00    
PAST LIFE         (gale bryce)ZUNINO L 124 15.00    
TAMARANDO'S MINE         (madrigal elod)SCRIVER L 124 4.50 6% 15.90    
SILVERS BLING Jan04         (valdez-cabral mar)CRUZ M 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
MR. ARTISTIC         (hodgson barry)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 7% 13.70    
SON OF SMALLS         (lucarelli fr)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
RAY OF SUMMER         (whitehouse wi)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
MYBESTISYETTOCOME         (simpson shann)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 5.00    
BRON AND THE BROW         (lavanway days)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 15.00 10% 8.70    
10  CASTLE DONOVAN LAD         (whitehouse w)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 10.00    
 
TUP-5   01/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRICE TO PAY         (kenney ryan)CARTER KYLE 124 6.00    
BLAME IT ON KITTY         (kubinova eli)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00 9% 10.30    
CONQUEST COBRA         (asprino alfre)SCRIVER L 124 6.00 10% 9.50    
POPPY'S C NOTE         (madrigal el)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00    
WRATH         (ecoffey gilbe)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 12.00    
DEVIL'S TEETH         (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
SPIRIT MISSION         (barr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 12.00    
DEWEY         (gutierrez ju)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
PRESS BRIEFING         (gibbs tyler)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.00 27% 2.80    
10  WORKING Jan04         (christian bi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 20.00    
SCR  PLAYOFF BOUND Jan07         (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  WILD WILD KINGDOM Jan11         (christian bil)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
 
TUP-6   01/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNSHINE EMILY         (lucarelli fr)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
OUT OF THE SKY         (esquibel mark)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00    
EMMA'S A BEAST         (kubinova eliska)MAWING A 124 10.00 9% 10.30    
IN CLASS         (gomez alejand)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00    
C C THE BARTENDER         (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  PARAWAN         (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 5.00    
SWEET HONOR         (fales ralph)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 6% 16.30    
ADORABLE BRITTANY         (valdez-cabral mar)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
WRIGHT WINGED         (gutierrez ju)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00    
10  ABRAA JABRAA         (diodoro robertino)WADE LYNDIE 124 4.00 18% 4.50    
 
TUP-7   01/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY PAL         (martinez a)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00    
REDDISH         (simp)DA FAUSTO 124 20.00    
OXBOW PARK Jan03         (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.50 12% 7.10    
SHOTGUN RIDER Jan03         (bullene mic)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  PARK LANE LAD Jan03         (buechler si)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 5.00    
IZEISMAGA         (hone bart)ZUNINO L 124 8.00    
MANCUSO AT THE MIC Jan03         (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
STEPHEN JAMES         (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 12.00 7% 13.30    
FLOYD MONEYMAKER         (brinkerhoff val)MAWING A 124 6.00    
10  SWITCHERONIMO         (valdez-cabral mar)VERGARA P 124 4.00 21% 3.70    
 
TUP-8   01/17/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($27.3K) 3 ALL PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DRINKING AGAIN         (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 121 6.00    
JUAN BRAVO         (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 28% 2.60    
CHROME KING Jan06         (hernandez migu)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 10.00 7% 13.20    
VELVET GHOST         (diodoro robertino)VERGARA P 121 4.50    
HEY NOW         (kenney dan)WADE LYNDIE 121 5.00    
TWO GUNS Jan06         (schnell don)SCRIVER L 121 6.00    
CITY AT NIGHT         (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 44% 1.30    
TENGO SED         (silva l)CRUZ M 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.