Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Monday - January 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-1   01/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YHA YHA         (score robert)LINDSAY CHAD 122 12.00    
DOODLE TIME Jan03         (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 2.00 25% 2.90    
J J'S CROWN         (valdez-cabral m)VERGARA P 122 5.00 20% 4.10    
SIR DEPUTY         (evans jus)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00    
MAJESTIC CAFE         (silva jr)CRUZ M 122 3.50    
ROCKTHEPULPIT         (pierce mic)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
VODKA TWIST         (whitehouse )MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00    
 
TUP-2   01/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARONESS VONTRAPPE         (woolley bennie )WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00    
SURE ANGEL         (bratcher ryan)MAWING A 122 6.00    
SABINOS PRIDE         (hone bart)ZUNINO L 122 3.50    
JUST CLASSY         (bullene mic)SCRIVER L 122 4.50 47% 1.10    
LADY COMMISSIONER         (evans justin)VERGARA P 122 2.50 8% 10.80    
SINGLE LADY Jan03         (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 12% 7.10    
 
TUP-3   01/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 3 F PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WUMPMUG         (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 12.00    
LAFONDA Jan03         (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SMILING SALSA         (person kenn)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 10.00    
PRINCESS OF MALIBU         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 6.00    
BIG HEAT         (kenney dan)CORBETT W 121 3.50 19% 4.40    
TEMPORARILY         (evans justin)VERGARA P 121 4.00 14% 6.20    
PONTIFFANY Jan03         (kubinova e)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 8.00    
MISS HARD KNOCKS         (hone bart)ZUNINO L 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  SAVONA (IRE)         (perren a)ENRIQUEZ D 121 10.00    
10  CHOCOLATE FRECKLES         (woolley bennie )WADE LYNDIE 121 8.00    
 
TUP-4   01/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($11.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR PHOENIX         (gleason m)MAWING A 124 12.00    
PAST LIFE         (gale bryce)ZUNINO L 124 15.00    
TAMARANDO'S MINE         (madrigal el)SCRIVER L 124 4.50 6% 15.90    
SILVERS BLING Jan04         (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
MR. ARTISTIC         (hodgson bar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 7% 13.70    
SON OF SMALLS         (lucarelli )FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
RAY OF SUMMER         (whitehouse )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
MYBESTISYETTOCOME         (simpson sha)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 5.00    
BRON AND THE BROW         (lavanway da)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 15.00 10% 8.70    
10  CASTLE DONOVAN LAD         (whitehouse)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 10.00    
 
TUP-5   01/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRICE TO PAY         (kenney ryan)CARTER KYLE 124 6.00    
BLAME IT ON KITTY         (kubinova e)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00 9% 10.30    
CONQUEST COBRA         (asprino alf)SCRIVER L 124 6.00 10% 9.50    
POPPY'S C NOTE         (madrigal )VALENZUELA A 124 12.00    
WRATH         (ecoffey gil)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 12.00    
DEVIL'S TEETH         (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
SPIRIT MISSION         (ba)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 12.00    
DEWEY         (gutierrez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
PRESS BRIEFING         (gibbs tyler)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.00 27% 2.80    
10  WORKING Jan04         (christian )ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 20.00    
SCR  PLAYOFF BOUND Jan07         (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  WILD WILD KINGDOM Jan11         (christian b)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
 
TUP-6   01/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNSHINE EMILY         (lucarelli )FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
OUT OF THE SKY         (esquibel mar)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00    
EMMA'S A BEAST         (kubinova eliska)MAWING A 124 10.00 9% 10.30    
IN CLASS         (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00    
C C THE BARTENDER         (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  PARAWAN         (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 5.00    
SWEET HONOR         (fales ral)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 6% 16.30    
ADORABLE BRITTANY         (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
WRIGHT WINGED         (gutierrez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00    
10  ABRAA JABRAA         (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 124 4.00 18% 4.50    
 
TUP-7   01/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY PAL         (martinez a)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00    
REDDISH         (si)DA FAUSTO 124 20.00    
OXBOW PARK Jan03         (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.50 12% 7.10    
SHOTGUN RIDER Jan03         (bullene m)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  PARK LANE LAD Jan03         (buechler )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 5.00    
IZEISMAGA         (hone bart)ZUNINO L 124 8.00    
MANCUSO AT THE MIC Jan03         (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
STEPHEN JAMES         (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 12.00 7% 13.30    
FLOYD MONEYMAKER         (brinkerhoff val)MAWING A 124 6.00    
10  SWITCHERONIMO         (valdez-cabral m)VERGARA P 124 4.00 21% 3.70    
 
TUP-8   01/17/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($27.3K) 3 ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DRINKING AGAIN         (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 121 6.00    
JUAN BRAVO         (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 28% 2.60    
CHROME KING Jan06         (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 10.00 7% 13.20    
VELVET GHOST         (diodoro roberti)VERGARA P 121 4.50    
HEY NOW         (kenney dan)WADE LYNDIE 121 5.00    
TWO GUNS Jan06         (schnell don)SCRIVER L 121 6.00    
CITY AT NIGHT         (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 44% 1.30    
TENGO SED         (silva l)CRUZ M 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.