Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turf Paradise
Monday - January 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   01/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:124     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASY IVY 3 5 5 32   1 110 (ortiz manuel)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 1.40 50% 1.00 0.90 W
INDIAN AFFAIR 6 1 11 1nk   2 210 (hudson)FLETCHER D 124 5.00 13.00  
ASEAAWINNER 4 4 21 2nk   33 310¾ (homer jason)MAWING A 124 4.00 15% 5.60 2.20 S
TOSSAPENNYDOWN 5 3 32 4   47 412 (score rober)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00 35.20  
KNOCKON 1 6 6 57   5 512 (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 2.10  
BLUEGRASS RUN 2 2 43 611   622½ 633¼ (stader suzanne)DEONAUTH P 124 8.00 8% 12.00 39.40  
 
TUP-2   01/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:23 :46 :574     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAMBLIN' MAN 2 5 52 12   1 1 (owens kory)CORBETT W 122 5.00 18% 4.50 2.80 W
EL CHAVO DEL OCHO 6 3 31 4   2 2 (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 20% 4.00 0.80 P
SHARP DRESSED BEAU 1 4 4 56   4 36 (hedge rick)CARTER KYLE 122 6.00 25.20 S
STACKIN SILVER 5 2 2nk 22   3 4 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 7.60  
ELLIOTT BAY 3 6 6 6   5 59 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 4.00 17.70  
CAPTAIN SCOTTY 4 1 1nk 32   612 616 (ortiz manu)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 3.00 34% 2.00 2.80  
 
TUP-3   01/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:44
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:124 1:254   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADD ON 7 7 32 3 2½ 11 1¾ (si)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 42% 1.40 3.20 W
HIGH FLYIN TIGER 4 2 44 54 5 34 2¾ (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 24.50 P
PRINCE OTTO 5 3 11 1½ 1½ 21 2¾ (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 0.50 P
WINNING MAGIC 6 5 21 2½ 32 4 4 (bullene mic)SCRIVER L 124 4.00 4.10  
CIRCLE WEST 3 6 54 44 42 56 59 (gleason m)CORBETT W 124 3.50 28% 2.60 10.50  
SHARP'S FLASH 1 1 6 610 6 613 622 (sharp marc )ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 8.00 58.40  
WHISPERING FLAME 2 4 7 713 711¼ 716 723¾ (si)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00 24.40  
 
TUP-4   01/10/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:14 1:39   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT MUSKETIER 5 5 5 5 42 1½ 1 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 1.20  
WILLTOBELUCKY 1 4 4 4 31 2½ 2 (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 6% 15.00 6.10 P
CRYPTO GOLD 4 7 77 7 5 4 35 (ke)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 6.00 4.30 S
HAVEULOSTYOURMIND 7 1 11 11 11 3 4 (williams ma)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 42% 1.40 1.60  
MUSKYMAN 2 3 21 21 21 5 513 (lavanway day)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 15.00 71.70  
JU JU GUY 6 6 66 6 7 611½ 615½ (score robert)LINDSAY CHAD 122 8.00 30.80  
AUTISM SIBLINGS 3 2 31 31 64 712 715¾ (hodgson ba)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 3.50 19% 4.30 14.90  
 
TUP-5   01/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:23 1:113       1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION BROTHER 1 4 3 2   13 13 (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 2.50 1.10  
LOVER BOY BOB 3 6 6 5   33 23 (hudson je)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 5.00 39% 1.60 12.20 P
HARROVIAN 2 5 4 3   23 3 (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 8.00 18.80  
DIIACHI 5 2 5 6   55 49 (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 2.70  
J SERINO 4 3 2nk 4   6 511¼ (george cynthia)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 11% 8.20 3.40  
I AM ALLTHATYOUARE 6 1 1nk 1   44 612½ (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00 22% 3.60 4.70  
SCR  HOT SOCKS               (wolfe gre)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
 
TUP-6   01/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3 ALL PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLIE THE NURSE 9 1 1 1   13 1 (silva rod)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 4.00 1.80  
HASTA LA VISTA 8 6 54 5   4 2 (person a)ZUNINO L 121 5.00 11.60 P
GENERAL THAYER 5 3 2 2   23 3 (person ken)ANDERSON MCKENNA 116 6.00 3.10 S
PRETTY LOUD 1 8 78 7   5 4 (si)DA FAUSTO 121 3.00 70% 0.40 1.30  
AWEZEE 4 5 6 6   6 5 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 12.00 67.20  
QUIRKY CHAOS 7 2 4 3   3 6 (silva l)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 6.00 17.80  
SURFER BLAKE 3 7 8 8   711¾ 7 (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 8.00 18.50  
GURKHA RIFLES 2 9 911¼ 910¼   812¾ 8 (baze robe)VALENZUELA A 121 10.00 33.10  
PRAYFORTATERS 6 4 3 4   918¾ 922 (kubinova e)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 8.00 45.10  
 
TUP-7   01/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($27.3K) 3 F PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:22 :454 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYNAMIC MIMI 5 3 33 4   3.2 12 (eikleberry)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 6.00 19.70  
AUTISM PRISM 2 7 7 6   5 22 (wong jonathan)CRUZ M 121 6.00 9.00  
MS PARKSIDE 6 5 4 31   2nk 3 (toye joe)MAWING A 121 12.00 7.40  
ONEFINEDAY 7 1 2nk 2nk   4¾ 4 (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 12.00 6% 16.90 4.60  
CLOSING ACCOUNT 4 4 1nk 1nk   1nk 5 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50 35% 1.90 1.60  
HEART ON THE RUN 1 8 814¼ 812¾   811¾ 615¼ (rarick wa)VALENZUELA A 121 5.00 30% 2.30 7.80  
IMA TROUBLE MAKER 8 2 5 5   6 715½ (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 121 4.00 8.90  
FIRST PROMISE 3 6 6 7   710¾ 817½ (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 121 2.50 3.30  
 
TUP-8   01/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:133 1:262   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  EXETER 10 5 5 1nk 1 13 14 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 3.30  
WHO'S CHEATIN WHO 1 2 1nk 31 6 3 24 (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 49% 1.10 1.50 P
11  INFATUATE 11 8 6 6 2 23 35 (hernandez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00 6.00  
BACK ALLEY CAT 7 9 10 74 5 5 4 (rycroft riley)CIVACI SAHIN 124 12.00 8.60  
ABANDONED 4 3 2nk 52 33 4 5 (sharp j)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 20.00 ######  
FULL VELOCITY 3 10 9 9 7 69 6 (buechler simon )CORBETT W 124 12.00 16.20  
OFF THE BOOKS 6 7 8 85 1010½ 7 79 (chambers mike)MAWING A 124 8.00 5% 19.00 18.20  
BALIUS 2 6 7 10 9 810 8 (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 5.30  
ACHILLEUS 8 11 11 11 8 912 911¾ (metz jeffrey)BARNETT A 124 10.00 18.20  
AGUA DORADO 5 4 31 4 4 1014½ 1014¾ (george cynth)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00 41.60  
FISHIN THE RIVER 9 1 42 2nk 1117½ 1132½ 1143 (kenney ryan)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00 25.20  
SCR  BODEGA               (mcfarlane)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.