Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Monday - January 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-1   01/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOCKON         (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50    
BLUEGRASS RUN         (stader suzanne)DEONAUTH P 124 8.00 8% 12.00    
EASY IVY         (ortiz manuel)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 1.40 50% 1.00    
ASEAAWINNER         (homer jason)MAWING A 124 4.00 15% 5.60    
TOSSAPENNYDOWN         (score rober)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00    
INDIAN AFFAIR         (hudson)FLETCHER D 124 5.00    
 
TUP-2   01/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP DRESSED BEAU         (hedge rick)CARTER KYLE 122 6.00    
RAMBLIN' MAN         (owens kory)CORBETT W 122 5.00 18% 4.50    
ELLIOTT BAY         (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 4.00    
CAPTAIN SCOTTY         (ortiz manu)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
STACKIN SILVER         (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50    
EL CHAVO DEL OCHO         (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 20% 4.00    
 
TUP-3   01/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP'S FLASH         (sharp marc )ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 8.00    
WHISPERING FLAME         (si)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00    
CIRCLE WEST         (gleason m)CORBETT W 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
HIGH FLYIN TIGER         (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00    
PRINCE OTTO         (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50    
WINNING MAGIC         (bullene mic)SCRIVER L 124 4.00    
ADD ON         (si)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 42% 1.40    
 
TUP-4   01/10/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLTOBELUCKY         (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 6% 15.00    
MUSKYMAN         (lavanway day)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 15.00    
AUTISM SIBLINGS         (hodgson ba)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
CRYPTO GOLD         (ke)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 6.00    
SILENT MUSKETIER         (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50    
JU JU GUY         (score robert)LINDSAY CHAD 122 8.00    
HAVEULOSTYOURMIND         (williams ma)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
TUP-5   01/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION BROTHER         (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 2.50    
HARROVIAN         (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 8.00    
LOVER BOY BOB         (hudson je)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 5.00 39% 1.60    
J SERINO         (george cynthia)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 11% 8.20    
DIIACHI         (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00    
I AM ALLTHATYOUARE         (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  HOT SOCKS         (wolfe gre)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
 
TUP-6   01/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3 ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY LOUD         (si)DA FAUSTO 121 3.00 70% 0.40    
GURKHA RIFLES         (baze robe)VALENZUELA A 121 10.00    
SURFER BLAKE         (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 8.00    
AWEZEE         (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 12.00    
GENERAL THAYER         (person ken)ANDERSON MCKENNA 116 6.00    
PRAYFORTATERS         (kubinova e)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 8.00    
QUIRKY CHAOS         (si)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 6.00    
HASTA LA VISTA         (person a)ZUNINO L 121 5.00    
ELLIE THE NURSE         (silva rod)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 4.00    
 
TUP-7   01/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($27.3K) 3 F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEART ON THE RUN         (rarick wa)VALENZUELA A 121 5.00 30% 2.30    
AUTISM PRISM         (wong jonathan)CRUZ M 121 6.00    
FIRST PROMISE         (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 121 2.50    
CLOSING ACCOUNT         (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50 35% 1.90    
DYNAMIC MIMI         (eikleberry)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 6.00    
MS PARKSIDE         (toye joe)MAWING A 121 12.00    
ONEFINEDAY         (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 12.00 6% 16.90    
IMA TROUBLE MAKER         (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 121 4.00    
 
TUP-8   01/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHO'S CHEATIN WHO         (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 49% 1.10    
BALIUS         (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
FULL VELOCITY         (buechler simon )CORBETT W 124 12.00    
ABANDONED         (sharp j)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 20.00    
AGUA DORADO         (george cynth)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00    
OFF THE BOOKS         (chambers mike)MAWING A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
BACK ALLEY CAT         (rycroft riley)CIVACI SAHIN 124 12.00    
ACHILLEUS         (metz jeffrey)BARNETT A 124 10.00    
FISHIN THE RIVER         (kenney ryan)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00    
10  EXETER         (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
11  INFATUATE         (hernandez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00    
SCR  BODEGA         (mcfarlane)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.