Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Friday - March 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   03/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:222 :451 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ZOMBIE ALAN 7 2 21 22   2½ 11 (woolley bennie )NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 7% 12.40 14.60 W
3  P R RADIO STAR 3 3 31 33   3½ 21 (br)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.00 23% 3.40 2.60 P
8  LT. BULLITT 4 1 11 12   1½ 31 (kubinova eli)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 20.00 48.60  
1  HARROVIAN 1 7 53½ 46½   46 46 (villamar c)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 8.60  
10  JEN LORS LEGACY 6 4 41½ 57   57½ 56¼ (weaver gordon)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 12.50  
2  SUPER ACCORD 2 6 66 69   67¾ 67¾ (hansen kevin)LINDSAY CHAD 124 15.00 9% 10.00 52.30  
9  MARDEN 5 5 78 715   7100 7100 (diodoro roberti)VERGARA P 124 4.50 26% 2.80 0.40  
SCR  COUNTRY ROAD               (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
SCR  PURELY GIVEN               (ferguson lauri)CIVACI SAHIN 124 20.00    
SCR  READY TO FORGIVE               (espin)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 5.00 7% 14.20    
SCR  REIGN ON (GB)               (christian b)SCRIVER L 124 20.00    
 
TUP-2   03/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 3 F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:142 1:272   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  INDY'S STAR 2 1 42 31 1nk 13½ 15 (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.50 11% 8.30 0.60 W
5  GYPSY LYNN 4 6 65 63 42 23½ 25 (kruljac i)VALENZUELA A 121 5.00 ★ 8.60 P
4  PRINCESS OF MALIBU 3 3 2½ 2½ 3½ 35 38¼ (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 10.00 20.10  
2  BIG HEAT 1 5 53½ 53 52¼ 55½ 48¾ (kenney dan)CORBETT W 121 3.50 64% 0.60 2.40  
8  WUMPMUG 7 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 45½ 514¾ (ba)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 12.00 30.40  
7  NIGHT MIST 6 4 31 41½ 65¼ 613½ 622½ (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.50 ★ 7.10  
6  BIG FASHION 5 7 75 77 725¼ 7100 7100 (deleon raf)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 6.00 ★ 13.10  
SCR  FAT AND FURIOUS               (belvoir vann)CARTER KYLE 121 8.00    
 
TUP-3   03/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SMILING SPIRIT 4 7 64½ 56½   43 12 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00 5% 17.60 4.40 W
2  HOLY TUTTA BELLA 2 3 1nk 11½   11 22 (campo stacy)CORBETT W 122 3.00 24% 3.20 3.70 P
7  RED BOTTOM REBEL 7 2 32 33½   32 32¼ (gann sandi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 12.50  
6  HINDU MISS CHEF 6 1 2nk 21½   21 42¼ (barraza ra)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.50 24% 3.10 1.50  
9  SHIP'S CREEK 9 6 75 911   77½ 54 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 5.00 9% 9.80 6.20  
8  MONGOLIAN ROSE 8 5 54 67½   55½ 65¾ (barraza s)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 14% 6.00 7.90  
5  GONE QUICK 5 8 87 79½   88 77¾ (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 122 20.00 59.00  
3  A THOUSAND DREAMS 3 9 97½ 89½   67 89¼ (cerin vla)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 9.50  
1  BLACK DROP 1 4 42½ 44   98½ 919¼ (silva l)CRUZ M 122 10.00 22.50  
 
TUP-4   03/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($37.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:221 :444 :563     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAFFODIL SWEET 1 6 2½ 2½   1½ 1½ (troiani nic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 ★ 2.70  
2  COPPER CHARM 2 7 83 52½   3½ 2½ (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 8.00 9% 10.00 5.80 P
7  HARKING 7 2 3½ 31   41½ 31 (woolley bennie )NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 52% 0.90 2.30 S
6  FIVE PICS PLEASE 6 1 1½ 1½   2½ 41¼ (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 120 4.50 ★ 2.10  
4  MINE ME 4 5 4¾ 42½   54½ 54 (hedge rick)CIVACI SAHIN 122 10.00 32.30  
3  WITH THATBEINGSAID 3 8 72½ 64½   64¾ 64¼ (nelson amy)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 10.00 36.80  
8  FULL OF GRACE 8 3 61 87½   88¾ 79 (saldana reed)CRUZ M 122 3.50 10% 9.10 7.30  
5  ZAMARA 5 4 5¾ 77   78¾ 810¼ (hone bart)ZUNINO L 120 5.00 18.30  
 
TUP-5   03/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:11 1:234   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNSOLVED MYSTERY 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 11 1½ (hanson ryan)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 3.50 27% 2.70 2.90 W
4  CHESTERETTE 4 5 41½ 32 2½ 21 2½ (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.50 1.40  
6  MADIHA 6 3 2½ 2½ 31 31½ 31¼ (solis walt)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 ★ 1.30 S
7  MISSCZECH 7 4 52½ 63¼ 57½ 56½ 46½ (ji)DA FAUSTO 121 5.00 26% 2.90 12.90  
3  ROPERS N WRANGLERS 3 2 31½ 43 46 46½ 58½ (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00 80.90  
2  TEMPORARILY 2 6 63½ 84¼ 712½ 612½ 613½ (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 20.00 23% 3.40 62.80  
5  OPAL CREEK 5 8 84¼ 53 612 715½ 720 (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 4.00 ★ 15.10  
8  RUNNINGONTHETAFUEL 8 7 73¾ 73¼ 817 823½ 829¾ (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 10.00 51.70  
 
TUP-6   03/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 5:32
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:121 1:372   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHROME KING 1 5 64¾ 52¼ 62¾ 42¾ 11 (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00 23.10  
3  FINNEUS 3 6 53¼ 62¼ 31 1nk 21 (solis walt)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 ★ 0.20 P
4  MASHHAD FLATS 4 2 1nk 11 2nk 3.2 32¾ (hanson ryan)CEDILLO ABEL 122 4.50 ★ 6.30 S
7  MONGOLIAN MEMORY 6 3 31½ 41¼ 1nk 2nk 47¼ (metz jeffrey)CIVACI SAHIN 122 3.50 35% 1.90 4.60  
5  PHOENICIAN GHOST 5 1 2nk 21 41¼ 57¾ 510¾ (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 4.00 9% 10.00 22.50  
2  CREME DE LA CHROME 2 4 41¾ 31 52¼ 625¾ 635¾ (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00 13.40  
SCR  JUAN BRAVO               (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 31% 2.20    
 
TUP-7   03/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:03
See original race card.
:212 :44 :56     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  TIGER DAD 8 1 5½ 3.2   3½ 1½ (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 117 8.00 5.50  
10  BEDROCK (GB) 9 8 98½ 75¼   71 2½ (christian b)SCRIVER L 114 20.00 5% 19.00 13.90 P
7  DARNQUICK 6 7 86 85½   81½ 31½ (rogers d)LINDSAY CHAD 116 6.00 18.10  
6  RACE HOME 5 9 74½ 63¼   4¾ 41½ (ortiz s)CIVACI SAHIN 115 12.00 8.90  
4  MINISTER OF SOUL 3 4 2nk 1nk   2½ 52 (martinez esteba)CORBETT W 119 3.50 61% 0.60 1.50  
3  MR PAYTIENCE 2 6 63 51¼   1½ 62¼ (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 117 10.00 32.00  
8  LAW ABIDIN CITIZEN 7 2 4¼ 41¼   5¾ 73 (glatt mark)CEDILLO ABEL 122 3.00 ★ 2.00  
2  ANNIE'S BOY 1 5 1nk 2nk   61 88¼ (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 118 8.00 13% 6.50 9.70  
5  TAPPED TO THE MAX 4 3 3.2 98½   99½ 915 (evans just)GONZALEZ RICARDO 114 10.00 21.80  
SCR  ARHAM               (cerin vlad)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 ★    
 
TUP-8   03/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:37
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:103 1:224   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUCHO DEL ORO 1 1 11 1nk 3.2 1nk 1hd (cerin vlad)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 ★ 0.80  
3  MY INDY 3 2 21 2nk 1nk 2nk 2hd (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 119 6.00 15% 5.60 12.40 P
4  MAJESTIC EAGLE 4 4 42 41¾ 52¼ 51¾ 31 (drysdale ne)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50 1.80  
2  GIANT PAYDAY 2 3 31 31½ 42¼ 4¾ 41½ (ji)DA FAUSTO 118 15.00 ★ 13.00  
5  CAMINO DEL PARAISO 5 5 52½ 51¾ 2nk 3.2 51¾ (jauregui o)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 3.00 33% 2.00 4.60  
7  BLACK OPS 7 6 73½ 73 64¼ 64¼ 63½ (evans justin)CIVACI SAHIN 118 10.00 25% 3.00 28.10  
6  ZUMURUDEE 6 7 63 62¾ 74¾ 74¾ 75¼ (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 116 20.00 44.10  
SCR  AX MAN               (mcfarlane)VALENZUELA A 119 8.00    
SCR  THERE GOES HARVARD               (mccarthy micha)CEDILLO ABEL 116 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.