Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Friday - March 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   03/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARROVIAN Feb08 Jan26 Jan10     (villamar c)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50    
2  SUPER ACCORD Feb09 Jan12       (hansen kevin)LINDSAY CHAD 124 15.00 9% 10.00    
3  P R RADIO STAR         (br)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  REIGN ON (GB) Feb02         (christian b)SCRIVER L 124 20.00    
SCR  PURELY GIVEN Feb02         (ferguson lauri)CIVACI SAHIN 124 20.00    
SCR  READY TO FORGIVE Feb09 Jan13       (espin)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 5.00 7% 14.20    
SCR  COUNTRY ROAD Feb02         (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
8  LT. BULLITT Feb14 Jan19       (kubinova eli)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 20.00    
9  MARDEN Feb14 Jan31 Jan14     (diodoro roberti)VERGARA P 124 4.50 26% 2.80    
10  JEN LORS LEGACY Jan31 Jan18       (weaver gordon)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
11  ZOMBIE ALAN Jan13         (woolley bennie )NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 7% 12.40    
 
TUP-2   03/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 3 F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAT AND FURIOUS         (belvoir vann)CARTER KYLE 121 8.00    
2  BIG HEAT Feb10 Jan17       (kenney dan)CORBETT W 121 3.50 64% 0.60    
3  INDY'S STAR Feb04 Jan07       (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.50 11% 8.30    
4  PRINCESS OF MALIBU Feb07 Jan17       (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 10.00    
5  GYPSY LYNN         (kruljac i)VALENZUELA A 121 5.00 ★    
6  BIG FASHION Feb21         (deleon raf)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 6.00 ★    
7  NIGHT MIST Feb10 Jan24       (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.50 ★    
8  WUMPMUG Feb07 Jan17       (ba)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 12.00    
 
TUP-3   03/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK DROP Feb11 Jan21       (silva l)CRUZ M 122 10.00    
2  HOLY TUTTA BELLA         (campo stacy)CORBETT W 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  A THOUSAND DREAMS         (cerin vla)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00    
4  SMILING SPIRIT Feb09 Jan01       (si)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00 5% 17.60    
5  GONE QUICK Jan18 Jan07       (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 122 20.00    
6  HINDU MISS CHEF Feb04         (barraza ra)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.50 24% 3.10    
7  RED BOTTOM REBEL         (gann sandi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00    
8  MONGOLIAN ROSE Feb09         (barraza s)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 14% 6.00    
9  SHIP'S CREEK Feb03         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 5.00 9% 9.80    
 
TUP-4   03/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($37.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAFFODIL SWEET Feb02         (troiani nic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 ★    
2  COPPER CHARM Feb11 Jan11       (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 8.00 9% 10.00    
3  WITH THATBEINGSAID Feb15 Jan21       (nelson amy)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 10.00    
4  MINE ME Feb15 Jan21 Jan03     (hedge rick)CIVACI SAHIN 122 10.00    
5  ZAMARA Feb17         (hone bart)ZUNINO L 120 5.00    
6  FIVE PICS PLEASE Feb17 Jan09       (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 120 4.50 ★    
7  HARKING Feb17 Jan09       (woolley bennie )NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
8  FULL OF GRACE Feb05 Jan09       (saldana reed)CRUZ M 122 3.50 10% 9.10    
 
TUP-5   03/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNSOLVED MYSTERY Feb06 Jan14 Jan08     (hanson ryan)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
2  TEMPORARILY Feb28 Feb10 Jan17     (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 20.00 23% 3.40    
3  ROPERS N WRANGLERS Jan24 Jan03       (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00    
4  CHESTERETTE Feb23 Jan23       (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.50    
5  OPAL CREEK Feb18 Jan03       (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 4.00 ★    
6  MADIHA Feb04 Jan15 Jan02     (solis walt)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 ★    
7  MISSCZECH Feb10 Jan12       (ji)DA FAUSTO 121 5.00 26% 2.90    
8  RUNNINGONTHETAFUEL Mar04 Feb16       (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 10.00    
 
TUP-6   03/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHROME KING Feb18 Jan30 Jan17 Jan06   (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00    
2  CREME DE LA CHROME Feb18 Jan30 Jan13     (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00    
3  FINNEUS Jan15         (solis walt)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 ★    
4  MASHHAD FLATS Feb11         (hanson ryan)CEDILLO ABEL 122 4.50 ★    
5  PHOENICIAN GHOST Jan28         (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 4.00 9% 10.00    
SCR  JUAN BRAVO Feb18 Jan17       (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 31% 2.20    
7  MONGOLIAN MEMORY Feb18 Jan28 Jan06     (metz jeffrey)CIVACI SAHIN 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
 
TUP-7   03/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARHAM         (cerin vlad)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 ★    
2  ANNIE'S BOY Feb04 Jan19       (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 118 8.00 13% 6.50    
3  MR PAYTIENCE Feb17 Jan29 Jan01     (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 117 10.00    
4  MINISTER OF SOUL Jan19 Jan01       (martinez esteba)CORBETT W 119 3.50 61% 0.60    
5  TAPPED TO THE MAX Jan25         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 114 10.00    
6  RACE HOME Mar02         (ortiz s)CIVACI SAHIN 115 12.00    
7  DARNQUICK Mar02 Feb14 Jan19     (rogers d)LINDSAY CHAD 116 6.00    
8  LAW ABIDIN CITIZEN         (glatt mark)CEDILLO ABEL 122 3.00 ★    
9  TIGER DAD Feb11 Jan14       (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 117 8.00    
10  BEDROCK (GB) Feb26 Feb10 Jan14 Jan05   (christian b)SCRIVER L 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   03/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUCHO DEL ORO Feb05 Jan17       (cerin vlad)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 ★    
2  GIANT PAYDAY Feb11         (ji)DA FAUSTO 118 15.00 ★    
3  MY INDY Feb11 Jan28 Jan12     (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 119 6.00 15% 5.60    
4  MAJESTIC EAGLE Jan14         (drysdale ne)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50    
5  CAMINO DEL PARAISO Jan15         (jauregui o)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  ZUMURUDEE Jan14         (woolley bennie )NEGRON LUIS 116 20.00    
7  BLACK OPS Jan05         (evans justin)CIVACI SAHIN 118 10.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  THERE GOES HARVARD         (mccarthy micha)CEDILLO ABEL 116 5.00    
SCR  AX MAN Feb11         (mcfarlane)VALENZUELA A 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.