Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Monday - February 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   02/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RETURN TO HARBOR 2 2 42 56   3 11 (brinkerhoff val)MAWING A 124 1.60 1.30  
CAMEO SHORES 6 3 5 2½   1nk 21 (wong jonathan)ZUNINO L 124 2.00 31% 2.30 1.60 P
BLAZING MISS JOJO 3 7 6 46   4 3 (schnell don)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 18.90  
WAR MAIDEN 7 1 11 1½   2nk 4 (nelson amy)SCRIVER L 124 15.00 19.60  
FOUR SCORE 1 6 7 7   610 5 (stubblefield )CONNING CRYSTAL 124 10.00 5% 18.30 13.50  
OLD WEST 4 5 31 3   5 610½ (trejo amalio )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 30% 2.30 5.20  
LETS PARDI MARTI 5 4 21 6   710¼ 723½ (gutierrez juan)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 12.00 9% 10.10 6.30  
 
TUP-2   02/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:212 :44 :561     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUTTA TERLINGUA 2 3 42 2nk   1 15 (valdez-cabral mar)VERGARA P 122 3.00 2.30  
BULLY BABY 3 1 1nk 3.2   2 25 (valerio ray)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 3.50 29% 2.40 7.70 P
JUDICIAL 4 2 2nk 1nk   34 3 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 17% 5.00 8.40 S
DEVON'S CHOICE 7 5 6 5   6 4 (simp)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 3.60  
DOZO 6 6 31 4   56 58 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 28% 2.60 2.00  
BLUE BLAZES WHO 5 4 7 7   7 6 (moreno edgar)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 12.10  
RIVER JUMPER 1 7 5 6   46 7 (matt l)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 7.70  
 
TUP-3   02/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:101 1:221   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCENTIRE 7 1 3 2½ 1 13 1 (ferguson chad)LINDSAY CHAD 124 5.00 1.30  
KOWBOYKABIN 6 2 11 1½ 2 23 2 (rarick wade)VERGARA P 122 8.00 8.20 P
THE BEAT 2 3 54 74 66 68 3 (saldana reed)CRUZ M 122 3.50 66% 0.50 5.30 S
CAMINO DE ESTRELLA 4 6 43 42 3 36 4 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 4.50  
PERFECT WAGER 5 7 75 6 43 5 5 (wong jonathan)ZUNINO L 122 3.00 12% 7.20 3.70  
CLAVICHORD 1 4 21 3 53 46 611 (buechler j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 7.50  
TIZHOTNDUSTY 3 5 64 5 7 712 716¼ (kruljac e)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 13.20  
 
TUP-4   02/21/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:27
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:114     1:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST GALLITO 2 1 11 11   1nk 1¼ (o'brien debbie)LULL E 124 5.00 44% 1.30 4.80 W
HOLY CROSS 3 2 21 21   2nk 2¼ (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 1.40 P
LUGIA 4 6 5 4   4 3 (silva l)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.00 10% 9.10 2.50 S
BUHM'S CANDY BOY 6 3 3 35   3 4 (simp)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00 10.20  
LUCKY CHAMP 1 4 47 510   5 5 (simpson shann)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 18.00  
BARELYSTILLCOUNTS 5 5 6 611   6 6 (hone bart)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 3.00  
SCR  CLASSIC LUCK               (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
 
TUP-5   02/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($11.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:11     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PREDETERMINATION 9 2 53 22   2½ 12 (story chad)CORBETT W 124 3.00 35% 1.90 0.60 W
KNOCKON 8 1 4 5   4 22 (eikleberry kev)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 6.00 5.40  
SNOOZY SUZY 6 6 1nk 12   1½ 33 (schnell don)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 8.90 S
TROPHY CHEST 1 5 31 43   32 4 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00 9% 9.90 72.30  
COPPER PEG 2 7 7 78   6 5 (espinoz)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 5.00 14.00  
STEINWAY 3 9 6 6   5 6 (barraza rafa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.50 12% 7.20 4.20  
LOOKINANDCOOKIN 7 3 8 8   711½ 7 (matt l)ZUNINO L 124 12.00 43.90  
ELLE VICTOIRE 4 4 2nk 3   812½ 815¼ (burney robert)SCRIVER L 124 4.50 18% 4.50 30.90  
ENLISTED 5 8 913½ 924½   932½ 937 (sharp j)LINDSAY CHAD 124 15.00 12.50  
 
TUP-6   02/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.9K) 3 F PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:222 :45 :571     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL SPEED ASTERN 5 4 3 4   21 1¼ (perren a)ZUNINO L 121 4.00 31% 2.20 7.10 W
ADDYDIDIT 8 2 2½ 1nk   11 2¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00 0.30 P
PLUM ROSE 9 3 611¼ 5   5 3 (rogers d)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 12.00 18.80  
BIG FASHION 6 6 4 3.2   43 4 (deleon rafae)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 8.00 15.30  
DR. ANGEL 7 1 1½ 2nk   3 5 (saldana reed)CRUZ M 121 6.00 25.40  
ROCKIN IN 3 7 511 6   6 611¾ (perren a)MAWING A 121 4.50 6% 15.50 7.90  
SHACK'S CHICA LOCA 4 5 713¼ 710¼   711 713 (matt l)LINDSAY CHAD 121 6.00 42% 1.40 11.40  
COME CORRECT 1 9 919¾ 915¼   915 814½ (lucarelli )FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 121 10.00 53.60  
KEBA LUCKY DAY 2 8 814¾ 811¼   814 914¾ (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 17.30  
 
TUP-7   02/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:57
See original race card.
:221 :441 1:083     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINCHPIN STORM 1 5 42 42   3 1¼ (brown r)ZUNINO L 124 2.50 10% 9.30 1.00 W
MYSTIC REALITY 3 1 1nk 3½   1½ 2¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.50 2.40  
WAR GIANT 5 2 2nk 1nk   2½ 32 (rycroft tim)CARTER KYLE 122 10.00 5% 18.80 11.70 S
MR NAVIGATOR 2 3 3 2nk   44 4 (silva g)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00 5% 18.60 12.80  
CHRISTINE'S JACK 4 6 6 56   56 5 (bullene micha)SCRIVER L 124 3.50 52% 0.90 2.30  
FORTY FATHOMS 6 4 53 6   614 617½ (fearon johnat)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 20.00 28.00  
SCR  ALL AMERICAN HERO               (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00    
SCR  MARK YE WELL               (brown jared)MAWING A 122 20.00 5% 18.80    
SCR  SPENDAHOLIC               (wong jonat)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 122 8.00    
SCR  UNION BROTHER               (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00    
 
TUP-8   02/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:103 1:232   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENCODER 3 3 32 2 2nk 1nk 1¼ (mulhall kristin)CORBETT W 122 3.00 0.50  
COURAGEOUS 7 6 5 5 44 5 2¼ (hop mike)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 20.00 6% 15.20 17.30 P
MOONLITE GRAHAM 6 1 1 1 1nk 2nk 3½ (wong jonat)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 122 3.50 28% 2.60 7.40 S
CERNAN 4 4 4 32 31 3 4 (matt l)ZUNINO L 122 10.00 13% 6.90 13.00  
DARK HEDGES 2 2 2 4 5 44 5 (mcfarlane d)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 7.60  
DILLON ROCKS 1 5 6 66 6 6 6 (gutierrez qu)VERGARA P 122 6.00 29% 2.50 3.30  
PAYNTER'S BOY 5 7 7 711 711 711½ 79 (o'brien debbie)LULL E 122 12.00 34.70  
SCR  HEIR (FR)               (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
SCR  JACKS OUTLAW               (brinson clay)MAWING A 122 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.