Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Monday - February 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-1   02/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOUR SCORE Jan27 Jan13       (stubblefield )CONNING CRYSTAL 124 10.00 5% 18.30    
RETURN TO HARBOR Feb11 Jan25 Jan07     (brinkerhoff val)MAWING A 124 1.60    
BLAZING MISS JOJO Jan27 Jan14       (schnell don)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00    
OLD WEST Jan27 Jan14       (trejo amalio )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 30% 2.30    
LETS PARDI MARTI         (gutierrez juan)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 12.00 9% 10.10    
CAMEO SHORES Feb11         (wong jonathan)ZUNINO L 124 2.00 31% 2.30    
WAR MAIDEN Feb04 Jan14       (nelson amy)SCRIVER L 124 15.00    
 
TUP-2   02/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER JUMPER Jan19         (matt l)ZUNINO L 122 6.00    
TUTTA TERLINGUA Feb01 Jan08       (valdez-cabral mar)VERGARA P 122 3.00    
BULLY BABY Jan21 Jan06       (valerio ray)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
JUDICIAL Jan06         (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 17% 5.00    
BLUE BLAZES WHO Jan01         (moreno edgar)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00    
DOZO Jan21 Jan03       (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
DEVON'S CHOICE Feb02         (simp)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-3   02/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLAVICHORD Feb02 Jan13       (buechler j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50    
THE BEAT Feb02 Jan13       (saldana reed)CRUZ M 122 3.50 66% 0.50    
TIZHOTNDUSTY Feb02 Jan19       (kruljac e)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
CAMINO DE ESTRELLA Jan27 Jan09       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00    
PERFECT WAGER Jan11         (wong jonathan)ZUNINO L 122 3.00 12% 7.20    
KOWBOYKABIN         (rarick wade)VERGARA P 122 8.00    
MCENTIRE Feb02         (ferguson chad)LINDSAY CHAD 124 5.00    
 
TUP-4   02/21/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY CHAMP Jan07         (simpson shann)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
SCR  CLASSIC LUCK Feb01 Jan12       (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
FAST GALLITO Feb01 Jan12       (o'brien debbie)LULL E 124 5.00 44% 1.30    
HOLY CROSS Feb01         (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00    
LUGIA         (silva l)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.00 10% 9.10    
BARELYSTILLCOUNTS Feb01 Jan12       (hone bart)ZUNINO L 124 4.50    
BUHM'S CANDY BOY Feb01         (simp)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00    
 
TUP-5   02/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($11.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TROPHY CHEST         (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00 9% 9.90    
COPPER PEG Feb10 Jan25 Jan04     (espinoz)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 5.00    
STEINWAY Jan25 Jan03       (barraza rafa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.50 12% 7.20    
ELLE VICTOIRE Feb10 Jan04       (burney robert)SCRIVER L 124 4.50 18% 4.50    
ENLISTED Feb10         (sharp j)LINDSAY CHAD 124 15.00    
SNOOZY SUZY Jan20 Jan04       (schnell don)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
LOOKINANDCOOKIN Feb10 Jan20       (matt l)ZUNINO L 124 12.00    
KNOCKON Jan25 Jan10       (eikleberry kev)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 6.00    
PREDETERMINATION Jan25 Jan14       (story chad)CORBETT W 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
 
TUP-6   02/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.9K) 3 F PT- 5:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COME CORRECT         (lucarelli )FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 121 10.00    
KEBA LUCKY DAY Jan24         (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00    
ROCKIN IN         (perren a)MAWING A 121 4.50 6% 15.50    
SHACK'S CHICA LOCA Jan19 Jan07       (matt l)LINDSAY CHAD 121 6.00 42% 1.40    
FULL SPEED ASTERN Jan08         (perren a)ZUNINO L 121 4.00 31% 2.20    
BIG FASHION         (deleon rafae)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 8.00    
DR. ANGEL         (saldana reed)CRUZ M 121 6.00    
ADDYDIDIT Jan30 Jan08       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00    
PLUM ROSE         (rogers d)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 12.00    
 
TUP-7   02/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINCHPIN STORM Feb10 Jan27 Jan07     (brown r)ZUNINO L 124 2.50 10% 9.30    
MR NAVIGATOR Jan27 Jan13 Jan04     (silva g)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00 5% 18.60    
MYSTIC REALITY Feb04 Jan14       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.50    
CHRISTINE'S JACK Feb11 Jan20 Jan04     (bullene micha)SCRIVER L 124 3.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  MARK YE WELL Jan27         (brown jared)MAWING A 122 20.00 5% 18.80    
WAR GIANT         (rycroft tim)CARTER KYLE 122 10.00 5% 18.80    
SCR  SPENDAHOLIC Jan18         (wong jonat)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 122 8.00    
SCR  UNION BROTHER Feb11 Jan31 Jan20 Jan10   (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00    
FORTY FATHOMS         (fearon johnat)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 20.00    
SCR  ALL AMERICAN HERO Jan18         (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00    
 
TUP-8   02/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DILLON ROCKS Jan19         (gutierrez qu)VERGARA P 122 6.00 29% 2.50    
DARK HEDGES Feb03         (mcfarlane d)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
SCR  JACKS OUTLAW Jan14         (brinson clay)MAWING A 122 4.50    
ENCODER Jan21         (mulhall kristin)CORBETT W 122 3.00    
CERNAN Jan28         (matt l)ZUNINO L 122 10.00 13% 6.90    
PAYNTER'S BOY Jan28         (o'brien debbie)LULL E 122 12.00    
MOONLITE GRAHAM Jan18         (wong jonat)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
COURAGEOUS Jan28 Jan13       (hop mike)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 20.00 6% 15.20    
SCR  HEIR (FR) Jan28 Jan12       (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.