Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Friday - February 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   02/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:224 1:103       1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARIZONA SUN 4 3 2½ 1nk   1 1 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.40 43% 1.30 0.20 W
MY FIRST PEARL 6 4 44 45   35 2 (eikleberry )VALENZUELA A 122 3.50 5.70 P
WHO B DAT 1 6 55 5   5 35 (gleason m)CORBETT W 124 5.00 15.30 S
J T'S LA NENA 5 1 1½ 2nk   2 46 (nelson amy)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 120 4.50 11.30  
FOGGIA 2 2 3 34   45 5 (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 120 4.00 34% 2.00 9.80  
SHESAHEATWAVE 3 5 65 6   611 613¾ (diodoro robertino)VERGARA P 120 6.00 12.90  
 
TUP-4   02/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:22 :45       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HINDU MISS CHEF 4 3 11 1   13 1 (barraza rafa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 9.60  
GYPSY WOMAN (IRE) 5 8 88 710   35 2 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 4.60  
BUBBAS STREET GAL 2 7 3 2   23 3 (ferguson chad)ZUNINO L 124 12.00 5% 19.00 17.60 S
THATGIRL'SONFIRE 1 6 75 58   4 4 (sepich f)MAWING A 124 6.00 21% 3.80 2.50  
LOW DOSE 8 5 6 6   610 5 (perren a)LINDSAY CHAD 124 2.50 27% 2.70 1.80  
LOTSA LENA 6 1 21 3   5 611¼ (moore john )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 18.70  
PAYNT THE KITTY 3 2 5 816   813 712¾ (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 4.50  
MIDNIGHT BABY 7 4 44 45   711 813¼ (campo stacy)CARTER KYLE 124 3.50 21% 3.80 12.60  
 
TUP-5   02/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:214 :441 1:091     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNIE'S BOY 1 2 1½ 1   1 11 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 124 2.00 59% 0.70 0.30 W
GIVE EM HECK BECK 3 4 410 4   2 21 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 4.00 4.10 P
CAUCUS RULES 2 3 3 3   3 3 (woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 6.60  
VROYSKY 4 1 2½ 2   4 49 (saldana reed)CRUZ M 122 3.00 14% 5.90 4.70  
SCR  BEAT THE HEAT               (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50    
SCR  NO SUPAH FOR YOU               (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 6.00    
 
TUP-6   02/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:22 :451       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPINMYPROMISE 1 1 2nk 2nk   1 1 (hjort donna)MAWING A 124 4.50 14% 6.20 4.40 W
AWESOME GALAXY 9 2 1nk 1nk   2 2 (wong jonatha)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 1.40  
DAZZLING MIST 4 4 42 5   3 37 (mendoza elo)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 36% 1.80 6.40 S
ROYAL DANIELLE 8 5 8 8   67 4 (dillenbeck b)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 10.00 77.00  
UH OH LUCY 7 3 3 6   7 510 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00 18% 4.40 32.90  
YOU NEVER CALL 5 7 6 45   5 610 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 7% 12.40 1.60  
SUGAR ON TOP 3 9 911¾ 9   88 711¼ (toye joe)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00 13.80  
WAR MAIDEN 2 8 7 3   46 813 (nelson amy)SCRIVER L 124 20.00 28.50  
CANDY RUNNER 6 6 5 7   910½ 913½ (scott jr)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 20.00 52.20  
 
TUP-7   02/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($27.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:28
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:093     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC REALITY 5 1 1½ 1   1½ 1 (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 4.00 19% 4.20 2.50 W
10  DIA DE PAGO 7 4 4 2   3 2 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 4.40  
SWAMP SOUFFLE 4 6 65 43   43 32 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50 6% 14.80 1.80 S
BALTIMORE BEECHO 3 2 2½ 32   2½ 42 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 7% 14.00 4.50  
VICENTE'S SHADOW 2 5 55 54   5 5 (stevens satchell)LOPEZ KARLO 122 20.00 6.30  
REELFOOT 6 7 78 710   6 6 (wheeler travis)LINDSAY CHAD 122 20.00 35.30  
MISAWA 1 3 3 67   711½ 714¼ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 5.00 8.90  
SCR  ASTRONOMICAL               (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 122 5.00    
SCR  CAIRO KING               (barraza rafa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  J J'S CROWN               (eikleberry )VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 15% 5.70    
 
TUP-8   02/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:59
See original race card.
:221 :451 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASHLINGS 6 3 3 1   14 1 (ortiz s)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 3.00 1.00  
BEAR BRIAN 8 9 7 5   5 2 (brown jared)CORBETT W 124 10.00 5% 19.00 11.20 P
OXBOW PARK 3 6 910½ 76   47 3 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 11% 7.80 10.60 S
PARK LANE LAD 1 2 1½ 2   24 47 (buechler j)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 5.00  
FIGHT ME 7 4 45 3   3 57 (figueroa ju)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 8% 11.70 10.00  
NOT NECESSARILY 2 5 5 6   610 6 (esquibel ma)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 10.00 35.50  
10  RISE UP MOSCOW 9 8 810 9   711½ 710 (gale bryce)SCRIVER L 124 8.00 16.30  
ONE KEENE KAT 5 7 68 89   813½ 813 (mccartney jack)MAWING A 124 12.00 7.40  
IZEISMAGA 4 1 2½ 44   925½ 928¼ (wong jonathan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 44% 1.30 6.30  
SCR  FLOYD MONEYMAKER               (brinkerhoff val)ZUNINO L 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.