Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Friday - February 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   02/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHO B DAT         (gleason m)CORBETT W 124 5.00 ★    
2  FOGGIA Jan06         (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 4.00 34% 2.00    
3  SHESAHEATWAVE Jan20 Jan11       (diodoro roberti)VERGARA P 120 6.00 ★    
4  ARIZONA SUN         (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 124 1.40 43% 1.30    
5  J T'S LA NENA Jan19 Jan03       (nelson am)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 120 4.50    
6  MY FIRST PEARL         (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 122 3.50 ★    
 
TUP-4   02/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THATGIRL'SONFIRE         (sepich f)MAWING A 124 6.00 21% 3.80    
2  BUBBAS STREET GAL Jan06         (ferguson chad)ZUNINO L 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  PAYNT THE KITTY         (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
4  HINDU MISS CHEF         (barraza ra)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00    
5  GYPSY WOMAN (IRE)         (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50    
6  LOTSA LENA Jan07         (moore joh)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  MIDNIGHT BABY         (campo stacy)CARTER KYLE 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
8  LOW DOSE         (perren a)LINDSAY CHAD 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
TUP-5   02/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEAT THE HEAT         (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  NO SUPAH FOR YOU Jan26         (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 6.00 ★    
3  ANNIE'S BOY Jan19         (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 124 2.00 59% 0.70    
4  CAUCUS RULES         (woolley bennie )WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00    
5  GIVE EM HECK BECK Jan21 Jan03       (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 4.00 ★    
6  VROYSKY Jan18 Jan04       (saldana reed)CRUZ M 122 3.00 14% 5.90    
 
TUP-6   02/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPINMYPROMISE Jan14         (hjort donna)MAWING A 124 4.50 14% 6.20    
2  WAR MAIDEN Jan14         (nelson amy)GARCIA F 124 20.00    
3  SUGAR ON TOP Jan20 Jan03       (toye joe)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00    
4  DAZZLING MIST         (mendoza e)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  YOU NEVER CALL Jan20 Jan11       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 7% 12.40    
6  CANDY RUNNER Jan20         (scott larry )SERRANO KEIVAN 124 20.00 ★    
7  UH OH LUCY Jan14         (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00 18% 4.40    
8  ROYAL DANIELLE Jan27         (dillenbeck)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 10.00    
9  AWESOME GALAXY Jan14         (wong jonat)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00    
 
TUP-7   02/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($27.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  J J'S CROWN Jan17         (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 15% 5.70    
2  MISAWA Jan24         (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 124 5.00    
3  VICENTE'S SHADOW Jan19         (stevens satchel)LOPEZ KARLO 122 20.00    
4  BALTIMORE BEECHO Jan05         (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  ASTRONOMICAL Jan25 Jan05       (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 122 5.00    
6  SWAMP SOUFFLE Jan19 Jan11       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50 6% 14.80    
SCR  CAIRO KING Jan25 Jan04       (barraza ra)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
8  MYSTIC REALITY Jan14         (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 4.00 19% 4.20    
9  REELFOOT Jan14 Jan03       (wheeler travis)LINDSAY CHAD 122 20.00    
10  DIA DE PAGO         (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00    
 
TUP-8   02/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARK LANE LAD Jan03         (buechler simon )WADE LYNDIE 124 4.50 ★    
2  NOT NECESSARILY         (esquibel )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 10.00    
3  OXBOW PARK Jan17 Jan03       (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 11% 7.80    
4  IZEISMAGA Jan17         (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 44% 1.30    
5  ONE KEENE KAT Jan21         (mccartney jack)MAWING A 124 12.00    
6  CASHLINGS Jan07         (ortiz manuel)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 3.00    
SCR  FLOYD MONEYMAKER Jan17         (brinkerhoff val)ZUNINO L 124 12.00    
8  FIGHT ME Jan03         (figueroa )VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 8% 11.70    
9  BEAR BRIAN         (brown jared)CORBETT W 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  RISE UP MOSCOW Jan20         (gale bryce)SCRIVER L 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.