Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Friday - February 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:131 1:262   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORATORY GLORY 6 5 5 54 4 21 1 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 2.50 14% 6.00 4.10 W
LA ROSA DRIVE 3 1 1½ 1 13 11 2 (lavanway dayso)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 6.00 6% 15.40 0.80 P
SUBTLE RIDE 1 4 67 65 6 48 3 (villama)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 3.00 34% 2.00 2.20 S
WINDI'S MOMENT 4 3 2½ 2 23 35 48 (nelson amy)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00 9% 10.10 11.30  
FILTHY 2 6 4 32 3 611 512¼ (perkins franc)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 10.00 16.20  
GOLDEN GODDESS 5 2 34 4 5 510½ 612½ (blea jr)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 11.30  
SCR  SUMMER LOVE               (pierce mich)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 13% 7.00    
 
TUP-3   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:131 1:263   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG NEWS COMING 7 6 77 5 53 4 1½ (blea jr)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 5.00 3.50  
CHANTAL 1 1 1 1 11 11 2½ (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.20 47% 1.10 0.80 P
PANCAKES AND BEER 5 4 6 6 6 31 3 (grissom w)CORBETT W 124 12.00 14.30  
PARTYATTHECAPITAL 4 7 4 4 3 21 4 (valdez-cabral mar)CRUZ M 124 4.00 24% 3.20 8.10  
LADY JADE 2 2 32 3 4 54 5 (leon)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 10.70  
GRAN MANNA 6 3 2 2 21 6 6 (garcia gene )FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00 4.00  
SUGAR ON TOP 3 5 5 7 7 715½ 731½ (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 20.00 33.80  
SCR  TRINNI SUNSET               (fearon johnat)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   02/18/2022 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:123     1:322   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUMPKIN BREAD 1 3 35 43   1 13 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 8.00 3.10  
OPAL CREEK 5 5 5 33   2 23 (essex charles)CRUZ M 119 5.00 13% 6.40 2.80 P
BOOZE RUNNER 4 2 4 5   35 33 (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.00 0.90  
MISS RENO 3 4 21 2½   59 413 (bratcher ryan)VERGARA P 119 4.50 23% 3.30 8.40  
BALI BRAVA 2 1 11 1½   4 523 (silv)DA FAUSTO 119 3.50 13% 6.90 6.30  
SCR  MIMAJOON               (wong jonathan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  ROPERS N WRANGLERS               (rennie k)LINDSAY CHAD 119 12.00 11% 7.90    
 
TUP-5   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.96K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:11 1:24   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURPRSINGLYPERFECT 3 7 6 4 4 1nk 1 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 3.60  
EL CHUMELITO 4 6 5 31 1nk 2nk 2 (saldana reed)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 21% 3.70 1.80 P
TIGER BY HIS TAIL 8 5 2½ 2½ 3.2 3 3 (schnell don)VALENZUELA A 122 4.50 36% 1.70 4.30 S
MOUNTAIN SPIRIT 5 3 4 55 5 56 4 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 6.20  
KING PARKER 6 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 42 5 (saldana reed)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00 17.20  
GO FOR A RIDE 1 4 76 813½ 814¼ 610½ 616¾ (sepich f)VERGARA P 122 10.00 9.40  
DOODLE TIME 2 2 3 66 6 711 719¼ (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 122 5.00 17% 5.00 4.10  
FREEZING JIMMY 7 8 810½ 712 711¾ 813½ 820¼ (buffalo marvin)CORBETT W 122 10.00 33.70  
 
TUP-6   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:114 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPLICATE 4 4 21 2½ 1½ 11 1¼ (brinson clay)CORBETT W 122 4.00 20% 3.90 3.00 W
LAUNCH PAD 1 9 97 86 54 21 2¼ (chambers mike)MAWING A 124 2.50 52% 0.90 1.50 P
TERRACOTTA SOLDIER 8 7 75 64 4 31 3½ (story chad)ZUNINO L 122 3.50 2.90 S
MISAWA 7 5 43 42 32 5 44 (metz jeffrey)CIVACI SAHIN 124 6.00 26.30  
HOLLYWOOD HEAT 5 3 64 98 7 6 5 (chattong vich)SCRIVER L 122 20.00 12.00  
BURNZ DA BOSS 6 2 3 3 2½ 44 6 (valdez-cabral mar)VERGARA P 124 4.50 7.40  
MARICOPA COUNTY 2 8 85 74 98 712¾ 714¾ (grissom robe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00 31.70  
CIBERTRUCK 9 6 5 5 6 814¼ 822 (stevens satch)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 14.30  
ADD ON 3 1 11 1½ 87 919¼ 927½ (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 21.60  
 
TUP-7   02/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.02K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:02
See original race card.
:22 :452 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA'S BACK 4 2 1½ 1½   12 1hd (wong jonathan)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 1.40 57% 0.80 0.50 W
A DIME FOR ME 2 7 7 5   22 2hd (wong jonat)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 122 5.00 2.80  
TOP HAT HIGH JINKS 8 6 4 32   3 3 (johnston kimbe)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 4.00 20% 4.00 13.20 S
BONITA RAPIDS 6 8 88 810   58 4 (oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 122 12.00 17.00  
OLD TOY 7 1 6 68   710 5 (williams dewe)SCRIVER L 122 6.00 12.80  
COSMIC TRIPSTER 3 5 54 7   6 67 (crystal dustie)LOPEZ E 122 20.00 70.80  
BEAUTY BLACK 5 4 2½ 2½   46 7 (perren lymo)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 7.70  
SUNSHINE EMILY 1 3 32 4   812½ 815 (gibbs tyler)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00 20.60  
SCR  BLUE CHIP BETTY               (tsosie terr)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 122 15.00    
 
TUP-8   02/18/2022 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 6:35
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:124     1:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONGOLIAN MEMORY 3 1 1½ 21   2½ 1hd (metz jeffrey)CIVACI SAHIN 121 6.00 3.80 DQ↓7
CHROME KING 1 8 6 54   1½ 2hd (hernandez migu)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 10.00 7.20  
JUAN BRAVO 6 5 7 6   44 3 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 119 5.00 38% 1.60 2.90 P
HOYA PARANOYA 2 3 5 11   31 4 (garrett j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.00 14% 6.30 3.10 S
CREME DE LA CHROME 4 2 2½ 42   58 5 (hone bart)ZUNINO L 119 8.00 8.90  
NEXT JOURNEY 8 7 8 8   610 6 (wong)DA FAUSTO 119 6.00 4.70  
BANGO FOR BUCKS 7 6 4 3   714 721 (breashear bill)CORBETT W 121 3.00 22% 3.50 5.60  
CREATIVE FEATURE 5 4 3 7   820 830¾ (nelson amy)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 15.00 54.60  
SCR  OCTAVIUS PRIME               (wong jonat)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.