Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Friday - February 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-2   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:131 1:262   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ORATORY GLORY 6 5 56½ 54 45½ 21 11½ (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 2.50 14% 6.00 4.10 W
3  LA ROSA DRIVE 3 1 1½ 11½ 13 11 21½ (lavanway day)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 6.00 6% 15.40 0.80 P
1  SUBTLE RIDE 1 4 67 65 68½ 48 35¾ (villa)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 3.00 34% 2.00 2.20 S
4  WINDI'S MOMENT 4 3 2½ 21½ 23 35 48 (nelson amy)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00 9% 10.10 11.30  
2  FILTHY 2 6 45½ 32 34½ 611 512¼ (perkins fra)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 10.00 16.20  
5  GOLDEN GODDESS 5 2 34 43½ 55½ 510½ 612½ (blea j)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 11.30  
SCR  SUMMER LOVE               (pierce mi)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 13% 7.00    
 
TUP-3   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:131 1:263   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BIG NEWS COMING 7 6 77 53½ 53 42½ 1½ (blea j)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 5.00 ★ 3.50  
1  CHANTAL 1 1 11½ 11½ 11 11 2½ (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.20 47% 1.10 0.80 P
6  PANCAKES AND BEER 5 4 66½ 64½ 63½ 31 31½ (grissom roberta)CORBETT W 124 12.00 14.30  
4  PARTYATTHECAPITAL 4 7 42½ 42½ 32½ 21 41¾ (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 4.00 24% 3.20 8.10  
2  LADY JADE 2 2 32 32½ 42½ 54 54¼ (le)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 10.70  
7  GRAN MANNA 6 3 21½ 21½ 21 65½ 65½ (garcia gen)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00 ★ 4.00  
3  SUGAR ON TOP 3 5 54½ 75½ 77½ 715½ 731½ (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 20.00 33.80  
SCR  TRINNI SUNSET               (fearon john)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   02/18/2022 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:123     1:322   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUMPKIN BREAD 1 3 35 43   12½ 13 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 8.00 3.10  
7  OPAL CREEK 5 5 55½ 33   22½ 23 (essex charles)CRUZ M 119 5.00 13% 6.40 2.80 P
5  BOOZE RUNNER 4 2 45½ 53¼   35 33 (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.00 0.90  
4  MISS RENO 3 4 21 2½   59 413 (bratcher ryan)VERGARA P 119 4.50 23% 3.30 8.40  
2  BALI BRAVA 2 1 11 1½   46½ 523 (si)DA FAUSTO 119 3.50 13% 6.90 6.30  
SCR  MIMAJOON               (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  ROPERS N WRANGLERS               (rennie richard)LINDSAY CHAD 119 12.00 11% 7.90    
 
TUP-5   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.96K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:11 1:24   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT 3 7 64½ 42½ 41¾ 1nk 11½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 ★ 3.60  
4  EL CHUMELITO 4 6 52½ 31 1nk 2nk 21½ (saldana ree)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 21% 3.70 1.80 P
8  TIGER BY HIS TAIL 8 5 2½ 2½ 3.2 31½ 34¾ (schnell d)VALENZUELA A 122 4.50 36% 1.70 4.30 S
5  MOUNTAIN SPIRIT 5 3 41½ 55 55¾ 56 48½ (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 6.20  
6  KING PARKER 6 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 42 59¾ (saldana re)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00 17.20  
1  GO FOR A RIDE 1 4 76 813½ 814¼ 610½ 616¾ (sepich f)VERGARA P 122 10.00 ★ 9.40  
2  DOODLE TIME 2 2 31½ 66 66¾ 711 719¼ (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 122 5.00 17% 5.00 4.10  
7  FREEZING JIMMY 7 8 810½ 712 711¾ 813½ 820¼ (buffalo marvin)CORBETT W 122 10.00 33.70  
 
TUP-6   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:114 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  COMPLICATE 4 4 21 2½ 1½ 11 1¼ (brinson clay)CORBETT W 122 4.00 20% 3.90 3.00 W
1  LAUNCH PAD 1 9 97 86 54 21 2¼ (chambers mike)MAWING A 124 2.50 52% 0.90 1.50 P
8  TERRACOTTA SOLDIER 8 7 75 64 43½ 31 3½ (story chad)ZUNINO L 122 3.50 ★ 2.90 S
7  MISAWA 7 5 43 42 32 54¼ 44 (metz jeffrey)CIVACI SAHIN 124 6.00 26.30  
5  HOLLYWOOD HEAT 5 3 64 98 74½ 66¾ 55½ (chattong vi)SCRIVER L 122 20.00 12.00  
6  BURNZ DA BOSS 6 2 32½ 31½ 2½ 44 68¼ (valdez-cabral m)VERGARA P 124 4.50 7.40  
2  MARICOPA COUNTY 2 8 85 74 98 712¾ 714¾ (grissom ro)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00 ★ 31.70  
9  CIBERTRUCK 9 6 53½ 53½ 64½ 814¼ 822 (stevens sat)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 14.30  
3  ADD ON 3 1 11 1½ 87 919¼ 927½ (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 21.60  
 
TUP-7   02/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.02K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:02
See original race card.
:22 :452 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BELLA'S BACK 4 2 1½ 1½   12 1hd (wong jonath)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 1.40 57% 0.80 0.50 W
2  A DIME FOR ME 2 7 77½ 57½   22 2hd (wong jon)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 122 5.00 2.80  
9  TOP HAT HIGH JINKS 8 6 42½ 32   35½ 34¼ (johnston kim)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 4.00 20% 4.00 13.20 S
7  BONITA RAPIDS 6 8 88 810   58 46½ (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 122 12.00 17.00  
8  OLD TOY 7 1 65½ 68   710 56¾ (williams de)SCRIVER L 122 6.00 12.80  
3  COSMIC TRIPSTER 3 5 54 78½   68½ 67 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 122 20.00 70.80  
6  BEAUTY BLACK 5 4 2½ 2½   46 77½ (perren ly)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 ★ 7.70  
1  SUNSHINE EMILY 1 3 32 44½   812½ 815 (gibbs tyle)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00 ★ 20.60  
SCR  BLUE CHIP BETTY               (tsosie te)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 122 15.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   02/18/2022 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 6:35
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:124     1:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MONGOLIAN MEMORY 3 1 1½ 21   2½ 1hd (metz jeffrey)CIVACI SAHIN 121 6.00 3.80 DQ↓7
2  CHROME KING 1 8 63¼ 54   1½ 2hd (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 10.00 ★ 7.20  
7  JUAN BRAVO 6 5 73¼ 65½   44 31¼ (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 119 5.00 38% 1.60 2.90 P
3  HOYA PARANOYA 2 3 51¾ 11   31 47¼ (garrett ty )HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.00 14% 6.30 3.10 S
5  CREME DE LA CHROME 4 2 2½ 42   58 57¼ (hone bart)ZUNINO L 119 8.00 8.90  
9  NEXT JOURNEY 8 7 85¼ 86½   610 69½ (wo)DA FAUSTO 119 6.00 ★ 4.70  
8  BANGO FOR BUCKS 7 6 41½ 31½   714 721 (breashear bill)CORBETT W 121 3.00 22% 3.50 5.60  
6  CREATIVE FEATURE 5 4 31½ 75½   820 830¾ (nelson amy)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 15.00 54.60  
SCR  OCTAVIUS PRIME               (wong jon)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.