Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Friday - February 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUBTLE RIDE Jan21 Jan12 Jan04     (villa)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 3.00 34% 2.00    
2  FILTHY Feb09 Jan21       (perkins fra)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 10.00    
3  LA ROSA DRIVE Jan24 Jan07       (lavanway day)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 6.00 6% 15.40    
4  WINDI'S MOMENT Feb03 Jan12       (nelson amy)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00 9% 10.10    
5  GOLDEN GODDESS Feb09 Jan19       (blea j)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
6  ORATORY GLORY Jan21 Jan12       (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 2.50 14% 6.00    
SCR  SUMMER LOVE Jan21         (pierce mi)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 13% 7.00    
 
TUP-3   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANTAL Jan14         (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.20 47% 1.10    
2  LADY JADE Jan19 Jan04       (le)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
3  SUGAR ON TOP Feb04 Jan20 Jan03     (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 20.00    
4  PARTYATTHECAPITAL Jan22         (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  TRINNI SUNSET Feb09 Jan20       (fearon john)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  PANCAKES AND BEER Jan19 Jan03       (grissom roberta)CORBETT W 124 12.00    
7  GRAN MANNA Feb08         (garcia gen)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00 ★    
8  BIG NEWS COMING Feb08         (blea j)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   02/18/2022 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUMPKIN BREAD Feb08         (hone bart)ZUNINO L 119 8.00    
2  BALI BRAVA Feb08 Jan19 Jan08     (si)DA FAUSTO 119 3.50 13% 6.90    
SCR  ROPERS N WRANGLERS Jan24 Jan03       (rennie richard)LINDSAY CHAD 119 12.00 11% 7.90    
4  MISS RENO         (bratcher ryan)VERGARA P 119 4.50 23% 3.30    
5  BOOZE RUNNER Jan28         (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.00    
SCR  MIMAJOON Jan08         (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 15% 5.50    
7  OPAL CREEK Jan03         (essex charles)CRUZ M 119 5.00 13% 6.40    
 
TUP-5   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.96K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO FOR A RIDE Feb03         (sepich f)VERGARA P 122 10.00 ★    
2  DOODLE TIME Feb03 Jan17 Jan03     (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 122 5.00 17% 5.00    
3  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Jan11         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 ★    
4  EL CHUMELITO Feb03 Jan18       (saldana ree)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
5  MOUNTAIN SPIRIT Jan18         (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
6  KING PARKER Jan18 Jan05       (saldana re)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00    
7  FREEZING JIMMY Jan18         (buffalo marvin)CORBETT W 122 10.00    
8  TIGER BY HIS TAIL Jan31         (schnell d)VALENZUELA A 122 4.50 36% 1.70    
 
TUP-6   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAUNCH PAD Feb01 Jan06       (chambers mike)MAWING A 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
2  MARICOPA COUNTY Feb02 Jan06       (grissom ro)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00 ★    
3  ADD ON Jan20 Jan10       (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  COMPLICATE Feb02 Jan06       (brinson clay)CORBETT W 122 4.00 20% 3.90    
5  HOLLYWOOD HEAT Feb10 Jan12       (chattong vi)SCRIVER L 122 20.00    
6  BURNZ DA BOSS Feb01         (valdez-cabral m)VERGARA P 124 4.50    
7  MISAWA Feb04 Jan24       (metz jeffrey)CIVACI SAHIN 124 6.00    
8  TERRACOTTA SOLDIER Feb02         (story chad)ZUNINO L 122 3.50 ★    
9  CIBERTRUCK Jan25 Jan06       (stevens sat)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00    
 
TUP-7   02/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.02K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNSHINE EMILY Jan17         (gibbs tyle)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00 ★    
2  A DIME FOR ME Jan28         (wong jon)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 122 5.00    
3  COSMIC TRIPSTER Jan28 Jan14       (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 122 20.00    
SCR  BLUE CHIP BETTY         (tsosie te)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 122 15.00 ★    
5  BELLA'S BACK         (wong jonath)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 1.40 57% 0.80    
6  BEAUTY BLACK Jan14         (perren ly)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 ★    
7  BONITA RAPIDS Jan05         (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 122 12.00    
8  OLD TOY Feb02         (williams de)SCRIVER L 122 6.00    
9  TOP HAT HIGH JINKS Jan20         (johnston kim)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
 
TUP-8   02/18/2022 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OCTAVIUS PRIME         (wong jon)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 119 8.00    
2  CHROME KING Jan30 Jan17 Jan06     (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 10.00 ★    
3  HOYA PARANOYA Jan20         (garrett ty )HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.00 14% 6.30    
4  MONGOLIAN MEMORY Jan28 Jan06       (metz jeffrey)CIVACI SAHIN 121 6.00    
5  CREME DE LA CHROME Jan30 Jan13       (hone bart)ZUNINO L 119 8.00    
6  CREATIVE FEATURE Jan12         (nelson amy)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 15.00    
7  JUAN BRAVO Jan17         (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 119 5.00 38% 1.60    
8  BANGO FOR BUCKS Jan28         (breashear bill)CORBETT W 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
9  NEXT JOURNEY Jan24         (wo)DA FAUSTO 119 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.