Handicappers' Race Results
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Turf Paradise
Monday - February 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   02/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GALILETA 5 2 11 11½   12½ 1½ (birdwell tena)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 4.50 ★ 4.70  
8  LOVELY LINDA 8 1 31 21½   22½ 2½ (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 124 5.00 11% 7.80 2.80 P
1  THECHAMPISFLORING 1 6 21 31½   32½ 32½ (bullene micha)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 19% 4.40 3.30 S
6  FOXY CARMELA 6 3 52¾ 43   44 43 (belloc umbert)SCRIVER L 124 3.00 42% 1.40 10.40  
2  WILLING TO BURN 2 8 86¾ 76½   66½ 54 (valerio ray)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 5.00 3.30  
3  KISSABLE U 3 7 62¾ 89   86¾ 64¼ (woolley benn)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00 7.60  
7  GOLD ROSE 7 4 74¼ 65   76¾ 75 (olivas-valenzuela )ZUNINO L 124 6.00 6.00  
4  SWEET RYAN 4 5 42½ 53½   55 86 (george cynthia)VERGARA P 124 10.00 ★ 35.80  
 
TUP-2   02/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($27.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:102 1:224   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GRAY ADMIRAL 7 1 1nk 1½ 12½ 13 12 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 14% 6.40 2.30 W
4  MARKET KING 4 4 2nk 2½ 22½ 23 22 (bird)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 10.00 25.90  
1  HOUSE LIMIT 1 5 73¾ 52 34 34½ 32 (hernandez migu)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 5.00 15% 5.50 3.70 S
5  RONAMO 5 8 83¾ 63 68½ 56½ 42¼ (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 4.50 ★ 2.70  
2  MIKE OPERATOR 2 3 62¼ 73½ 47 46½ 53¾ (wong jonathan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 38% 1.60 2.50  
6  GAGE HAS A GRAY 6 7 41½ 42 58½ 611½ 610¾ (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 11.60  
3  STEAL HOME 3 6 31 31½ 711 714 715½ (krasner cindy)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 12.00 6% 14.90 23.50  
8  DON'TTEASETHETIGER 8 2 51¾ 84 816 823 829 (ferguson cur)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00 21.80  
 
TUP-3   02/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:223 :45 :564     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JOY IN GRACE 3 4 41 1nk   12 11 (rycroft tim)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00 33.10  
1  OUR LITTLE TIGER 1 5 63¾ 31½   22 21 (person a)CORBETT W 124 4.00 47% 1.10 2.70 P
6  STREET SHADOW 6 6 76¼ 65½   54½ 36 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 6.00 ★ 13.60 S
2  SMOOTH RITHMS 2 1 1½ 42   33½ 48 (ortiz sr)CIVACI SAHIN 124 3.50 19% 4.20 4.50  
8  CRAZY GOOD 8 3 53½ 76   67 59¾ (silva jr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 9% 9.80 1.90  
4  COASTAL RUN 4 8 3½ 2nk   44½ 611¾ (toye joe)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00 3.50  
5  MISCHIEF MAMA 5 2 2½ 55   79 713 (mcfarlane d)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 ★ 6.80  
7  SHE'S A LADY GRIZ 7 7 86¼ 89   811 815½ (christian bi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 15.00 26.00  
 
TUP-4   02/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:27
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:12 1:251   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LOOKIN FOR GOLD 2 2 32 3½ 1nk 1½ 1½ (ortiz sr)CIVACI SAHIN 124 5.00 ★ 6.60  
3  SINGLE BARREL 3 5 63¼ 52¼ 52¾ 52¼ 2½ (hodgson barry)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 24% 3.10 4.30 P
8  HAVEULOSTYOURMIND 8 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 4¾ 3¾ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 5% 17.90 7.50 S
7  AUTISM SIBLINGS 7 8 94½ 83 88¼ 62¾ 41 (wong jonatha)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 3.00 19% 4.30 2.30  
1  TOP ROCKET 1 1 1½ 1½ 3.2 3½ 51 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 8.00 3.90  
6  STORMING WARRIOR 6 9 42 4¾ 41¼ 2½ 61½ (martinez est)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00 11.10  
4  TALKIN MALICE 4 4 73¼ 62¼ 64¾ 73¼ 73½ (kubinov)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 122 4.50 26% 2.80 3.60  
5  EMPIRE WICKET 5 6 84¼ 72½ 76¼ 84¼ 85½ (hans)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 15.00 55.10  
9  MUSKYMAN 9 7 53 94½ 914¼ 95¼ 917 (lavanway days)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 117 20.00 51.60  
 
TUP-5   02/28/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($27.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:09     1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  STITZY 4 3 33½ 42½ 41½ 2nk 11½ (saldana reed)CRUZ M 122 5.00 12% 7.40 7.70 W
5  SKY JUMPER 5 2 22½ 21 1nk 1nk 21½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 15% 5.80 4.70 DQ↓3
3  VICENTE'S SHADOW 3 8 88½ 77 63½ 4¼ 31¾ (stevens satc)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00 16.70  
6  NOLONGERAHOBBY 6 6 55½ 55 3½ 3.2 42½ (saldana reed)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00 34.60  
2  N. K. ROCKET MAN 2 1 12½ 11 2nk 5¾ 53¾ (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 6.00 6% 15.10 8.10  
7  SHOTGUN EXPRESS (IRE) 7 5 77½ 88 76 63¾ 65¾ (mathis andy)VERGARA P 122 5.00 4.30  
1  BLUE AZUL 1 4 44½ 31 53 74¾ 77¼ (hernandez migu)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.50 44% 1.30 1.40  
8  CALIBOGEE 8 7 67 66½ 88½ 810¼ 812½ (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 ★ 4.30  
 
TUP-6   02/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 3 F PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  OUTLAW DAISY 2 3 41½ 53½   21 1¼ (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 12.00 ★ 3.20  
10  SMILING SALSA 7 2 2½ 2½   11 2¼ (person kennet)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 3.00 14% 6.30 3.90 P
11  EYES FOR GOLD 8 5 74 43½   31 32 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 121 10.00 4.00  
1  CURLIN BLESSING 1 8 31½ 32   52 43¾ (mcfarlane d)VALENZUELA A 121 4.50 ★ 4.70  
6  TEMPORARILY 5 4 52 64   63 55¼ (evans justin)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 3.50 56% 0.80 1.70  
4  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE 4 7 63½ 76   73½ 67 (rollins scott)DEONAUTH P 121 15.00 56.00  
3  CHOCOLATE FRECKLES 3 1 1½ 1½   41½ 77¼ (woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 20.00 37.50  
9  LIP'S OF WINE 6 6 84½ 87½   86½ 88½ (mcdaniel l)MAWING A 121 15.00 23.10  
SCR  ALICESHOUSEOFHEART               (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 12.00    
SCR  ELLIE CAN PLAY               (hudson jeff)ANDERSON MCKENNA 116 12.00    
SCR  MACLEAN'S BELLA               (gutierrez qu)VERGARA P 121 4.00 5% 18.10    
 
TUP-7   02/28/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:57
See original race card.
:213 :44       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PERFECT FANNY 4 3 42 34½   3½ 1½ (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 5% 19.00 6.40 W
6  BIBLEMAN 5 1 11 11½   1½ 2½ (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 33% 2.10 3.90 P
10  RICKEY B 9 8 83 66½   74¼ 32¼ (hernandez mi)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.00 ★ 1.60 S
2  HOTFOOT (GB) 2 2 32 46   42½ 42¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 38% 1.60 2.90  
1  CAPITAL EXPENSE 1 5 21 21½   2½ 53 (baze robert)CRUZ M 122 10.00 23.70  
3  SMARTY RIVER PANTS 3 9 96 87¼   62¾ 63¼ (rycroft tim)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00 23.80  
8  CAPTAIN SCOTTY 7 6 62¼ 56   52¾ 73½ (ortiz sr)OSUNA MARTIN 122 8.00 ★ 8.70  
9  OUTLAW 8 7 72¾ 77   85¾ 85¼ (belvoir vann)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00 11.10  
7  MIAMI CROCKETT 6 4 52¼ 99¾   910¼ 98¾ (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 6.00 27.50  
SCR  SHARP DRESSED BEAU               (hedge rick)MAWING A 122 15.00    
 
TUP-8   02/28/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:454 1:102     1:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BOLD REY 8 2 15 17   18 12¼ (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 73% 0.40 0.50 W
1  JUST GRACE 1 1 48 38½   28 22¼ (will)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.50 3.00  
6  LILA'S LUCKY LADY 6 10 812 813¾   415½ 38½ (birdwell tena)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 10.00 ★ 15.70 S
9  STARLIGHT TWIST 9 8 1014½ 1019¾   918 410¼ (gleason m)CORBETT W 124 10.00 ★ 11.30  
5  SOJOURNER TRUTH 5 5 59 410   315 510½ (gangidino lisa)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 18.20  
3  BONITA RAPIDS 3 9 610 510   817¾ 612¾ (oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 124 12.00 57.80  
10  SUBTLE RIDE 10 6 37½ 712¼   617½ 713 (villamar can)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00 53.20  
2  DADDYS LITTLE GIRL 2 3 710 612   717¾ 814¼ (koler steve)CIVACI SAHIN 124 15.00 29.30  
7  EBB AND FLOW 7 7 912½ 918¼   1020½ 914¾ (lavanway days)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 20.00 51.50  
4  CALLMEJESSIEJAMES 4 4 25 27   517½ 1018 (silva l)SCRIVER L 124 5.00 ★ 10.30  
SCR  CHICKS DIG MUNNY               (gale bryce)MAWING A 124 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.