Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - February 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   02/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THECHAMPISFLORING Jan24 Jan14       (bullene mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 19% 4.40    
2  WILLING TO BURN Feb11 Jan12       (valerio r)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 5.00    
3  KISSABLE U Jan24 Jan05       (woolley be)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00    
4  SWEET RYAN Feb14 Jan21 Jan05     (george cynthia)VERGARA P 124 10.00 ★    
5  GALILETA Feb11 Feb01 Jan18     (birdwell te)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 4.50 ★    
6  FOXY CARMELA Feb03         (belloc umbe)SCRIVER L 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
7  GOLD ROSE Jan25 Jan12       (olivas-valenzuel)ZUNINO L 124 6.00    
8  LOVELY LINDA Feb08 Jan14       (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 5.00 11% 7.80    
 
TUP-2   02/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($27.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOUSE LIMIT Feb10 Feb01 Jan19     (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 5.00 15% 5.50    
2  MIKE OPERATOR Feb01 Jan09       (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  STEAL HOME Jan25 Jan12       (krasner cind)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 12.00 6% 14.90    
4  MARKET KING Feb10 Jan11       (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 10.00    
5  RONAMO Jan22         (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 4.50 ★    
6  GAGE HAS A GRAY Feb01 Jan11       (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
7  GRAY ADMIRAL Feb10         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 14% 6.40    
8  DON'TTEASETHETIGER Feb15 Jan19       (ferguson c)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00    
 
TUP-3   02/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR LITTLE TIGER Feb09 Jan21 Jan03     (person kenneth )CORBETT W 124 4.00 47% 1.10    
2  SMOOTH RITHMS Feb09 Jan27       (ortiz s)CIVACI SAHIN 124 3.50 19% 4.20    
3  JOY IN GRACE         (rycroft ti)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00    
4  COASTAL RUN Feb11 Jan21 Jan03     (toye joe)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00    
5  MISCHIEF MAMA Feb11 Jan20       (mcfarlane)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 ★    
6  STREET SHADOW Jan27         (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 6.00 ★    
7  SHE'S A LADY GRIZ Feb09         (christian )ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 15.00    
8  CRAZY GOOD Feb15         (silva jose )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 9% 9.80    
 
TUP-4   02/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOP ROCKET Feb07 Jan24       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 8.00    
2  LOOKIN FOR GOLD Feb10 Jan19       (ortiz s)CIVACI SAHIN 124 5.00 ★    
3  SINGLE BARREL Feb15         (hodgson bar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 24% 3.10    
4  TALKIN MALICE Feb17 Jan31 Jan18     (kubin)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 122 4.50 26% 2.80    
5  EMPIRE WICKET Feb17 Feb07 Jan24     (ha)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 15.00    
6  STORMING WARRIOR Feb17         (martinez e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00    
7  AUTISM SIBLINGS Feb15 Jan31 Jan10     (wong jonat)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
8  HAVEULOSTYOURMIND Feb15 Jan25 Jan10     (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 5% 17.90    
9  MUSKYMAN Feb07 Jan25 Jan10     (lavanway da)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 117 20.00    
 
TUP-5   02/28/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($27.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE AZUL Feb07 Jan25 Jan11     (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.50 44% 1.30    
2  N. K. ROCKET MAN         (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 6.00 6% 15.10    
3  VICENTE'S SHADOW Feb04 Jan19       (stevens sa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00    
4  STITZY Jan19         (saldana reed)CRUZ M 122 5.00 12% 7.40    
5  SKY JUMPER Jan25 Jan04       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 15% 5.80    
6  NOLONGERAHOBBY Feb17         (saldana re)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00    
7  SHOTGUN EXPRESS (IRE) Jan01         (mathis andy)VERGARA P 122 5.00    
8  CALIBOGEE         (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   02/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 3 F PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLIN BLESSING Feb07         (mcfarlane)VALENZUELA A 121 4.50 ★    
2  OUTLAW DAISY Feb14 Jan28 Jan03     (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 12.00 ★    
3  CHOCOLATE FRECKLES Jan17         (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 121 20.00    
4  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Jan28 Jan13       (rollins scott)DEONAUTH P 121 15.00    
SCR  MACLEAN'S BELLA Feb07 Jan05       (gutierrez juan )VERGARA P 121 4.00 5% 18.10    
6  TEMPORARILY Feb10 Jan17       (evans just)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 3.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  ELLIE CAN PLAY         (hudson jef)ANDERSON MCKENNA 116 12.00    
SCR  ALICESHOUSEOFHEART Feb07         (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 12.00    
9  LIP'S OF WINE Jan31 Jan12 Jan03     (mcdaniel l)MAWING A 121 15.00    
10  SMILING SALSA Feb07 Jan17       (person kenn)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 3.00 14% 6.30    
11  EYES FOR GOLD         (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 121 10.00    
 
TUP-7   02/28/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPITAL EXPENSE Jan25         (baze robert)CRUZ M 122 10.00    
2  HOTFOOT (GB) Feb17 Jan05       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
3  SMARTY RIVER PANTS         (rycroft tim)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00    
SCR  SHARP DRESSED BEAU Feb03 Jan25 Jan10     (hedge rick)MAWING A 122 15.00    
5  PERFECT FANNY Jan25         (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  BIBLEMAN Feb01 Jan05       (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 33% 2.10    
7  MIAMI CROCKETT Jan25 Jan05       (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 6.00    
8  CAPTAIN SCOTTY Jan10         (ortiz s)OSUNA MARTIN 122 8.00 ★    
9  OUTLAW Feb03         (belvoir va)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00    
10  RICKEY B Feb10 Jan27 Jan12     (hernandez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   02/28/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST GRACE Feb01 Jan21 Jan06     (wi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.50    
2  DADDYS LITTLE GIRL Jan25         (koler steve)CIVACI SAHIN 124 15.00    
3  BONITA RAPIDS Feb18 Jan05       (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 124 12.00    
4  CALLMEJESSIEJAMES Jan31 Jan13 Jan04     (silva jose )SCRIVER L 124 5.00 ★    
5  SOJOURNER TRUTH Feb15 Feb03       (gangidino lisa)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
6  LILA'S LUCKY LADY Feb15 Jan31 Jan04     (birdwell te)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 10.00 ★    
7  EBB AND FLOW Feb11 Jan25 Jan04     (lavanway da)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 20.00    
8  BOLD REY Feb11 Feb01 Jan07     (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 73% 0.40    
9  STARLIGHT TWIST Feb11 Jan24       (gleason m)CORBETT W 124 10.00 ★    
10  SUBTLE RIDE Feb18 Jan21 Jan12 Jan04   (villamar c)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00    
SCR  CHICKS DIG MUNNY Feb08 Jan13       (gale bryce)MAWING A 124 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.