Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Thursday - April 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   04/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:231 :46       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) 7 3 11     13 14 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.80 34% 1.90 1.00 W
4  THE BIG WAM 3 6 43     23 24 (mendez luis)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.50 ★ 2.70 P
6  TOP OF MY GAME 6 2 21     33 37 (mendez luis)DIAZ RENE 112 4.50 8.10  
2B  SPURS UP 2 7 66½     55¾ 47¾ (mccutchen rober)BECKMAN ALICE 112 10.00 30.50  
5  ASHCROFT 5 4 32     43¼ 59 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 25% 3.00 4.00  
1A  BAYTOWN GET IT ON 4 5 76½     68¼ 616 (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 12.00 18% 4.50 13.10  
3  TIA FRIDA 1 1 55½     79¼ 720½ (fernandez ke)VILLASANA CARLOS 116 20.00 69.80  
SCR  BAYTOWN MELODY               (mcentee paul)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 116 12.00    
SCR  TUSTLER               (mccutchen ro)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 ★    
 
KEE-2   04/28/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:22 :461 :58     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ANDTHEWINNERIS 4 10 97¾ 86¾   62 12 (catalano m)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 4.10  
1  CADILLAC CANDY 1 6 64¼ 63¼   51¾ 22 (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 12.20  
10  WICO (IRE) 9 7 52¼ 41½   1nk 32¾ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 26% 2.90 0.70 S
8  MABUHAY 7 8 85¼ 75¼   41¾ 43¾ (reed r)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 37.20  
7  ROMAN GIANT 6 4 2½ 2½   2nk 59 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00 21.20  
9  I AM FREAKY FAST 8 3 32 51¾   85 610 (mendez luis)DIAZ RENE 112 20.00 21.60  
5  BOURBON THERAPY 5 5 1½ 1½   3.2 711 (ennis john)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
11  UNCLE HEADLEY 10 2 42 31½   74 811 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 27% 2.70 8.90  
2  REVERE NOTE 2 9 109¾ 108¾   97½ 913¼ (mitchell jer)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 30.00 84.00  
3  LIBERTY HALL 3 11 1112¼ 1113¼   1115½ 1024¼ (hancock a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 26.20  
12  UNDALAY 11 1 74¼ 98¾   1015½ 1126 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 28.70  
SCR  STUDY COMMITTEE               (mccutchen ro)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-3   04/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:233 :472 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  QUICK RETURN 3 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 1¼ (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 124 8.00 20% 4.10 2.90 W
6  HOPE AND DIGNITY 4 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 2¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 1.60 29% 2.50 0.40 P
3  SAG HARBOR 2 3 42½ 43¾   34½ 36½ (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 124 5.00 ★ 4.90 S
1  ENGLISH TIDE 1 4 32 33½   46 410¼ (hester haley)BEJARANO R 124 15.00 7% 12.70 8.70  
SCR  SANTA CRUISER               (desormeaux j)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.50 ★    
SCR  SIR GIANNIS               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00    
 
KEE-4   04/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:224 :464 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMILE AT THE STORM 1 2 3½ 11   1½ 1½ (demeritte larry)BOWEN ROCCO 118 5.00 6% 16.40 4.80 W
5  DAME CINCO 4 1 2½ 31½   2½ 2½ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 29% 2.40 1.60 P
7  HIGH FAIR 5 3 54 44   32½ 31¾ (hiles a)LANERIE J 124 5.00 33% 2.00 3.10 S
3  WORLD OF WONDER 2 4 65½ 69½   69½ 46½ (forster t)GRAHAM J 124 6.00 5.80  
8  NANA'S GRAY 6 5 42 54   55 57½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 4.60  
4  SOFIA STRONG 3 6 1½ 21   44½ 613¾ (riley barbara)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 5% 18.00 12.20  
SCR  GIGABLAST               (colebrook b)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  J ZERTZ               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00    
 
KEE-5   04/28/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:213 :444 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CASANOVA KITTEN 3 9 65 65   23½ 11¾ (joseph saffi)CORRALES GERARDO 124 4.00 21% 3.80 3.20 W
8  AMERICAN STARLET 7 2 11 12   13½ 21¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 113 4.00 23% 3.30 4.00 P
1  SWITZER 1 4 43½ 54½   55¾ 32¼ (moquett e)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 12.20  
2  CASTLE LEOCH 2 5 86¾ 87   65¾ 44 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 15% 5.60 2.40  
9  UBER KIRK 8 7 75¼ 76   77¾ 55¾ (frazier matt)BEJARANO R 124 15.00 13% 6.90 7.00  
5  CUT GLASS 4 1 32 22   33½ 66½ (kobiskie da)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00 21.20  
10  THIRSTY OWL 9 8 97¾ 97½   88 77½ (wittek karyn)MORALES EDGAR 124 30.00 67.00  
7  JURA 6 6 53½ 44   45½ 87½ (mcgaughey re)GEROUX FLORENT 124 5.00 4.20  
6  BAYTOWN WARRIOR 5 3 21 33   913 920¾ (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 5% 19.00 70.10  
SCR  GOLD HERITAGE               (mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 118 5.00    
 
KEE-6   04/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATNA 4 5 1½ 1½   12½ 11¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 34% 2.00 2.40 W
5  ONE TIME MO 3 7 98½ 99   67 21¼ (pessin l)LANERIE J 120 10.00 28.60  
7  ALESSIA (GB) 6 10 65 42   34 32 (zito p)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 44.50  
12  BEAUXS ARTES 10 1 32 31   22½ 42¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 20% 4.00 1.30  
4  PILLBOX 2 8 55 75½   78½ 54 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 5.00  
2  SMUGNESS 1 11 76½ 64½   45 64 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 25.40  
1A  CHABERTON 11 2 43½ 52   89 712 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 2.40  
9  SILENCING 8 3 2½ 2½   57 812¼ (catalano m)DIAZ RENE 113 12.00 19.60  
6  QUARIA COMET 5 9 1111½ 1112½   1115¾ 915 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 10.00 19.20  
10  QUIST AND SHOUT 9 4 109½ 1012   1015¼ 1015¼ (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 18% 4.50 7.50  
8  SPEIGHTSY HOT 7 6 87 88   915 1117¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 30.00 73.20  
SCR  LADYBELUCKY               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 6% 15.00    
SCR  ULIKEAPPLES               (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 ★    
 
KEE-7   04/28/2022 6270ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:132 1:374   1:544   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BESIDE HERSELF 5 3 11 11 11 12 12½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 31% 2.30 4.60 W
2  BRAVO KITTEN 1 1 42 31½ 31½ 22 22½ (joseph saffie)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 3.00 19% 4.10 4.10 P
1  SHAD NATION 2 2 52½ 63½ 73¼ 34 33¾ (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 21% 3.80 4.50 S
12  PEARL EARRING 12 10 62¾ 52½ 42 44 46 (stidham michael)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
10  WHENTHEDAWNBREAKS 10 11 115 117¼ 106¼ 86¾ 59 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5.60  
11  AMANI'S IMAGE 11 9 32 42½ 53 65¾ 69½ (gutierrez faustio)DIAZ RENE 111 20.00 63.20  
7  LAVISH HABITS 7 5 73¾ 74½ 94¾ 55½ 710¾ (hiles a)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 8.10  
4  TWO SOCKS (IRE) 4 7 84¼ 106¼ 116¼ 97¾ 811¼ (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 4.20  
8  HONEY RUN 8 12 125½ 95¼ 63 109¼ 912 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 22.50  
9  MYFAVORITEDAUGHTER 9 8 94¾ 85 84¼ 1110¾ 1013½ (engler jeff)LANERIE J 118 10.00 26.60  
3  CECILITA 3 6 104¾ 127¾ 127¾ 1211¾ 1114 (rubley kel)SANTANA JR 118 30.00 68.60  
6  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN 6 4 21 21 21 76¼ 1217 (wiggins lon)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00 ######  
SCR  SCHLOFMITZ               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
 
KEE-8   04/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($130K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:10     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOVEL SQUALL 1 3 2½ 2nk   13 19½ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 ★ 1.70  
6  MUSIC CITY STAR 4 2 1½ 1nk   23 29½ (davis christ)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.50 2.50  
2  UNION MAIDEN 2 4 31½ 31½   35½ 312¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 ★ 1.80 S
4  THUNDERING CREED 3 1 42½ 44   47½ 414 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 5.00 ★ 4.20  
SCR  RED GHOST               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 58% 0.70    
SCR  SKINNY DIP               (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 10% 8.50    
 
KEE-9   04/28/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:123 1:364   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LORD ZED 4 1 1½ 1½ 11 11½ 11½ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 ★ 5.40  
8  LIVINGSTONE 6 5 63½ 73½ 75¾ 45½ 21½ (pugh d)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 58.70  
4  STICKY ISSUE 3 10 85½ 96 108¼ 77 33¼ (ennis john)GRAHAM J 126 5.00 6% 14.80 4.70 S
9  CALRISSIAN 7 3 2½ 2½ 41½ 33½ 43¾ (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 126 8.00 24.80  
12  SIMPLY JACK 10 9 96 84½ 86¼ 66 53¾ (murphy conor)BESCHIZZA ADAM 126 8.00 52% 0.90 4.70  
11  ARDANWOOD 9 2 42½ 42 31 21½ 64¼ (robertson mc)MURRILL MITCHELL 126 12.00 20.30  
10  CITY LEGEND 8 4 31½ 31 21 55½ 78¾ (minshall j)SAEZ LUIS 126 6.00 12.10  
7  POLYGLOT 5 6 118½ 117½ 97¼ 910 810 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 9% 10.30 1.30  
2  KALAKAUA 1 12 52½ 52½ 54 89½ 913 (mulcahy geo)HERNANDEZ J 126 30.00 87.10  
13  SHANNONRUN 11 8 75 63 64¼ 1010¼ 1014 (douaihy michel)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 86.00  
14  THREE WOLVES 12 7 129½ 129 119¼ 1112¼ 1114¼ (mcgaughey re)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 37.40  
3  AQUACAT 2 11 108 107½ 1211¾ 1219¼ 1223½ (beckman w)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 30.00 32.20  
SCR  BLUE DEVIL               (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 9% 9.80    
SCR  DEEP STATE               (lynch a)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 6.00    
SCR  MIGHTY SEA               (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  SUMMER ANTHEM               (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.