The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Keeneland
Thursday - April 28, 2022

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KEE-1   04/28/2022 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
:231 :46       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) 7 3 11     13 14 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.80 34% 1.90 1.00 W
THE BIG WAM 3 6 43     23 24 (mendez luis)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.50 2.70 P
TOP OF MY GAME 6 2 21     33 37 (mendez luis)DIAZ RENE 112 4.50 8.10  
2B  SPURS UP 2 7 6     54(mccutchen b)BECKMAN ALICE 112 10.00 30.50  
ASHCROFT 5 4 32     459 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 25% 3.00 4.00  
1A  BAYTOWN GET IT ON 4 5 7     6616 (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 12.00 18% 4.50 13.10  
TIA FRIDA 1 1 5     7720½ (fernandez a)VILLASANA CARLOS 116 20.00 69.80  
SCR  BAYTOWN MELODY               (mcentee paul)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 116 12.00    
SCR  TUSTLER               (mccutchen b)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00    
 
KEE-2   04/28/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
:22 :461 :58     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANDTHEWINNERIS 4 10 9 8   62 12 (catalano m)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 4.10  
CADILLAC CANDY 1 6 6 6   522 (arnold r)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 12.20  
10  WICO (IRE) 9 7 5 4   1nk 3(ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 26% 2.90 0.70 S
MABUHAY 7 8 8 7   44(reed r)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 37.20  
ROMAN GIANT 6 4 2½ 2½   2nk 59 (asmussen m)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00 21.20  
I AM FREAKY FAST 8 3 32 5   85 610 (mendez luis)DIAZ RENE 112 20.00 21.60  
BOURBON THERAPY 5 5 1½ 1½   3.2 711 (ennis john)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
11  UNCLE HEADLEY 10 2 42 3   74 811 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 27% 2.70 8.90  
REVERE NOTE 2 9 10 10   9913¼ (mitchell jerred)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 30.00 84.00  
LIBERTY HALL 3 11 1112¼ 1113¼   1115½ 1024¼ (hancock a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 26.20  
12  UNDALAY 11 1 7 9   1015½ 1126 (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 28.70  
SCR  STUDY COMMITTEE               (mccutchen b)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-3   04/28/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
:233 :472 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK RETURN 3 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 1¼ (humphries thomas)MORALES EDGAR 124 8.00 20% 4.10 2.90 W
HOPE AND DIGNITY 4 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 2¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 1.60 29% 2.50 0.40 P
SAG HARBOR 2 3 4 4   33(matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 124 5.00 4.90 S
ENGLISH TIDE 1 4 32 3   46 410¼ (hester haley)BEJARANO R 124 15.00 7% 12.70 8.70  
SCR  SANTA CRUISER               (desormeaux keith)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.50    
SCR  SIR GIANNIS               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00    
 
KEE-4   04/28/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
:224 :464 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMILE AT THE STORM 1 2 3½ 11   1½ 1½ (demeritte larry)BOWEN ROCCO 118 5.00 6% 16.40 4.80 W
DAME CINCO 4 1 2½ 3   2½ 2½ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 29% 2.40 1.60 P
HIGH FAIR 5 3 54 44   33(hiles a)LANERIE J 124 5.00 33% 2.00 3.10 S
WORLD OF WONDER 2 4 6 6   64(forster t)GRAHAM J 124 6.00 5.80  
NANA'S GRAY 6 5 42 54   55 5(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 4.60  
SOFIA STRONG 3 6 1½ 21   4613¾ (riley barbara)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 5% 18.00 12.20  
SCR  GIGABLAST               (colebrook ben)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00    
SCR  J ZERTZ               (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00    
 
KEE-5   04/28/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
:213 :444 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASANOVA KITTEN 3 9 65 65   21(joseph a)CORRALES GERARDO 124 4.00 21% 3.80 3.20 W
AMERICAN STARLET 7 2 11 12   12(ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 113 4.00 23% 3.30 4.00 P
SWITZER 1 4 4 5   53(moquett e)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 12.20  
CASTLE LEOCH 2 5 8 87   644 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 15% 5.60 2.40  
UBER KIRK 8 7 7 76   75(frazier matt)BEJARANO R 124 15.00 13% 6.90 7.00  
CUT GLASS 4 1 32 22   36(kobiskie dane)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00 21.20  
10  THIRSTY OWL 9 8 9 9   88 7(wittek karyn)MORALES EDGAR 124 30.00 67.00  
JURA 6 6 5 44   48(mcgaughey reeve)GEROUX FLORENT 124 5.00 4.20  
BAYTOWN WARRIOR 5 3 21 33   913 920¾ (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 5% 19.00 70.10  
SCR  GOLD HERITAGE               (mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 118 5.00    
 
KEE-6   04/28/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:40
:222 :462 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATNA 4 5 1½ 1½   11(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 34% 2.00 2.40 W
ONE TIME MO 3 7 9 99   67 2(pessin l)LANERIE J 120 10.00 28.60  
ALESSIA 6 10 65 42   34 32 (zito p)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 44.50  
12  BEAUXS ARTES 10 1 32 31   24(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 20% 4.00 1.30  
PILLBOX 2 8 55 7   754 (joseph a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 5.00  
SMUGNESS 1 11 7 6   45 64 (devaux cherie)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 25.40  
1A  CHABERTON 11 2 4 52   89 712 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 2.40  
SILENCING 8 3 2½ 2½   57 812¼ (catalano m)DIAZ RENE 113 12.00 19.60  
QUARIA COMET 5 9 1111½ 1112½   1115¾ 915 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 10.00 19.20  
10  QUIST AND SHOUT 9 4 10 1012   1015¼ 1015¼ (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 18% 4.50 7.50  
SPEIGHTSY HOT 7 6 87 88   915 1117¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 30.00 73.20  
SCR  LADYBELUCKY               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 6% 15.00    
SCR  ULIKEAPPLES               (rivelli larry)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00    
 
KEE-7   04/28/2022 6270ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 4:12
:24 :483 1:132 1:374   1:544   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BESIDE HERSELF 5 3 11 11 11 12 1(pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 31% 2.30 4.60 W
BRAVO KITTEN 1 1 42 3 3 22 2(joseph a)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 3.00 19% 4.10 4.10 P
SHAD NATION 2 2 5 6 7 34 3(clement christophe)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 21% 3.80 4.50 S
12  PEARL EARRING 12 10 6 5 42 44 46 (stidham michael)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
10  WHENTHEDAWNBREAKS 10 11 115 11 10 859 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5.60  
11  AMANI'S IMAGE 11 9 32 4 53 66(gutierrez faustio)DIAZ RENE 111 20.00 63.20  
LAVISH HABITS 7 5 7 7 9 5710¾ (hiles a)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 8.10  
TWO SOCKS (IRE) 4 7 8 10 11 9811¼ (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 4.20  
HONEY RUN 8 12 12 9 63 10912 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 22.50  
MYFAVORITEDAUGHTER 9 8 9 85 8 1110¾ 1013½ (engler jeff)LANERIE J 118 10.00 26.60  
CECILITA 3 6 10 12 12 1211¾ 1114 (rubley kelly)SANTANA JR 118 30.00 68.60  
MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN 6 4 21 21 21 71217 (wiggins lon)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00 ######  
SCR  SCHLOFMITZ               (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
 
KEE-8   04/28/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($130K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
:224 :461 1:10     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOVEL SQUALL 1 3 2½ 2nk   13 1(ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 1.70  
MUSIC CITY STAR 4 2 1½ 1nk   23 2(davis christopher)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.50 2.50  
UNION MAIDEN 2 4 3 3   3312¼ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 1.80 S
THUNDERING CREED 3 1 4 44   4414 (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 118 5.00 4.20  
SCR  RED GHOST               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 58% 0.70    
SCR  SKINNY DIP               (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 10% 8.50    
 
KEE-9   04/28/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
:23 :472 1:123 1:364   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD ZED 4 1 1½ 1½ 11 11(maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 5.40  
LIVINGSTONE 6 5 6 7 7 42(pugh d)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 58.70  
STICKY ISSUE 3 10 8 96 10 77 3(ennis john)GRAHAM J 126 5.00 6% 14.80 4.70 S
CALRISSIAN 7 3 2½ 2½ 4 34(colebrook ben)CORRALES GERARDO 126 8.00 24.80  
12  SIMPLY JACK 10 9 96 8 8 66 5(murphy conor)BESCHIZZA ADAM 126 8.00 52% 0.90 4.70  
11  ARDANWOOD 9 2 4 42 31 26(robertson mclean)MURRILL MITCHELL 126 12.00 20.30  
10  CITY LEGEND 8 4 3 31 21 57(minshall j)SAEZ LUIS 126 6.00 12.10  
POLYGLOT 5 6 11 11 9 910 810 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 9% 10.30 1.30  
KALAKAUA 1 12 5 5 54 8913 (mulcahy geoff)HERNANDEZ J 126 30.00 87.10  
13  SHANNONRUN 11 8 75 63 6 1010¼ 1014 (douaihy michel)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 86.00  
14  THREE WOLVES 12 7 12 129 11 1112¼ 1114¼ (mcgaughey reeve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 37.40  
AQUACAT 2 11 108 10 1211¾ 1219¼ 1223½ (beckman whitworth)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 30.00 32.20  
SCR  BLUE DEVIL               (brisset rodolphe)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 9% 9.80    
SCR  DEEP STATE               (lynch a)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 6.00    
SCR  MIGHTY SEA               (walsh p)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  SUMMER ANTHEM               (brisset rodolphe)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.