Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Thursday - April 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   04/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BAYTOWN GET IT ON Apr20 Apr08       (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 12.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  BAYTOWN MELODY Apr14         (mcentee paul)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 116 12.00    
2B  SPURS UP         (mccutchen rob)BECKMAN ALICE 112 10.00    
SCR  TUSTLER         (mccutchen )CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 ★    
3  TIA FRIDA Apr13         (fernandez )VILLASANA CARLOS 116 20.00    
4  THE BIG WAM         (mendez luis)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.50 ★    
5  ASHCROFT         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
6  TOP OF MY GAME Apr13         (mendez luis)DIAZ RENE 112 4.50    
7  NO NAY HUDSON (IRE)         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.80 34% 1.90    
 
KEE-2   04/28/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CADILLAC CANDY         (arnold geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
2  REVERE NOTE Apr20         (mitchell j)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 30.00    
3  LIBERTY HALL         (hancock a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
4  ANDTHEWINNERIS         (catalano wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
5  BOURBON THERAPY         (ennis john)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STUDY COMMITTEE         (mccutchen )CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  ROMAN GIANT         (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00    
8  MABUHAY         (reed r)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  I AM FREAKY FAST Apr08         (mendez luis)DIAZ RENE 112 20.00    
10  WICO (IRE)         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
11  UNCLE HEADLEY         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 27% 2.70    
12  UNDALAY         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
 
KEE-3   04/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENGLISH TIDE Mar26 Feb26 Jan23 Jan09   (hester haley)BEJARANO R 124 15.00 7% 12.70    
SCR  SIR GIANNIS Feb17 Jan17       (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00    
3  SAG HARBOR Mar20 Jan16       (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 124 5.00 ★    
4  QUICK RETURN Mar18         (humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 124 8.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  SANTA CRUISER Apr16 Feb10 Jan13     (desormeaux)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.50 ★    
6  HOPE AND DIGNITY Jan14         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 1.60 29% 2.50    
 
KEE-4   04/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMILE AT THE STORM Apr10 Mar05 Feb10     (demeritte larry)BOWEN ROCCO 118 5.00 6% 16.40    
SCR  J ZERTZ Mar03         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00    
3  WORLD OF WONDER Feb03 Jan06       (forster t)GRAHAM J 124 6.00    
4  SOFIA STRONG Mar26 Mar10 Feb10     (riley barbara)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 5% 18.00    
5  DAME CINCO         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  GIGABLAST Mar27 Mar09 Feb05     (colebrook)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 ★    
7  HIGH FAIR Feb09 Jan19       (hiles a)LANERIE J 124 5.00 33% 2.00    
8  NANA'S GRAY Mar27 Feb18       (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
 
KEE-5   04/28/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWITZER Mar23 Feb12 Jan15     (moquett ronald)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
2  CASTLE LEOCH         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  GOLD HERITAGE         (mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 118 5.00    
4  CASANOVA KITTEN         (joseph saf)CORRALES GERARDO 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
5  CUT GLASS Apr04         (kobiskie )HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00    
6  BAYTOWN WARRIOR         (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  JURA         (mcgaughey j )GEROUX FLORENT 124 5.00    
8  AMERICAN STARLET Mar26 Feb23 Jan07     (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 113 4.00 23% 3.30    
9  UBER KIRK Apr10 Jan07       (frazier matt)BEJARANO R 124 15.00 13% 6.90    
10  THIRSTY OWL Mar24 Jan16       (wittek karyn)MORALES EDGAR 124 30.00    
 
KEE-6   04/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATNA Mar26         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 34% 2.00    
1A  CHABERTON         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50    
2  SMUGNESS         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
SCR  LADYBELUCKY Mar10         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 6% 15.00    
4  PILLBOX         (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00    
5  ONE TIME MO         (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00    
6  QUARIA COMET Apr02         (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 10.00    
7  ALESSIA (GB)         (zito p)BEJARANO R 120 20.00    
8  SPEIGHTSY HOT Apr02         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 30.00    
9  SILENCING         (catalano m)DIAZ RENE 113 12.00    
10  QUIST AND SHOUT Mar10         (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  ULIKEAPPLES Apr16         (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 ★    
12  BEAUXS ARTES Mar27         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
 
KEE-7   04/28/2022 6270ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAD NATION Apr02         (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  SCHLOFMITZ Apr02 Mar03 Feb12     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
2  BRAVO KITTEN Apr14 Jan02       (joseph saff)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 3.00 19% 4.10    
3  CECILITA Mar12 Jan15       (rubley k)SANTANA JR 118 30.00    
4  TWO SOCKS (IRE)         (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
5  BESIDE HERSELF Mar05 Jan30       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 31% 2.30    
6  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Feb18 Jan20       (wiggins lon)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
7  LAVISH HABITS Apr08 Feb27 Jan30     (hiles a)GRAHAM J 122 6.00    
8  HONEY RUN Mar16 Feb14 Jan15     (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  MYFAVORITEDAUGHTER Mar03 Feb05 Jan21 Jan01   (engler jeff)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
10  WHENTHEDAWNBREAKS Jan29         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00    
11  AMANI'S IMAGE Apr02 Mar10       (gutierrez faustio)DIAZ RENE 111 20.00    
12  PEARL EARRING Mar12 Jan29 Jan01     (stidham michae)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-8   04/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($130K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOVEL SQUALL Apr02 Feb19 Jan09     (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 ★    
2  UNION MAIDEN Mar03         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 ★    
SCR  RED GHOST Mar04         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 58% 0.70    
4  THUNDERING CREED Mar19 Jan22       (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 5.00 ★    
SCR  SKINNY DIP Mar01         (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 10% 8.50    
6  MUSIC CITY STAR Mar09 Feb17 Jan06     (davis chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.50    
 
KEE-9   04/28/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLUE DEVIL Apr02         (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 9% 9.80    
2  KALAKAUA         (mulcahy g)HERNANDEZ J 126 30.00    
3  AQUACAT         (beckman d)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 30.00    
4  STICKY ISSUE         (ennis john)GRAHAM J 126 5.00 6% 14.80    
5  LORD ZED Mar23 Mar03 Jan17     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 ★    
SCR  MIGHTY SEA Apr02         (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
7  POLYGLOT         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 9% 10.30    
8  LIVINGSTONE         (pugh d)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
9  CALRISSIAN Mar25         (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 126 8.00    
10  CITY LEGEND         (minshall barbara )SAEZ LUIS 126 6.00    
11  ARDANWOOD Mar04 Feb13 Jan23     (robertson )MURRILL MITCHELL 126 12.00    
12  SIMPLY JACK         (murphy conor)BESCHIZZA ADAM 126 8.00 52% 0.90    
13  SHANNONRUN Feb26 Jan16       (doua)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 30.00    
14  THREE WOLVES         (mcgaughey reeve)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
SCR  DEEP STATE Apr03 Mar09 Feb06 Jan09   (lynch brian)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 6.00    
SCR  SUMMER ANTHEM Feb26         (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.