Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PRAYFORPEACE 2 2 1nk 1nk   11½ 1¾ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 ★ 3.80  
2  SUMMER IN MALIBU 1 6 42 41¼   21½ 2¾ (vance d)LANERIE J 120 2.00 ★ 2.50 P
4  TURNSANDCONDITIONS 3 3 31 3.2   31½ 34¾ (vance dav)LEPAROUX R 120 15.00 7% 13.30 12.10 S
5  AMERICAN HERO 4 4 53 52¼   44 47 (cox brad)SANTANA JR 120 1.60 36% 1.80 1.40  
1A  BUREAU 6 5 67 65¼   68 513½ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 2.50 28% 2.60 3.10  
1  COLE SPUR 5 1 2nk 2nk   55½ 615 (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 ★ 3.10  
 
CD-2   05/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BRUNELLA 7 3 21 1nk   13½ 15¾ (cook b)ROCCO S 118 4.50 13% 6.80 2.70 W
5  MARCIE'S CANDY 5 2 65 64¼   33½ 25¾ (reed r)LEON SONNY 118 5.00 ★ 6.90 P
1  TAPALONG 1 7 52½ 31½   23½ 36 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.80 19% 4.20 1.60 S
4  SUN DRESS 4 4 32 42   44½ 410¼ (roberson dennis)COURT K 118 15.00 10% 8.70 12.60  
3  SMOKIN HOT BOBBIE 3 5 42½ 52¼   57 515¼ (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 16.20  
2  BOW MAKER 2 6 710 710¼   79¼ 615½ (vasquez german )BRYAN KERRY 118 30.00 51.10  
6  RUSSIAN ROULETTE 6 1 11 2nk   67¼ 718½ (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 1.60 37% 1.70 2.40  
 
CD-3   05/14/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:23 :464 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SKY AND SAND 8 5 21½ 2½   13 13¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 4.90  
1  PURPLE DREAM 1 8 84¾ 85¼   44 23¼ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 8.00 6% 15.20 6.10 P
6  FOLIAGE (NZ) 6 1 31½ 31½   23 33½ (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00 26% 2.90 2.00 S
2  APACHE TEARS 2 4 42½ 41½   34 46¼ (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 123 4.00 3.30  
7  LESSON LEARNED (IRE) 7 6 63¼ 51¾   56 57 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 13.00  
3  CARAMELITO 3 7 73¾ 63¼   76¼ 67½ (cano munoz)DIAZ RENE 116 10.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
4  CHIEF HOWCOME 4 2 11½ 1½   66¼ 715 (sanner dan)HERNANDEZ J 123 15.00 18.00  
5  RUN RUN RAPIDASH 5 3 52¾ 73¾   811¼ 817¼ (kordenbr)SANTANA JR 123 3.50 8.40  
SCR  ANGKOR               (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 2.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  RUNPAT               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.00 26% 2.80    
 
CD-4   05/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:26
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:141 1:384   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DUNVEGAN DOLL 4 2 65½ 54½ 41½ 12½ 18¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.60 11% 7.80 1.10 W
2  NIBBLES 2 4 2nk 21 21 34½ 28¼ (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 6.00 ★ 4.40 P
1  CHOPIN DRIVE 1 1 1nk 11 11 22½ 38½ (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.50 60% 0.70 2.60 S
5  WILDCAT DREAM 5 3 54½ 43½ 52 55½ 49¾ (salcedo ramon)LEON SONNY 118 12.00 ★ 19.20  
7  LAYLA'S SONG 7 6 31½ 32 31 45½ 510½ (leonard i)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 25.50  
6  AVENDORE 6 7 43½ 65½ 76½ 612 617 (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 3.00 ★ 5.30  
3  KISS THEORY 3 5 77½ 76 64½ 715 734¼ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 15.00 26.50  
 
CD-5   05/14/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:131 1:383   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HELLORHIGHWATER 4 1 43 43½ 31½ 1½ 11½ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 3.50 50% 1.00 3.30 W
3  KISS PRINCIPAL 3 3 21 21½ 2nk 2½ 21½ (hamm timothy)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 11.20  
6  LOVING LUCKY 5 2 53¼ 54½ 43 45½ 39 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.50 ★ 5.50 S
1  DROP ANCHOR 1 5 11 11½ 1nk 33 49 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 ★ 2.20  
2  SCALES OF JUSTICE 2 4 31 32½ 5100 5100 5100 (colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 117 2.50 25% 3.00 1.20  
SCR  MO BETTA               (warpool shane)BAILEY CHEL-C 117 4.50 ★    
 
CD-6   05/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:131 1:382   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SONIC CITY 1 3 33 42½ 41¼ 1½ 16 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.60 37% 1.70 0.60 W
7  FIGHTVILLE 6 4 43 31½ 3.2 3½ 26 (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 111 6.00 12.00  
6  FERRYBOAT 5 2 21 21 2nk 2½ 36¾ (amoss m)GRAHAM J 124 6.00 9.70  
5  RONITHELIMODRIVER 4 6 77 76½ 74¼ 65¼ 48½ (leonard i)BEJARANO R 124 8.00 7% 14.00 7.00  
1A  CHASE TRACKER 8 8 54 53½ 51¼ 43 510¾ (garcia genaro)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 3.00 21% 3.70 12.50  
3  KIDYOUNOT 2 1 11 11 1nk 53¼ 611¼ (barnett c)COURT K 124 12.00 16.50  
4  TIGHTWAD 3 5 65½ 65 63¼ 76¾ 714¼ (kenneally edd)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 12% 7.50 6.60  
8  MONEY PIT 7 7 87¼ 86½ 87¾ 811¾ 821 (hill f)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 30.00 5% 19.00 17.80  
SCR  RIVER REDEMPTION               (garcia ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.00    
 
CD-7   05/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:241 :493 1:14 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WALKATHON 1 1 31½ 32 31½ 1½ 11¼ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122 3.00 38% 1.70 0.90 W
5  ZAWISH 5 2 21 21 1½ 2½ 21¼ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 25.20  
10  SCHLOFMITZ 10 7 52 42½ 42½ 33 31½ (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 ★ 13.00 S
11  LOVE TO RUN 11 9 94¾ 96 85¾ 54½ 42¾ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 26.90  
7  ARROBATIC 7 8 83¾ 64 63½ 64½ 52¾ (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 28% 2.60 5.80  
8  GLENALL (IRE) 8 11 116¼ 119 1111¼ 97¾ 65 (baltas richard)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 4.50  
4  FANCY MARTINI 4 6 42 53 53½ 44 76½ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 11% 8.40 16.60  
3  HIGH SPEED 3 5 73½ 85 75½ 75 87¼ (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 40.00  
9  PRINCESSOFTHENORTH 9 10 104¾ 107½ 109¼ 119¼ 99¾ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 28.40  
2  RED HOT MAMA 2 4 62½ 74 97¼ 108¾ 1011¾ (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 ★ 19.20  
6  TAKE THE BACKROADS 6 3 11 11 2½ 87½ 1116½ (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 12.10  
 
CD-8   05/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:39
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:111 1:232   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  QUICK TO BLAME 6 4 2½ 21 1nk 12 11 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 51% 1.00 0.60 W
8  JEDREK 8 1 53½ 64½ 42½ 32½ 21 (lauer mi)SANTANA JR 125 20.00 ★ 22.20 P
7  UNCLE BERLEY 7 3 42 43 31 22 33½ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 4.20  
2  MARVELOUSMOONDANCE 2 7 74½ 84¾ 65½ 67 48¼ (bindner wal)PETERSON FERRIN 125 8.00 19% 4.30 22.10  
10  ONE AMERICA 10 2 1½ 11 2nk 44 58½ (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 30.20  
5  COMMANDER COMPTON 5 6 107½ 1010¼ 88½ 89 69½ (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00 23.00  
4  ARROW STRIKE 4 8 85½ 74½ 77 77½ 79¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 ★ 14.30  
3  GRAPNEL 3 5 31½ 31½ 53 56 813¼ (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 6.00 7% 13.50 8.70  
9  FIFTY CENT DOLLARS 9 10 96 910¼ 1011½ 1013 915 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 21.70  
1  CURLIN LANE 1 9 63½ 53½ 99 912½ 1016¾ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 10.00 29.60  
 
CD-9   05/14/2022 3300ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 3 F PT-10:11
See original race card.
:222 :454       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TWILIGHT GLEAMING (IRE) 5 4 11 1nk   11½ 1nk (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20 35% 1.90 0.30 W
11  DEVINE CHARGER 10 10 75 87½   72¾ 2nk (blair jord)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 31.00  
9  ARTOS (IRE) 8 6 21 2nk   31½ 3.15 (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 12.20  
8  MAJESTIC D'ORO 7 9 95½ 77   62¼ 41½ (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 11% 7.80 41.20  
4  BOXING DAY 4 1 64½ 54   21½ 51½ (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 5% 19.00 22.10  
6  SUNDAY GRACE 6 5 43 31   42 61¾ (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 39.10  
10  TIZPLENTY 9 8 85½ 98   83¾ 72¼ (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 12% 7.40 30.10  
3  MARGIE'S KITCHEN 3 2 54 65   52¼ 83½ (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 18.40  
1  TROBAIRITZ 1 7 106½ 109½   105¾ 97 (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 15.00 37.50  
2  MYSTIC EYES 2 3 32 42½   94¾ 107½ (pletcher)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 15% 5.80 5.20  
12  STREET TAPPER 11 11 118 1112   118¾ 1111¾ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 44.60  
SCR  ROYAL COUNTY               (reed r)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
 
CD-10   05/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT-10:42
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:093     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ALLWORTHY 6 2 2nk 1½   11½ 12 (joseph s)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 34% 1.90 4.00 W
3  LIBERTY M D 2 6 64 65½   43½ 22 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 121 2.50 32% 2.10 1.20 P
5  GERRI B 4 4 1nk 2½   21½ 32½ (danner kel)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 2.80  
4  REMAIN ANONYMOUS 3 3 31½ 31½   33½ 46½ (catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 11% 7.80 6.20  
6  MALLOY 5 1 42½ 44   56½ 510¾ (catalano way)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 ★ 16.10  
2  READY FOR CHANGE 1 5 53 55½   69 613¼ (pessin nei)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 ★ 8.10  
SCR  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE)               (meah m)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00    
SCR  NEW ROO               (drury jr)LANERIE J 121 6.00    
 
CD-11   05/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT-11:10
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:144 1:264   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  ROBIN'S FANTASY 12 4 106¼ 42 1½ 11 1¾ (kelley james)GEROUX FLORENT 125 8.00 19.30  
3  BEACHFRONT BID 3 8 53½ 63 41 21 2¾ (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 43% 1.30 1.70 P
5  MY LILY MAE 5 5 64½ 73½ 93½ 52½ 31½ (kinmon keith)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 20% 4.10 4.10 S
4  CHIROMANTE (IRE) 4 10 1210¾ 128¾ 104 63½ 42¼ (walsh br)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 17.00  
7  PARIS PARAMOUR 7 7 96¼ 83¾ 61¼ 31½ 53½ (murphy co)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 36.30  
11  EASY TO LOVE 11 6 42½ 31½ 2½ 42 64½ (mott willia)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 5.00 11% 8.10 3.80  
10  FOREVER HOME 10 2 86 105¼ 72¼ 84 76½ (williamson bri)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 30.00 53.10  
2  SHE'S GONE 2 9 75 94¾ 115½ 107½ 86¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5.80  
8  PORONUI 8 1 32 1½ 31 74 97¼ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 18.40  
6  TWENTYTWENTY HOAX 6 3 12 2½ 51¼ 97 1014¾ (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 30.00 46.70  
1  BITTY BOSS 1 12 22 52 83¼ 119 1116½ (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 20.40  
9  ABOUKIR BAY 9 11 117¼ 115¼ 1210½ 1217 1219 (barkley jaso)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 32.70  
SCR  MINDFUL               (devaux cher)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 12.00    
SCR  NECK ON THE NILE               (colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 111 15.00    
SCR  TREASURE OF WAR               (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
SCR  TWIRLING PATTI               (drury tho)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.