Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAYFORPEACE 2 2 1nk 1nk   1 1¾ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 3.80  
SUMMER IN MALIBU 1 6 42 4   2 2¾ (vance d)LANERIE J 120 2.00 2.50 P
TURNSANDCONDITIONS 3 3 31 3.2   3 3 (vance david)LEPAROUX R 120 15.00 7% 13.30 12.10 S
AMERICAN HERO 4 4 53 5   44 47 (cox h)SANTANA JR 120 1.60 36% 1.80 1.40  
1A  BUREAU 6 5 67 6   68 513½ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 2.50 28% 2.60 3.10  
COLE SPUR 5 1 2nk 2nk   5 615 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 3.10  
 
CD-2   05/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRUNELLA 7 3 21 1nk   1 1 (cook b)ROCCO S 118 4.50 13% 6.80 2.70 W
MARCIE'S CANDY 5 2 65 6   3 2 (reed r)LEON SONNY 118 5.00 6.90 P
TAPALONG 1 7 5 3   2 36 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.80 19% 4.20 1.60 S
SUN DRESS 4 4 32 42   4 410¼ (roberson dennis)COURT K 118 15.00 10% 8.70 12.60  
SMOKIN HOT BOBBIE 3 5 4 5   57 515¼ (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 16.20  
BOW MAKER 2 6 710 710¼   7 615½ (vasquez sr)BRYAN KERRY 118 30.00 51.10  
RUSSIAN ROULETTE 6 1 11 2nk   6 718½ (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 1.60 37% 1.70 2.40  
 
CD-3   05/14/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:23 :464 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKY AND SAND 8 5 2 2½   13 1 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 4.90  
PURPLE DREAM 1 8 8 8   44 2 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 8.00 6% 15.20 6.10 P
FOLIAGE (NZ) 6 1 3 3   23 3 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00 26% 2.90 2.00 S
APACHE TEARS 2 4 4 4   34 4 (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 123 4.00 3.30  
LESSON LEARNED (IRE) 7 6 6 5   56 57 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 13.00  
CARAMELITO 3 7 7 6   7 6 (cano munoz)DIAZ RENE 116 10.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
CHIEF HOWCOME 4 2 1 1½   6 715 (sanner danie)HERNANDEZ J 123 15.00 18.00  
RUN RUN RAPIDASH 5 3 5 7   811¼ 817¼ (kordenbroc)SANTANA JR 123 3.50 8.40  
SCR  ANGKOR               (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 2.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  RUNPAT               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.00 26% 2.80    
 
CD-4   05/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:26
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:141 1:384   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUNVEGAN DOLL 4 2 6 5 4 1 1 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.60 11% 7.80 1.10 W
NIBBLES 2 4 2nk 21 21 3 2 (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 6.00 4.40 P
CHOPIN DRIVE 1 1 1nk 11 11 2 3 (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.50 60% 0.70 2.60 S
WILDCAT DREAM 5 3 5 4 52 5 4 (salcedo ramon)LEON SONNY 118 12.00 19.20  
LAYLA'S SONG 7 6 3 32 31 4 510½ (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 25.50  
AVENDORE 6 7 4 6 7 612 617 (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 3.00 5.30  
KISS THEORY 3 5 7 76 6 715 734¼ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 15.00 26.50  
 
CD-5   05/14/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:131 1:383   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELLORHIGHWATER 4 1 43 4 3 1½ 1 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 3.50 50% 1.00 3.30 W
KISS PRINCIPAL 3 3 21 2 2nk 2½ 2 (hamm timothy)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 11.20  
LOVING LUCKY 5 2 5 5 43 4 39 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.50 5.50 S
DROP ANCHOR 1 5 11 1 1nk 33 49 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 2.20  
SCALES OF JUSTICE 2 4 31 3 5100 5100 5100 (colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 117 2.50 25% 3.00 1.20  
SCR  MO BETTA               (warpool shane)BAILEY CHEL-C 117 4.50    
 
CD-6   05/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:131 1:382   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONIC CITY 1 3 33 4 4 1½ 16 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.60 37% 1.70 0.60 W
FIGHTVILLE 6 4 43 3 3.2 3½ 26 (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 111 6.00 12.00  
FERRYBOAT 5 2 21 21 2nk 2½ 3 (amoss m)GRAHAM J 124 6.00 9.70  
RONITHELIMODRIVER 4 6 77 7 7 6 4 (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 124 8.00 7% 14.00 7.00  
1A  CHASE TRACKER 8 8 54 5 5 43 510¾ (garcia genaro)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 3.00 21% 3.70 12.50  
KIDYOUNOT 2 1 11 11 1nk 5 611¼ (barnett c)COURT K 124 12.00 16.50  
TIGHTWAD 3 5 6 65 6 7 714¼ (kenneally eddie)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 12% 7.50 6.60  
MONEY PIT 7 7 8 8 8 811¾ 821 (hill f)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 30.00 5% 19.00 17.80  
SCR  RIVER REDEMPTION               (garcia gena)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.00    
 
CD-7   05/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:241 :493 1:14 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WALKATHON 1 1 3 32 3 1½ 1 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 122 3.00 38% 1.70 0.90 W
ZAWISH 5 2 21 21 1½ 2½ 2 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 25.20  
10  SCHLOFMITZ 10 7 52 4 4 33 3 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 13.00 S
11  LOVE TO RUN 11 9 9 96 8 5 4 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 26.90  
ARROBATIC 7 8 8 64 6 6 5 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 28% 2.60 5.80  
GLENALL (IRE) 8 11 11 119 1111¼ 9 65 (baltas richard)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 4.50  
FANCY MARTINI 4 6 42 53 5 44 7 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 11% 8.40 16.60  
HIGH SPEED 3 5 7 85 7 75 8 (forster gran)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 40.00  
PRINCESSOFTHENORTH 9 10 10 10 10 11 9 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 28.40  
RED HOT MAMA 2 4 6 74 9 10 1011¾ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 19.20  
TAKE THE BACKROADS 6 3 11 11 2½ 8 1116½ (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 12.10  
 
CD-8   05/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:39
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:111 1:232   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK TO BLAME 6 4 2½ 21 1nk 12 11 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 51% 1.00 0.60 W
JEDREK 8 1 5 6 4 3 21 (lauer mich)SANTANA JR 125 20.00 22.20 P
UNCLE BERLEY 7 3 42 43 31 22 3 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 4.20  
MARVELOUSMOONDANCE 2 7 7 8 6 67 4 (bindner walte)PETERSON FERRIN 125 8.00 19% 4.30 22.10  
10  ONE AMERICA 10 2 1½ 11 2nk 44 5 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 30.20  
COMMANDER COMPTON 5 6 10 1010¼ 8 89 6 (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00 23.00  
ARROW STRIKE 4 8 8 7 77 7 7 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 14.30  
GRAPNEL 3 5 3 3 53 56 813¼ (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 6.00 7% 13.50 8.70  
FIFTY CENT DOLLARS 9 10 96 910¼ 1011½ 1013 915 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 21.70  
CURLIN LANE 1 9 6 5 99 912½ 1016¾ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 10.00 29.60  
 
CD-9   05/14/2022 3300ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 3 F PT-10:11
See original race card.
:222 :454       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWILIGHT GLEAMING (IRE) 5 4 11 1nk   1 1nk (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20 35% 1.90 0.30 W
11  DEVINE CHARGER 10 10 75 8   7 2nk (blair jordan)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 31.00  
ARTOS (IRE) 8 6 21 2nk   3 3.15 (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 12.20  
MAJESTIC D'ORO 7 9 9 77   6 4 (walsh p)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 11% 7.80 41.20  
BOXING DAY 4 1 6 54   2 5 (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 5% 19.00 22.10  
SUNDAY GRACE 6 5 43 31   42 6 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 39.10  
10  TIZPLENTY 9 8 8 98   8 7 (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 12% 7.40 30.10  
MARGIE'S KITCHEN 3 2 54 65   5 8 (lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 18.40  
TROBAIRITZ 1 7 10 10   10 97 (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 15.00 37.50  
MYSTIC EYES 2 3 32 4   9 10 (pletcher t)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 15% 5.80 5.20  
12  STREET TAPPER 11 11 118 1112   11 1111¾ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 44.60  
SCR  ROYAL COUNTY               (reed r)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
 
CD-10   05/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT-10:42
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:093     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLWORTHY 6 2 2nk 1½   1 12 (joseph saf)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 34% 1.90 4.00 W
LIBERTY M D 2 6 64 6   4 22 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 121 2.50 32% 2.10 1.20 P
GERRI B 4 4 1nk 2½   2 3 (danner kelse)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 2.80  
REMAIN ANONYMOUS 3 3 3 3   3 4 (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 11% 7.80 6.20  
MALLOY 5 1 4 44   5 510¾ (catalano wayne)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 16.10  
READY FOR CHANGE 1 5 53 5   69 613¼ (pessin neil )HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 8.10  
SCR  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE)               (meah m)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00    
SCR  NEW ROO               (drury jr)LANERIE J 121 6.00    
 
CD-11   05/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT-11:10
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:144 1:264   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  ROBIN'S FANTASY 12 4 10 42 1½ 11 1¾ (kelley a)GEROUX FLORENT 125 8.00 19.30  
BEACHFRONT BID 3 8 5 63 41 21 2¾ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 43% 1.30 1.70 P
MY LILY MAE 5 5 6 7 9 5 3 (kinmon keith)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 20% 4.10 4.10 S
CHIROMANTE (IRE) 4 10 1210¾ 12 104 6 4 (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 17.00  
PARIS PARAMOUR 7 7 9 8 6 3 5 (murphy cono)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 36.30  
11  EASY TO LOVE 11 6 4 3 2½ 42 6 (mott william )RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 5.00 11% 8.10 3.80  
10  FOREVER HOME 10 2 86 10 7 84 7 (williamson brian)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 30.00 53.10  
SHE'S GONE 2 9 75 9 11 10 8 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5.80  
PORONUI 8 1 32 1½ 31 74 9 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 18.40  
TWENTYTWENTY HOAX 6 3 12 2½ 5 97 1014¾ (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 30.00 46.70  
BITTY BOSS 1 12 22 52 8 119 1116½ (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 20.40  
ABOUKIR BAY 9 11 11 11 1210½ 1217 1219 (barkley jason)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 32.70  
SCR  MINDFUL               (devaux cherie)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 12.00    
SCR  NECK ON THE NILE               (colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 111 15.00    
SCR  TREASURE OF WAR               (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
SCR  TWIRLING PATTI               (drury thoma)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.