Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLE SPUR Apr07 Mar05 Feb20 Jan28 Jan02 (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 ★    
1A  BUREAU Apr27 Apr01 Feb11 Jan01   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  SUMMER IN MALIBU Apr03 Mar19 Feb26 Feb12 Jan16 (vance d)LANERIE J 120 2.00 ★    
3  PRAYFORPEACE Mar24 Feb28 Jan17     (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 ★    
4  TURNSANDCONDITIONS Apr15 Mar11 Feb27 Feb05 Jan13 (vance dav)LEPAROUX R 120 15.00 7% 13.30    
5  AMERICAN HERO Apr14 Mar12 Jan07     (cox brad)SANTANA JR 120 1.60 36% 1.80    
 
CD-2   05/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPALONG Mar11 Feb25 Jan28 Jan07   (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.80 19% 4.20    
2  BOW MAKER Apr27 Apr01       (vasquez german )BRYAN KERRY 118 30.00    
3  SMOKIN HOT BOBBIE Apr27 Mar26 Mar11 Mar03 Jan14 (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
4  SUN DRESS Mar25 Mar12 Feb24 Jan16   (roberson dennis)COURT K 118 15.00 10% 8.70    
5  MARCIE'S CANDY Feb16         (reed r)LEON SONNY 118 5.00 ★    
6  RUSSIAN ROULETTE Apr13 Mar03 Jan26     (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 1.60 37% 1.70    
7  BRUNELLA Apr30 Mar24 Mar05     (cook b)ROCCO S 118 4.50 13% 6.80    
 
CD-3   05/14/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURPLE DREAM         (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 8.00 6% 15.20    
2  APACHE TEARS Apr21 Mar20 Jan28 Jan06   (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 123 4.00    
3  CARAMELITO Apr21 Mar04 Feb11 Jan23 Jan08 (cano munoz)DIAZ RENE 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHIEF HOWCOME Apr21         (sanner dan)HERNANDEZ J 123 15.00    
5  RUN RUN RAPIDASH Apr10 Mar04 Jan29     (kordenbr)SANTANA JR 123 3.50    
6  FOLIAGE (NZ) Apr21 Feb25       (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00 26% 2.90    
7  LESSON LEARNED (IRE) Apr16         (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00    
8  SKY AND SAND Apr13 Feb26 Jan02     (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
SCR  RUNPAT Apr14 Mar11       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  ANGKOR         (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 2.50 16% 5.20    
 
CD-4   05/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHOPIN DRIVE Mar09 Jan28 Jan15     (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.50 60% 0.70    
2  NIBBLES Apr27 Feb17       (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 6.00 ★    
3  KISS THEORY Apr21 Mar19       (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 15.00    
4  DUNVEGAN DOLL May03 Apr10 Feb11     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.60 11% 7.80    
5  WILDCAT DREAM Apr09 Mar22 Mar08 Feb14 Jan25 (salcedo ramon)LEON SONNY 118 12.00 ★    
6  AVENDORE Mar24 Feb23 Jan15     (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 3.00 ★    
7  LAYLA'S SONG Apr29 Mar19       (leonard i)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
 
CD-5   05/14/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DROP ANCHOR Apr20         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 ★    
2  SCALES OF JUSTICE Apr24 Mar17 Feb19     (colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 117 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  KISS PRINCIPAL Mar18 Feb20 Jan30 Jan07   (hamm timot)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00    
4  HELLORHIGHWATER Mar09 Jan15       (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  MO BETTA Apr22 Mar18 Feb25 Jan16   (warpool shane)BAILEY CHEL-C 117 4.50 ★    
6  LOVING LUCKY Apr22 Mar25 Mar11 Jan30 Jan02 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.50 ★    
 
CD-6   05/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CHASE TRACKER May07 Apr01 Mar18 Feb27 Jan15 (garcia genaro)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  RIVER REDEMPTION Apr29 Mar27 Mar18 Feb12   (garcia ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.00    
2  SONIC CITY Apr15 Feb16       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.60 37% 1.70    
3  KIDYOUNOT Apr08 Mar13       (barnett c)COURT K 124 12.00    
4  TIGHTWAD Mar25 Mar02       (kenneally edd)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 12% 7.50    
5  RONITHELIMODRIVER Mar13 Feb20 Jan29 Jan02   (leonard i)BEJARANO R 124 8.00 7% 14.00    
6  FERRYBOAT         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 124 6.00    
7  FIGHTVILLE Apr20 Mar23 Feb21 Jan21 Jan13 (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 111 6.00    
8  MONEY PIT Mar17 Jan23       (hill f)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-7   05/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WALKATHON Apr22 Feb13 Jan09     (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122 3.00 38% 1.70    
2  RED HOT MAMA Apr02 Feb21       (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 ★    
3  HIGH SPEED Apr16 Mar23 Feb26     (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00    
4  FANCY MARTINI Mar26 Feb05 Jan08     (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 11% 8.40    
5  ZAWISH Apr16 Mar05 Feb12     (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
6  TAKE THE BACKROADS Mar04         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
7  ARROBATIC Apr10 Feb06       (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 28% 2.60    
8  GLENALL (IRE) Apr09 Mar12 Feb20 Jan08   (baltas richard)BEJARANO R 118 3.50    
9  PRINCESSOFTHENORTH Mar03         (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
10  SCHLOFMITZ Apr02 Mar03 Feb12     (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 ★    
11  LOVE TO RUN Apr03 Mar05       (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00    
 
CD-8   05/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLIN LANE         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 10.00    
2  MARVELOUSMOONDANCE         (bindner wal)PETERSON FERRIN 125 8.00 19% 4.30    
3  GRAPNEL Apr23 Feb12       (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 6.00 7% 13.50    
4  ARROW STRIKE Apr22 Mar19 Feb12     (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 ★    
5  COMMANDER COMPTON Apr02         (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00    
6  QUICK TO BLAME Apr02 Feb26 Jan29     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 51% 1.00    
7  UNCLE BERLEY Apr07 Mar26 Feb12 Jan09   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00    
8  JEDREK Apr13 Mar24 Feb18     (lauer mi)SANTANA JR 125 20.00 ★    
9  FIFTY CENT DOLLARS         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
10  ONE AMERICA         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
 
CD-9   05/14/2022 3300ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 3 F PT-10:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROBAIRITZ Apr09 Mar04 Jan08     (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
2  MYSTIC EYES         (pletcher)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 15% 5.80    
3  MARGIE'S KITCHEN Apr10 Feb26       (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00    
4  BOXING DAY Mar24 Mar04       (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  TWILIGHT GLEAMING (IRE) Apr10         (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20 35% 1.90    
6  SUNDAY GRACE May04 Mar05       (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
SCR  ROYAL COUNTY Mar05 Feb12       (reed r)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
8  MAJESTIC D'ORO Apr10 Mar18 Feb20 Jan19   (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 11% 7.80    
9  ARTOS (IRE) Mar26         (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
10  TIZPLENTY         (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 12% 7.40    
11  DEVINE CHARGER Apr10 Feb23 Jan15     (blair jord)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
12  STREET TAPPER         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00    
 
CD-10   05/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT-10:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NEW ROO Jan15         (drury jr)LANERIE J 121 6.00    
2  READY FOR CHANGE Mar13 Feb13       (pessin nei)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 ★    
3  LIBERTY M D Apr15 Mar03       (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  REMAIN ANONYMOUS May03 Apr16 Feb10 Jan22   (catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 11% 7.80    
5  GERRI B         (danner kel)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00    
6  MALLOY Mar09 Jan15       (catalano way)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 ★    
7  ALLWORTHY Mar09 Jan15       (joseph s)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) May03         (meah m)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00    
 
CD-11   05/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT-11:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BITTY BOSS Apr03 Feb13 Jan02     (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00    
2  SHE'S GONE Apr15         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
3  BEACHFRONT BID Apr08 Feb27       (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 43% 1.30    
4  CHIROMANTE (IRE)         (walsh br)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
5  MY LILY MAE Apr22 Apr02 Mar19 Jan23 Jan14 (kinmon keith)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 20% 4.10    
6  TWENTYTWENTY HOAX         (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 30.00    
7  PARIS PARAMOUR Apr15 Feb12       (murphy co)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
8  PORONUI Apr08 Feb12 Jan15     (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  ABOUKIR BAY Feb26 Jan08       (barkley jaso)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00    
10  FOREVER HOME Apr23 Feb23 Jan27     (williamson bri)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 30.00    
11  EASY TO LOVE Apr02         (mott willia)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 5.00 11% 8.10    
12  ROBIN'S FANTASY Apr27 Mar31 Feb11     (kelley james)GEROUX FLORENT 125 8.00    
SCR  TREASURE OF WAR Mar26         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
SCR  MINDFUL         (devaux cher)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 12.00    
SCR  NECK ON THE NILE         (colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 111 15.00    
SCR  TWIRLING PATTI Mar24 Feb24       (drury tho)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.