Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Friday - April 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   04/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT-12:30
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:133 1:39   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AMERICAN TATTOO (ARG) 4 4 11 11 1nk 12 15¼ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 28% 2.60 4.70 W
1  SOL DEL SUR 1 2 32 32 31 32 25¼ (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 ★ 1.10 P
3  C FALLS 3 1 21 21 2nk 22 36 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 ★ 6.90 S
2  YOU'RE TO BLAME 2 3 43 42½ 43 45 48¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 ★ 2.60  
6  PEEKACHO 5 5 53½ 53½ 54½ 57 515½ (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 40% 1.50 5.40  
SCR  DIRECT LINE               (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00    
 
KEE-2   04/29/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:01
See original race card.
:22 :451 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE REIGNS (IRE) 1 5 11 12   16½ 19¾ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 16% 5.30 2.20 W
12  RIVKA (IRE) 11 2 42½ 44   26½ 29¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 24% 3.20 3.00 P
8  DELIGHT 7 12 119¼ 1111¾   410½ 310¼ (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 16% 5.30 3.90 S
2  KAZILLION 2 9 98 1010¾   611 411¾ (brinkman bre)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 5% 19.00 24.00  
5  MOON MAGIC CHRISSY 5 6 54 56   38½ 512½ (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 5.70  
3  THATSHOWSHEROLLS 3 4 76½ 68½   511 615¾ (dyer john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 12.00 16.40  
10  DAZZLINGDOMINIKA 9 10 108¼ 810½   812¾ 718 (walden wil)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 59.00  
4  RECIO'S BAYTOWN 4 8 88 910½   1015¼ 821¼ (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00 13% 6.80 27.90  
13  DRAMA DIVA 12 3 21 22   712½ 928¾ (mendez luis)DIAZ RENE 112 8.00 14.90  
11  SPECIAL BOND 10 1 31½ 33½   915¼ 1031¾ (mccutchen j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 20.00 49.50  
9  YOU'RE A DANDY 8 11 129¼ 1213¾   1122¼ 1136¾ (jazdzewski jon)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 81.20  
7  ONE STORMY LADY 6 7 65½ 79½   1223¾ 1240½ (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 12.00 20.00  
SCR  CATHERINE BLAZE               (leonard i)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
 
KEE-3   04/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:13     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CONDIMENT GIRL 9 10 1½ 12½   15½ 17 (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 13.20  
2  MEJTHAAM 2 2 105¾ 108½   38 27 (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 125 6.00 9% 10.20 5.70 P
3  LUNAR ICE 3 7 94¾ 97½   711 38½ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 26.30  
10  WILLAMINA 10 8 61¾ 65½   25½ 48½ (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 4.40  
11  THINK TWICE 11 9 1114¼ 1111   811½ 510½ (beckman wh)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00 47.80  
1  CANARY 1 3 41 22½   59½ 611½ (danner kel)CORRALES GERARDO 125 10.00 ★ 8.20  
6  SHEZZ KOLDAZICE 6 5 2½ 33   49 711¾ (manley steve)BAIRD T 118 5.00 ★ 5.80  
4  WHITE LILACS 4 11 82¾ 76   611 813¾ (waltz brian)LANERIE J 118 12.00 15.80  
8  LAYLA'S SONG 8 6 72¾ 87   915½ 919 (leonard i)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 46.40  
7  SLEEPLESS DREAM 7 1 31 55   1121½ 1035¾ (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00 18% 4.50 5.50  
5  NEXT TUESDAY 5 4 51¼ 44½   1018½ 1137½ (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 47% 1.10 3.00  
 
KEE-4   04/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:111 1:354   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SUMMER ANTHEM 6 3 22 29 23 11 1¾ (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 36% 1.80 1.90 W
11  PANCAKE HOUSE 10 8 98¼ 815½ 67 21 2¾ (drury thomas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 8% 11.40 4.10 P
12  YOU MAKE ME HAPPY 11 1 43½ 39½ 34 32 36¼ (veinot trudy)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 8.10  
4  FLYING FRED 4 7 64¾ 612 55½ 44½ 49 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 4.50 5% 18.60 4.30  
5  HABITUS (GB) 5 2 33½ 511½ 77¼ 55 59 (shif)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 126 5.00 25% 3.00 24.90  
1  LOLAS BEAU 1 5 1010¼ 1021 913¼ 98½ 69¼ (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 111 20.00 90.60  
3  CLOSE KNIT 3 9 54½ 411 45½ 75½ 79½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 5.10  
7  TANGLED EMOTIONS 7 11 76¾ 714 87¾ 88 810¾ (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 11.40  
2  FRONTAL ASSAULT 2 4 12 19 13 65½ 913¼ (raines lind)PETERSON FERRIN 118 15.00 50.20  
9  TURTAR MARA 9 6 87¾ 916½ 1013¼ 1011½ 1020¼ (frazier ma)VILLASANA CARLOS 111 30.00 ######  
8  DOUBLE SPUN 8 10 1133¼ 1161½ 11100 11100 11100 (newton troy)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 5% 19.00 28.70  
SCR  PYRITE               (kobiskie )HERNANDEZ J 126 12.00    
 
KEE-5   04/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:34
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:113     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DOMINICAN PIONEER 6 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 11½ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.50 20% 4.10 2.20 W
1  SPANKSTER 1 4 42 42   41¼ 21½ (stewart dallas)COURT K 120 5.00 4.40  
2  HILL OF GOLD 2 6 74½ 53½   31 32½ (gutierrez faustio)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 9.10  
4  CYCLONE 4 7 52½ 31½   53¼ 45¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 3.00 28% 2.60 5.80  
3  WOODLINE 3 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 56 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 24% 3.20 3.70  
8  UNIFIED DREAMS 8 8 86 87   66¼ 612¾ (blair jord)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 14.50  
9  SERGEANT RECKLESS 9 5 31 64½   79¾ 723¾ (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 18.30  
5  DEVIL'S GLEN 5 3 64 75½   89¾ 824¼ (west ethan)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 8% 11.80 8.40  
7  LUTE'S ANGEL 7 9 911 911½   914¾ 938 (andrade hu)CORRALES GERARDO 120 30.00 ★ 54.70  
 
KEE-6   04/29/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3 ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:143 1:374   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TOMMY BEE 5 3 52¼ 53½ 51¼ 11½ 12 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 55% 0.80 2.50 W
1  ROUGHLY A DIAMOND 1 5 63¼ 74¾ 73 43½ 22 (nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 113 20.00 29.20  
6  BLOODLINE 6 6 21 21½ 21 21½ 34¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 21% 3.70 3.20 S
8  XAVEY DAVE 8 7 42 42½ 41¼ 75¼ 45½ (robertson mclean)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 ★ 6.00  
7  DROPPIN G'S 7 8 73¾ 64½ 62¾ 65 57½ (antonuik je)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 10.00 ★ 21.00  
4  CREDIBILITY 4 1 32 32½ 31 53½ 67½ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 8.30  
3  BOCHOMBO 3 2 11 11½ 11 32 79½ (alvarado ruben)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 ★ 2.00  
2  IMMORAL 2 4 85¾ 86¼ 810 825¼ 845 (puhich mi)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 47.60  
 
KEE-7   04/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:36
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SACRED SAMURAI 1 7 2½ 1½   13 15½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 14% 6.30 2.20 W
3  WAR CAMPAIGN 3 6 73¼ 53½   43½ 25½ (sims a)LANERIE J 120 12.00 13.20  
5  ASWAN 4 8 84¾ 75¼   33½ 35¾ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 2.50  
2  LET MY PEOPLE GO 2 5 63 65   55½ 411½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 ★ 8.30  
7  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN 6 1 1½ 2½   23 513¼ (barnett bobby )SANJUR SANTO 120 15.00 ★ 35.20  
8  CYNWYD 7 2 41½ 85¾   612½ 632¼ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.00 61% 0.60 2.80  
6  GOLD BOSS 5 4 52½ 43½   712¾ 735¼ (littlefield dermot)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 33.30  
9  RAMPATIOUS 8 3 31½ 33   816¾ 841½ (sisterson jac)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00 8.40  
SCR  HARMON KILLER BREW               (pessin l)DIAZ RENE 113 15.00 ★    
 
KEE-8   04/29/2022 7920ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:07
See original race card.
:264 :534 1:194 1:443 2:09 2:311   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WAR LIKE GODDESS 4 33½ 32 33½ 32 1½ 11¾ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 0.60 58% 0.70 0.20 W
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MISTY NORTH by NORTHERN IDOL)
3  FAMILY WAY 3 22 21½ 22½ 21 2½ 21¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 9% 10.40 3.50 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of SUSIE'S BABY (GB) by BALIDAR)
1  CORE VALUES 1 55 54½ 55½ 53½ 43½ 32¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 24.70  
  (by HONOR CODE out of SWEET AWAKENING by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  BREEZE RIDER 5 12 11½ 12½ 11 3½ 44 (manley steve)BAIRD T 118 15.00 10.00  
  (by PAYNTER out of DANCING RAVEN by TOMAHAWK)
2  LA LUNE (GB) 2 44 42½ 44½ 42 54 57¼ (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 ★ 22.30  
  (by CHAMPS ELYSEES (GB) out of MOONLIGHT MYSTERY by PIVOTAL (GB))
SCR  LUCK MONEY               (delacour arna)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 12% 7.10    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of FLAGRANT by RAHY)
SCR  STAND TALL               (arnold georg)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE MO out of RAISE THE FLAG by DR. ADAGIO)
 
KEE-9   04/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:223 :45 1:092     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KNEEDEEPINSNOW 5 3 1nk 1½   12 13½ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 40% 1.50 2.80 W
6  DENNIS' MOMENT 6 1 53 65¾   34½ 23½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 4.50 ★ 7.40 P
1  SURVEILLANCE 1 7 64½ 55½   44½ 35 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 11% 8.00 3.70 S
7  CANADIAN PRIDE 7 2 2nk 2½   22 45 (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 1.70  
3  SHADOW MATTER 3 5 74¾ 77¼   68 514¾ (stewart dalla)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 20% 3.90 6.90  
4  ATOKA 4 4 42½ 34   57½ 615 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 ★ 12.00  
2  OURNATIONONPARADE 2 6 32 45½   79 715¼ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 28.20  
 
KEE-10   04/29/2022 6270ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 5:09
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:141 1:374   1:55   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SPEAKING SCOUT 9 7 21 21½ 22 1nk 11 (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 15% 5.60 5.60 W
7  TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE 7 5 42½ 43 33 43½ 21 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 50% 1.00 4.90 P
4  ICARUS 4 8 63½ 64½ 64½ 54½ 31¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 5% 19.00 12.60 S
6  DURANTE 6 1 11 11½ 12 2nk 41½ (o'neill dou)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 4.00 7.20  
8  VERSTAPPEN 8 6 32 32½ 43½ 33 52¼ (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
10  SPIN WHEEL 10 12 96¼ 107¾ 108¾ 88 63½ (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 7% 13.00 4.70  
2  GUNTOWN 2 2 73¾ 74½ 74¾ 65½ 74 (asmussen ste)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 35.00  
12  ROCKET ONE 12 10 84¼ 96¼ 86¾ 77 84¼ (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 16.10  
5  LUCKY BOSS 5 4 128¾ 118¼ 1110¼ 109 97¾ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 20.00 22.00  
11  MONOLOGUE 11 9 52½ 54 54½ 98½ 108¼ (drury thomas )ORTIZ JR 118 15.00 31.00  
1  NAVAL AVIATOR 1 3 106¾ 86 96¾ 119½ 119¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 5.10  
3  HAIL TO THEE 3 11 118¼ 129¾ 1211¼ 1211 1210¼ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 9.30  
SCR  PROTONIC POWER               (gutierrez fau)ORTIZ JR 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.