Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Friday - April 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   04/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOL DEL SUR Mar31 Mar06       (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 ★    
2  YOU'RE TO BLAME Mar18 Jan09       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 ★    
3  C FALLS Mar19 Feb26 Jan28     (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 ★    
4  AMERICAN TATTOO (ARG) Mar24 Feb25 Jan27     (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  DIRECT LINE Apr03 Feb04 Jan22     (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00    
6  PEEKACHO Mar26 Feb23 Feb10     (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
KEE-2   04/29/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE REIGNS (IRE)         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 16% 5.30    
2  KAZILLION         (brinkman bre)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  THATSHOWSHEROLLS Apr21         (dyer john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 12.00    
4  RECIO'S BAYTOWN Apr14         (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00 13% 6.80    
5  MOON MAGIC CHRISSY         (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00    
SCR  CATHERINE BLAZE         (leonard i)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
7  ONE STORMY LADY Apr10         (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
8  DELIGHT         (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 16% 5.30    
9  YOU'RE A DANDY Apr08         (jazdzewski jon)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
10  DAZZLINGDOMINIKA         (walden wil)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
11  SPECIAL BOND Apr10         (mccutchen j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 20.00    
12  RIVKA (IRE)         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
13  DRAMA DIVA         (mendez luis)DIAZ RENE 112 8.00    
 
KEE-3   04/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANARY Mar24         (danner kel)CORRALES GERARDO 125 10.00 ★    
2  MEJTHAAM Mar31 Mar18 Feb18     (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 125 6.00 9% 10.20    
3  LUNAR ICE         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
4  WHITE LILACS Mar19         (waltz brian)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
5  NEXT TUESDAY         (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 47% 1.10    
6  SHEZZ KOLDAZICE Mar13 Feb19 Jan30     (manley steve)BAIRD T 118 5.00 ★    
7  SLEEPLESS DREAM Mar31         (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00 18% 4.50    
8  LAYLA'S SONG Mar19         (leonard i)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
9  CONDIMENT GIRL         (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
10  WILLAMINA Mar10 Feb17       (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
11  THINK TWICE         (beckman wh)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00    
 
KEE-4   04/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOLAS BEAU Apr02 Feb16 Jan22     (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 111 20.00    
2  FRONTAL ASSAULT Mar25         (raines lind)PETERSON FERRIN 118 15.00    
3  CLOSE KNIT Feb16 Jan07       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
4  FLYING FRED Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 4.50 5% 18.60    
5  HABITUS (GB) Apr05 Mar15 Mar05 Feb16   (shif)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 126 5.00 25% 3.00    
6  SUMMER ANTHEM Feb26         (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 36% 1.80    
7  TANGLED EMOTIONS Mar10         (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00    
8  DOUBLE SPUN         (newton troy)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  TURTAR MARA Mar12 Feb23       (frazier matt)CANUTO THIAGO 111 30.00    
SCR  PYRITE         (kobiskie )HERNANDEZ J 126 12.00    
11  PANCAKE HOUSE         (drury thomas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 8% 11.40    
12  YOU MAKE ME HAPPY Apr16 Mar02 Feb12 Jan16   (veinot trudy)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
 
KEE-5   04/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPANKSTER Apr02         (stewart dallas)COURT K 120 5.00    
2  HILL OF GOLD         (gutierrez faustio)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
3  WOODLINE         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
4  CYCLONE Mar16 Feb17 Jan17     (sharp joe)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  DEVIL'S GLEN         (west ethan)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 8% 11.80    
6  DOMINICAN PIONEER         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
7  LUTE'S ANGEL         (andrade hugo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 30.00 ★    
8  UNIFIED DREAMS         (blair jord)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
9  SERGEANT RECKLESS Mar27 Mar03 Feb17     (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
 
KEE-6   04/29/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3 ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROUGHLY A DIAMOND Mar12 Feb05 Jan01     (nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 113 20.00    
2  IMMORAL Apr02 Jan14       (puhich mi)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
3  BOCHOMBO Mar18         (alvarado ruben)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 ★    
4  CREDIBILITY Apr08 Mar05 Jan22     (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
5  TOMMY BEE Apr02 Mar05 Jan27     (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 55% 0.80    
6  BLOODLINE Mar05 Jan30       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
7  DROPPIN G'S Apr02 Mar17 Mar05 Feb11 Jan07 (antonuik je)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 10.00 ★    
8  XAVEY DAVE Mar25 Feb28       (robertson mclean)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 ★    
 
KEE-7   04/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SACRED SAMURAI         (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 14% 6.30    
2  LET MY PEOPLE GO Mar27         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 ★    
3  WAR CAMPAIGN         (sims a)LANERIE J 120 12.00    
SCR  HARMON KILLER BREW Mar03 Feb11 Jan10     (pessin l)DIAZ RENE 113 15.00 ★    
5  ASWAN         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50    
6  GOLD BOSS         (littlefield dermot)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
7  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN Mar26         (barnett bobby )SANJUR SANTO 120 15.00 ★    
8  CYNWYD Mar12         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.00 61% 0.60    
9  RAMPATIOUS         (sisterson jac)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00    
 
KEE-8   04/29/2022 7920ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORE VALUES Apr14         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SWEET AWAKENING by STREET CRY (IRE))
2  LA LUNE (GB)         (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 ★    
  (by CHAMPS ELYSEES (GB) out of MOONLIGHT MYSTERY by PIVOTAL (GB))
3  FAMILY WAY Apr02 Mar05       (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 9% 10.40    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SUSIE'S BABY (GB) by BALIDAR)
4  WAR LIKE GODDESS         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 0.60 58% 0.70    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MISTY NORTH by NORTHERN IDOL)
SCR  STAND TALL         (arnold georg)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE MO out of RAISE THE FLAG by DR. ADAGIO)
SCR  LUCK MONEY         (delacour arna)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 12% 7.10    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of FLAGRANT by RAHY)
7  BREEZE RIDER Apr02 Feb26 Jan30 Jan08   (manley steve)BAIRD T 118 15.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of DANCING RAVEN by TOMAHAWK)
 
KEE-9   04/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURVEILLANCE Apr09 Mar10 Jan27 Jan01   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 11% 8.00    
2  OURNATIONONPARADE Mar01 Feb05 Jan01     (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
3  SHADOW MATTER Feb21         (stewart dalla)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 20% 3.90    
4  ATOKA Apr09 Mar19 Mar05 Feb19 Jan15 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 ★    
5  KNEEDEEPINSNOW Mar19 Jan30 Jan14     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
6  DENNIS' MOMENT Feb27 Jan29       (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 4.50 ★    
7  CANADIAN PRIDE Mar05 Feb04       (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50    
 
KEE-10   04/29/2022 6270ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAVAL AVIATOR Apr09         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
2  GUNTOWN Mar25 Feb19       (asmussen ste)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
3  HAIL TO THEE         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
4  ICARUS Mar05 Feb10       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  LUCKY BOSS Apr09         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 20.00    
6  DURANTE Apr02         (o'neill dou)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 4.00    
7  TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE Mar13 Jan15       (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 50% 1.00    
8  VERSTAPPEN Mar25         (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  SPEAKING SCOUT Feb05         (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 15% 5.60    
10  SPIN WHEEL Mar12 Feb05       (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 7% 13.00    
11  MONOLOGUE Feb26         (drury thomas )ORTIZ JR 118 15.00    
12  ROCKET ONE Mar20 Feb20       (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00    
SCR  PROTONIC POWER Mar31 Mar04 Feb19     (gutierrez fau)ORTIZ JR 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.