Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Saturday - April 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:01     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BEAUTIFUL VICTORIA 2 3 1½ 1½   1nk 11¼ (urieta johan)MAYTA J 119 2.50 21% 3.80 1.30 W
5  DANZA MAGIC 5 1 43 45   45 21¼ (schuster ro)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 3.00 ★ 3.80 P
1  SWEET OUTLOOK 1 7 31 32   2nk 32¾ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 28% 2.50 5.00 S
4  SWEET EMPIRE 4 2 2½ 2½   33 47¾ (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 7.80  
6  STATE OF GRACE 6 4 77¼ 611   513 515½ (feebeck thom)ROSARIO L 119 8.00 20.80  
3  EAT MY DUST 3 5 53 59   613¼ 621¾ (kocijan m)CORREA L 126 10.00 7% 13.50 43.20  
7  SWEET RED ROZAY 7 6 67 712   717¼ 723¾ (evans ii)LEON SONNY 119 5.00 11% 7.90 3.30  
 
MVR-2   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT-12:42
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:004     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CRISTALINDA 4 5 58 45   32½ 12¾ (johnson l)LEON SONNY 124 5.00 23% 3.30 1.50 W
3  JERSEY BOUNCE 3 2 44 21   22 22¾ (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 ★ 1.70 P
1  PSYCHOANALYST 1 1 11 11   12 32¾ (brown t)VELEZ J 126 4.00 ★ 3.70 S
2  HIDDEN PRIDE 2 4 21 31   43 48¾ (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 22% 3.60 5.30  
5  SWEET BETTY JOYCE 5 3 34 55½   511 516¼ (suarez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 10.50  
SCR  PAYTON PRETTY               (johnson gary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.00 18% 4.40    
 
MVR-3   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PIPER 3 1 12 12   12 14¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 3.00 24% 3.20 1.50 W
6  SHELLEY'S GEM 5 3 34 22   22 24¾ (bird dann)CORREA L 124 5.00 2.50  
2  ARCHIE'S GIRL 1 4 58 48   38 39¾ (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 3.50 8% 11.20 2.60 S
7  SHANNON'S GIRL 6 5 69 69   410 410½ (murillo rodr)MAYTA J 124 4.50 33% 2.00 5.10  
3  MOKSGMOL 2 2 22 38   514 521¾ (sullivan elli)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00 12.80  
5  LAPIS STORM 4 6 47 58½   614 623 (bailey ricardo)DIAZ R 124 20.00 ★ 29.50  
SCR  CHARGAREE               (sweetin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 9% 9.50    
 
MVR-4   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:38
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:00     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TEMPLEMAN ALLEY 6 2 24 1½   12 15 (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.50 2.40  
10  POUR ME A DOUBLE 9 7 48½ 32   22 25 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 119 4.50 1.50  
4  BIKO 4 5 38 42   32 35¼ (guciardo robert)FELICIANO R 126 10.00 26% 2.90 4.80 S
3  PERJURY 3 9 925 612   55½ 48 (cross r)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 6.00 ★ 17.60  
2  CHOCOLATE PHILLING 2 3 823 712½   67½ 511 (maddox rac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00 6% 14.90 25.30  
11  FARMHAND 10 1 14 2½   42½ 614 (bird danny)DIAZ I 119 20.00 32.30  
1  INSACIABLE PRINCE 1 8 721 813   711½ 714¼ (romero jo)CORREA L 119 20.00 8% 12.30 26.70  
7  NIGHT TIME RULER 7 4 58½ 56   811¾ 817¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ R 119 15.00 22.30  
5  MARSALA MONARCH 5 6 69 913¼   915¾ 920¾ (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 12.00 10.50  
9  ATLANTIC FIRESTORM 8 10 1034 1028¼   1038¾ 1053¼ (pizzurro jo)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 8.00 11.70  
SCR  KOLSCH               (meyers shane)RIVERA R 126 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
MVR-5   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:06
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:002     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AUJARA 3 6 65 32   31 11¼ (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 126 2.50 43% 1.30 4.00 W
6  CAUSE OF LOVE 5 3 31 2nk   1nk 21¼ (haehn terry )KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00 ★ 10.90 P
1  SOLE FACTOR 1 4 2½ 53½   41½ 33¾ (castro a)FELICIANO R 124 15.00 14.50  
2  FLATTER HER AGAIN 2 5 53 42½   53 44½ (radosevich jeff)LEON SONNY 119 1.60 19% 4.40 0.90  
4  A SMILE A DAY 4 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 57 (gorham ro)CORREA L 124 2.00 16% 5.30 2.00  
7  ROCK STAR LADY 6 1 43 610½   69 612¾ (zielinski ri)MAYTA J 124 20.00 ★ 34.80  
SCR  CALI DREAM               (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 12.00    
 
MVR-6   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 2:34
See original race card.
:231 :464 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STRATEGIC BIRD 5 6 76 64½   42½ 13½ (casse mark)ACHARD ALEX 124 2.50 17% 5.00 0.70 W
4  BRODY'S JESSICA 3 3 53 34   52¾ 23½ (pinzon maria)ROMERO GREGORY 118 15.00 13% 6.70 53.90 P
9  ABERRATION 8 4 32 2nk   1nk 33½ (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 12.00 15.90  
8  BENEATH THE STARS 7 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 44½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 3.00 16% 5.40 8.60  
2  OFFTHEROADAGAIN 1 2 2nk 44¼   3½ 55 (gorostieta cir)DIAZ I 120 20.00 39.90  
7  JACKIE THE JOKER 6 9 89 86½   64¾ 65¼ (farrior ant)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 5.00 14% 6.00 10.50  
10  SHE'S PURE SILVER 9 7 64 54¼   75¾ 77½ (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 15% 5.80 5.50  
3  HIGH SPEED 2 10 1015½ 1012½   99¾ 87¾ (forster gra)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 8.00 7.20  
11  MY ROSIE 10 5 42½ 76½   89¾ 910½ (pinzon maria)LEZCANO ABEL 118 20.00 33.60  
5  KENDAL GRACE 4 8 99½ 911½   1010¼ 1011¼ (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00 21.50  
SCR  LEWD               (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 20.00    
 
MVR-7   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:02
See original race card.
:24 :474 :60     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CENTRIST 5 3 43½ 42½   21½ 12 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 2.50 21% 3.70 1.20 W
2  BIG TRIP 1 1 12½ 12   11½ 22 (inirio carlo)MAYTA J 124 4.00 38% 1.60 3.30 P
5  UNYIELDING 3 2 32½ 22   32 33¼ (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 2.00 17% 4.90 2.50 S
3  LONGLIVEJUSTICE 2 4 22½ 32½   42 45 (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.50 ★ 3.80  
6  OAKS HONEY 4 5 510½ 58½   58 55 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 14.60  
SCR  MAKES GOOD SENSE               (barnes a)MUSARRO JOE 124 15.00    
SCR  ROLLS ROYCE DEAL               (sullivan elli)TUNON JORDANO 124 10.00 ★    
 
MVR-8   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OFTEN ENOUGH 1 5 66½ 64¼   32 11 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 10.00 10% 9.10 4.70 W
5  TWO EAGLES 5 2 1½ 1nk   12 21 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00 3.80  
7  KID RUSSELL 7 1 2½ 2nk   22 31¾ (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 124 10.00 8% 10.90 14.40 S
8  SHOW SLIDING HOME 8 4 44½ 3.2   43½ 41¾ (trevino s)CORREA L 124 3.00 40% 1.50 6.10  
4  HANSENATION 4 7 77½ 76¼   54½ 53 (wolochuk david)LEON SONNY 126 2.00 18% 4.60 0.90  
2  WEST LEONARD 2 6 88½ 88¼   76 65¾ (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00 16.70  
6  MUSTANG WILLIE 6 8 56½ 41¼   65½ 76¼ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 4.00 ★ 17.30  
3  OLE WATASHI 3 3 32½ 54¼   86½ 814¼ (trevino step)MAYTA J 124 20.00 54.20  
 
MVR-9   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:011     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AIN'T SHE TWEET 4 4 1nk 1½   14 19 (rone penny)RIVERA R 119 2.00 37% 1.70 0.60 W
7  SUSHI Q 7 3 41½ 43½   44½ 29 (evans ii)LEON SONNY 126 8.00 16% 5.20 10.60 P
6  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 6 2 53 53¾   65¼ 313 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00 39.40 S
3  GETOUTOFTHEHAREM 3 6 66 66¾   55 413 (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 ★ 10.70  
5  MARGARITA CINCO 5 5 2nk 2½   24 515¼ (castro a)FELICIANO R 126 10.00 30.30  
1  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 1 8 78 78¾   713¼ 616 (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 4.00 19% 4.20 8.40  
8  LAYITONTHICK 8 1 31 3½   34½ 716¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 3.00  
2  NOT JIMMY'S TOY 2 7 812 817¾   820¼ 828 (schuster ro)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 15.00 50.20  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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