Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Saturday - April 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET OUTLOOK         (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 28% 2.50    
2  BEAUTIFUL VICTORIA Mar26         (urieta johan)MAYTA J 119 2.50 21% 3.80    
3  EAT MY DUST Mar15 Feb16       (kocijan m)CORREA L 126 10.00 7% 13.50    
4  SWEET EMPIRE Mar02 Feb14 Jan12     (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00    
5  DANZA MAGIC Apr05 Mar23 Feb14 Jan24 Jan08 (schuster ro)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 3.00 ★    
6  STATE OF GRACE Apr05 Mar16       (feebeck thom)ROSARIO L 119 8.00    
7  SWEET RED ROZAY         (evans ii)LEON SONNY 119 5.00 11% 7.90    
 
MVR-2   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT-12:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PSYCHOANALYST Jan14         (brown t)VELEZ J 126 4.00 ★    
2  HIDDEN PRIDE Mar18 Mar02 Jan31 Jan15   (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 22% 3.60    
3  JERSEY BOUNCE Feb16 Jan24       (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 ★    
4  CRISTALINDA Feb19         (johnson l)LEON SONNY 124 5.00 23% 3.30    
5  SWEET BETTY JOYCE Mar26 Mar01 Feb18     (suarez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
SCR  PAYTON PRETTY Feb28 Jan31 Jan15     (johnson gary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.00 18% 4.40    
 
MVR-3   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHARGAREE Apr02 Feb21 Jan21 Jan01   (sweetin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 9% 9.50    
2  ARCHIE'S GIRL Mar31 Mar22 Feb16 Jan24   (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 3.50 8% 11.20    
3  MOKSGMOL         (sullivan elli)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00    
4  PIPER Mar31 Feb28 Feb16 Jan26   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 3.00 24% 3.20    
5  LAPIS STORM Mar31 Feb19 Jan16     (bailey ricardo)DIAZ R 124 20.00 ★    
6  SHELLEY'S GEM Mar31 Feb19 Jan15 Jan01   (bird dann)CORREA L 124 5.00    
7  SHANNON'S GIRL Mar31 Mar14 Feb28 Feb16 Jan14 (murillo rodr)MAYTA J 124 4.50 33% 2.00    
 
MVR-4   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSACIABLE PRINCE Apr04 Mar23 Mar09 Mar01 Feb18 (romero jo)CORREA L 119 20.00 8% 12.30    
2  CHOCOLATE PHILLING Mar09 Feb26 Jan19     (maddox rac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00 6% 14.90    
3  PERJURY         (cross r)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 6.00 ★    
4  BIKO Apr04 Mar10 Feb19 Jan22   (guciardo robert)FELICIANO R 126 10.00 26% 2.90    
5  MARSALA MONARCH         (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 12.00    
6  TEMPLEMAN ALLEY Mar05         (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.50    
7  NIGHT TIME RULER Mar23 Mar05       (rivera nestor)DIAZ R 119 15.00    
SCR  KOLSCH Mar15 Feb26       (meyers shane)RIVERA R 126 2.50 37% 1.70    
9  ATLANTIC FIRESTORM         (pizzurro jo)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 8.00    
10  POUR ME A DOUBLE Feb25 Feb11 Jan07     (haehn r)PAUCAR E 119 4.50    
11  FARMHAND Mar15         (bird danny)DIAZ I 119 20.00    
 
MVR-5   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLE FACTOR Mar31 Feb19       (castro a)FELICIANO R 124 15.00    
2  FLATTER HER AGAIN Mar26 Mar15 Feb19 Jan22   (radosevich jeff)LEON SONNY 119 1.60 19% 4.40    
3  AUJARA Mar26 Mar14 Feb18     (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 126 2.50 43% 1.30    
4  A SMILE A DAY Mar31 Mar10 Feb19     (gorham ro)CORREA L 124 2.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  CALI DREAM Apr09         (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 12.00    
6  CAUSE OF LOVE Apr06 Mar14 Jan24     (haehn terry )KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00 ★    
7  ROCK STAR LADY Mar14         (zielinski ri)MAYTA J 124 20.00 ★    
 
MVR-6   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEWD Apr02 Feb22 Jan15     (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 20.00    
2  OFFTHEROADAGAIN Mar14 Feb22       (gorostieta cir)DIAZ I 120 20.00    
3  HIGH SPEED Mar23 Feb26       (forster gra)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 8.00    
4  BRODY'S JESSICA Mar01 Feb14 Jan25     (pinzon maria)ROMERO GREGORY 118 15.00 13% 6.70    
5  KENDAL GRACE Mar10 Feb16       (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00    
6  STRATEGIC BIRD Mar19 Jan15       (casse mark)ACHARD ALEX 124 2.50 17% 5.00    
7  JACKIE THE JOKER Apr09 Feb26 Feb12 Jan29 Jan14 (farrior ant)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 5.00 14% 6.00    
8  BENEATH THE STARS Mar30 Mar04 Feb19 Jan29   (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 3.00 16% 5.40    
9  ABERRATION Mar14 Feb26       (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 12.00    
10  SHE'S PURE SILVER Feb23 Feb15 Jan21     (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 15% 5.80    
11  MY ROSIE Feb28 Feb14       (pinzon maria)LEZCANO ABEL 118 20.00    
 
MVR-7   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAKES GOOD SENSE Mar19 Mar10 Feb15 Jan24   (barnes a)MUSARRO JOE 124 15.00    
2  BIG TRIP Apr04 Mar16 Mar05 Feb15 Jan31 (inirio carlo)MAYTA J 124 4.00 38% 1.60    
3  LONGLIVEJUSTICE Mar26 Mar02 Feb18 Feb01 Jan22 (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.50 ★    
SCR  ROLLS ROYCE DEAL Apr05 Mar16 Feb22 Jan26   (sullivan elli)TUNON JORDANO 124 10.00 ★    
5  UNYIELDING Mar31 Mar10 Feb28 Jan12   (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 2.00 17% 4.90    
6  OAKS HONEY Mar16 Jan11       (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
7  CENTRIST Mar31 Mar15 Feb23 Feb15 Jan31 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
 
MVR-8   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OFTEN ENOUGH Apr09 Mar16 Mar07 Feb22 Jan24 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 10.00 10% 9.10    
2  WEST LEONARD Apr06 Mar16 Mar09 Feb22 Jan26 (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00    
3  OLE WATASHI Feb15 Jan12       (trevino step)MAYTA J 124 20.00    
4  HANSENATION Mar24 Mar09 Feb19 Jan11 Jan05 (wolochuk david)LEON SONNY 126 2.00 18% 4.60    
5  TWO EAGLES Apr04         (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00    
6  MUSTANG WILLIE Mar18         (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 4.00 ★    
7  KID RUSSELL Mar21 Feb14 Jan19 Jan04   (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 124 10.00 8% 10.90    
8  SHOW SLIDING HOME Mar24         (trevino s)CORREA L 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
MVR-9   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT         (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 4.00 19% 4.20    
2  NOT JIMMY'S TOY Mar01 Feb16 Jan14     (schuster ro)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 15.00    
3  GETOUTOFTHEHAREM         (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 ★    
4  AIN'T SHE TWEET Mar26 Mar02 Jan24     (rone penny)RIVERA R 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
5  MARGARITA CINCO Mar16 Mar02 Feb14 Jan12   (castro a)FELICIANO R 126 10.00    
6  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ Apr05 Mar16       (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SUSHI Q         (evans ii)LEON SONNY 126 8.00 16% 5.20    
8  LAYITONTHICK Apr05 Mar05 Jan24 Jan08   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.