The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 05, 2022

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CD-1   05/05/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
:242 :481 1:123 1:25   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JURISDICTION 4 3 1nk 41 3.2 1½ 1hd (miller f)COURT K 118 10.00 20.80  
YOUVESAIDITALL 8 2 6 52 5 2½ 2hd (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.00 1.50 P
COLOMBIANO 2 5 5 3½ 4 41 3(hill f)BRYAN KERRY 118 12.00 32.90  
HIGH SPIRITS 7 7 7 7 7 64(garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 8.20  
HIGHER AUTHORITY 3 4 3½ 1nk 1nk 31 55 (west w)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 13% 6.80 3.40  
THE BOSS FACTOR 5 1 2nk 6 6 52 65 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 36% 1.80 2.90  
TILL THEN 6 6 4 2nk 2nk 77(foster eric)DIAZ RENE 111 6.00 20.90  
ESTILO PELIGROSO 1 8 8 8 8 8810 (sanner e)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 4.00 19% 4.20 7.30  
 
CD-2   05/05/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:15
:223 :46       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVIOUS DAME 3 2 2nk 2nk   1½ 1(casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00 16% 5.10 2.10 W
DEVIOUS DELIGHT 4 1 3 3   33 2(mccutchen b)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.90 P
EMPIRE OF MY OWN 1 3 1nk 1nk   2½ 3(asmussen m)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00 38% 1.70 1.40 S
DIVINE GRACE 5 4 4 5   55 4(ewing ann)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 6.70  
AMERICAN APPLE 2 5 56 45   45 511¼ (leitch daniel)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 5.20  
YOU CHOSE WISELY 6 6 611½ 613¾   614½ 623½ (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 6.00 14% 6.00 6.30  
SCR  CATHERINE BLAZE               (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 119 10.00    
 
CD-3   05/05/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
:224 :452 1:10     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COVE BLUE 4 2 11 11   2nk 1nk (cano munoz)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 1.20 47% 1.20 1.30 W
DAVID'S GEM 7 5 21 21   1nk 2nk (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 5.00  
ABUELO NUNO 1 1 4 33   33(amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 7% 12.70 3.90 S
BOBBY BABY 2 7 76 7   68 4(navarrete anna)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 13.60  
SILVER N LAI 6 4 54 6   5511½ (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 15% 5.60 9.30  
MUY CARO 5 3 3 43   45 613¾ (cowans d)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5.70  
FRANKIE BARONE 3 6 65 58   7722¼ (meyers shane)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 5% 18.90 8.70  
SCR  RYE HUMOR               (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00    
SCR  WILE E PEYOTE               (reed r)MCKEE J 118 15.00    
 
CD-4   05/05/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
:214 :444 :564     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY YODA 6 4 6 4   31 1(mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.00 40% 1.50 0.40 W
DIVINE LEADER 7 2 11 11   11 2(ennis john)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 4.40 P
SAMURAI PRINCE 8 1 21 21   21 3(morey e)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 23% 3.40 13.70 S
THE QUEENS JULES 5 8 8 53   44(van thomas)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 18.90  
MO'S MOJO 1 7 7 6   6511½ (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 12.50  
DENVER CITY 4 5 43 3   55 611¾ (lovell michelle)DIAZ RENE 111 15.00 12% 7.60 18.90  
HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT 2 6 32 7   76 714¾ (habeeb j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 31.10  
WINDY CITY RED 3 3 54 8   814 825¼ (diodoro robertino)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 11.30  
 
CD-5   05/05/2022 5940ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
:231 :472 1:122 1:38   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMES JONES 2 4 6 64 5 1nk 1(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 2.00  
12  STICKY ISSUE 11 7 3½ 3 4 2nk 2(ennis john)GRAHAM J 125 12.00 11% 7.80 7.20 P
VINTAGE YEAR 6 2 4 42 31 535 (arnold r)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00 20.20  
FIELD MARSHAL 7 9 9 9 9 32 4(mott i)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 3.00 13% 6.60 5.50  
ALYANAABI 3 5 7 75 7 45(peitz c)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 44.00  
11  URBAN RECOVERY 10 6 8 8 8 8612¾ (devaux cherie)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 13.00  
TWIRLING BLUES 4 3 2nk 2nk 1nk 6713 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 118 10.00 8.60  
SAILOR'S RETURN 1 10 11 11 10 9814¾ (habeeb j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 12.00 14.90  
ENOUGH ALREADY 8 11 10 10 118 1110¾ 914¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 25% 3.00 3.20  
10  LUCKMAN 9 8 53 53 6 101017 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 21.70  
SPRINKLEHEAD 5 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 71117¾ (salas felipe)DIAZ RENE 118 30.00 40.50  
SCR  ADVANCED PLACEMENT               (lynch a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.50    
SCR  JR'S GIFT               (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 111 30.00 9% 9.60    
SCR  MCGOLDEN               (walsh p)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00    
SCR  PICCADILLY               (mcgaughey iii)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
SCR  RULE THE EMPIRE               (barkley jason)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
SCR  WARRIOR JOHNY               (bauer a)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00 12% 7.60    
 
CD-6   05/05/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
:24 :482 1:131 1:372   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BLUE LINE 1 2 1 11 1½ 11(mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 3.10  
BEYBLADER 5 4 42 5 5 32(margolis r)LANERIE J 118 6.00 3.50  
GUT FEELING 6 5 53 42 3 23(stall m)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 34% 1.90 5.10 S
DUAL THREAT 7 8 7 7 76 66 4(mott i)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 3.00 7% 12.70 6.10  
GROUP EIGHTEEN 3 1 3 3 42 45(williamson brian)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00 7% 13.90 9.40  
DEFIED 8 6 2 21 2½ 54 612¼ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 4.00 27% 2.70 4.60  
BRONZE HALO 4 7 86 85 8 7715¼ (drury jr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 10.00 8.00  
HE'S A KEEPER 2 3 64 6 6 811½ 827 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 125 8.00 14.70  
 
CD-7   05/05/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
:212 :45 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE OF MY HEART 3 4 6 53   21 1nk (forster t)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 5.00 6% 14.90 11.70 W
SOCIAL DILEMMA 2 9 9 87   44 2nk (stall m)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50 2.60 P
DOWNTOWN ABBY 4 5 53 3   33¼ (calhoun bret)PARKER L 125 2.00 31% 2.30 1.20 S
FLASHY CHARGE 8 8 76 7   54 43 (frazier matt)LANERIE J 123 20.00 28.50  
WINGS OF AN ANGEL 6 2 1nk 1½   11 5(jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 15.00 19.90  
URSULINA 1 6 4 6   868 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 123 15.00 27.30  
ANNA VOLANTE 9 1 2nk 2½   65 78 (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 123 12.00 28.60  
BELLE REBELLE 7 3 3½ 4   78(asmussen m)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 40% 1.50 3.20  
ROOKERY 5 7 8 9   99(catalano m)VELAZQUEZ R 123 12.00 28.40  
 
CD-8   05/05/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($160K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:37
:234 :48 1:12 1:234   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY'S FABLE 5 1 11 1½ 1½ 11nk (attfield roger)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 2.20  
HIDDEN STASH 2 5 5 55 5 52nk (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 13.30  
MR DUMAS 3 2 43 32 42 232 (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 10% 8.70 1.20 S
10  SPANISH KINGDOM 6 7 3 42 3 34 4(sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 13.60  
MONARCHS GLEN (GB) 1 6 710 7 6 65(maker j)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 7.80  
11  MAX K. O. 7 3 21 2½ 2½ 469 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
SPECTACULAR GEM 4 4 68 67 79 710 710¼ (sherman justin)BETANCOURT RONNEY 118 30.00 32.50  
SCR  BEATBOX               (morey e)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  CAPTIVATING MOON               (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
SCR  KENTUCKY GHOST               (oliver victoria)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
SCR  KENTUCKY PHAROAH               (sisterson jack)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
SCR  SET PIECE (GB)               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.80 43% 1.30    
 
CD-9   05/05/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 5:11
:223 :46       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOM'S REGRET 1 3 11 11   111 (periban jorge)BAZE C 117 4.50 25% 3.10 2.20 W
12  THE BIG WAM 12 9 85 4   221 (mendez luis)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 15.70  
RYVIT 8 12 1110½ 109   67 3(asmussen m)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 5.60 S
MR. GORDY 5 2 3 21   34(hancock a)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 17.10  
11  HURRICANE DEBBIE 11 7 96 8   858 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 117 4.00 15% 5.80 5.30  
HILL OF TARA 7 10 43 32   468 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 60.00  
10  BAYTOWN LOVELY 10 5 5 65   579 (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 117 20.00 55.30  
SIMPLY SUPER 9 6 75 76   78 811½ (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 33% 2.00 2.90  
LONE LEADER 2 1 21 5   913½ 917¾ (hancock a)LANERIE J 118 15.00 51.70  
FERRARI KID 4 4 64 1110   1116½ 1019½ (lake a)SANTANA JR 120 15.00 30.40  
KING ADROCK 3 8 107 99   1015½ 1119½ (mendez luis)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 7% 13.70 7.30  
COOL SPIRIT 6 11 1210¾ 1212   1219 1221½ (briley lonnie)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 56.60  
 
CD-10   05/05/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
:23 :462 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOBYS HEART 7 6 7 73   51¼ (lynch a)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 14% 5.90 4.60 W
CHANGE OF CONTROL 4 5 5 41   1½ 2¼ (lovell michelle)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 26% 2.80 3.40 P
GOIN' GOOD 6 7 42 5   41 3(cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 7% 13.60 3.70 S
IN GOOD SPIRITS 3 3 31 31   3½ 4(stall m)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 7.60  
CATCH A BID 5 8 85 85   63 5(sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 25.80  
BROOKE MARIE 1 4 2½ 2½   2½ 6(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 126 4.00 7% 13.40 2.60  
BULLSEYE BEAUTY 8 1 6 62   77(mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 122 8.00 18% 4.50 6.90  
AMBASSADOR LUNA 2 2 1½ 1½   85 815 (colebrook ben)LANERIE J 122 12.00 22.60  
SCR  SOCIAL CHATTER               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 15.00    
 
CD-11   05/05/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
:22 :453 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK MUNNY 9 1 1 11   11(barkley jason)SANTANA JR 124 6.00 18% 4.60 7.30 W
SHES GREEKANDSLEEK 2 6 3 3   22(stall m)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 3.40  
SOMEBODY LOVES ME 5 4 53 4   46 36 (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 5% 19.00 5.10 S
10  TACHLIS 10 2 2 21   35 48 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 2.20  
SWEET TRUFFLES 6 3 8 6   611 510½ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 29% 2.50 8.30  
MRS. NUSHI 4 5 4 5   59 612½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 26% 2.80 14.50  
LOVE OF MY LIFE 3 10 9 810   711½ 712½ (correas iv)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 8.00  
ABBY THE BULL DAWG 7 8 10 912   913½ 813 (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 5% 19.00 19.60  
MONOCACY 8 9 65 7   813 914 (morey e)DIAZ RENE 111 10.00 23.60  
MAXINE'S CANDY 1 7 7 1013½   1018½ 1024½ (vance r)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 34.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.