Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:123 1:25   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JURISDICTION 4 3 1nk 41 3.2 1½ 1hd (miller f)COURT K 118 10.00 20.80  
YOUVESAIDITALL 8 2 6 52 5 2½ 2hd (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.00 1.50 P
COLOMBIANO 2 5 5 3½ 4 41 3 (hill f)BRYAN KERRY 118 12.00 32.90  
HIGH SPIRITS 7 7 7 7 7 6 4 (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 8.20  
HIGHER AUTHORITY 3 4 3½ 1nk 1nk 31 55 (west w)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 13% 6.80 3.40  
THE BOSS FACTOR 5 1 2nk 6 6 52 65 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 36% 1.80 2.90  
TILL THEN 6 6 4 2nk 2nk 7 7 (foster eric)DIAZ RENE 111 6.00 20.90  
ESTILO PELIGROSO 1 8 8 8 8 8 810 (sanner e)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 4.00 19% 4.20 7.30  
 
CD-2   05/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:223 :46       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVIOUS DAME 3 2 2nk 2nk   1½ 1 (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00 16% 5.10 2.10 W
DEVIOUS DELIGHT 4 1 3 3   33 2 (mccutchen r)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.90 P
EMPIRE OF MY OWN 1 3 1nk 1nk   2½ 3 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00 38% 1.70 1.40 S
DIVINE GRACE 5 4 4 5   55 4 (ewing michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 6.70  
AMERICAN APPLE 2 5 56 45   45 511¼ (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 5.20  
YOU CHOSE WISELY 6 6 611½ 613¾   614½ 623½ (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 6.00 14% 6.00 6.30  
SCR  CATHERINE BLAZE               (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 119 10.00    
 
CD-3   05/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:10     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COVE BLUE 4 2 11 11   2nk 1nk (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 1.20 47% 1.20 1.30 W
DAVID'S GEM 7 5 21 21   1nk 2nk (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 5.00  
ABUELO NUNO 1 1 4 33   3 3 (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 7% 12.70 3.90 S
BOBBY BABY 2 7 76 7   68 4 (navarrete an)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 13.60  
SILVER N LAI 6 4 54 6   5 511½ (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 15% 5.60 9.30  
MUY CARO 5 3 3 43   45 613¾ (cowans will)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5.70  
FRANKIE BARONE 3 6 65 58   7 722¼ (meyers shane)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 5% 18.90 8.70  
SCR  RYE HUMOR               (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00    
SCR  WILE E PEYOTE               (reed r)MCKEE J 118 15.00    
 
CD-4   05/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:214 :444 :564     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY YODA 6 4 6 4   31 1 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.00 40% 1.50 0.40 W
DIVINE LEADER 7 2 11 11   11 2 (ennis john)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 4.40 P
SAMURAI PRINCE 8 1 21 21   21 3 (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 23% 3.40 13.70 S
THE QUEENS JULES 5 8 8 53   4 4 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 18.90  
MO'S MOJO 1 7 7 6   6 511½ (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 12.50  
DENVER CITY 4 5 43 3   55 611¾ (lovell michelle)DIAZ RENE 111 15.00 12% 7.60 18.90  
HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT 2 6 32 7   76 714¾ (habeeb donald)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 31.10  
WINDY CITY RED 3 3 54 8   814 825¼ (diodoro robe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 11.30  
 
CD-5   05/05/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:122 1:38   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMES JONES 2 4 6 64 5 1nk 1 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 2.00  
12  STICKY ISSUE 11 7 3½ 3 4 2nk 2 (ennis john)GRAHAM J 125 12.00 11% 7.80 7.20 P
VINTAGE YEAR 6 2 4 42 31 5 35 (arnold geor)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00 20.20  
FIELD MARSHAL 7 9 9 9 9 32 4 (mott william )RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 3.00 13% 6.60 5.50  
ALYANAABI 3 5 7 75 7 4 5 (peitz c)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 44.00  
11  URBAN RECOVERY 10 6 8 8 8 8 612¾ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 13.00  
TWIRLING BLUES 4 3 2nk 2nk 1nk 6 713 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 118 10.00 8.60  
SAILOR'S RETURN 1 10 11 11 10 9 814¾ (habeeb donald)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 12.00 14.90  
ENOUGH ALREADY 8 11 10 10 118 1110¾ 914¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 25% 3.00 3.20  
10  LUCKMAN 9 8 53 53 6 10 1017 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 21.70  
SPRINKLEHEAD 5 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 7 1117¾ (salas felipe)DIAZ RENE 118 30.00 40.50  
SCR  ADVANCED PLACEMENT               (lynch brian )GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.50    
SCR  JR'S GIFT               (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 111 30.00 9% 9.60    
SCR  MCGOLDEN               (walsh p)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00    
SCR  PICCADILLY               (mcgaughey cl)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
SCR  RULE THE EMPIRE               (barkley jas)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
SCR  WARRIOR JOHNY               (bauer philip)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00 12% 7.60    
 
CD-6   05/05/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:131 1:372   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BLUE LINE 1 2 1 11 1½ 1 1 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 3.10  
BEYBLADER 5 4 42 5 5 3 2 (margolis stephen )LANERIE J 118 6.00 3.50  
GUT FEELING 6 5 53 42 3 2 3 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 34% 1.90 5.10 S
DUAL THREAT 7 8 7 7 76 66 4 (mott william )RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 3.00 7% 12.70 6.10  
GROUP EIGHTEEN 3 1 3 3 42 4 5 (williamson bri)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00 7% 13.90 9.40  
DEFIED 8 6 2 21 2½ 54 612¼ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 4.00 27% 2.70 4.60  
BRONZE HALO 4 7 86 85 8 7 715¼ (drury j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 10.00 8.00  
HE'S A KEEPER 2 3 64 6 6 811½ 827 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 125 8.00 14.70  
 
CD-7   05/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:212 :45 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE OF MY HEART 3 4 6 53   21 1nk (forster grant)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 5.00 6% 14.90 11.70 W
SOCIAL DILEMMA 2 9 9 87   44 2nk (stall m)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50 2.60 P
DOWNTOWN ABBY 4 5 53 3   3 3¼ (calhoun br)PARKER L 125 2.00 31% 2.30 1.20 S
FLASHY CHARGE 8 8 76 7   54 43 (frazier matt)LANERIE J 123 20.00 28.50  
WINGS OF AN ANGEL 6 2 1nk 1½   11 5 (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 15.00 19.90  
URSULINA 1 6 4 6   8 68 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 123 15.00 27.30  
ANNA VOLANTE 9 1 2nk 2½   65 78 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 123 12.00 28.60  
BELLE REBELLE 7 3 3½ 4   7 8 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 40% 1.50 3.20  
ROOKERY 5 7 8 9   9 9 (catalano wayne )VELAZQUEZ R 123 12.00 28.40  
 
CD-8   05/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:37
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:12 1:234   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY'S FABLE 5 1 11 1½ 1½ 1 1nk (attfield roger)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 2.20  
HIDDEN STASH 2 5 5 55 5 5 2nk (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 13.30  
MR DUMAS 3 2 43 32 42 2 32 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 10% 8.70 1.20 S
10  SPANISH KINGDOM 6 7 3 42 3 34 4 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 13.60  
MONARCHS GLEN (GB) 1 6 710 7 6 6 5 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 7.80  
11  MAX K. O. 7 3 21 2½ 2½ 4 69 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
SPECTACULAR GEM 4 4 68 67 79 710 710¼ (sherman jus)BETANCOURT RONNEY 118 30.00 32.50  
SCR  BEATBOX               (morey e)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  CAPTIVATING MOON               (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
SCR  KENTUCKY GHOST               (oliver victo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
SCR  KENTUCKY PHAROAH               (sisterson j)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
SCR  SET PIECE (GB)               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.80 43% 1.30    
 
CD-9   05/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 5:11
See original race card.
:223 :46       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOM'S REGRET 1 3 11 11   1 11 (periban jorge)BAZE C 117 4.50 25% 3.10 2.20 W
12  THE BIG WAM 12 9 85 4   2 21 (mendez luis)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 15.70  
RYVIT 8 12 1110½ 109   67 3 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 5.60 S
MR. GORDY 5 2 3 21   3 4 (hancock john)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 17.10  
11  HURRICANE DEBBIE 11 7 96 8   8 58 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 117 4.00 15% 5.80 5.30  
HILL OF TARA 7 10 43 32   4 68 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 60.00  
10  BAYTOWN LOVELY 10 5 5 65   5 79 (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 117 20.00 55.30  
SIMPLY SUPER 9 6 75 76   78 811½ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 33% 2.00 2.90  
LONE LEADER 2 1 21 5   913½ 917¾ (hancock a)LANERIE J 118 15.00 51.70  
FERRARI KID 4 4 64 1110   1116½ 1019½ (lake scott)SANTANA JR 120 15.00 30.40  
KING ADROCK 3 8 107 99   1015½ 1119½ (mendez luis)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 7% 13.70 7.30  
COOL SPIRIT 6 11 1210¾ 1212   1219 1221½ (briley lonn)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 56.60  
 
CD-10   05/05/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:23 :462 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOBYS HEART 7 6 7 73   5 1¼ (lynch a)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 14% 5.90 4.60 W
CHANGE OF CONTROL 4 5 5 41   1½ 2¼ (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 26% 2.80 3.40 P
GOIN' GOOD 6 7 42 5   41 3 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 7% 13.60 3.70 S
IN GOOD SPIRITS 3 3 31 31   3½ 4 (stall m)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 7.60  
CATCH A BID 5 8 85 85   63 5 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 25.80  
BROOKE MARIE 1 4 2½ 2½   2½ 6 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 126 4.00 7% 13.40 2.60  
BULLSEYE BEAUTY 8 1 6 62   7 7 (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 122 8.00 18% 4.50 6.90  
AMBASSADOR LUNA 2 2 1½ 1½   85 815 (colebrook ben)LANERIE J 122 12.00 22.60  
SCR  SOCIAL CHATTER               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 15.00    
 
CD-11   05/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:22 :453 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK MUNNY 9 1 1 11   1 1 (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 124 6.00 18% 4.60 7.30 W
SHES GREEKANDSLEEK 2 6 3 3   2 2 (stall m)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 3.40  
SOMEBODY LOVES ME 5 4 53 4   46 36 (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 5% 19.00 5.10 S
10  TACHLIS 10 2 2 21   35 48 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 2.20  
SWEET TRUFFLES 6 3 8 6   611 510½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 29% 2.50 8.30  
MRS. NUSHI 4 5 4 5   59 612½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 26% 2.80 14.50  
LOVE OF MY LIFE 3 10 9 810   711½ 712½ (correas iv)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 8.00  
ABBY THE BULL DAWG 7 8 10 912   913½ 813 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 5% 19.00 19.60  
MONOCACY 8 9 65 7   813 914 (morey e)DIAZ RENE 111 10.00 23.60  
MAXINE'S CANDY 1 7 7 1013½   1018½ 1024½ (vance david )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 34.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.