Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($46K) 3 F PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KISS ME SMILE   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 41% 1.40 0.80 W
5  J ZERTZ   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 17% 4.90 5.30 P
1  MOON OVER TUSCANY   (scherer mari)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00 ★ 5.40 S
3  ECLIPSED   (hancock a)GRAHAM J 118 3.00 ★ 5.20  
2  CAIRO DRIVER   (west w)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 18% 4.50 5.20  
6  T. K.'S JOKER   (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 22.00  
 
CD-2   05/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CHASING THE CROWN   (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 7% 13.90 3.10 W
8  OLD HICKORY   (flint bernard)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 15.00 9.50  
11  TEPEU   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 8% 11.00 4.40 S
9  SOSUA SUMMER   (mott willia)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 1.60 26% 2.90 1.40  
3  TIM TAL   (reed r)LEON SONNY 118 12.00 28.70  
12  TOUCH CODE   (vance dav)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 5% 18.80 25.30  
7  FRONTAL ASSAULT   (raines lindsey)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 55.00  
2  TEMPO MADNESS   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 16.50  
1  FAITH RUNNER   (stewart da)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 14.40  
5  DINI D'AMORE   (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 25.10  
4  SPUNS SON   (tay)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 30.00 65.90  
6  CORRENTE DE OURO   (barkley jas)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 76.70  
SCR  BAD TO THE BONES   (motion graham)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
SCR  BEST BET   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 1.20 33% 2.00    
SCR  BLUE DEVIL   (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 4.00    
SCR  TRUMPETS BLARE   (wilkes r)BECKMAN ALICE 111 15.00    
SCR  WIKING   (lynch a)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 12.00    
 
CD-3   05/15/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FAMILY MAN   (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 35% 1.90 2.20 W
4  EAGLE PASS   (vance dav)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 8% 11.50 4.30 P
3  TIZ LIGHT THE WAY   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 1.40 24% 3.20 1.20 S
1  ENGLISH CHALLENGE   (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 3.00 12% 7.40 4.10  
1A  YOUVESAIDITALL   (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 118 3.00 4.10  
2  BOBBY BABY   (navarrete anna)LEON SONNY 118 12.00 16.70  
5  TO KALON   (cundiff waylon)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 ★ 36.90  
 
CD-4   05/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CARNIVORE   (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 4.50 8% 11.60 2.10 W
8  ISTHMIAN   (gutierre)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 8.10  
1  PRINCE OF GLORY   (mcgee paul)DIAZ RENE 111 8.00 15.50  
3  BROWN DELIVERS   (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00 47% 1.10 2.00  
9  WINTER'S GHOST   (ali alnaz)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 17.10  
10  PROUD UNION   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 125 5.00 17% 4.80 6.00  
6  BRIGHT SPARK   (engler jeff)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 30.60  
5  DOVER STRAIT   (heitzman )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 20.00 45.50  
4  MASTER LEA   (bahena isma)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 ★ 5.70  
SCR  BEACH HOLIDAY   (holsapple )VILLASANA CARLOS 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-5   05/15/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BOUT TIME   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.00 11% 8.50 1.90 W
10  NOTA BENE   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 15.00 8% 11.80 21.80 P
5  CRUZ BAY   (sharp jo)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 10.40  
3  SAND AND SEA   (mott willia)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 3.50 17% 4.90 2.70  
8  ONLY KIDDING   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 12% 7.20 4.80  
1  COMMANDERS PALACE   (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 123 20.00 41.80  
9  BLAZING SUMMER   (ortiz alexan)DIAZ RENE 111 20.00 34.90  
2  SPARKLE OF HOPE   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 20.00 59.80  
6  KONA KAI   (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 15.00 29.50  
11  SOCIAL MANDATE   (hancock joh)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00 84.80  
12  GIVERNY   (mott william )TALAMO JOSEPH 123 6.00 10.30  
4  LADY DANAE   (asmussen ste)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 9.10  
SCR  HER WORLD (IRE)   (ward a)GRAHAM J 118 1.20 19% 4.40    
SCR  IRON LADY AWAY   (pitts c)CASTANON L 123 20.00    
SCR  MINER'S QUEEN   (hernandez rey)BEJARANO R 123 20.00    
SCR  PATHETIQUE   (bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 15.00    
 
CD-6   05/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DEFENDER   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.40 26% 2.80 0.90 W
7  FORE LEFT   (vanden berg )LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 ★ 5.60 P
4  C FALLS   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 7.20  
5  OURNATIONONPARADE   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 9% 10.10 4.20  
2  ESTABLISHED   (baltas rich)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 6.00 14% 6.20 3.10  
SCR  FACT FINDING   (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 118 2.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  HEMP HEAVEN   (wittek karyn)COURT K 118 15.00    
 
CD-7   05/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PLAY ACTION PASS   (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 2.30  
10  BRITAIN'S KITTEN   (williamso)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 ★ 6.20 P
3  KITODAN   (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 28% 2.60 2.60 S
1  ST ANDREWS   (asmussen st)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 6.00 14% 6.20 8.00  
4  FREEDOM'S WAY   (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00 3.00  
9  GOLD HERITAGE   (mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00 16.50  
5  MR. BOUMA   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 10.30  
SCR  BEST ACTOR   (cox brad)SANTANA JR 118 2.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  BROOKLYN DIAMONDS   (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  DOUBLE CLUTCH   (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAINTAINER   (glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
SCR  MAXIMUM IMPACT   (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
SCR  SETNA THE WISE   (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   05/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DIVINE LEADER   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00 16% 5.40 5.00 W
8  THERIDEOFALIFETIME   (correas iv)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 14% 6.10 20.40 P
5  BRIEFCASE BULLY   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 8.20  
4  SOUP AND SANDWICH   (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 24% 3.20 1.20  
6  COLTONATOR   (foley gr)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 ★ 9.60  
3  VIOLENT CITY   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 121 6.00 2.90  
1  PRIME FACTOR   (devaux ch)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 15% 5.70 13.90  
2  SAVVY   (danner kels)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00 30.90  
 
CD-9   05/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ELLE OF THE BALL   (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30 W
1  SPARE CASH   (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.60 63% 0.60 1.00 P
12  WHAT'S TO DO   (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 31.80  
6  MACADAMIA (FR)   (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
14  GET BY   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00 8% 11.00 16.60  
7  SACRED KITTEN   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 8.00 ★ 7.90  
4  NECK ON THE NILE   (colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 111 12.00 29.20  
5  SPRING MAGIC   (walsh br)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 7.40  
3  TODO SOLA   (beckman whitw)COHEN DAVID 118 20.00 59.50  
10  RAGTIME BELLE   (walsh bre)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 35.00  
8  MADELYN'S MAGIC   (jones lar)PETERSON FERRIN 118 12.00 46.80  
9  MOUDARI   (margolis steph)ROCCO S 118 12.00 53.10  
SCR  GIRL COME RUNNING   (kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00    
SCR  MINDFUL   (devaux cher)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 12.00    
SCR  PRETTY PROVOCATIVE   (biancone pat)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00    
SCR  REVERB   (colebrook)HERNANDEZ J 125 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.