Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($46K) 3 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:221 :453 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KISS ME SMILE 4 2 11½ 11½   13 14¾ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 41% 1.40 0.80 W
5  J ZERTZ 5 4 21½ 31½   23 24¾ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 17% 4.90 5.30 P
1  MOON OVER TUSCANY 1 6 41¾ 21½   33 36 (scherer mari)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00 ★ 5.40 S
3  ECLIPSED 3 5 64¾ 53½   46½ 48½ (hancock a)GRAHAM J 118 3.00 ★ 5.20  
2  CAIRO DRIVER 2 1 31½ 43   58 515 (west w)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 18% 4.50 5.20  
6  T. K.'S JOKER 6 3 53¼ 64   69½ 617¾ (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 22.00  
 
CD-2   05/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:134 1:252   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CHASING THE CROWN 10 9 31½ 3½ 2½ 1nk 12½ (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 7% 13.90 3.10 W
8  OLD HICKORY 8 5 64 52½ 31½ 32 22½ (flint bernard)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 15.00 9.50  
11  TEPEU 11 10 85¼ 83¼ 42½ 42½ 33 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 8% 11.00 4.40 S
9  SOSUA SUMMER 9 8 2½ 1nk 1½ 2nk 43½ (mott willia)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 1.60 26% 2.90 1.40  
3  TIM TAL 3 1 53 72¾ 65½ 55 58½ (reed r)LEON SONNY 118 12.00 28.70  
12  TOUCH CODE 12 11 118¾ 105¾ 76½ 710 613¾ (vance dav)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 5% 18.80 25.30  
7  FRONTAL ASSAULT 7 7 97¼ 94¾ 108 811 714 (raines lindsey)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 55.00  
2  TEMPO MADNESS 2 2 41½ 41½ 53 66½ 815 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 16.50  
1  FAITH RUNNER 1 4 74¼ 62¾ 98 912 916¾ (stewart da)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 14.40  
5  DINI D'AMORE 5 6 108¼ 118¼ 1113 1016½ 1017 (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 25.10  
4  SPUNS SON 4 12 1211¼ 129¾ 1216 1117½ 1119 (tay)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 30.00 65.90  
6  CORRENTE DE OURO 6 3 1½ 2nk 87½ 1217¾ 1230¾ (barkley jas)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 76.70  
SCR  BAD TO THE BONES               (motion graham)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
SCR  BEST BET               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 1.20 33% 2.00    
SCR  BLUE DEVIL               (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 4.00    
SCR  TRUMPETS BLARE               (wilkes r)BECKMAN ALICE 111 15.00    
SCR  WIKING               (lynch a)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 12.00    
 
CD-3   05/15/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:124 1:372   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FAMILY MAN 6 1 11 11 1½ 1nk 1½ (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 35% 1.90 2.20 W
4  EAGLE PASS 4 2 21 21 2½ 2nk 2½ (vance dav)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 8% 11.50 4.30 P
3  TIZ LIGHT THE WAY 3 3 42 42½ 33 35 36 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 1.40 24% 3.20 1.20 S
1  ENGLISH CHALLENGE 2 5 54 55 44½ 46 46 (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 3.00 12% 7.40 4.10  
1A  YOUVESAIDITALL 7 6 64½ 65 66 57 56¼ (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 118 3.00 4.10  
2  BOBBY BABY 1 4 32 32 55 69½ 612 (navarrete anna)LEON SONNY 118 12.00 16.70  
5  TO KALON 5 7 77½ 77½ 712½ 724½ 7100 (cundiff waylon)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 ★ 36.90  
 
CD-4   05/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:13 1:38   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CARNIVORE 6 4 31 31½ 21½ 2½ 11¾ (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 4.50 8% 11.60 2.10 W
8  ISTHMIAN 7 5 2nk 11½ 11½ 1½ 21¾ (gutierre)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 8.10  
1  PRINCE OF GLORY 1 2 1nk 21½ 55½ 56½ 36¾ (mcgee paul)DIAZ RENE 111 8.00 15.50  
3  BROWN DELIVERS 2 6 83¼ 84¼ 65½ 67½ 49¼ (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00 47% 1.10 2.00  
9  WINTER'S GHOST 8 8 72¾ 74¼ 43½ 46 59¼ (ali alnaz)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 17.10  
10  PROUD UNION 9 7 61¾ 42½ 33 36 610¼ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 125 5.00 17% 4.80 6.00  
6  BRIGHT SPARK 5 9 96¼ 96¼ 87½ 712 715¼ (engler jeff)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 30.60  
5  DOVER STRAIT 4 1 41¼ 63¼ 76 812½ 819¾ (heitzman )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 20.00 45.50  
4  MASTER LEA 3 3 51¼ 52¾ 910 920½ 936¼ (bahena isma)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 ★ 5.70  
SCR  BEACH HOLIDAY               (holsapple )VILLASANA CARLOS 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-5   05/15/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:22 :452       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BOUT TIME 7 7 21½ 2nk   13½ 12¾ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.00 11% 8.50 1.90 W
10  NOTA BENE 10 4 96¾ 95½   34½ 22¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 15.00 8% 11.80 21.80 P
5  CRUZ BAY 5 3 85¼ 53¼   23½ 33¼ (sharp jo)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 10.40  
3  SAND AND SEA 3 11 106¾ 85¼   55½ 44¾ (mott willia)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 3.50 17% 4.90 2.70  
8  ONLY KIDDING 8 2 74¼ 43   66½ 55¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 12% 7.20 4.80  
1  COMMANDERS PALACE 1 6 129¾ 129   89 67½ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 123 20.00 41.80  
9  BLAZING SUMMER 9 8 42½ 32½   45 77½ (ortiz alexan)DIAZ RENE 111 20.00 34.90  
2  SPARKLE OF HOPE 2 9 118¼ 118½   99 88½ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 20.00 59.80  
6  KONA KAI 6 12 52¾ 75¼   109½ 910¾ (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 15.00 29.50  
11  SOCIAL MANDATE 11 10 63¾ 106½   1212 1014¾ (hancock joh)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00 84.80  
12  GIVERNY 12 1 11½ 1nk   78 1115¾ (mott william )TALAMO JOSEPH 123 6.00 10.30  
4  LADY DANAE 4 5 32½ 63¾   1110 1216 (asmussen ste)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 9.10  
SCR  HER WORLD (IRE)               (ward a)GRAHAM J 118 1.20 19% 4.40    
SCR  IRON LADY AWAY               (pitts c)CASTANON L 123 20.00    
SCR  MINER'S QUEEN               (hernandez rey)BEJARANO R 123 20.00    
SCR  PATHETIQUE               (bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 15.00    
 
CD-6   05/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:092     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DEFENDER 2 3 43½ 22   1nk 11 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.40 26% 2.80 0.90 W
7  FORE LEFT 5 4 12½ 12   2nk 21 (vanden berg )LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 ★ 5.60 P
4  C FALLS 3 1 33½ 45   44½ 34½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 7.20  
5  OURNATIONONPARADE 4 2 22½ 32½   33 44½ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 9% 10.10 4.20  
2  ESTABLISHED 1 5 55½ 56½   56 56½ (baltas rich)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 6.00 14% 6.20 3.10  
SCR  FACT FINDING               (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 118 2.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  HEMP HEAVEN               (wittek karyn)COURT K 118 15.00    
 
CD-7   05/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:251 :51 1:153 1:391   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PLAY ACTION PASS 4 1 32 21 22 2½ 1hd (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 2.30  
10  BRITAIN'S KITTEN 7 6 21 31½ 32 31 2hd (williamso)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 ★ 6.20 P
3  KITODAN 1 5 75 74½ 75¼ 64½ 3¾ (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 28% 2.60 2.60 S
1  ST ANDREWS 6 2 11 11 12 1½ 42¼ (asmussen st)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 6.00 14% 6.20 8.00  
4  FREEDOM'S WAY 2 3 63½ 63½ 43 41½ 52¾ (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00 3.00  
9  GOLD HERITAGE 5 7 42½ 53½ 63¾ 53½ 63 (mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00 16.50  
5  MR. BOUMA 3 4 52½ 43 53½ 74½ 76¼ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 10.30  
SCR  BEST ACTOR               (cox brad)SANTANA JR 118 2.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  BROOKLYN DIAMONDS               (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  DOUBLE CLUTCH               (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAINTAINER               (glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
SCR  MAXIMUM IMPACT               (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
SCR  SETNA THE WISE               (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   05/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:09     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DIVINE LEADER 7 3 31 3½   12 13¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00 16% 5.40 5.00 W
8  THERIDEOFALIFETIME 8 1 52¼ 53¼   32 23¼ (correas iv)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 14% 6.10 20.40 P
5  BRIEFCASE BULLY 5 4 63¼ 77¾   75¼ 36¾ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 8.20  
4  SOUP AND SANDWICH 4 2 2nk 2½   22 46¾ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 24% 3.20 1.20  
6  COLTONATOR 6 5 74¾ 65¾   54¾ 57¼ (foley gr)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 ★ 9.60  
3  VIOLENT CITY 3 8 84¾ 87¾   85¾ 69¼ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 121 6.00 2.90  
1  PRIME FACTOR 1 7 1nk 1½   42¼ 79½ (devaux ch)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 15% 5.70 13.90  
2  SAVVY 2 6 42 43   64¾ 810¼ (danner kels)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00 30.90  
 
CD-9   05/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:133 1:254   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ELLE OF THE BALL 10 7 74½ 84¼ 77 62¼ 11¼ (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30 W
1  SPARE CASH 1 3 11 11 11½ 1nk 21¼ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.60 63% 0.60 1.00 P
12  WHAT'S TO DO 11 9 85½ 74 54 4¾ 31¾ (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 31.80  
6  MACADAMIA (FR) 5 4 32 32 21½ 2nk 42 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
14  GET BY 12 10 63½ 63½ 66 52¼ 54¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00 8% 11.00 16.60  
7  SACRED KITTEN 6 5 53 52½ 32 3.2 64¾ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 8.00 ★ 7.90  
4  NECK ON THE NILE 3 8 1110½ 1210¼ 1012 85¼ 75 (colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 111 12.00 29.20  
5  SPRING MAGIC 4 1 21 21 43½ 73¾ 87 (walsh br)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 7.40  
3  TODO SOLA 2 2 42 42 89 95½ 99 (beckman whitw)COHEN DAVID 118 20.00 59.50  
10  RAGTIME BELLE 9 12 109 118¾ 1214 107½ 109 (walsh bre)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 35.00  
8  MADELYN'S MAGIC 7 6 97½ 96¾ 910 119 1110 (jones lar)PETERSON FERRIN 118 12.00 46.80  
9  MOUDARI 8 11 1210¾ 106¾ 1112½ 1213 1219½ (margolis steph)ROCCO S 118 12.00 53.10  
SCR  GIRL COME RUNNING               (kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00    
SCR  MINDFUL               (devaux cher)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 12.00    
SCR  PRETTY PROVOCATIVE               (biancone pat)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00    
SCR  REVERB               (colebrook)HERNANDEZ J 125 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.