Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($46K) 3 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:221 :453 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISS ME SMILE 4 2 1 1   13 1 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 41% 1.40 0.80 W
J ZERTZ 5 4 2 3   23 2 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 17% 4.90 5.30 P
MOON OVER TUSCANY 1 6 4 2   33 36 (scherer marian)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00 5.40 S
ECLIPSED 3 5 6 5   4 4 (hancock a)GRAHAM J 118 3.00 5.20  
CAIRO DRIVER 2 1 3 43   58 515 (west w)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 18% 4.50 5.20  
T. K.'S JOKER 6 3 5 64   6 617¾ (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 22.00  
 
CD-2   05/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:134 1:252   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CHASING THE CROWN 10 9 3 3½ 2½ 1nk 1 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 7% 13.90 3.10 W
OLD HICKORY 8 5 64 5 3 32 2 (flint s)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 15.00 9.50  
11  TEPEU 11 10 8 8 4 4 33 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 8% 11.00 4.40 S
SOSUA SUMMER 9 8 2½ 1nk 1½ 2nk 4 (mott william )RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 1.60 26% 2.90 1.40  
TIM TAL 3 1 53 7 6 55 5 (reed r)LEON SONNY 118 12.00 28.70  
12  TOUCH CODE 12 11 11 10 7 710 613¾ (vance david)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 5% 18.80 25.30  
FRONTAL ASSAULT 7 7 9 9 108 811 714 (raines m)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 55.00  
TEMPO MADNESS 2 2 4 4 53 6 815 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 16.50  
FAITH RUNNER 1 4 7 6 98 912 916¾ (stewart dall)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 14.40  
DINI D'AMORE 5 6 10 11 1113 1016½ 1017 (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 25.10  
SPUNS SON 4 12 1211¼ 12 1216 1117½ 1119 (taylo)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 30.00 65.90  
CORRENTE DE OURO 6 3 1½ 2nk 8 1217¾ 1230¾ (barkley jason)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 76.70  
SCR  BAD TO THE BONES               (motion graham)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
SCR  BEST BET               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 1.20 33% 2.00    
SCR  BLUE DEVIL               (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 4.00    
SCR  TRUMPETS BLARE               (wilkes r)BECKMAN ALICE 111 15.00    
SCR  WIKING               (lynch a)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 12.00    
 
CD-3   05/15/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:124 1:372   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAMILY MAN 6 1 11 11 1½ 1nk 1½ (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 35% 1.90 2.20 W
EAGLE PASS 4 2 21 21 2½ 2nk 2½ (vance david)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 8% 11.50 4.30 P
TIZ LIGHT THE WAY 3 3 42 4 33 35 36 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 1.40 24% 3.20 1.20 S
ENGLISH CHALLENGE 2 5 54 55 4 46 46 (estvanko ri)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 3.00 12% 7.40 4.10  
1A  YOUVESAIDITALL 7 6 6 65 66 57 5 (estvanko r)MARTINEZ LUIS 118 3.00 4.10  
BOBBY BABY 1 4 32 32 55 6 612 (navarrete anna)LEON SONNY 118 12.00 16.70  
TO KALON 5 7 7 7 712½ 724½ 7100 (cundiff waylon)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 36.90  
 
CD-4   05/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:13 1:38   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARNIVORE 6 4 31 3 2 2½ 1 (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 4.50 8% 11.60 2.10 W
ISTHMIAN 7 5 2nk 1 1 1½ 2 (gutierrez )SANTANA JR 118 6.00 8.10  
PRINCE OF GLORY 1 2 1nk 2 5 5 3 (mcgee paul)DIAZ RENE 111 8.00 15.50  
BROWN DELIVERS 2 6 8 8 6 6 4 (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00 47% 1.10 2.00  
WINTER'S GHOST 8 8 7 7 4 46 5 (ali alnaz)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 17.10  
10  PROUD UNION 9 7 6 4 33 36 610¼ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 125 5.00 17% 4.80 6.00  
BRIGHT SPARK 5 9 9 9 8 712 715¼ (engler jeff)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 30.60  
DOVER STRAIT 4 1 4 6 76 812½ 819¾ (heitzman er)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 20.00 45.50  
MASTER LEA 3 3 5 5 910 920½ 936¼ (bahena ismael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 5.70  
SCR  BEACH HOLIDAY               (holsapple hu)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-5   05/15/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:22 :452       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOUT TIME 7 7 2 2nk   1 1 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.00 11% 8.50 1.90 W
10  NOTA BENE 10 4 9 9   3 2 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 15.00 8% 11.80 21.80 P
CRUZ BAY 5 3 8 5   2 3 (sharp joe)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 10.40  
SAND AND SEA 3 11 10 8   5 4 (mott william )RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 3.50 17% 4.90 2.70  
ONLY KIDDING 8 2 7 43   6 5 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 12% 7.20 4.80  
COMMANDERS PALACE 1 6 12 129   89 6 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 123 20.00 41.80  
BLAZING SUMMER 9 8 4 3   45 7 (ortiz alexande)DIAZ RENE 111 20.00 34.90  
SPARKLE OF HOPE 2 9 11 11   99 8 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 20.00 59.80  
KONA KAI 6 12 5 7   10 910¾ (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 15.00 29.50  
11  SOCIAL MANDATE 11 10 6 10   1212 1014¾ (hancock john )PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00 84.80  
12  GIVERNY 12 1 1 1nk   78 1115¾ (mott i)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 6.00 10.30  
LADY DANAE 4 5 3 6   1110 1216 (asmussen steve)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 9.10  
SCR  HER WORLD (IRE)               (ward a)GRAHAM J 118 1.20 19% 4.40    
SCR  IRON LADY AWAY               (pitts c)CASTANON L 123 20.00    
SCR  MINER'S QUEEN               (hernandez rey)BEJARANO R 123 20.00    
SCR  PATHETIQUE               (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 15.00    
 
CD-6   05/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:092     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEFENDER 2 3 4 22   1nk 11 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.40 26% 2.80 0.90 W
FORE LEFT 5 4 1 12   2nk 21 (vanden br)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 5.60 P
C FALLS 3 1 3 45   4 3 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 7.20  
OURNATIONONPARADE 4 2 2 3   33 4 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 9% 10.10 4.20  
ESTABLISHED 1 5 5 5   56 5 (baltas richar)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 6.00 14% 6.20 3.10  
SCR  FACT FINDING               (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 118 2.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  HEMP HEAVEN               (wittek karyn)COURT K 118 15.00    
 
CD-7   05/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:251 :51 1:153 1:391   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY ACTION PASS 4 1 32 21 22 2½ 1hd (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 2.30  
10  BRITAIN'S KITTEN 7 6 21 3 32 31 2hd (williamson )LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 6.20 P
KITODAN 1 5 75 7 7 6 3¾ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 28% 2.60 2.60 S
ST ANDREWS 6 2 11 11 12 1½ 4 (asmussen stev)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 6.00 14% 6.20 8.00  
FREEDOM'S WAY 2 3 6 6 43 4 5 (kenneally eddi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00 3.00  
GOLD HERITAGE 5 7 4 5 6 5 63 (mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00 16.50  
MR. BOUMA 3 4 5 43 5 7 7 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 10.30  
SCR  BEST ACTOR               (cox h)SANTANA JR 118 2.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  BROOKLYN DIAMONDS               (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
SCR  DOUBLE CLUTCH               (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAINTAINER               (glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
SCR  MAXIMUM IMPACT               (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
SCR  SETNA THE WISE               (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   05/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:09     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE LEADER 7 3 31 3½   12 1 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00 16% 5.40 5.00 W
THERIDEOFALIFETIME 8 1 5 5   32 2 (correas iv)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 14% 6.10 20.40 P
BRIEFCASE BULLY 5 4 6 7   7 3 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 8.20  
SOUP AND SANDWICH 4 2 2nk 2½   22 4 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 24% 3.20 1.20  
COLTONATOR 6 5 7 6   5 5 (foley greg)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 9.60  
VIOLENT CITY 3 8 8 8   8 6 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 121 6.00 2.90  
PRIME FACTOR 1 7 1nk 1½   4 7 (devaux cher)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 15% 5.70 13.90  
SAVVY 2 6 42 43   6 810¼ (danner kelsey)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00 30.90  
 
CD-9   05/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:133 1:254   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ELLE OF THE BALL 10 7 7 8 77 6 1 (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30 W
SPARE CASH 1 3 11 11 1 1nk 2 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.60 63% 0.60 1.00 P
12  WHAT'S TO DO 11 9 8 74 54 4¾ 3 (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 31.80  
MACADAMIA (FR) 5 4 32 32 2 2nk 42 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
14  GET BY 12 10 6 6 66 5 5 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00 8% 11.00 16.60  
SACRED KITTEN 6 5 53 5 32 3.2 6 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 8.00 7.90  
NECK ON THE NILE 3 8 1110½ 1210¼ 1012 8 75 (colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 111 12.00 29.20  
SPRING MAGIC 4 1 21 21 4 7 87 (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 7.40  
TODO SOLA 2 2 42 42 89 9 99 (beckman whitwor)COHEN DAVID 118 20.00 59.50  
10  RAGTIME BELLE 9 12 109 11 1214 10 109 (walsh brend)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 35.00  
MADELYN'S MAGIC 7 6 9 9 910 119 1110 (jones larry)PETERSON FERRIN 118 12.00 46.80  
MOUDARI 8 11 1210¾ 10 1112½ 1213 1219½ (margolis stephen)ROCCO S 118 12.00 53.10  
SCR  GIRL COME RUNNING               (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00    
SCR  MINDFUL               (devaux cherie)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 12.00    
SCR  PRETTY PROVOCATIVE               (biancone patri)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00    
SCR  REVERB               (colebrook b)HERNANDEZ J 125 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.