Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Saturday - April 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   04/23/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:14 1:383   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANALOGY 1 2 11 11 11 12 1¼ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 1.95  
BALTHUS (IRE) 5 1 4 4 43 22 2¼ (brown chad )MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 6.00 3.15  
GRAND CAY 3 5 3 3 3 32 3 (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 2.60  
I AM THE LAW 2 3 21 21 21 4 4 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 5.00 4.20  
GOOD MEDICINE 4 4 53 53 5 55 5 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 32% 2.10 5.70  
SCR  EXCLUSIVE ORDER               (mc joh)HARKIE K 118 50.00    
SCR  FORWARDLY               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80    
SCR  MONTAUK POINT               (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 118 0.60 35% 1.80    
 
AQU-2   04/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:53
See original race card.
:231 :461 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HYDRA 3 2 2½ 2nk   1 1 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 5.00  
BUSTIN BAY 5 3 33 3   35 2 (lucas bonni)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50 43% 1.30 2.50 P
AWESOME INDRA 1 1 1½ 1nk   2 35 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.00 14% 6.40 0.75 S
QUASAR 2 5 510 47   4 49 (vazquez juan )SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00 25.75  
SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 4 4 4 5   511 510½ (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00 6.00  
SCR  BIG Q               (sciacca gary)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  PRAIRIE FIRE               (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.50 12% 7.50    
 
AQU-3   04/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:251 :501 1:15     1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S THE ONE 1 3 3 31 31 1½ 1¾ (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 2.00 5% 19.00 1.30 W
CARA'S DREAMER 3 4 5 5 6 42 2¾ (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 8% 12.20 3.95 P
BARKIN 7 7 6 6 4 3 3 (day-phillips ca)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.60 21% 3.70 2.40 S
MISCHIEVOUS DREAM 5 1 2 21 2nk 2½ 4 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 5.50  
EPONA'S DREAM 6 5 4 4 5 5 5 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 121 15.00 21.30  
CHOOSE HAPPINESS 4 6 7 7 7 77 65 (noda orl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00 16.80  
STEAL MY HEART 2 2 1 11 1nk 64 79 (clarke dylan)ALPANDER B 119 30.00 77.50  
SCR  PAY GRADE               (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 119 1.40 44% 1.30    
 
AQU-4   04/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:224 :461 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNICKET 6 5 5 31   1½ 11 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 2.50 39% 1.60 1.25 W
LETMETAKETHISCALL 3 2 2½ 2½   3½ 21 (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 119 6.00 7.80 P
CHASING CARA 1 1 1½ 1½   2½ 31 (friedman mitche)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 5.80  
IMPAZIBLE DONNA 4 3 41 6   46 49 (levine b)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 3.50 9% 10.50 3.25  
TOWERING ORBIT 2 6 62 54   57 512½ (baker cha)VARGAS A 121 4.50 12% 7.60 7.90  
OUR SWEET GIRL 5 4 3½ 4   6 619¼ (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00 5.90  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL KAREN               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 14% 6.00    
 
AQU-5   04/23/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:23 :454 :573     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURPRISE BOSS 5 2 11 1   1 1 (vazquez ca)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 9.30  
DEEP COVER 1 5 4 4   3 2 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 126 4.00 5% 18.20 3.25 P
VOLKERT 4 6 65 6   56 2 (hennig ma)VARGAS A 126 4.50 7.20 DH
UNCLE GEORGE 3 9 9 79   7 4 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.50 19% 4.40 2.30  
10  BALI'S SHADE 9 1 31 3   44 5 (rod)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00 48.00  
KID D'ORO 7 3 53 56   6 6 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 126 6.00 33% 2.00 5.10  
SANDRONE 8 4 21 2   2 7 (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 4.60  
G MUNNING 2 8 8 8   8 89 (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
MARBLE MOON 6 7 7 912   913¾ 914¾ (englehart chr)CARDENAS LUIS 126 30.00 ######  
SCR  COTTON               (casse ma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00    
SCR  HOT ROD RUMBLE               (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  MY LAST MISSION               (vazquez carl)RIDER TBA 118 15.00    
SCR  TACO BEAN               (kelly j)LUZZI J 124 12.00    
 
AQU-6   04/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:121     1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONIC SPEED 7 7 7 7 3 1 1 (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 127 4.00 2.80  
EDDIE THE GREAT 4 3 21 21 1nk 3 2 (barker edward)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 9.20  
EXALTED CHARM 6 1 11 11 2nk 2 3 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 6.30  
OCEAN DEEP 5 8 96 9 9 7 46 (pregman )DAVIS A 120 30.00 67.75  
ACTUARY (GB) 1 5 6 64 8 6 5 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00 4.50  
NOBLE CONQUEST 8 9 86 8 65 45 6 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 125 5.00 6.40  
10  GHOSTMON 9 2 53 5 5 5 7 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 8.00 8.70  
11  PRAYER BOOK 10 6 4 3 7 8 812¾ (chichakly ami)CARDENAS LUIS 127 12.00 21.90  
LABAN M MO 3 10 1010 1010½ 10 910¼ 913 (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00 13.40  
MALIBU STAR 2 4 3 4 4 1010¾ 1034¾ (giangiuli)VARGAS A 125 4.50 16% 5.20 5.50  
SCR  BOB IN OUR MIDST               (sanchez-pine)LAPRIDA JEREMY 125 8.00    
SCR  KID BOURBON               (vazquez juan )SILVERA RUBEN 125 3.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  MIDASWELLRUN               (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 2.50    
SCR  PRACTICE SQUAD               (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 7% 12.60    
SCR  TOP OF THE MINT               (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 125 4.00    
 
AQU-7   04/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:32
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:121     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERTY FLAME 3 7 1½ 1   1½ 1¼ (quick j)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 13% 6.50 2.95 W
ROYAL CURRENCY 5 3 73 42   32 2¼ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 39% 1.60 3.45 P
BAVARIAN CREME 6 2 2½ 32   2½ 3 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.50 9% 9.60 3.05 S
DUCKPHAT 1 9 912½ 912½   4 46 (ferraro jame)LAPRIDA JEREMY 125 12.00 5% 19.00 26.00  
CABERNET TRAIL 2 8 88 810   611½ 5 (davis ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 35.00  
CAPITAL GAL 7 5 5 6   510½ 610¾ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.00 9% 10.50 2.25  
SECRET HIDEOUT 9 4 31 2   713½ 722 (dav)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 30.00 77.25  
VIVAZANO 4 6 6 79   917½ 823 (dunham g)CARDENAS LUIS 118 15.00 49.75  
CERRETTA 8 1 41 53   814 923 (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 13.80  
 
AQU-8   04/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 5:04
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:12     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZMIKE 7 1 11 11   2nk 1 (synnefias d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 15% 5.50 9.40 W
UNIQUE UNIONS 1 3 3 21   1nk 2 (schosberg ric)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 4.50 P
BARESE 2 5 43 4   3 3 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 0.40 48% 1.10 0.30 S
MO DANCIN 4 4 6 56   46 4 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 20.50  
RED D G P 5 6 710 77   57 510¼ (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 118 30.00 11% 8.00 37.25  
TOMMY GUN 3 7 5 6   6 610¾ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 17.20  
MISTER LARRY 6 2 21 3   710½ 723¼ (noda orl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 5% 19.00 23.00  
 
AQU-9   04/23/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 5:36
See original race card.
:241 :493 1:132 1:37   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNANIMOUS CONSENT (GB) 5 5 53 54 5 2½ 1 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 12% 7.00 1.55 W
FORT WASHINGTON 4 6 4 4 32 31 2 (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 27% 2.70 2.65 P
CHANCEUX 3 2 11 11 1 1½ 3 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 3.90  
OHTWOOHTHREEFIVE 2 3 6 6 65 4 4 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 6% 15.10 12.90  
HEAVEN STREET 1 1 32 32 42 52 5 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.50 31% 2.30 5.50  
MASETA 6 4 21 21 2 63 65 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 9.10  
SCR  DOCTOR JEFF               (rodriguez)VARGAS A 122 10.00    
 
AQU-10   04/23/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:11
See original race card.
:223 :462 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP SENSATION 4 5 3 3½   2nk 1¼ (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 6% 15.50 4.30 DQ↓2
HE'S GOT IT 5 3 46 42   3 2¼ (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00 15% 5.70 2.05 W
BOINTHEBACK 9 1 22 2nk   1nk 3½ (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 118 20.00 35.25  
JOSHUA 8 8 89 7   5 4½ (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 9.30  
10  THE SLEEPYCHIPMUNK 10 6 5 53   43 52 (summers )DAVIS A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
TONALISTIC 2 10 1013 87   65 6 (klesaris steve)CANCEL ERIC 125 8.00 6.00  
REAP WHAT YOU SOW 3 9 910½ 9   8 7 (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 26.00  
LIMIT UP 6 4 6 64   76 86 (klesaris)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 6.00 12.50  
CROSTATA B C 7 2 12 1nk   9 920 (englehart)VARGAS A 118 10.00 10.80  
MARTINI MARGARITA 1 7 7 10   1019¼ 1030½ (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 7.30  
SCR  FAST N FEARIOUS               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 125 1.20 51% 1.00    
SCR  HOW YOU FEELING               (levine bruce)LUZZI J 118 15.00    
SCR  KARMA'S WARRIOR               (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00    
SCR  PEPPER KING               (davis ro)DAVIS A 118 30.00    
SCR  PERFECT BANKER               (albertrani )MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 10.00    
SCR  ROYAL TIME               (ferraro jame)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.