Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - April 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/23/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANALOGY Mar12         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 ★    
2  I AM THE LAW Mar27         (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  FORWARDLY         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 ★    
SCR  MONTAUK POINT Apr02 Feb26 Jan29     (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 118 0.60 35% 1.80    
5  GRAND CAY Feb25 Jan02       (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00    
6  GOOD MEDICINE         (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 32% 2.10    
7  BALTHUS (IRE)         (brown chad )MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 6.00    
SCR  EXCLUSIVE ORDER         (mc joh)HARKIE K 118 50.00    
 
AQU-2   04/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME INDRA Mar26 Feb27 Jan16     (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  PRAIRIE FIRE Apr03 Feb20 Feb06 Jan08   (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.50 12% 7.50    
SCR  BIG Q Mar20 Feb27 Jan06     (sciacca gary)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 8% 11.50    
4  QUASAR Jan17         (vazquez juan )SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00    
5  HYDRA Apr03 Feb10 Jan05     (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 ★    
6  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Mar27 Mar11 Feb04 Jan06   (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00    
7  BUSTIN BAY Mar26 Feb06 Jan02     (lucas bonni)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50 43% 1.30    
 
AQU-3   04/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S THE ONE         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 2.00 5% 19.00    
2  STEAL MY HEART Feb27         (clarke dylan)ALPANDER B 119 30.00    
3  CARA'S DREAMER         (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 8% 12.20    
4  CHOOSE HAPPINESS Mar13 Feb13 Jan20     (noda orl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00    
SCR  PAY GRADE         (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 119 1.40 44% 1.30    
6  MISCHIEVOUS DREAM         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50    
7  EPONA'S DREAM Mar13 Feb18 Jan20     (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 121 15.00 ★    
8  BARKIN         (day-phillips ca)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.60 21% 3.70    
 
AQU-4   04/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASING CARA Mar25 Feb27 Feb13     (friedman mitche)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00    
2  TOWERING ORBIT Mar25 Feb11 Jan01     (baker cha)VARGAS A 121 4.50 12% 7.60    
3  LETMETAKETHISCALL Mar31 Feb13 Jan23 Jan02   (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 119 6.00 ★    
4  IMPAZIBLE DONNA Mar25 Feb27 Jan08     (levine b)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 3.50 9% 10.50    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL KAREN Mar25 Feb27 Feb06     (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 14% 6.00    
6  OUR SWEET GIRL Mar25 Jan29       (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
7  SNICKET Mar18 Feb11 Jan23 Jan01   (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
AQU-5   04/23/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEEP COVER Jan14         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 126 4.00 5% 18.20    
2  G MUNNING Mar13 Feb12 Jan09     (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  UNCLE GEORGE         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.50 19% 4.40    
SCR  COTTON         (casse ma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00    
5  VOLKERT         (hennig ma)VARGAS A 126 4.50    
6  SURPRISE BOSS Apr04         (vazquez ca)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
7  MARBLE MOON Jan28 Jan16       (englehart chr)CARDENAS LUIS 126 30.00    
8  KID D'ORO Apr01 Mar09 Feb15 Jan23   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 126 6.00 33% 2.00    
9  SANDRONE         (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
10  BALI'S SHADE Jan09         (rod)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
SCR  HOT ROD RUMBLE Mar05 Jan22       (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  TACO BEAN Apr01 Mar13 Feb26 Feb05   (kelly j)LUZZI J 124 12.00    
SCR  MY LAST MISSION Mar25 Mar06 Jan28     (vazquez carl)RIDER TBA 118 15.00    
 
AQU-6   04/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACTUARY (GB) Apr01 Jan27       (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00    
2  MALIBU STAR Feb03 Jan08       (giangiuli)VARGAS A 125 4.50 16% 5.20    
3  LABAN M MO Mar13 Feb05 Jan13     (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
4  EDDIE THE GREAT Mar31 Feb27 Feb13 Jan16   (barker edward)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
5  OCEAN DEEP Apr02 Mar11 Feb20 Feb03   (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00    
SCR  PRACTICE SQUAD Feb28         (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 7% 12.60    
7  EXALTED CHARM Apr10 Mar20 Feb18 Jan28   (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
8  SONIC SPEED Feb11 Jan09       (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 127 4.00 ★    
9  NOBLE CONQUEST         (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 125 5.00    
10  GHOSTMON Feb19 Feb03 Jan09     (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 8.00    
11  PRAYER BOOK Mar11 Feb13 Feb06 Jan16   (chichakly ami)CARDENAS LUIS 127 12.00    
SCR  BOB IN OUR MIDST         (sanchez-pine)LAPRIDA JEREMY 125 8.00    
SCR  KID BOURBON Mar28         (vazquez juan )SILVERA RUBEN 125 3.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  TOP OF THE MINT         (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 125 4.00    
SCR  MIDASWELLRUN Apr10 Feb27 Jan28     (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 2.50 ★    
 
AQU-7   04/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUCKPHAT Feb11         (ferraro jame)LAPRIDA JEREMY 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CABERNET TRAIL         (davis ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
3  LIBERTY FLAME Apr02         (quick j)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 13% 6.50    
4  VIVAZANO Mar11 Jan13 Jan02     (dunha)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 15.00    
5  ROYAL CURRENCY Mar20 Feb05 Jan08     (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
6  BAVARIAN CREME Mar11 Jan13       (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.50 9% 9.60    
7  CAPITAL GAL Mar25         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.00 9% 10.50    
8  CERRETTA Feb19         (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
9  SECRET HIDEOUT         (dav)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 30.00    
 
AQU-8   04/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNIQUE UNIONS Jan09         (schosberg ric)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 ★    
2  BARESE Apr09 Feb12 Jan09     (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 0.40 48% 1.10    
3  TOMMY GUN Mar31         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
4  MO DANCIN Mar31 Mar11       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
5  RED D G P Mar18         (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 118 30.00 11% 8.00    
6  MISTER LARRY Mar13 Feb11 Jan22     (noda orl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  KAZMIKE Mar31 Mar05       (synnefias d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 15% 5.50    
 
AQU-9   04/23/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAVEN STREET Mar12         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.50 31% 2.30    
2  OHTWOOHTHREEFIVE Feb11 Jan01       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 6% 15.10    
3  CHANCEUX Mar20 Jan30 Jan01     (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
4  FORT WASHINGTON Mar12         (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  DOCTOR JEFF         (rodriguez)VARGAS A 122 10.00    
6  UNANIMOUS CONSENT (GB) Feb04         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 12% 7.00    
7  MASETA         (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 ★    
 
AQU-10   04/23/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARTINI MARGARITA Jan28         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
2  TONALISTIC Apr02         (klesaris steve)CANCEL ERIC 125 8.00    
3  REAP WHAT YOU SOW         (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHARP SENSATION Mar23         (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 6% 15.50    
5  HE'S GOT IT Mar18 Feb11 Jan09     (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00 15% 5.70    
6  LIMIT UP Mar31 Mar05 Feb12     (klesaris)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 6.00    
7  CROSTATA B C Mar31 Mar13 Jan20     (englehart)VARGAS A 118 10.00    
8  JOSHUA Mar31 Feb24       (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
9  BOINTHEBACK Mar31 Feb21 Feb12 Jan20   (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 118 20.00    
10  THE SLEEPYCHIPMUNK Mar13         (summers )DAVIS A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PERFECT BANKER         (albertrani )MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 10.00    
SCR  PEPPER KING Mar18 Feb12       (davis ro)DAVIS A 118 30.00    
SCR  HOW YOU FEELING Mar13 Feb10       (levine bruce)LUZZI J 118 15.00    
SCR  ROYAL TIME Apr07 Feb24       (ferraro jame)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 15.00    
SCR  KARMA'S WARRIOR         (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00    
SCR  FAST N FEARIOUS Mar18         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 125 1.20 51% 1.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.