Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Friday - February 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   02/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:021     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THATS PRETTY NICE 5 4 3 1½   1 1 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 7.30  
AFILADA 3 6 6 6   6 2 (falcone ro)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 2.00 51% 1.00 2.80 P
DUSTED 6 5 52 5   33 3 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 1.95 S
MOSTLY HARMLESS 4 1 4 4   5 4 (arenas marcelo)MENA E 120 4.00 3.50  
HERECOMESANGELINA 2 3 2½ 2½   2 5 (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 22% 3.50 6.80  
BELLESHAZZA 1 2 1½ 3½   4 612½ (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 6.90  
 
AQU-2   02/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:142     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA PRINCIPESSA 2 4 4 3   3½ 1¾ (klesaris robert)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 28% 2.60 1.80 W
BOURBON REBELLION 3 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 2¾ (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 39% 1.50 3.85 P
TO A T 4 5 2½ 2nk   2nk 3 (noda orlan)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.00 9% 10.70 3.65 S
JASMINESQUE 6 6 6 6   45 48 (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 120 15.00 20.40  
SWEET MISSION 1 3 5 54   6 516 (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50 5.60  
CALESCENT 5 2 3 42   59 620½ (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 3.55  
 
AQU-3   02/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:13     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TELLAPERFECTTALE 2 3 32 3.2   1 1 (potts wayn)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 13% 6.60 6.00 W
NEW YORK BANKER 4 2 11 1nk   2 2 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 13% 6.50 5.40 P
BOSS CARA 1 4 4 4   37 314¼ (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80 23% 3.40 1.15 S
WRITE THIS DOWN 3 5 56 5   49 415¼ (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 8.00 20% 3.90 9.80  
FLOWER MOON 5 1 21 2nk   5 522¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 1.90  
SCR  THEGODDESSOFSNAKES               (summers chad)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.00    
 
AQU-4   02/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:13     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRILLIANT BROOKS 6 6 3 2   12 13 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 2.85  
ALCOOLS 2 1 2 33   33 23 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 33% 2.10 0.80  
MOUNT TRAVERS 1 2 53 6   45 3 (kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 13.50  
MONTAUK DADDY 4 3 1 1   22 4 (klesaris p)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 17% 5.00 7.40  
EUCHARIST (IRE) 3 4 6 4   55 515 (giangiulio )VARGAS A 120 5.00 3.95  
1A  MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI) 5 5 4 55   67 616¾ (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.80 0.80  
SCR  BANYAN BREEZE               (acquilano james)NAVARRO KEVIN 123 12.00    
SCR  FREE ENTERPRISE               (englehart )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.00 25% 3.10    
 
AQU-5   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:15     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIMACY (ARG) 2 5 3.2 2nk 1nk 11 11 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 8.50  
FROST POINT 4 4 6 52 52 42 21 (mott willia)VARGAS A 120 3.50 14% 6.00 2.90 P
ICE PRINCESS 1 6 2nk 1nk 2nk 21 33 (gargan danny)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 13% 6.70 1.10 S
CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE 5 2 4 4 41 31 44 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 28% 2.60 3.20  
FLASHNDYNAMITE 6 1 1nk 3½ 3½ 5 57 (moore m)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 12% 7.20 17.40  
VEGAS WEEKEND 3 3 5 6 6 6 6100 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 14.10  
SCR  HYBRID ECLIPSE               (rice linda)GOMEZ ANTONIO 111 8.00 10% 9.00    
 
AQU-6   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:153     1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAIGHT SKINNY 7 3 32 21 1 1 1 (chichakly a)CAMACHO JR 123 6.00 5.70  
NOBLE JOURNEY 1 1 21 31 3 3 2 (jerkens james)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00 7.80 P
MAKE IT IN NY 4 4 66 56 44 2 3 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 43% 1.30 3.85 S
EL MAYOR 6 2 11 11 2 4 4 (toscano jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 11% 8.30 14.50  
BIG CASTLE 5 7 7 6 54 55 5 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50 3.85  
MISTER CANDY RIDE 3 5 4 45 6 6 69 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 15% 5.70 1.30  
PATTY O'MARC 2 6 5 711¾ 727½ 739½ 7100 (trite)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 30.00 5% 19.00 46.75  
SCR  BELLAMY DOLCE               (simmonds michael )FRET STEVEN 120 30.00    
 
AQU-7   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:15     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROST ME 1 7 7 78 4 2nk 11 (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50 11% 8.10 6.10 W
B B'S BUSTED 5 8 8 8 53 31 21 (brennan reg)VARGAS A 118 12.00 5% 18.60 18.70 P
KHALI MAGIC 7 3 4 3 31 1nk 3 (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 9.30  
EPONA'S DREAM 6 4 6 66 6 65 4 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 2.75  
IFIHADACHANCE 4 1 3½ 42 21 4 5 (falcone ro)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 5.00 10.70  
MASHNEE GIRL 2 5 1½ 1½ 11 53 6 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 25% 3.00 3.50  
AMITY ISLAND 3 6 55 56 87 711 715¾ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 14% 6.20 15.10  
CAZILDA FORTYTALES 8 2 2½ 2½ 7 813 823 (vazquez c)HERNANDEZ ANDY 111 4.00 23% 3.40 2.70  
 
AQU-8   02/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:143     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXALTED CHARM 5 1 2nk 1½   1nk 12 (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.50 3.55  
RYE RUNNER 4 6 7 7   3 22 (keithan rachae)HARKIE K 122 20.00 19.10  
ALITE 2 5 8 87   4 32 (pringle edmund)CORREA JULIO 122 8.00 20.00  
10  RUN WHITE RABBIT 9 7 4 2½   2nk 4 (vazquez)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 15.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
12  WE READY 11 10 9 10   8 5 (parker joseph)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 31% 2.30 4.60  
TOTAL EFFORT 7 3 6 6   9 6 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 3.25  
11  ROMANTIC MAN 10 8 3 53   6 7 (martin carlos )HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 8.00 6% 15.80 6.30  
MISTER J T 6 2 1nk 3½   5 812 (donk david)MORRISON AILSA 117 8.00 11.60  
NAPOLEON COMPLEX 8 11 108 9   109 914¾ (metivier richard)MENA E 122 30.00 81.50  
WAR NOVEL 1 4 5 4   7 1015 (handal raymond)SAMUEL L 122 20.00 5% 19.00 22.60  
STONE SURPRISE 3 9 1112½ 1114½   1115 1122 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 5.80  
SCR  MOTION TO STRIKE               (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 24% 3.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.