Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Friday - February 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   02/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:021     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  THATS PRETTY NICE 5 4 31½ 1½   12½ 13½ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 7.30  
3  AFILADA 3 6 62½ 64¾   64½ 23½ (falcone )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 2.00 51% 1.00 2.80 P
6  DUSTED 6 5 52 52¾   33 34½ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 ★ 1.95 S
4  MOSTLY HARMLESS 4 1 41½ 42½   53½ 44½ (arenas marcelo)MENA E 120 4.00 ★ 3.50  
2  HERECOMESANGELINA 2 3 2½ 2½   22½ 56½ (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 22% 3.50 6.80  
1  BELLESHAZZA 1 2 1½ 3½   43½ 612½ (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 ★ 6.90  
 
AQU-2   02/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:142     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BELLA PRINCIPESSA 2 4 42½ 31½   3½ 1¾ (klesaris robe)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 28% 2.60 1.80 W
3  BOURBON REBELLION 3 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 2¾ (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 39% 1.50 3.85 P
4  TO A T 4 5 2½ 2nk   2nk 33¾ (noda orl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.00 9% 10.70 3.65 S
6  JASMINESQUE 6 6 65½ 64½   45 48 (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 120 15.00 20.40  
1  SWEET MISSION 1 3 52½ 54   69¼ 516 (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50 ★ 5.60  
5  CALESCENT 5 2 31½ 42   59 620½ (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 ★ 3.55  
 
AQU-3   02/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:13     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TELLAPERFECTTALE 2 3 32 3.2   13½ 18¼ (potts wa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 13% 6.60 6.00 W
5  NEW YORK BANKER 4 2 11 1nk   23½ 28¼ (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 13% 6.50 5.40 P
1  BOSS CARA 1 4 42½ 42¾   37 314¼ (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80 23% 3.40 1.15 S
4  WRITE THIS DOWN 3 5 56 53¾   49 415¼ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 8.00 20% 3.90 9.80  
6  FLOWER MOON 5 1 21 2nk   59½ 522¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 1.90  
SCR  THEGODDESSOFSNAKES               (summers cha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.00 ★    
 
AQU-4   02/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:13     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BRILLIANT BROOKS 6 6 31½ 22½   12 13 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 ★ 2.85  
1  ALCOOLS 2 1 21½ 33   33 23 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 33% 2.10 0.80  
2  MOUNT TRAVERS 1 2 53 65½   45 36¼ (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 13.50  
6  MONTAUK DADDY 4 3 11½ 12½   22 47½ (klesaris robert)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 17% 5.00 7.40  
3  EUCHARIST (IRE) 3 4 63½ 44½   55 515 (giangiuli)VARGAS A 120 5.00 3.95  
1A  MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI) 5 5 42½ 55   67 616¾ (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.80 ★ 0.80  
SCR  BANYAN BREEZE               (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 123 12.00 ★    
SCR  FREE ENTERPRISE               (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.00 25% 3.10    
 
AQU-5   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:15     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PRIMACY (ARG) 2 5 3.2 2nk 1nk 11 11 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 8.50  
5  FROST POINT 4 4 62¼ 52 52 42 21 (mott will)VARGAS A 120 3.50 14% 6.00 2.90 P
2  ICE PRINCESS 1 6 2nk 1nk 2nk 21 33 (gargan danny)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 13% 6.70 1.10 S
6  CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE 5 2 41¾ 41½ 41 31 44 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 28% 2.60 3.20  
7  FLASHNDYNAMITE 6 1 1nk 3½ 3½ 52½ 57 (moore m)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 12% 7.20 17.40  
4  VEGAS WEEKEND 3 3 51¾ 62¼ 62½ 65½ 6100 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 14.10  
SCR  HYBRID ECLIPSE               (rice lin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 111 8.00 10% 9.00    
 
AQU-6   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:153     1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  STRAIGHT SKINNY 7 3 32 21 11½ 13½ 14½ (chichakly)CAMACHO JR 123 6.00 5.70  
1  NOBLE JOURNEY 1 1 21 31 33½ 33½ 24½ (jerkens jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00 ★ 7.80 P
5  MAKE IT IN NY 4 4 66 56 44 23½ 35¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 43% 1.30 3.85 S
7  EL MAYOR 6 2 11 11 21½ 44½ 46½ (toscano )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 11% 8.30 14.50  
6  BIG CASTLE 5 7 76½ 66¼ 54 55 56½ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50 3.85  
3  MISTER CANDY RIDE 3 5 42½ 45 65½ 65½ 69 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 15% 5.70 1.30  
2  PATTY O'MARC 2 6 55½ 711¾ 727½ 739½ 7100 (tri)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 30.00 5% 19.00 46.75  
SCR  BELLAMY DOLCE               (simmonds michae)FRET STEVEN 120 30.00    
 
AQU-7   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:15     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROST ME 1 7 77½ 78 41½ 2nk 11 (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50 11% 8.10 6.10 W
5  B B'S BUSTED 5 8 89½ 88½ 53 31 21 (brennan r)VARGAS A 118 12.00 5% 18.60 18.70 P
7  KHALI MAGIC 7 3 43½ 31½ 31 1nk 31¾ (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 9.30  
6  EPONA'S DREAM 6 4 66½ 66 64½ 65 43½ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 2.75  
4  IFIHADACHANCE 4 1 3½ 42 21 42½ 56½ (falcone )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 5.00 10.70  
2  MASHNEE GIRL 2 5 1½ 1½ 11 53 67¼ (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 25% 3.00 3.50  
3  AMITY ISLAND 3 6 55 56 87 711 715¾ (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 14% 6.20 15.10  
8  CAZILDA FORTYTALES 8 2 2½ 2½ 76½ 813 823 (vazquez juan)HERNANDEZ ANDY 111 4.00 23% 3.40 2.70  
 
AQU-8   02/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:143     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  EXALTED CHARM 5 1 2nk 1½   1nk 12 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.50 3.55  
4  RYE RUNNER 4 6 75¼ 75½   33½ 22 (keithan rach)HARKIE K 122 20.00 19.10  
2  ALITE 2 5 86¼ 87   43¾ 32 (pringle edmund)CORREA JULIO 122 8.00 20.00  
10  RUN WHITE RABBIT 9 7 41¾ 2½   2nk 42¼ (vazqu)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 15.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
12  WE READY 11 10 96½ 108½   87½ 55¼ (parker joseph)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 31% 2.30 4.60  
8  TOTAL EFFORT 7 3 62¼ 63½   98½ 68½ (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 3.25  
11  ROMANTIC MAN 10 8 31½ 53   66¼ 79¼ (martin carlo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 8.00 6% 15.80 6.30  
6  MISTER J T 6 2 1nk 3½   56¼ 812 (donk david)MORRISON AILSA 117 8.00 11.60  
9  NAPOLEON COMPLEX 8 11 108 97½   109 914¾ (metivier richar)MENA E 122 30.00 81.50  
1  WAR NOVEL 1 4 51¾ 42½   77¼ 1015 (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 122 20.00 5% 19.00 22.60  
3  STONE SURPRISE 3 9 1112½ 1114½   1115 1122 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 5.80  
SCR  MOTION TO STRIKE               (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 24% 3.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.