Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - February 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLESHAZZA Jan13         (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 ★    
2  HERECOMESANGELINA         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
3  AFILADA Jan20         (falcone )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 2.00 51% 1.00    
4  MOSTLY HARMLESS Jan28 Jan13       (arenas marcelo)MENA E 120 4.00 ★    
5  THATS PRETTY NICE         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00    
6  DUSTED         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 ★    
 
AQU-2   02/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET MISSION Feb04 Jan06       (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50 ★    
2  BELLA PRINCIPESSA Jan23         (klesaris robe)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 28% 2.60    
3  BOURBON REBELLION         (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 39% 1.50    
4  TO A T Jan23         (noda orl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.00 9% 10.70    
5  CALESCENT         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 ★    
6  JASMINESQUE Jan13         (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 120 15.00    
 
AQU-3   02/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSS CARA Jan16 Jan01       (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80 23% 3.40    
SCR  THEGODDESSOFSNAKES Jan01         (summers cha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.00 ★    
3  TELLAPERFECTTALE Jan23         (potts wa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 13% 6.60    
4  WRITE THIS DOWN Jan23         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 8.00 20% 3.90    
5  NEW YORK BANKER Jan08         (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 13% 6.50    
6  FLOWER MOON Jan23 Jan09 Jan02     (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50    
 
AQU-4   02/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALCOOLS Jan14         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 33% 2.10    
1A  MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI) Feb10 Jan28 Jan22     (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.80 ★    
2  MOUNT TRAVERS Jan14         (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
3  EUCHARIST (IRE) Feb03         (giangiuli)VARGAS A 120 5.00    
SCR  BANYAN BREEZE Jan14         (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 123 12.00 ★    
SCR  FREE ENTERPRISE         (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.00 25% 3.10    
6  MONTAUK DADDY         (klesaris robert)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 17% 5.00    
7  BRILLIANT BROOKS         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 ★    
 
AQU-5   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HYBRID ECLIPSE         (rice lin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 111 8.00 10% 9.00    
2  ICE PRINCESS         (gargan danny)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 13% 6.70    
3  PRIMACY (ARG) Jan20         (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
4  VEGAS WEEKEND         (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
5  FROST POINT Jan27         (mott will)VARGAS A 120 3.50 14% 6.00    
6  CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE Jan23         (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 28% 2.60    
7  FLASHNDYNAMITE         (moore m)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 12% 7.20    
 
AQU-6   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE JOURNEY         (jerkens jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00 ★    
2  PATTY O'MARC         (tri)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  MISTER CANDY RIDE Feb04         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 15% 5.70    
SCR  BELLAMY DOLCE Jan27         (simmonds michae)FRET STEVEN 120 30.00    
5  MAKE IT IN NY Jan27         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
6  BIG CASTLE Jan16         (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50    
7  EL MAYOR Feb05         (toscano )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 11% 8.30    
8  STRAIGHT SKINNY Jan27         (chichakly)CAMACHO JR 123 6.00    
 
AQU-7   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROST ME Jan20         (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50 11% 8.10    
2  MASHNEE GIRL Jan13         (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  AMITY ISLAND         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 14% 6.20    
4  IFIHADACHANCE         (falcone )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 5.00    
5  B B'S BUSTED Jan20         (brennan r)VARGAS A 118 12.00 5% 18.60    
6  EPONA'S DREAM Jan20         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
7  KHALI MAGIC Jan13         (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
8  CAZILDA FORTYTALES Jan23 Jan01       (vazquez juan)HERNANDEZ ANDY 111 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
AQU-8   02/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR NOVEL Jan22         (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  ALITE Feb03         (pringle edmund)CORREA JULIO 122 8.00    
3  STONE SURPRISE         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00    
4  RYE RUNNER Jan28         (keithan )DAVIS A 122 20.00    
5  EXALTED CHARM Jan28         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.50    
6  MISTER J T Jan20         (donk david)MORRISON AILSA 117 8.00    
SCR  MOTION TO STRIKE Jan20         (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 24% 3.30    
8  TOTAL EFFORT Feb03         (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
9  NAPOLEON COMPLEX Feb03 Jan22       (metivier richar)MENA E 122 30.00    
10  RUN WHITE RABBIT         (vazqu)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  ROMANTIC MAN Feb03 Jan20       (martin carlo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 8.00 6% 15.80    
12  WE READY Feb03 Jan20       (parker joseph)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 31% 2.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.