Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Lone Star Park
Monday - May 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
LS-1   05/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MORO MERICA   (c)DE CRUZ 124 6.00 12.60  
5  MORO WARRIOR   (glover tr)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 5.00 ★ 10.40 P
2  ON THE HONOR ROLL   (eoff terr)TORRES A 122 4.50 6.80  
4  CLAIMJUMPER   (villafranco)HAMILTON WESTON 124 12.00 ★ 8.50  
8  TEXAN BOY   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 2.00 ★ 0.80  
6  MANI SURPRISE   (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.50 52% 0.90 4.60  
7  CRESSON (GB)   (davidson sa)MELANCON JANSEN 122 12.00 12% 7.10 13.50  
1  UNBRIDLED POSSE   (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 122 20.00 24.40  
 
LS-2   05/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LADY AVE   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.40 ★ 0.40  
4  RAGATAGTAG   (barton aman)HAMILTON WESTON 121 10.00 8% 12.10 18.60 P
1  LIGHT UP THE DEVIL   (clary jaylan)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 5.00 ★ 6.90 S
6  SCARLET POSITION   (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 4.50 30% 2.30 5.60  
3  METALLIC SILVER   (r)DE CRUZ 123 20.00 21.50  
2  COBRA CASABLANCA   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.00 34% 2.00 8.00  
7  SHACKLELACKALACKA   (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00 19.00  
 
LS-3   05/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR   (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00 ★ 2.50  
4  SIMPLE PLEASURE   (hebert matt)LUZZI J 119 6.00 3.60  
6  TESUQUE   (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 123 8.00 17% 5.00 7.50 S
3  UNBURNT   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 1.60 17% 4.90 0.80  
2  DORITA'S HEART   (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 121 15.00 ★ 16.10  
SCR  FIRST EMPRESS   (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
LS-4   05/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARBON STRYKER   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 6.00 3.80  
7  DECLINED   (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 124 3.50 ★ 1.30 P
5  ALTERNATE TIME   (hebert mat)ERAMIA E 124 5.00 19% 4.40 4.20 S
8  COWBOY COOL   (gree)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.00 2.70  
3  SHIFTY HENRY   (crave)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 15.00 14% 5.90 6.50  
SCR  BEBOP SHOES   (cangemi l)STEINBERG GARRETT 122 20.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  FRESH ONE   (caldwell r)LUZZI J 124 3.00    
SCR  MUNI MUNI SLEW   (hartman alex)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 4.50 21% 3.80    
 
LS-5   05/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GRASS QUEEN   (eoff terr)TORRES A 118 15.00 8.60  
7  CHATON ROUGE   (glover trac)HAMILTON WESTON 118 8.00 13.80  
2  TEXAS TIDELANDS   (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00 12.90  
4  CROSS BOSS LADY   (clary rena)DIEGO V 121 30.00 6.70  
10  ERIN'S CREATION   (diodoro rober)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 3.00 16% 5.20 3.50  
9  BASIC   (green greg)MONTALVO C 118 6.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
3  AUSTIN CITY GIRL   (ashford)GONCALVES R 120 8.00 13% 6.90 2.30  
1  WYOME   (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 10.00 4.80  
5  GEE SHE'S PRETTY   (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 118 15.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
SCR  LUCK IS FICKLE   (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
LS-6   05/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SMASH TICKET   (fincher to)ERAMIA E 118 1.40 32% 2.10 0.50 W
8  IT'S A GIRL   (caldwell r)LUZZI J 118 4.50 ★ 11.70 P
1  ROLLIN CHROME   (baldillez a)MELANCON JANSEN 118 20.00 14.30  
4  REDEFINITION   (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.80 24% 3.20 3.30  
6  SINNIN N GRINNIN   (craddoc)GONCALVES R 120 20.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
2  THORNY ROSE   (villafran)TORRES A 121 20.00 12% 7.30 29.70  
3  HOT TUB HOTTIE   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 5.00 10.90  
5  DUCHESS OF ZMOR   (franc)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 50.00 33.80  
 
LS-7   05/30/2022 3300ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  EXCESS MAGIC   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.20 35% 1.80 1.10 W
3  ARCHIDUST   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 2.50 10% 8.60 3.50 P
1  TIZ MAGIC   (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 4.00 19% 4.40 5.50 S
4  SIGN OF WAR   (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 5.00 ★ 3.60  
2  SPIRIT ANIMAL   (caramor)GONCALVES R 118 20.00 14.00  
7  ZIP TIE   (leddy spence)PIVARAL GERBER 118 30.00 38.00  
5  BOB'S BAD BOY   (willis mindy)LEON SONNY 122 12.00 7% 14.00 13.30  
 
LS-8   05/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  KALYPSO   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 1.40 ★ 2.10  
1  BECCA'S ROCKET   (gelner j)LUZZI J 119 4.00 ★ 2.50 P
3  DISTORTED FLASH   (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00 18.80  
5  OUR IRIS ROSE   (fincher to)ERAMIA E 121 2.50 36% 1.80 1.60  
2  UPANDCOMINGSTAR   (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 15.00 8% 10.80 10.60  
7  HEAVENLY RHYTHM   (hurl)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00 8.70  
SCR  SKINNY DIP   (foley greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  STORMIEIS BLUE   (whitelaw mic)ALVAREZ L 117 30.00    
 
LS-9   05/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  IT MAKES SENSE   (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 5.00 ★ 4.80  
9  PAYNE   (caramori ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 35% 1.80 3.70 P
1  BOLDOR   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 15.00 10.70  
2  EMPIRE OF GOLD   (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 120 6.00 12% 7.60 2.50  
4  MACRON   (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 3.50 ★ 1.50  
5  BYBEE   (caramor)GONCALVES R 120 20.00 28.10  
3  RED N WILD   (eoff terry)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 20.00 23.10  
SCR  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH   (davidson sa)MELANCON JANSEN 124 15.00    
SCR  MR MONEY BAGS   (clar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
LS-10   05/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  PARK AVENUE   (sadler w)ESPINOZA V 123 1.40 0.80  
7  AVENUE DE FRANCE (FR)   (powell leona)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.50 3.20  
8  QUINN ELLA   (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00 7% 13.30 16.60 S
4  LAVENDER (IRE)   (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 15.00 5% 19.00 26.70  
1  PRETTY IN PINK   (ashford ray)PURCELL KELSI 119 30.00 55.00  
2  SHIRLEY'S TEMPLE   (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 5.00 19% 4.30 9.50  
6  ISLAND HIDEAWAY (GB)   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 8.00 45% 1.20 4.10  
5  IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME   (gomez d)GONCALVES R 117 30.00 50.70  
3  BRANDONS BABE   (jacks e)DIEGO V 119 20.00 5% 19.00 58.40  
 
LS-11   05/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 8:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KING OTTOMAN   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 15.00 5% 19.00 10.80 W
3  PRESIDENTIAL   (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00 ★ 21.60 P
8  A. P.'S SECRET   (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124 2.50 53% 0.90 1.70 S
2  WIN THE DAY   (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.50 ★ 13.40  
1  STRIKE HARD   (williams mat)ALVAREZ L 124 4.00 19% 4.10 2.90  
5  FOWLER BLUE   (o'neill doug)LEON SONNY 124 12.00 43.50  
7  COVER ME UP   (baltas richa)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00 2.50  
6  GOT THUNDER   (sadler w)ESPINOZA V 124 12.00 9.50  
 
LS-12   05/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($400K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SILVER PROSPECTOR   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 12.00 ★ 5.50  
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of TAP SOFTLY by TAPIT)
6  MISH   (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 3.50 21% 3.90 3.50 P
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of WICKED GREAT by GREATNESS)
8  SHAAZ   (mccarthy sea)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.00 24% 3.20 2.10 S
  (by UNCLE MO out of MISS OCEAN CITY by MINESHAFT)
7  POPULAR KID   (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 120 15.00 10.00  
  (by UNKNOWN out of LEMON SUPREME by LEMON DROP KID)
1  RATED R SUPERSTAR   (villafranco)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 10.00 4.10  
  (by KODIAK KOWBOY out of WICKED WISH by GOLD CASE)
4  SHERIFF BROWN   (fincher)GONCALVES R 122 12.00 16% 5.50 18.00  
  (by CURLIN out of ROSE'S DESERT by DESERT GOD)
9  FLASH OF MISCHIEF   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 12.00 12.00  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FLASHY CAMPAIGN by POLITICAL FORCE)
3  MINE THAT STAR   (ashford ray)PURCELL KELSI 120 20.00 23.40  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MINING MY OWN by SMART STRIKE)
2  TESORO   (jauregui j)LEON SONNY 118 20.00 11.40  
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of TIZN'TSHEBEAUTIFUL by UNCLE MO)
SCR  ELECTOR   (sadler w)ESPINOZA V 118 3.00 16% 5.40    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of OH KAY SEE by NOTIONAL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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