Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Lone Star Park
Monday - May 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
LS-1   05/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:223 :464 :594     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORO MERICA 3 1 5¾ 4   2½ 1 (c)DE CRUZ 124 6.00 12.60  
MORO WARRIOR 5 2 1nk 1nk   1½ 2 (glover tr)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 5.00 10.40 P
ON THE HONOR ROLL 2 3 4¼ 52   4 3 (eoff terr)TORRES A 122 4.50 6.80  
CLAIMJUMPER 4 8 8 6   6 4 (villafranco)HAMILTON WESTON 124 12.00 8.50  
TEXAN BOY 8 6 3.2 3½   3½ 5 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 2.00 0.80  
MANI SURPRISE 6 5 2nk 2nk   52 6 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.50 52% 0.90 4.60  
CRESSON (GB) 7 7 7 7   712¼ 723 (davidson sa)MELANCON JANSEN 122 12.00 12% 7.10 13.50  
UNBRIDLED POSSE 1 4 6 810½   813¼ 826¾ (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 122 20.00 24.40  
 
LS-2   05/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:222 :461       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY AVE 5 1 2nk 1nk   13 1 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.40 0.40  
RAGATAGTAG 4 5 6 6   4 2 (barton aman)HAMILTON WESTON 121 10.00 8% 12.10 18.60 P
LIGHT UP THE DEVIL 1 7 7 7   6 3 (clary jaylan)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 5.00 6.90 S
SCARLET POSITION 6 4 4 3½   33 4 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 4.50 30% 2.30 5.60  
METALLIC SILVER 3 3 5 5   23 5 (r)DE CRUZ 123 20.00 21.50  
COBRA CASABLANCA 2 2 1nk 2nk   55 613 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.00 34% 2.00 8.00  
SHACKLELACKALACKA 7 6 31 4¾   710½ 719½ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00 19.00  
 
LS-3   05/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:133 1:264   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR 4 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 1½ 11 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00 2.50  
SIMPLE PLEASURE 3 4 1½ 1½ 1nk 2½ 21 (hebert matt)LUZZI J 119 6.00 3.60  
TESUQUE 5 3 55 59 511½ 5 3 (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 123 8.00 17% 5.00 7.50 S
UNBURNT 2 5 41 31 3 3 4 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 1.60 17% 4.90 0.80  
DORITA'S HEART 1 1 3½ 43 4 47 512¼ (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 121 15.00 16.10  
SCR  FIRST EMPRESS               (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
LS-4   05/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:222 :46       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARBON STRYKER 1 3 1½ 11   1 1hd (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 6.00 3.80  
DECLINED 4 4 4 4   3 2hd (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 124 3.50 1.30 P
ALTERNATE TIME 3 2 3½ 31   2 3¾ (hebert mat)ERAMIA E 124 5.00 19% 4.40 4.20 S
COWBOY COOL 5 5 5 53   5 4 (gree)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.00 2.70  
SHIFTY HENRY 2 1 2½ 21   43 57 (crave)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 15.00 14% 5.90 6.50  
SCR  BEBOP SHOES               (cangemi l)STEINBERG GARRETT 122 20.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  FRESH ONE               (caldwell r)LUZZI J 124 3.00    
SCR  MUNI MUNI SLEW               (hartman alex)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 4.50 21% 3.80    
 
LS-5   05/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:12 1:251   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRASS QUEEN 6 7 7 6 6 5 1nk (eoff terr)TORRES A 118 15.00 8.60  
CHATON ROUGE 7 6 5 5 4¾ 31 2nk (glover trac)HAMILTON WESTON 118 8.00 13.80  
TEXAS TIDELANDS 2 3 4¾ 4 5¾ 21 3.15 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00 12.90  
CROSS BOSS LADY 4 1 3½ 3.2 1nk 11 4 (clary rena)DIEGO V 121 30.00 6.70  
10  ERIN'S CREATION 9 8 8 7 8 8 5 (diodoro rober)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 3.00 16% 5.20 3.50  
BASIC 8 9 9 9 7 7 66 (green greg)MONTALVO C 118 6.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
AUSTIN CITY GIRL 3 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 4 7 (ashford)GONCALVES R 120 8.00 13% 6.90 2.30  
WYOME 1 4 1½ 1nk 3.2 6 813¼ (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 10.00 4.80  
GEE SHE'S PRETTY 5 5 6 8 912½ 9 913¼ (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 118 15.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
SCR  LUCK IS FICKLE               (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
LS-6   05/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
See original race card.
:221 :453 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMASH TICKET 7 4 3.2 1½   1 111 (fincher to)ERAMIA E 118 1.40 32% 2.10 0.50 W
IT'S A GIRL 8 5 4¾ 4¾   2 211 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 118 4.50 11.70 P
ROLLIN CHROME 1 6 7 7   45 311¾ (baldillez a)MELANCON JANSEN 118 20.00 14.30  
REDEFINITION 4 1 1nk 2½   33 413¼ (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.80 24% 3.20 3.30  
SINNIN N GRINNIN 6 2 2nk 3½   5 514¾ (craddoc)GONCALVES R 120 20.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
THORNY ROSE 2 8 5¾ 6   66 617¾ (villafran)TORRES A 121 20.00 12% 7.30 29.70  
HOT TUB HOTTIE 3 7 6 5   79 722¼ (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 5.00 10.90  
DUCHESS OF ZMOR 5 3 8 8   813 827½ (franc)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 50.00 33.80  
 
LS-7   05/30/2022 3300ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
See original race card.
:22 :442       :562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCESS MAGIC 6 6 55 45   4 1½ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.20 35% 1.80 1.10 W
ARCHIDUST 3 3 3 3   3 2½ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 2.50 10% 8.60 3.50 P
TIZ MAGIC 1 4 2 2½   1nk 31 (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 4.00 19% 4.40 5.50 S
SIGN OF WAR 4 1 1 1½   2nk 4 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 5.00 3.60  
SPIRIT ANIMAL 2 7 6 66   5 5 (caramor)GONCALVES R 118 20.00 14.00  
ZIP TIE 7 2 4 5   6 6 (leddy spence)PIVARAL GERBER 118 30.00 38.00  
BOB'S BAD BOY 5 5 7 7   7100 7100 (willis mindy)LEON SONNY 122 12.00 7% 14.00 13.30  
 
LS-8   05/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:223 :453 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KALYPSO 5 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 1¾ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 1.40 2.10  
BECCA'S ROCKET 1 5 63 31   3.2 2¾ (gelner j)LUZZI J 119 4.00 2.50 P
DISTORTED FLASH 3 1 31 4   4 35 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00 18.80  
OUR IRIS ROSE 4 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 45 (fincher to)ERAMIA E 121 2.50 36% 1.80 1.60  
UPANDCOMINGSTAR 2 6 5 63   5 5 (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 15.00 8% 10.80 10.60  
HEAVENLY RHYTHM 6 4 41 52   6 610¾ (hurl)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00 8.70  
SCR  SKINNY DIP               (foley greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  STORMIEIS BLUE               (whitelaw mic)ALVAREZ L 117 30.00    
 
LS-9   05/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:221 :451 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT MAKES SENSE 6 4 2 2   1½ 11 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 5.00 4.80  
PAYNE 7 5 7 7   5 21 (caramori ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 35% 1.80 3.70 P
BOLDOR 1 6 43 32   4 3 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 15.00 10.70  
EMPIRE OF GOLD 2 1 1 1   2½ 4 (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 120 6.00 12% 7.60 2.50  
MACRON 4 7 33 42   3 53 (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 3.50 1.50  
BYBEE 5 3 5 6   7 6 (caramor)GONCALVES R 120 20.00 28.10  
RED N WILD 3 2 6 55   67 7 (eoff terry)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 20.00 23.10  
SCR  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH               (davidson sa)MELANCON JANSEN 124 15.00    
SCR  MR MONEY BAGS               (clar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
LS-10   05/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:103 1:223   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARK AVENUE 9 4 1½ 13 1½ 2nk 11 (sadler w)ESPINOZA V 123 1.40 0.80  
AVENUE DE FRANCE (FR) 7 6 8 8 2½ 1nk 21 (powell leona)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.50 3.20  
QUINN ELLA 8 7 6 6 5 5 3 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00 7% 13.30 16.60 S
LAVENDER (IRE) 4 1 2½ 23 3½ 3 4 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 15.00 5% 19.00 26.70  
PRETTY IN PINK 1 2 41 35 6 6 5 (ashford ray)PURCELL KELSI 119 30.00 55.00  
SHIRLEY'S TEMPLE 2 8 7 7 7 7 6 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 5.00 19% 4.30 9.50  
ISLAND HIDEAWAY (GB) 6 5 52 5 41 43 7 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 8.00 45% 1.20 4.10  
IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME 5 3 31 45 9 8 815½ (gomez d)GONCALVES R 117 30.00 50.70  
BRANDONS BABE 3 9 9 9 8 910¼ 916¾ (jacks e)DIEGO V 119 20.00 5% 19.00 58.40  
 
LS-11   05/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 8:01
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:114 1:381   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING OTTOMAN 4 2 42 53 5 2nk 1nk (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 15.00 5% 19.00 10.80 W
PRESIDENTIAL 3 1 5 42 4 1nk 2nk (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00 21.60 P
A. P.'S SECRET 8 7 3½ 2½ 2nk 3½ 3 (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124 2.50 53% 0.90 1.70 S
WIN THE DAY 2 6 7 77 7 7 4 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.50 13.40  
STRIKE HARD 1 5 6 64 6 6 54 (williams mat)ALVAREZ L 124 4.00 19% 4.10 2.90  
FOWLER BLUE 5 8 810¾ 87 8 8 64 (o'neill doug)LEON SONNY 124 12.00 43.50  
COVER ME UP 7 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 4¾ 74 (baltas richa)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00 2.50  
GOT THUNDER 6 4 2½ 31 31 5 8 (sadler w)ESPINOZA V 124 12.00 9.50  
 
LS-12   05/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($400K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:111 1:24   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SILVER PROSPECTOR 9 4 5 5 2nk 2nk 1 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 12.00 5.50  
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of TAP SOFTLY by TAPIT)
MISH 5 2 1 1 1nk 1nk 2 (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 3.50 21% 3.90 3.50 P
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of WICKED GREAT by GREATNESS)
SHAAZ 7 9 2 2 4¾ 4 3 (mccarthy sea)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.00 24% 3.20 2.10 S
  (by UNCLE MO out of MISS OCEAN CITY by MINESHAFT)
POPULAR KID 6 3 3 3 5 3 42 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 120 15.00 10.00  
  (by UNKNOWN out of LEMON SUPREME by LEMON DROP KID)
RATED R SUPERSTAR 1 6 7 7 6 6 5 (villafranco)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 10.00 4.10  
  (by KODIAK KOWBOY out of WICKED WISH by GOLD CASE)
SHERIFF BROWN 4 7 912¾ 914¼ 912¾ 812¾ 610¾ (fincher)GONCALVES R 122 12.00 16% 5.50 18.00  
  (by CURLIN out of ROSE'S DESERT by DESERT GOD)
FLASH OF MISCHIEF 8 5 42 42 3½ 5 712½ (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 12.00 12.00  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FLASHY CAMPAIGN by POLITICAL FORCE)
MINE THAT STAR 3 1 6 6 7 7 815¾ (ashford ray)PURCELL KELSI 120 20.00 23.40  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MINING MY OWN by SMART STRIKE)
TESORO 2 8 8 8 8 912¾ 918 (jauregui j)LEON SONNY 118 20.00 11.40  
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of TIZN'TSHEBEAUTIFUL by UNCLE MO)
SCR  ELECTOR               (sadler w)ESPINOZA V 118 3.00 16% 5.40    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of OH KAY SEE by NOTIONAL)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.