The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Lonestar Park
Monday - May 30, 2022

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LS-1   05/30/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
:223 :464 :594     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORO MERICA 3 1 5¾ 4   2½ 1(chacaltana domingo)DE CRUZ 124 6.00 12.60  
MORO WARRIOR 5 2 1nk 1nk   1½ 2(glover tracey)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 5.00 10.40 P
ON THE HONOR ROLL 2 3 4¼ 52   43(eoff terry)TORRES A 122 4.50 6.80  
CLAIMJUMPER 4 8 8 6   64(villafranco martin)HAMILTON WESTON 124 12.00 8.50  
TEXAN BOY 8 6 3.2 3½   3½ 5(broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 2.00 0.80  
MANI SURPRISE 6 5 2nk 2nk   52 6(broberg karl)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.50 52% 0.90 4.60  
CRESSON 7 7 7 7   712¼ 723 (davidson nicole)MELANCON JANSEN 122 12.00 12% 7.10 13.50  
UNBRIDLED POSSE 1 4 6 810½   813¼ 826¾ (davidson brent)MORA GERARDO 122 20.00 24.40  
 
LS-2   05/30/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
:222 :461       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY AVE 5 1 2nk 1nk   13 1(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.40 0.40  
RAGATAGTAG 4 5 6 6   42(barton amanda)HAMILTON WESTON 121 10.00 8% 12.10 18.60 P
LIGHT UP THE DEVIL 1 7 7 7   63(clary renay)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 5.00 6.90 S
SCARLET POSITION 6 4 4 3½   33 4(davidson brent)MORA GERARDO 123 4.50 30% 2.30 5.60  
METALLIC SILVER 3 3 5 5   23 5(roubion steve)DE CRUZ 123 20.00 21.50  
COBRA CASABLANCA 2 2 1nk 2nk   55 613 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.00 34% 2.00 8.00  
SHACKLELACKALACKA 7 6 31 4¾   710½ 719½ (cravens iii)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00 19.00  
 
LS-3   05/30/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
:243 :482 1:133 1:264   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR 4 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 1½ 11 (govea cesar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00 2.50  
SIMPLE PLEASURE 3 4 1½ 1½ 1nk 2½ 21 (hebert matt)LUZZI J 119 6.00 3.60  
TESUQUE 5 3 55 59 511½ 53(dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 123 8.00 17% 5.00 7.50 S
UNBURNT 2 5 41 31 3 34(broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 1.60 17% 4.90 0.80  
DORITA'S HEART 1 1 3½ 43 4 47 512¼ (davidson nicole)PIVARAL GERBER 121 15.00 16.10  
SCR  FIRST EMPRESS               (broberg karl)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
LS-4   05/30/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
:222 :46       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARBON STRYKER 1 3 1½ 11   11hd (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 6.00 3.80  
DECLINED 4 4 4 4   32hd (davidson brent)MORA GERARDO 124 3.50 1.30 P
ALTERNATE TIME 3 2 3½ 31   23¾ (hebert matt)ERAMIA E 124 5.00 19% 4.40 4.20 S
COWBOY COOL 5 5 5 53   54(green greg)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.00 2.70  
SHIFTY HENRY 2 1 2½ 21   43 57 (cravens iii)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 15.00 14% 5.90 6.50  
SCR  BEBOP SHOES               (cangemi leah)STEINBERG GARRETT 122 20.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  FRESH ONE               (caldwell r)LUZZI J 124 3.00    
SCR  MUNI MUNI SLEW               (hartman alex)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 4.50 21% 3.80    
 
LS-5   05/30/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
:232 :472 1:12 1:251   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRASS QUEEN 6 7 7 6 6 51nk (eoff terry)TORRES A 118 15.00 8.60  
CHATON ROUGE 7 6 5 5 4¾ 31 2nk (glover tracey)HAMILTON WESTON 118 8.00 13.80  
TEXAS TIDELANDS 2 3 4¾ 4 5¾ 21 3.15 (cravens iii)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00 12.90  
CROSS BOSS LADY 4 1 3½ 3.2 1nk 11 4(clary renay)DIEGO V 121 30.00 6.70  
10  ERIN'S CREATION 9 8 8 7 8 85(diodoro robertino)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 3.00 16% 5.20 3.50  
BASIC 8 9 9 9 7 766 (green greg)MONTALVO C 118 6.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
AUSTIN CITY GIRL 3 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 47(ashford ray)GONCALVES R 120 8.00 13% 6.90 2.30  
WYOME 1 4 1½ 1nk 3.2 6813¼ (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 10.00 4.80  
GEE SHE'S PRETTY 5 5 6 8 912½ 9913¼ (davidson nicole)PIVARAL GERBER 118 15.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
SCR  LUCK IS FICKLE               (asmussen m)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
LS-6   05/30/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
:221 :453 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMASH TICKET 7 4 3.2 1½   1111 (fincher w)ERAMIA E 118 1.40 32% 2.10 0.50 W
IT'S A GIRL 8 5 4¾ 4¾   2211 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 118 4.50 11.70 P
ROLLIN CHROME 1 6 7 7   45 311¾ (baldillez jr)MELANCON JANSEN 118 20.00 14.30  
REDEFINITION 4 1 1nk 2½   33 413¼ (asmussen m)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.80 24% 3.20 3.30  
SINNIN N GRINNIN 6 2 2nk 3½   5514¾ (craddock kari)GONCALVES R 120 20.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
THORNY ROSE 2 8 5¾ 6   66 617¾ (villafranco martin)TORRES A 121 20.00 12% 7.30 29.70  
HOT TUB HOTTIE 3 7 6 5   79 722¼ (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 5.00 10.90  
DUCHESS OF ZMOR 5 3 8 8   813 827½ (francis jr)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 50.00 33.80  
 
LS-7   05/30/2022 3300ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
:22 :442       :562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCESS MAGIC 6 6 55 45   41½ (calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.20 35% 1.80 1.10 W
ARCHIDUST 3 3 3 3   32½ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 2.50 10% 8.60 3.50 P
TIZ MAGIC 1 4 2 2½   1nk 31 (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 4.00 19% 4.40 5.50 S
SIGN OF WAR 4 1 1 1½   2nk 4(govea cesar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 5.00 3.60  
SPIRIT ANIMAL 2 7 6 66   55(caramori eduardo)GONCALVES R 118 20.00 14.00  
ZIP TIE 7 2 4 5   66(leddy don)PIVARAL GERBER 118 30.00 38.00  
BOB'S BAD BOY 5 5 7 7   7100 7100 (willis mindy)LEON SONNY 122 12.00 7% 14.00 13.30  
 
LS-8   05/30/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
:223 :453 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KALYPSO 5 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 1¾ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 1.40 2.10  
BECCA'S ROCKET 1 5 63 31   3.2 2¾ (gelner j)LUZZI J 119 4.00 2.50 P
DISTORTED FLASH 3 1 31 4   435 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00 18.80  
OUR IRIS ROSE 4 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 45 (fincher w)ERAMIA E 121 2.50 36% 1.80 1.60  
UPANDCOMINGSTAR 2 6 5 63   55(asmussen m)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 15.00 8% 10.80 10.60  
HEAVENLY RHYTHM 6 4 41 52   6610¾ (hurley rena)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00 8.70  
SCR  SKINNY DIP               (foley greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  STORMIEIS BLUE               (whitelaw r)ALVAREZ L 117 30.00    
 
LS-9   05/30/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
:221 :451 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT MAKES SENSE 6 4 2 2   1½ 11 (davis h)ALVAREZ L 122 5.00 4.80  
PAYNE 7 5 7 7   521 (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 35% 1.80 3.70 P
BOLDOR 1 6 43 32   43(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 15.00 10.70  
EMPIRE OF GOLD 2 1 1 1   2½ 4(eoff terry)ERAMIA E 120 6.00 12% 7.60 2.50  
MACRON 4 7 33 42   353 (asmussen m)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 3.50 1.50  
BYBEE 5 3 5 6   76(caramori eduardo)GONCALVES R 120 20.00 28.10  
RED N WILD 3 2 6 55   67 7(eoff terry)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 20.00 23.10  
SCR  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH               (davidson nicole)MELANCON JANSEN 124 15.00    
SCR  MR MONEY BAGS               (clary renay)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
LS-10   05/30/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
:23 :462 1:103 1:223   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARK AVENUE 9 4 1½ 13 1½ 2nk 11 (sadler w)ESPINOZA V 123 1.40 0.80  
AVENUE DE FRANCE (FR) 7 6 8 8 2½ 1nk 21 (powell leonard)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.50 3.20  
QUINN ELLA 8 7 6 6 5 53(govea cesar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00 7% 13.30 16.60 S
LAVENDER (IRE) 4 1 2½ 23 3½ 34(davis h)ALVAREZ L 121 15.00 5% 19.00 26.70  
PRETTY IN PINK 1 2 41 35 6 65(ashford ray)PURCELL KELSI 119 30.00 55.00  
SHIRLEY'S TEMPLE 2 8 7 7 7 76(willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 5.00 19% 4.30 9.50  
ISLAND HIDEAWAY (GB) 6 5 52 5 41 43 7(broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 8.00 45% 1.20 4.10  
IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME 5 3 31 45 9 8815½ (gomez c)GONCALVES R 117 30.00 50.70  
BRANDONS BABE 3 9 9 9 8 910¼ 916¾ (jacks e)DIEGO V 119 20.00 5% 19.00 58.40  
 
LS-11   05/30/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 8:01
:241 :481 1:114 1:381   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING OTTOMAN 4 2 42 53 5 2nk 1nk (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 15.00 5% 19.00 10.80 W
PRESIDENTIAL 3 1 5 42 4 1nk 2nk (asmussen m)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00 21.60 P
A. P.'S SECRET 8 7 3½ 2½ 2nk 3½ 3(joseph a)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124 2.50 53% 0.90 1.70 S
WIN THE DAY 2 6 7 77 7 74(o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.50 13.40  
STRIKE HARD 1 5 6 64 6 654 (williams j)ALVAREZ L 124 4.00 19% 4.10 2.90  
FOWLER BLUE 5 8 810¾ 87 8 864 (o'neill doug)LEON SONNY 124 12.00 43.50  
COVER ME UP 7 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 4¾ 74 (baltas richard)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00 2.50  
GOT THUNDER 6 4 2½ 31 31 58(sadler w)ESPINOZA V 124 12.00 9.50  
 
LS-12   05/30/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($400K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
:24 :47 1:111 1:24   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SILVER PROSPECTOR 9 4 5 5 2nk 2nk 1(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 12.00 5.50  
MISH 5 2 1 1 1nk 1nk 2(joseph a)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 3.50 21% 3.90 3.50 P
SHAAZ 7 9 2 2 4¾ 43(mccarthy sean)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.00 24% 3.20 2.10 S
POPULAR KID 6 3 3 3 5 342 (davis h)ALVAREZ L 120 15.00 10.00  
RATED R SUPERSTAR 1 6 7 7 6 65(villafranco martin)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 10.00 4.10  
SHERIFF BROWN 4 7 912¾ 914¼ 912¾ 812¾ 610¾ (fincher w)GONCALVES R 122 12.00 16% 5.50 18.00  
FLASH OF MISCHIEF 8 5 42 42 3½ 5712½ (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 12.00 12.00  
MINE THAT STAR 3 1 6 6 7 7815¾ (ashford ray)PURCELL KELSI 120 20.00 23.40  
TESORO 2 8 8 8 8 912¾ 918 (jauregui j)LEON SONNY 118 20.00 11.40  
SCR  ELECTOR               (sadler w)ESPINOZA V 118 3.00 16% 5.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.