Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Monday - May 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBRIDLED POSSE         (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 122 20.00    
2  ON THE HONOR ROLL May19 May01 Mar09 Feb25 Jan30 (eoff terr)TORRES A 122 4.50    
3  MORO MERICA May19 May01 Mar17 Feb25 Feb17 (c)DE CRUZ 124 6.00    
4  CLAIMJUMPER May19 May08 Apr09 Mar16 Mar05 (villafranco)HAMILTON WESTON 124 12.00 ★    
5  MORO WARRIOR May14 May01 Feb28     (glover tr)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 5.00 ★    
6  MANI SURPRISE Apr28 Apr01 Mar17 Feb25 Feb05 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.50 52% 0.90    
7  CRESSON (GB) May19         (davidson sa)MELANCON JANSEN 122 12.00 12% 7.10    
8  TEXAN BOY May19 May08 Apr28 Apr01 Mar17 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 2.00 ★    
 
LS-2   05/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHT UP THE DEVIL Mar30 Feb25 Jan06     (clary jaylan)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 5.00 ★    
2  COBRA CASABLANCA May14 Apr20 Apr01 Feb24 Feb03 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.00 34% 2.00    
3  METALLIC SILVER May07 Mar26 Mar11 Feb17 Jan20 (r)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
4  RAGATAGTAG Feb12 Jan06       (barton aman)HAMILTON WESTON 121 10.00 8% 12.10    
5  LADY AVE May07 Apr28 Mar26 Mar02 Feb05 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.40 ★    
6  SCARLET POSITION May09 Apr18 Mar03     (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 4.50 30% 2.30    
7  SHACKLELACKALACKA May21 May07 Feb18 Feb10 Jan27 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00    
 
LS-3   05/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIRST EMPRESS May24 May05 Apr14 Mar19 Mar02 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 2.00 27% 2.70    
2  DORITA'S HEART May15 Mar23 Mar12 Feb04 Jan22 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 121 15.00 ★    
3  UNBURNT May08 Mar24 Mar19 Feb04 Jan14 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 1.60 17% 4.90    
4  SIMPLE PLEASURE May08 Mar24 Feb25     (hebert matt)LUZZI J 119 6.00    
5  CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR May06 Apr09 Mar24 Feb25 Jan30 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00 ★    
6  TESUQUE May15 Mar30 Feb19 Jan28 Jan13 (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 123 8.00 17% 5.00    
 
LS-4   05/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARBON STRYKER Apr20 Mar31 Mar26 Feb09   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 6.00    
SCR  BEBOP SHOES Mar17 Jan22 Jan02     (cangemi l)STEINBERG GARRETT 122 20.00 8% 11.00    
3  SHIFTY HENRY Mar24 Mar10 Feb05 Jan07   (crave)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 15.00 14% 5.90    
SCR  FRESH ONE May06 Mar24 Mar05 Feb10 Jan21 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 124 3.00    
5  ALTERNATE TIME May12 Apr09 Mar09 Feb17 Jan21 (hebert mat)ERAMIA E 124 5.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  MUNI MUNI SLEW May10 Apr25 Apr11     (hartman alex)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 4.50 21% 3.80    
7  DECLINED May14 Apr01 Mar10 Mar02 Feb10 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 124 3.50 ★    
8  COWBOY COOL Apr23 Apr03 Feb22 Jan15   (gree)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.00    
 
LS-5   05/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WYOME May15 Feb23 Jan27     (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 10.00    
2  TEXAS TIDELANDS Apr02 Jan27 Jan13     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00    
3  AUSTIN CITY GIRL Apr29 Apr02 Mar04 Feb10   (ashford)GONCALVES R 120 8.00 13% 6.90    
4  CROSS BOSS LADY Apr29 Feb12 Jan21     (clary rena)DIEGO V 121 30.00    
5  GEE SHE'S PRETTY May01 Apr08 Mar12 Mar02 Jan07 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  GRASS QUEEN Apr29 Feb12 Jan13     (eoff terr)TORRES A 118 15.00    
7  CHATON ROUGE May01 Mar16 Feb17 Feb06 Jan14 (glover trac)HAMILTON WESTON 118 8.00    
SCR  LUCK IS FICKLE May12 May01 Mar12 Feb10   (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
9  BASIC Apr29 Apr02 Mar02 Feb17   (green greg)MONTALVO C 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  ERIN'S CREATION         (diodoro rober)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 3.00 16% 5.20    
 
LS-6   05/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLLIN CHROME May20 Mar19 Mar03 Jan07   (baldillez a)MELANCON JANSEN 118 20.00    
2  THORNY ROSE May13 Mar31 Mar09 Feb16 Jan28 (villafran)TORRES A 121 20.00 12% 7.30    
3  HOT TUB HOTTIE May19 Mar12 Feb18 Jan15   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 5.00    
4  REDEFINITION May20 Apr24 Mar12 Feb04   (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.80 24% 3.20    
5  DUCHESS OF ZMOR Apr01 Feb24 Feb12 Jan21   (franc)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 50.00    
6  SINNIN N GRINNIN May03 Apr13       (craddoc)GONCALVES R 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SMASH TICKET         (fincher to)ERAMIA E 118 1.40 32% 2.10    
8  IT'S A GIRL         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 118 4.50 ★    
 
LS-7   05/30/2022 3300ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ MAGIC May08 Feb10       (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 4.00 19% 4.40    
2  SPIRIT ANIMAL May17         (caramor)GONCALVES R 118 20.00    
3  ARCHIDUST May07 Mar19 Jan30     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 2.50 10% 8.60    
4  SIGN OF WAR May06 Mar26 Mar02 Feb05 Jan29 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 5.00 ★    
5  BOB'S BAD BOY May07 Mar17 Feb18     (willis mindy)LEON SONNY 122 12.00 7% 14.00    
6  EXCESS MAGIC May07 Mar19 Jan22     (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.20 35% 1.80    
7  ZIP TIE         (leddy spence)PIVARAL GERBER 118 30.00    
 
LS-8   05/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BECCA'S ROCKET Mar12 Jan30       (gelner j)LUZZI J 119 4.00 ★    
2  UPANDCOMINGSTAR May07 Mar24 Mar06     (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 15.00 8% 10.80    
3  DISTORTED FLASH May02 Apr11 Mar22 Mar02   (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00    
SCR  SKINNY DIP Mar01         (foley greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 32% 2.20    
5  OUR IRIS ROSE Mar27 Mar08       (fincher to)ERAMIA E 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
6  KALYPSO Apr09 Feb05       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 1.40 ★    
7  HEAVENLY RHYTHM Apr28 Mar26 Feb16     (hurl)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00    
SCR  STORMIEIS BLUE May21         (whitelaw mic)ALVAREZ L 117 30.00    
 
LS-9   05/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLDOR Mar25 Feb20 Jan29     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 15.00    
2  EMPIRE OF GOLD May06 Apr16       (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 120 6.00 12% 7.60    
3  RED N WILD May06 Mar03 Jan30 Jan15   (eoff terry)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 20.00    
4  MACRON May08 Apr02 Feb20 Jan22 Jan01 (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 3.50 ★    
5  BYBEE May07 Apr18 Mar07 Jan30   (caramor)GONCALVES R 120 20.00    
6  IT MAKES SENSE May06 Mar03 Feb12     (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  MR MONEY BAGS Apr29 Mar26 Feb19 Jan30   (clar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH Apr09 Mar19 Feb25 Feb10 Jan22 (davidson sa)MELANCON JANSEN 124 15.00    
9  PAYNE Apr16 Jan29       (caramori ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
 
LS-10   05/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY IN PINK         (ashford ray)PURCELL KELSI 119 30.00    
2  SHIRLEY'S TEMPLE May19 May06 Mar24 Feb19 Jan30 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 5.00 19% 4.30    
3  BRANDONS BABE Apr30 Mar10 Jan30     (jacks e)DIEGO V 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  LAVENDER (IRE) May06 Mar18 Jan30 Jan15   (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME Apr24 Mar16 Mar04     (gomez d)GONCALVES R 117 30.00    
6  ISLAND HIDEAWAY (GB) May06 Mar10       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 8.00 45% 1.20    
7  AVENUE DE FRANCE (FR) Apr30 Apr09 Mar05 Jan29   (powell leona)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.50    
8  QUINN ELLA May19 Mar10 Feb23 Jan30 Jan15 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00 7% 13.30    
9  PARK AVENUE Apr30 Mar20 Feb05 Jan01   (sadler w)ESPINOZA V 123 1.40    
 
LS-11   05/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 8:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKE HARD May06 Apr02 Feb12 Jan01   (williams mat)ALVAREZ L 124 4.00 19% 4.10    
2  WIN THE DAY Apr09 Mar06 Feb13 Jan09   (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.50 ★    
3  PRESIDENTIAL Apr16 Mar19 Jan22     (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00 ★    
4  KING OTTOMAN May07 Apr02 Feb19     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  FOWLER BLUE May08 Apr17 Mar27 Feb27   (o'neill doug)LEON SONNY 124 12.00    
6  GOT THUNDER Apr17 Mar05 Feb12     (sadler w)ESPINOZA V 124 12.00    
7  COVER ME UP May07 Apr09 Mar19 Feb12   (baltas richa)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00    
8  A. P.'S SECRET Apr09 Mar05 Jan09     (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
 
LS-12   05/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($400K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RATED R SUPERSTAR Apr23 Mar19 Feb12 Jan15   (villafranco)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 10.00    
  (by KODIAK KOWBOY out of WICKED WISH by GOLD CASE)
2  TESORO Apr30 Mar07 Feb12     (jauregui j)LEON SONNY 118 20.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of TIZN'TSHEBEAUTIFUL by UNCLE MO)
3  MINE THAT STAR Apr22 Apr02 Mar05 Jan23 Jan01 (ashford ray)PURCELL KELSI 120 20.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MINING MY OWN by SMART STRIKE)
4  SHERIFF BROWN May07 Apr02 Mar05     (fincher)GONCALVES R 122 12.00 16% 5.50    
  (by CURLIN out of ROSE'S DESERT by DESERT GOD)
SCR  ELECTOR May29 Apr16 Feb26     (sadler w)ESPINOZA V 118 3.00 16% 5.40    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of OH KAY SEE by NOTIONAL)
6  MISH May07 Mar10 Feb06 Jan08   (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 3.50 21% 3.90    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of WICKED GREAT by GREATNESS)
7  POPULAR KID Apr30 Mar19 Feb12     (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 120 15.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LEMON SUPREME by LEMON DROP KID)
8  SHAAZ Apr02 Feb05       (mccarthy sea)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MISS OCEAN CITY by MINESHAFT)
9  FLASH OF MISCHIEF May06         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FLASHY CAMPAIGN by POLITICAL FORCE)
10  SILVER PROSPECTOR May01 Apr02 Feb19 Jan15   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 12.00 ★    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of TAP SOFTLY by TAPIT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.