The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Lonestar Park
Friday - May 20, 2022

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LS-1   05/20/2022 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 7:35
:222 :462       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VILLAGE WAY 6 3 3     2nk 1½ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 2.50 34% 1.90 2.20 W
STRAIGHT LUCK 1 2 1nk     1nk 2½ (pish danny)SORENSON D 119 3.00 21% 3.80 1.80 P
HARD GOLD 4 4 4     44 3(caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 8.00 8.90  
BACKSIDE BUZZ 3 1 2nk     31 4(gustafson austin)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 3.50 2.30  
HE SAID WAIT 5 6 6     65(castellanos jaime)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
WELDON G 7 5 5     56 611¼ (gustafson austin)MORA GERARDO 119 6.00 15.10  
JIM NED 2 7 710¾     713½ 716½ (duhon paul)DIEGO V 119 12.00 5% 19.00 18.50  
SCR  ON WINGS OF EAGLES               (johnson b)DE CRUZ 119 10.00    
 
LS-2   05/20/2022 3300ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:03
:213 :453       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STALEMATE 3 1 53 43   3½ 1(cravens iii)MELANCON JANSEN 121 4.50 11% 7.80 4.40 W
LACEY BOSS 4 2 4 2   1nk 2(calhoun bret)ALVAREZ L 123 3.00 18% 4.70 2.60 P
STILL OF THE NIGHT 1 5 21 3   41 3(cravens iii)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.50 27% 2.70 1.90 S
TEXAS THUNDER 6 4 11 1   2nk 4(jacks e)GONCALVES R 120 4.00 4.30  
DOC'S DENITA 2 6 66 66   56 5(willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 12.00 14.30  
DONT FLOAT THE ICE 5 3 3 54   68 616½ (frazee larry)LUZZI J 121 5.00 21% 3.70 4.80  
SCR  CANDY ANNE               (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 6.00    
 
LS-3   05/20/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:31
:222 :453 1:12     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITTY'S QUEEN 2 4 41 4   1nk 1(clary jaylan)DIEGO V 121 2.50 1.60  
TAYLOR'S VISION 4 1 56 5   4¾ 2(scholl g)MELANCON JANSEN 121 5.00 23% 3.30 5.40 P
BODIE'SLITTLEGIRL 6 2 3½ 3.2   2nk 36 (ashford ray)GONCALVES R 121 2.00 44% 1.30 1.50 S
TRUE RUNNER 3 6 610 611¾   64(hurley rena)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 3.50 17.60  
SANGRIA CITY 5 3 2½ 1nk   3½ 5(padilla a)HAMILTON WESTON 120 10.00 16.90  
BONUS BABY 1 5 1½ 2nk   5615¼ (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 4.50 4.40  
 
LS-4   05/20/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:59
:223 :452 :574     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESPIONAGE 1 4 41 4   31 1½ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 2.50 2.40  
MORRICONE 2 2 2nk 3.2   2nk 2½ (morris rowdy)MORA GERARDO 124 15.00 7.60  
IMA BLING CAT 3 3 3½ 1nk   1nk 3½ (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 3.00 18% 4.40 1.00 S
MISTER K 4 1 1nk 2nk   442 (cravens iii)ALVAREZ L 124 2.00 49% 1.00 2.10  
SCR  LONELY PRIVATE               (broberg karl)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 6.00    
SCR  MAC B QUICK               (willis mindy)GONCALVES R 124 4.50    
 
LS-5   05/20/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:27
:242 :49 1:13 1:251   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE BOON 8 5 1½ 11 1½ 12 12 (calhoun bret)ALVAREZ L 124 2.50 28% 2.50 1.50 W
BRENTLEY (GB) 1 3 3½ 42 32 32 22 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 5.00 10% 8.80 3.40 P
CLIFF DIVER 2 9 71 7 6 43(craddock kari)GONCALVES R 121 20.00 12.10  
OPTIMAL TRIP 6 10 102 8 2½ 22 4(rossi j)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 4.50 5% 19.00 5.80  
COTTONWOOD 3 4 8 10 911¾ 67 57 (lucarelli frank)MELANCON JANSEN 121 10.00 15.00  
BRUCELEA 9 6 2½ 21 4 56 67 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 8.00 13.50  
HARD CANDY 5 1 61 63 7 77(hernandez leonel)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 10.00 7.00  
SHARP DOUBLE EDGE 7 8 9 9 8 9813¾ (scholl g)ERAMIA E 121 3.50 34% 1.90 14.70  
CLEAR ADVANTAGE 4 2 4¾ 5 54 89 915¼ (kotara ronald)HAMILTON WESTON 124 20.00 54.50  
10  LINC'S BOY 10 7 5¾ 32 1011¾ 1015¼ 1022 (davidson nicole)PIVARAL GERBER 121 20.00 26.50  
 
LS-6   05/20/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
:221 :452 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER LIGHTNING 6 1 1½ 11   11hd (dodwell dale)DIEGO V 118 4.00 25% 3.10 7.60 W
REDEFINITION 4 2 2½ 3   22hd (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 2.00 48% 1.10 1.30 P
HEATED ARGUMENT 1 5 5 54   42 3nk (gonzalez n)QUINONEZ S 123 3.00 1.60 S
DUTCH TREAT 2 4 67 67   54 44 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 12.00 13.90  
SWEET BAY 3 3 31 21   32 5(broberg karl)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00 6.40  
FAST N FINE WORKER 5 6 44 4   65 6(trout r)ALVAREZ L 121 6.00 10.10  
SCR  DUCHESS OF ZMOR               (francis jr)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 30.00    
SCR  IT'S A GIRL               (caldwell r)LUZZI J 118 10.00    
 
LS-7   05/20/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:23
:224 :46 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOUNTAIN BREEZE 4 7 78 7   31¼ (cravens iii)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 15.00 15.10  
KNIGHTED 7 4 31 4   2nk 2¼ (padilla a)DIEGO V 121 15.00 4.20 P
RUSSET MOON 1 5 1nk 1nk   1nk 3(duhon paul)ERAMIA E 121 6.00 5.10  
11  SKY WATCH 8 3 6 5   53 4(uballe adam)SORENSON D 124 15.00 6.60  
DEMURO 2 6 5 6   64 510 (asmussen m)DE CRUZ 124 4.00 3.90  
MORE THAN PLAY 6 1 2nk 2nk   4613¼ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 3.00 29% 2.40 1.50  
12  MAN IN THE MIDDLE 9 2 4 31   7714 (castellanos jaime)BENAVIDES D 119 30.00 46.50  
TIZNOWS GRANDSON 5 9 8 8   87 818 (govea cesar)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 20.00 31.90  
BORN TO BE BRAVE 3 8 920½ 920¼   924 936¾ (tuley rhonda)HUGHES CARLY 116 20.00 35.50  
SCR  AUTO BE THE MAN               (padilla a)HAMILTON WESTON 124 20.00    
SCR  RUNINGDOWNTHEDREAM               (caldwell r)LUZZI J 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  SGT. QUINCANNON               (willis mindy)MORA GERARDO 121 8.00 19% 4.20    
 
LS-8   05/20/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($33K) 3 F PT-10:51
:232 :473 1:121 1:251   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKY HIGH SUSAN 2 7 84 9 9 512 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 118 3.00 17% 5.00 5.70 W
AUNT GEM 3 6 3 4 4 422 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 5.00 11% 8.30 7.90 P
COLORS OF THE WIND 1 4 2nk 2nk 1nk 1nk 3(calhoun bret)ALVAREZ L 120 2.50 42% 1.40 0.80 S
TEXAS BLUEBONNET 5 5 94 8 8 745 (hebert matt)SORENSON D 118 15.00 16.70  
11  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL 9 1 4 3 31 35(moreno carlos)HAMILTON WESTON 120 15.00 6% 14.60 19.60  
ROLLIN CHROME 6 3 1nk 1nk 2nk 2nk 6(baldillez jr)QUINONEZ S 118 10.00 12.80  
BEER EMPRESS 4 2 7 6 73 677 (pish danny)GONCALVES R 118 15.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
MIZ JAMESON 8 9 5 5 52 8811¼ (dodwell dale)DIEGO V 118 8.00 7.80  
SHE HIT A HOMER 7 8 6 7 6 9913¾ (gelner j)MELANCON JANSEN 118 8.00 14.40  
SCR  CATCHUSIFYOUCAN               (calhoun bret)ALVAREZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  CATO'S LADY               (whitelaw r)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.