Handicappers' Racing Form

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Lone Star Park
Friday - May 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LS-1   05/20/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 7:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAIGHT LUCK         (pish danny)SORENSON D 119 3.00 21% 3.80    
JIM NED         (duhon paul)DIEGO V 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
BACKSIDE BUZZ         (gustafson austi)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 3.50    
HARD GOLD         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 8.00    
SCR  ON WINGS OF EAGLES         (joh)DE CRUZ 119 10.00    
HE SAID WAIT         (castel)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
VILLAGE WAY         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
WELDON G         (gustafson austin)MORA GERARDO 119 6.00    
 
LS-2   05/20/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STILL OF THE NIGHT Apr30 Feb19 Jan21 Jan07   (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
DOC'S DENITA Apr30 Mar26 Mar16 Jan29 Jan07 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 12.00    
STALEMATE Apr30 Apr02 Feb17 Jan29 Jan07 (cravens ronni)MELANCON JANSEN 121 4.50 11% 7.80    
LACEY BOSS Mar10 Feb10 Jan14     (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 123 3.00 18% 4.70    
DONT FLOAT THE ICE Mar18         (frazee larry)LUZZI J 121 5.00 21% 3.70    
TEXAS THUNDER May07 Mar26 Feb19 Jan20 Jan06 (jacks kar)GONCALVES R 120 4.00    
SCR  CANDY ANNE May15 May06 Mar31 Feb04 Jan14 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 6.00    
 
LS-3   05/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BONUS BABY Apr28 Feb25 Jan22     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 4.50    
KITTY'S QUEEN Apr30 Mar10 Feb25     (clary jaylan)DIEGO V 121 2.50    
TRUE RUNNER May07         (hurley )CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 3.50    
TAYLOR'S VISION Mar10 Feb12 Jan07     (scholl kevin )MELANCON JANSEN 121 5.00 23% 3.30    
SANGRIA CITY Apr12 Mar30 Mar03 Feb12 Jan21 (padilla carlo)HAMILTON WESTON 120 10.00    
BODIE'SLITTLEGIRL Apr30 Feb20 Jan30     (ashford h)GONCALVES R 121 2.00 44% 1.30    
 
LS-4   05/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAC B QUICK May07 Mar09 Feb12 Jan30   (willis mi)GONCALVES R 124 4.50    
ESPIONAGE May08 Apr24 Mar26 Mar12   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 2.50    
MORRICONE May06 Apr07 Mar09 Feb09 Jan15 (morris rowdy)MORA GERARDO 124 15.00    
SCR  LONELY PRIVATE Apr09 Mar17 Feb26 Feb13 Jan29 (brober)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 6.00    
IMA BLING CAT May07 Apr23 Apr02 Mar17 Feb25 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 3.00 18% 4.40    
MISTER K May06 Apr09 Mar16 Jan28 Jan08 (cravens ronnie)ALVAREZ L 124 2.00 49% 1.00    
 
LS-5   05/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRENTLEY (GB) Mar31 Mar17 Feb12     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 5.00 10% 8.80    
CLIFF DIVER Mar25         (craddock )GONCALVES R 121 20.00    
COTTONWOOD Mar25 Feb26 Jan15     (lucarelli fra)MELANCON JANSEN 121 10.00    
CLEAR ADVANTAGE Feb26 Feb09       (kotara ronald)HAMILTON WESTON 124 20.00    
HARD CANDY Apr29 Mar12 Feb10 Jan22   (hernandez l)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 10.00    
OPTIMAL TRIP Apr29 Mar31 Feb24 Feb12 Jan22 (rossi j)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
SHARP DOUBLE EDGE Apr28 Mar16 Feb11     (scholl kevin)ERAMIA E 121 3.50 34% 1.90    
BLUE BOON         (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 124 2.50 28% 2.50    
BRUCELEA Mar17 Mar05 Feb11 Jan15   (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 8.00    
10  LINC'S BOY Mar26 Mar16 Feb25 Feb11 Jan27 (davidson sarah)PIVARAL GERBER 121 20.00    
 
LS-6   05/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEATED ARGUMENT May06 Apr29 Mar27 Mar13 Jan08 (gonzalez n)QUINONEZ S 123 3.00    
DUTCH TREAT May06 Mar27 Mar11 Feb20 Jan23 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 12.00    
SWEET BAY May12 Mar31 Mar23 Mar04 Feb12 (brober)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00    
REDEFINITION Apr24 Mar12 Feb04     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 2.00 48% 1.10    
FAST N FINE WORKER Feb24         (trout r)ALVAREZ L 121 6.00    
SCR  DUCHESS OF ZMOR Apr01 Feb24 Feb12 Jan21   (francis)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 30.00    
SCR  IT'S A GIRL         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 118 10.00    
SUMMER LIGHTNING         (dodwell dale)DIEGO V 118 4.00 25% 3.10    
 
LS-7   05/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSSET MOON May08 Apr07 Mar23 Mar03   (duhon paul)ERAMIA E 121 6.00    
DEMURO Apr30 Apr10 Mar04     (asm)DE CRUZ 124 4.00    
BORN TO BE BRAVE         (tuley rhonda)HUGHES CARLY 116 20.00    
MOUNTAIN BREEZE (IRE)         (cravens)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 15.00    
TIZNOWS GRANDSON Jan27         (govea cesar)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 20.00    
MORE THAN PLAY         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  AUTO BE THE MAN Apr30         (padilla carlo)HAMILTON WESTON 124 20.00    
SCR  RUNINGDOWNTHEDREAM         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
KNIGHTED Apr30 Apr07 Mar23 Mar03 Feb16 (padilla a)DIEGO V 121 15.00    
SCR  SGT. QUINCANNON         (willis mindy)MORA GERARDO 121 8.00 19% 4.20    
11  SKY WATCH May01 Apr07 Mar16 Feb10   (uballe adam)SORENSON D 124 15.00    
12  MAN IN THE MIDDLE Apr30 Apr09       (castellanos jaime)BENAVIDES D 119 30.00    
 
LS-8   05/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33K) 3 F PT-10:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLORS OF THE WIND Apr08 Mar01       (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
SKY HIGH SUSAN Mar04 Feb13 Jan28 Jan01   (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 118 3.00 17% 5.00    
AUNT GEM Apr02         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 5.00 11% 8.30    
BEER EMPRESS May01 Mar19 Feb04 Jan21   (pish dann)GONCALVES R 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
TEXAS BLUEBONNET Apr29 Apr07 Mar03     (hebert matt)SORENSON D 118 15.00    
SCR  CATCHUSIFYOUCAN Mar03         (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 118 8.00    
ROLLIN CHROME Mar19 Mar03 Jan07     (baldillez alejan)QUINONEZ S 118 10.00    
SHE HIT A HOMER         (gelner jayde )MELANCON JANSEN 118 8.00    
MIZ JAMESON         (dodwell dale)DIEGO V 118 8.00    
SCR  CATO'S LADY May01 Apr02 Feb17 Jan07   (whitel)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 15.00    
11  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Apr11 Mar22 Feb12 Jan21   (moreno carlos)HAMILTON WESTON 120 15.00 6% 14.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.