The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Lonestar Park
Sunday - May 15, 2022

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LS-1   05/15/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
:24 :482 1:133 1:26   1:321   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU CHANNEL 1 2 4 2   2nk 1nk (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 5.00 4.20  
10  RAISE THE PURSES 9 6 3 5   1nk 2nk (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 3.00 41% 1.40 6.30 P
BLURT 8 5 6 6   3½ 3.2 (calhoun bret)ALVAREZ L 124 2.50 27% 2.60 1.70 S
GOLDBRIDGE 5 3 52 4   41 4¾ (hebert matt)DIEGO V 121 6.00 7.20  
HAMMERSCHMIDT 2 9 9 9   54 54 (pish danny)SORENSON D 124 4.00 5.50  
PERFECT TOM 7 8 74 8   66(padilla a)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00 24.80  
STUCK 3 7 8 74   77(castellanos jaime)MORA GERARDO 124 20.00 21.60  
DONNELLY 6 4 21 32   8813¾ (willis mindy)DE CRUZ 121 12.00 14.50  
NEVER OVER ME 4 1 11 1   9924 (jacks e)GONCALVES R 121 15.00 6% 16.50 8.50  
SCR  WHITE TAIL DEER               (guzman adan)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 30.00    
 
LS-2   05/15/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
:23 :46 1:114     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY PROMISE 5 3 4 3   11(gustafson austin)MORA GERARDO 120 3.50 25% 3.00 2.50 DQ↓3
MR B QUIET 1 5 53 4   42(gustafson austin)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 1.40 27% 2.70 1.60 W
WARRIORS HAVEN 2 1 1nk 2nk   23(cravens iii)DIEGO V 124 3.00 23% 3.40 5.40 P
TIMED EVENT 3 2 2nk 1nk   34 4(caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 4.00 2.40  
MOONSHINERBOY 4 4 31 57   524½ 546¾ (dodson clifford)GONCALVES R 122 10.00 8.00  
 
LS-3   05/15/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
:232 :462 1:114     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEST TIME 3 3 33 3½   2nk 1(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 1.60 33% 2.10 1.20 W
DARE TO BE WILD 4 2 1 1½   1nk 2(clary jaylan)MORA GERARDO 121 2.50 10% 9.10 1.90 P
SARGENT KLINE 5 1 2 2½   33 3(lucarelli frank)MELANCON JANSEN 121 3.50 4.30 S
MOOGIE SON 1 4 4 42   44(lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 121 3.00 32% 2.10 4.10  
RICHARD'S TX BLING 2 5 5 56   5527 (govea cesar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00 15.60  
 
LS-4   05/15/2022 3300ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
:212 :451       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TELLING THYME 5 5 75 75   312 (gustafson austin)ALVAREZ L 121 12.00 21.90  
VIVA EL CAPITAN 8 6 2nk 2½   2nk 22 (diodoro robertino)MEDELLIN ERICK 113 15.00 12.90  
BENDELENE 4 4 43 44   43(padilla a)DIEGO V 123 5.00 22% 3.50 9.30 S
CANDY ANNE 3 1 1nk 1½   1nk 4(broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.00 2.00  
THINKITASADONATION 6 2 5 5   75(garza e)MORA GERARDO 121 4.00 30% 2.40 4.30  
SMART LASSIE 1 7 6 6   66(cravens iii)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00 6% 15.50 15.10  
AUNT JOIE 2 8 810 87   87(glover tracey)HUGHES CARLY 116 4.50 4.80  
UNDEFINABLE 7 3 3 33   58(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 17% 5.00 2.80  
SCR  LIGHT SHIFT               (davidson brent)STEINBERG GARRETT 121 10.00    
 
LS-5   05/15/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
:242 :483 1:132 1:261   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TESUQUE 2 2 4 44 4 21¾ (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 121 5.00 26% 2.90 4.60 W
LEA'S PRINCESS 3 4 1½ 11 11 12¾ (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 121 4.00 23% 3.40 2.90 P
DORITA'S HEART 1 1 2½ 21 21 33 34 (davidson nicole)PIVARAL GERBER 121 12.00 8% 11.50 6.20 S
MUSICAL MILLIE 4 3 3 32 31 44 4(cravens iii)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 1.40 0.50  
SCR  G'S ALILCRAZY               (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 1.60    
 
LS-6   05/15/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
:223 :463 :593     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAN'S GOLDEN PATH 1 6 32 2½   12 1(gustafson austin)EIKLEBERRY RY 118 6.00 50% 1.00 3.80 W
SHER'S TEXAS BLING 6 1 5 3   42(pish danny)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 3.50 14% 6.00 2.50 P
DAVID'S DREAM GIRL 5 5 6 53   32 32 (uriegas e)ALVAREZ L 121 10.00 9.50  
SHEZA HUNK 4 4 42 6   54(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 2.00 6% 17.10 1.70  
PUT A BLING ON IT 2 3 1 1½   22 5(caldwell r)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 8.00 4.50  
LITESTER 3 2 2 42   6615¾ (davidson nicole)PIVARAL GERBER 120 10.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
SCR  TEXAS WHIRLWIND               (caldwell r)LUZZI J 121 3.00    
 
LS-7   05/15/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
:243 :482 1:131 1:263   1:332   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WYOME 5 4 1½ 1½   14 1nk (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 1.40 32% 2.10 2.10 W
BALI DANCER 3 1 31 4   24 2nk (keen dallas)MELANCON JANSEN 120 12.00 7.50  
CHAKA 7 8 63 63   53(pish danny)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 15.00 10.40  
SPINNING YEAR 4 2 53 76   611 4(offolter s)MORA GERARDO 123 2.00 3.60  
THE CAT CAME BACK 9 5 7 5   37 511¾ (jacks e)DE CRUZ 120 30.00 7% 13.20 26.50  
ANGIE AT THEOFFICE 6 3 2½ 2½   49 615¼ (gelner j)WETHEY JR 120 5.00 20% 3.90 2.90  
10  ONE RACY LADY 10 7 910¾ 919   817½ 715½ (eoff terry)HUGHES CARLY 120 15.00 18% 4.60 17.40  
LADY EVE 1 10 1012¾ 1022   1021 818¾ (castellanos jaime)ALVAREZ L 120 30.00 14.50  
COPPER BELLE 8 6 4 31   715 919 (craddock kari)GONCALVES R 120 15.00 17.80  
VERNONSWEETBETTY 2 9 8 814   920½ 1028 (wright a)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 30.00 42.50  
 
LS-8   05/15/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
:221 :461 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KELLEY SAID READY 1 2 12 1   11(caldwell r)LUZZI J 120 4.50 21% 3.70 0.80 W
THATSALOTOFBLING 2 6 6 6   22(barton amanda)HAMILTON WESTON 121 30.00 5% 19.00 11.20 P
FACESTER 6 5 5 53   33(pish danny)MORA GERARDO 120 5.00 5.00  
WITT'S TENNY TEN 4 1 3 43   545 (barton amanda)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 12.00 4.90  
STONE FOX 5 4 4 32   44 5(pish danny)MONTALVO C 121 10.00 4.20  
WHITE DIAMOND SKY 3 3 22 2   66 614 (echeverria hector)BENAVIDES D 123 30.00 13.50  
SCR  GOLDEN SECRET               (peek kevin)ERAMIA E 121 1.60 48% 1.10    
SCR  HEAD OVER BOOTS               (echeverria hector)DIEGO V 121 15.00    
SCR  TURN ON THE BLING               (gustafson austin)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 3.00    
 
LS-9   05/15/2022 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 6:19
:221 :462       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIETNAM VICTORY 3 5 1nk     1nk 11 (calhoun bret)ALVAREZ L 119 4.00 24% 3.20 2.00 W
TIZ THE BIG ONE 1 2 2nk     2nk 21 (smith p)SORENSON D 119 20.00 5% 19.00 18.40 P
DOUGH BOY 6 8 8     47 3(asmussen m)DE CRUZ 119 6.00 8.80  
TAPITURE JONES 7 1 3½     34 49 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 6.00 2.50  
MORO MAFIA 4 7 7     88 515¼ (bryant allan)MORA GERARDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 20.00  
FARM DOG 8 6 5     5615¾ (gustafson austin)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 6.00 4.50  
MY LITTLE PRINCE 5 3 41     7717¾ (caldwell r)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.10  
LET'S TIE ONE ON 2 4 6     6819½ (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 4.50 5.10  
SCR  I'M A COWBOY               (pish danny)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
LS-10   05/15/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
:24 :483 1:14 1:263   1:331   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINCO RICHIE 7 4 42 34   2½ 1nk (cruz eduardo)ALVAREZ L 121 3.50 43% 1.30 2.40 W
10  BULLS IN THE BRONX 8 6 6 4   54 2nk (bravenec brian)LUZZI J 124 20.00 8.30  
CAUSEWAY STORM 5 3 32 55   33¼ (scholl g)MORA GERARDO 124 1.80 27% 2.70 1.30 S
VICTOR VALENTINO 4 8 88 78   64(padilla a)DIEGO V 124 15.00 16.60 DH
CRAZY RIDGE 6 5 2 2   1½ 4(kotara ronald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00 17.60 DH
MORO LEGEND 1 2 74 88   76 6(glover tracey)HAMILTON WESTON 124 4.00 10% 9.10 9.10  
TEXAS TRILOGY 3 7 53 6   87(coats t)GONCALVES R 124 4.50 5.50  
STRAWMAN 2 1 1 1   4825 (whitelaw r)BENAVIDES D 121 30.00 25.70  
SCR  CAPTAINS COVE               (butler w)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 30.00    
SCR  SIR JASPER               (saavedra mary)HUGHES CARLY 119 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.