Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Sunday - May 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/15/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALIBU CHANNEL Feb11 Jan15       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 5.00    
2  HAMMERSCHMIDT Mar31 Feb26       (pish danny)SORENSON D 124 4.00 ★    
3  STUCK         (castellanos ja)MORA GERARDO 124 20.00    
4  NEVER OVER ME Apr08 Mar23       (jacks k)GONCALVES R 121 15.00 6% 16.50    
5  GOLDBRIDGE Feb26 Feb11       (hebert matt)DIEGO V 121 6.00 ★    
6  DONNELLY Apr09         (w)DE CRUZ 121 12.00    
SCR  WHITE TAIL DEER Mar25 Feb24       (guzman ad)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 30.00    
8  PERFECT TOM Apr08         (padi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00    
9  BLURT Apr09 Mar19 Feb24     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 2.50 27% 2.60    
10  RAISE THE PURSES Jan08         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 3.00 41% 1.40    
 
LS-2   05/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR B QUIET Apr07 Mar25 Mar09 Feb11   (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 1.40 27% 2.70    
2  WARRIORS HAVEN Apr29 Apr09 Mar25 Mar17 Mar05 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
3  TIMED EVENT Mar18 Mar04 Jan30 Jan13   (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 4.00 ★    
4  MOONSHINERBOY May08 Apr09 Mar18 Mar05 Feb04 (dodson )GONCALVES R 122 10.00 ★    
5  LUCKY PROMISE May07         (gustafson aust)MORA GERARDO 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
 
LS-3   05/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOOGIE SON Mar25 Feb16 Jan28     (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 121 3.00 32% 2.10    
2  RICHARD'S TX BLING May06 Apr08 Feb19 Feb11 Jan27 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00 ★    
3  BEST TIME May01 Mar25 Feb12     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 1.60 33% 2.10    
4  DARE TO BE WILD Apr28 Mar23 Feb26 Feb11 Jan13 (clary jaylan)MORA GERARDO 121 2.50 10% 9.10    
5  SARGENT KLINE Mar17 Feb16       (lucarelli f)MELANCON JANSEN 121 3.50 ★    
 
LS-4   05/15/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART LASSIE Apr29 Mar09 Feb19 Jan06   (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00 6% 15.50    
2  AUNT JOIE Mar19 Feb21 Jan29 Jan03   (glover tracey)HUGHES CARLY 116 4.50    
3  CANDY ANNE May06 Mar31 Feb04 Jan14 Jan03 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.00    
4  BENDELENE Apr05 Mar11 Feb05     (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 5.00 22% 3.50    
5  TELLING THYME Apr07 Mar09 Feb09     (gustafson au)ALVAREZ L 121 12.00    
6  THINKITASADONATION Apr07 Mar02 Feb09     (garza joaquin )MORA GERARDO 121 4.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  LIGHT SHIFT Apr29 Apr07 Mar09 Feb09 Jan21 (davidson )STEINBERG GARRETT 121 10.00 ★    
8  UNDEFINABLE Mar31 Mar11 Jan28     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 17% 5.00    
9  VIVA EL CAPITAN Mar30 Mar03       (diodoro robe)MEDELLIN ERICK 113 15.00    
 
LS-5   05/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  G'S ALILCRAZY Mar31 Mar02 Jan13     (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 1.60 ★    
2  DORITA'S HEART Mar23 Mar12 Feb04 Jan22 Jan13 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 121 12.00 8% 11.50    
3  TESUQUE Mar30 Feb19 Jan28 Jan13   (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 121 5.00 26% 2.90    
4  LEA'S PRINCESS Mar04 Jan15       (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 121 4.00 23% 3.40    
5  MUSICAL MILLIE Mar09 Feb11 Jan28 Jan15   (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 1.40 ★    
 
LS-6   05/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAN'S GOLDEN PATH Apr30 Mar26       (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 118 6.00 50% 1.00    
2  PUT A BLING ON IT Apr30 Apr07 Feb24 Jan13   (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 8.00    
3  LITESTER Apr30 Mar31 Feb17 Jan29   (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHEZA HUNK Apr30 Apr08 Mar31 Mar17 Mar02 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 2.00 6% 17.10    
5  DAVID'S DREAM GIRL Apr08 Mar26 Mar04 Feb11   (uriegas henr)ALVAREZ L 121 10.00    
SCR  TEXAS WHIRLWIND Apr30 Mar31 Mar17 Feb24 Feb11 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 121 3.00 ★    
7  SHER'S TEXAS BLING Apr30 Apr08 Mar02 Feb04 Jan20 (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 3.50 14% 6.00    
 
LS-7   05/15/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY EVE Feb24         (castellanos )ALVAREZ L 120 30.00    
2  VERNONSWEETBETTY Apr08         (wright ja)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 30.00    
3  BALI DANCER Apr28 Mar24 Feb25     (keen dallas)MELANCON JANSEN 120 12.00    
4  SPINNING YEAR Feb23         (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 123 2.00 ★    
5  WYOME Feb23 Jan27       (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 1.40 32% 2.10    
6  ANGIE AT THEOFFICE Mar18 Jan19       (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 120 5.00 20% 3.90    
7  CHAKA Mar18 Feb23       (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 15.00    
8  COPPER BELLE Mar25         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 120 15.00    
9  THE CAT CAME BACK Apr07         (j)DE CRUZ 120 30.00 7% 13.20    
10  ONE RACY LADY Mar02 Jan29       (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 120 15.00 18% 4.60    
 
LS-8   05/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KELLEY SAID READY Apr29 Apr02 Mar10     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  HEAD OVER BOOTS Apr30 Mar31 Mar17 Mar04 Jan20 (echeverria hector)DIEGO V 121 15.00    
3  THATSALOTOFBLING Apr29 Mar26 Mar11 Feb11 Jan22 (barton aman)HAMILTON WESTON 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TURN ON THE BLING May07 Apr08 Mar10 Feb18   (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  GOLDEN SECRET Mar04         (peek kevin)ERAMIA E 121 1.60 48% 1.10    
6  WHITE DIAMOND SKY Apr29 Apr02 Mar19 Feb16   (echeverria hect)BENAVIDES D 123 30.00    
7  WITT'S TENNY TEN Apr10 Mar16 Feb19 Feb11 Jan22 (bart)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 12.00    
8  STONE FOX Apr02 Mar16 Feb05 Jan22   (pish danny)MONTALVO C 121 10.00 ★    
9  FACESTER Apr08 Mar24 Feb19 Jan20   (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 120 5.00    
 
LS-9   05/15/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ THE BIG ONE         (smith p)SORENSON D 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  I'M A COWBOY         (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
3  LET'S TIE ONE ON         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 4.50    
4  VIETNAM VICTORY         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 4.00 24% 3.20    
5  MORO MAFIA         (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  MY LITTLE PRINCE         (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  DOUGH BOY         (a)DE CRUZ 119 6.00    
8  TAPITURE JONES         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 6.00    
9  FARM DOG         (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 6.00    
 
LS-10   05/15/2022 4950ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORO LEGEND Apr07 Mar24 Mar09 Feb21   (glover trac)HAMILTON WESTON 124 4.00 10% 9.10    
2  STRAWMAN Mar26 Mar03 Jan27     (whitelaw michae)BENAVIDES D 121 30.00    
3  TEXAS TRILOGY Mar31 Mar05       (coats j)GONCALVES R 124 4.50 ★    
4  VICTOR VALENTINO Mar16 Feb26 Jan28     (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 15.00    
5  CAUSEWAY STORM Mar24 Mar03 Feb09     (scholl kev)ERAMIA E 124 1.80 27% 2.70    
6  CRAZY RIDGE Apr07 Mar31 Mar05 Feb09 Jan13 (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00 ★    
7  CINCO RICHIE Feb19 Jan30       (cruz eduardo)ALVAREZ L 121 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  SIR JASPER Mar24 Mar03 Feb17     (saavedra mary)HUGHES CARLY 119 30.00    
SCR  CAPTAINS COVE Feb09         (butler ke)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 30.00    
10  BULLS IN THE BRONX Mar24 Mar03 Feb09     (bravenec darre)LUZZI J 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.