Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Will Rogers Downs
Monday - April 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
WRD-1   04/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($12.65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:123     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAMPS SUCCESS 1 3 1 1 13 18 110½ (moreno carlos)MORA GERARDO 124 2.00 1.30  
TYLER'S ADMIRAL 2 1 2 2 23 39 210½ (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 3.00 33% 2.00 4.50 P
VIVO 5 2 4 511 37 28 311 (bravo franci)JORDAN R 119 1.60 16% 5.40 1.30 S
CONCRETE FINISHER 4 5 5 410½ 4 412 419¾ (david ron)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 14.10  
GOT SWAGGER 3 4 3 3 59 518 529¼ (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 124 5.00 13% 7.00 7.00  
 
WRD-2   04/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($20.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:222 :462       1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUNI MUNI SLEW 3 2 3 31   11 1nk (hartman alex)JORDAN R 119 1.80 37% 1.70 3.20 W
HOT TICKET 5 7 7 7   33 2nk (caster boyd)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00 4.80  
SHADOWLESS 1 4 1nk 1½   21 3 (oberlande)MEDINA ANGEL 118 4.00 30% 2.40 2.00 S
MEGA BOND 4 5 4 42   44 4 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 124 3.50 5.90  
GRADESTER 7 1 2nk 2½   5 513 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 5.00 4.40  
COVINGTON QUALITY 6 6 6 5   67 613¾ (caster bo)TRIANA JR 124 15.00 9% 10.10 24.80  
ONOMATOPOEIA 2 3 5 64   713 734¾ (williams st)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 8.00 7.50  
 
WRD-3   04/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:151     1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS LEXUS 2 1 22 2 11 13 1 (hartman alex)KIMES C 118 2.00 20% 4.10 1.40 W
MOM'S PASS 1 5 4 32 21 23 2 (roberts j)STEINBERG GARRETT 124 1.80 1.40 P
PUSSYCAT PUSSYCAT 3 4 5 42 31 34 311½ (buehrer m)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 13.20 S
HARLOW'S VISION 5 3 34 5 5 59 427¼ (seaton sh)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 15.00 35.60  
MATTEA 6 6 6 6 6 610 528½ (pogue bob)TRIANA JR 124 6.00 9.20  
GOSPEL DEWEY 4 2 12 1 4 48 629¾ (williams st)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 3.00 52% 0.90 3.90  
 
WRD-4   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.08K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:234 :472 :60     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECTACTICAL 6 1 3½ 3   3 1½ (mitchell )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 3.00 12% 7.50 1.70 W
TIMELY REPLY 5 6 5 1½   1nk 2½ (swango ra)TRIANA JR 118 8.00 18.40  
SEDARIS 4 2 62 53   4 3¾ (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 118 3.50 5.10 S
SHIPMAN'S SONG 3 4 2½ 2½   2nk 4 (buehrer m)MEDINA ANGEL 118 2.50 49% 1.00 1.50  
HOODOO BROWN 7 7 7 7   5 53 (ferrell jory)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 4.00 14% 6.00 5.70  
JUSTINS OMEN 1 5 41 64   6 6 (davidson bre)SANCHEZ OBED 118 6.00 11.70  
MIGHTY BUGSY 2 3 1½ 4   7 711½ (williams f)CRUZ ROMAN 118 20.00 47.00  
 
WRD-5   04/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:224 :463       1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESTINY'S LOVE 6 2 2½ 11   14 1 (caster bo)MEDINA ANGEL 118 1.40 29% 2.40 0.90 W
HOPE AND A DREAM 4 6 5 43   3 2 (merrick d)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 6.00 6.50 P
BIG TINY 2 5 6 6   4 3 (buehrer mark)RICHARD RONALD 118 4.00 19% 4.10 3.80 S
LUCKILY 5 1 4 31   24 410¼ (seaton sh)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 12.00 11% 7.90 16.20  
HEY ROXY 3 4 3 5   6 516¼ (williams st)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 5.00 10.90  
ANGEL'S CUT 1 3 1½ 21   5 619 (birzer bonnie)SANCHEZ OBED 118 3.00 3.70  
 
WRD-6   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISTORTED FLASH 1 3 3 2½   1 1 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 2.50 20% 3.90 1.60 W
CATECHISM 3 5 4 41   3 2 (birzer bonni)JORDAN R 119 1.80 1.50 P
JULIARD HONOR 5 2 1½ 1½   2 3 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 3.00 20% 4.00 4.80 S
PRINCESSOFCHITOWN 4 1 2½ 31   4 4 (davidson br)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 6.00 7.50  
JUSTABOUTRIGHT 2 4 55 53   5 5 (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 33% 2.10 5.50  
 
WRD-7   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:231 :47 :591     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEDIALED BURREAUX 1 1 13 15   15 1 (lee mark)JORDAN R 119 1.40 22% 3.60 0.40 W
BLACK COFFEE BUZZ 5 2 4 3   25 2 (merrick d)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00 5.70 P
J LOVE 2 6 612¼ 5   39 310½ (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 5.00 11.10 S
EVENING STORM 6 3 23 25   411 417¾ (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 124 1.80 39% 1.60 4.20  
SEXY RAGS 4 4 33 47   512 520¾ (luneack theres)MORA GERARDO 124 12.00 12.10  
ARKANSAS INVASION 3 5 5 613½   622 649¾ (espiritu lucio)CRUZ ROMAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 44.90  
 
WRD-8   04/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19.8K) 3 F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:144     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL 4 1 1 1 1 12 1 (moreno carlos)MORA GERARDO 122 2.50 18% 4.50 2.00 W
NORDIC QUEEN 2 3 32 33 32 22 2 (bravo franci)JORDAN R 117 1.80 39% 1.50 0.50 P
COLD AS YOU 5 4 2 2 2 33 3 (ashford h)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 5.00 10.60 S
DERBYSHIRE 1 2 43 43 4 46 414½ (lake barr)MEDINA ANGEL 122 8.00 14% 6.00 17.70  
LORD ONLY KNOWS 3 5 5100 5100 5100 5100 5100 (luneack t)TRIANA JR 122 4.00 8.20  
SCR  HEY SISSY               (dixon tim)KIMES C 122 6.00    
 
WRD-9   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:221 :453       1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DICEY 2 8 5 54   22 1½ (swan patrick)JORDAN R 118 3.00 9% 10.80 1.60 W
RAGAN'S JET 5 1 3 1nk   12 2½ (offolter s)KIMES C 118 6.00 5% 19.00 4.30 P
DIPPING IN 6 6 810 6   6 37 (ashford ray)MORA GERARDO 118 8.00 14.70  
SHE'S SHINEY 4 3 22 31   34 4 (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 118 8.00 24% 3.10 10.80  
SWEET MARY M 3 7 4 42   45 5 (craddock )TRIANA JR 118 3.50 33% 2.10 6.20  
COUNTRY DAISY 7 4 67 7   7 610½ (ashford)GONCALVES R 118 5.00 3.70  
GREEN EYED BELLE 8 5 79 8   810½ 711¼ (caster boyd)SANCHEZ OBED 118 12.00 18.20  
CASINO QUEEN 1 2 12 2nk   5 812½ (nolen kenne)WETHEY JR 118 4.50 9% 10.50 8.90  
SCR  LA MORENA               (espiritu )STEINBERG GARRETT 118 20.00    
 
WRD-10   04/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.86K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:223 :47       1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  CINCO STEVE 11 1 3.2 2nk   11 1½ (offolter s)KIMES C 118 12.00 5.90  
RAINBOW GOLD 2 5 5 6   4 2½ (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 3.50 19% 4.20 1.10 P
POWER WIZARD 5 2 6 5   32 3¾ (caster bo)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.00 27% 2.70 1.40 S
ARBUCKLE OUTLAW 3 9 8 8   64 43 (tracy greg)JORDAN R 113 5.00 7% 12.70 13.80  
WINDIGO SPIRIT 9 4 1nk 1nk   21 5 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 118 12.00 41.50  
10  MUSCLE UP 10 8 74 96   8 6 (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 118 8.00 15.20  
TAKING ENERGY 8 7 4¼ 4   54 7 (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 124 20.00 ######  
GOSPEL DANDY 1 10 9 7   9 8 (williams st)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 30.00 ######  
HAMMER DOWN 7 3 2nk 3.2   7 9 (brooks d)CRUZ ROMAN 118 20.00 48.00  
MAHOMEITE 6 6 10 1111   10 10 (blatchford g)RICHARD RONALD 118 20.00 82.70  
RODEO RIVER 4 11 1111½ 1011   11 1112 (thomas de)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 30.00 86.90  
SCR  CRAZY LOVER               (gladd kassie)KIMES C 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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