Handicappers' Racing Form

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Will Rogers Downs
Monday - April 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
WRD-1   04/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($12.65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAMPS SUCCESS Mar22 Feb26 Jan30     (moreno carlos)MORA GERARDO 124 2.00    
TYLER'S ADMIRAL Mar22 Mar02       (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
GOT SWAGGER         (bravo francis)WETHEY JR 124 5.00 13% 7.00    
CONCRETE FINISHER Jan29         (david ron)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00    
VIVO         (bravo francisc)JORDAN R 119 1.60 16% 5.40    
 
WRD-2   04/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($20.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADOWLESS         (oberlander )MEDINA ANGEL 118 4.00 30% 2.40    
ONOMATOPOEIA Mar29         (williams stev)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 8.00    
MUNI MUNI SLEW         (hartman alex)JORDAN R 119 1.80 37% 1.70    
MEGA BOND         (davidson brent)MORA GERARDO 124 3.50    
HOT TICKET Mar21         (caster boyd)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00    
COVINGTON QUALITY         (caster boyd)MCNEIL ERIK 124 15.00 9% 10.10    
GRADESTER Mar24 Mar04 Feb12 Jan06   (williams steve )PUSAC ALBERTO 124 5.00    
 
WRD-3   04/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOM'S PASS Mar17 Mar09 Feb16 Jan28 Jan06 (roberts joe)STEINBERG GARRETT 124 1.80    
TEXAS LEXUS Mar29 Mar06 Feb18     (hartman alex)KIMES C 118 2.00 20% 4.10    
PUSSYCAT PUSSYCAT Mar28         (buehrer mar)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00    
GOSPEL DEWEY         (williams stev)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 3.00 52% 0.90    
HARLOW'S VISION Mar28         (seaton shan)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 15.00    
MATTEA         (pogue bob)TRIANA JR 124 6.00    
 
WRD-4   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.08K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTINS OMEN         (davidson brent)SANCHEZ OBED 118 6.00    
MIGHTY BUGSY Mar28         (williams f)CRUZ ROMAN 118 20.00    
SHIPMAN'S SONG Mar28         (buehrer mar)MEDINA ANGEL 118 2.50 49% 1.00    
SEDARIS Mar29         (padilla a)MORA GERARDO 118 3.50    
TIMELY REPLY Mar28         (swango rand)TRIANA JR 118 8.00    
SPECTACTICAL Mar28         (mitchell ra)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 3.00 12% 7.50    
HOODOO BROWN Feb04         (ferrell jory)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 4.00 14% 6.00    
 
WRD-5   04/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGEL'S CUT Mar28 Feb18 Feb03 Jan01   (birzer bonnie)SANCHEZ OBED 118 3.00    
BIG TINY Mar30         (buehrer w)RICHARD RONALD 118 4.00 19% 4.10    
HEY ROXY Mar28         (williams stev)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 5.00    
HOPE AND A DREAM Mar28         (merrick d)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 6.00    
LUCKILY         (seaton shan)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 12.00 11% 7.90    
DESTINY'S LOVE Mar30 Feb26       (caster boyd)MEDINA ANGEL 118 1.40 29% 2.40    
 
WRD-6   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISTORTED FLASH Mar22 Mar02       (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 2.50 20% 3.90    
JUSTABOUTRIGHT         (williams j )MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 33% 2.10    
CATECHISM Mar20 Feb27 Jan23     (birzer bonnie)JORDAN R 119 1.80    
PRINCESSOFCHITOWN         (davidson bren)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 6.00    
JULIARD HONOR Mar21         (young e)WETHEY JR 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
 
WRD-7   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEDIALED BURREAUX Mar02 Feb09 Jan07     (lee mark)JORDAN R 119 1.40 22% 3.60    
J LOVE         (corderman scott)SANCHEZ OBED 124 5.00    
ARKANSAS INVASION Mar28         (espiritu lu)STEINBERG GARRETT 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SEXY RAGS Mar28         (luneack theresa )MORA GERARDO 124 12.00    
BLACK COFFEE BUZZ Mar28         (merrick d)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00    
EVENING STORM Mar28         (buehrer mark )WETHEY JR 124 1.80 39% 1.60    
 
WRD-8   04/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19.8K) 3 F PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DERBYSHIRE Jan08         (lake barry)MEDINA ANGEL 122 8.00 14% 6.00    
NORDIC QUEEN Mar12         (bravo francisc)JORDAN R 117 1.80 39% 1.50    
LORD ONLY KNOWS Mar22         (luneack the)TRIANA JR 122 4.00    
SCR  HEY SISSY Apr05 Mar29 Feb16 Feb02   (dixon tim)KIMES C 122 6.00    
SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Mar22 Feb12 Jan21     (moreno carlos)MORA GERARDO 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
COLD AS YOU Mar29         (ashford r)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 5.00    
 
WRD-9   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASINO QUEEN Mar21         (nolen kenneth)WETHEY JR 118 4.50 9% 10.50    
SCR  LA MORENA Mar22         (espiritu lu)STEINBERG GARRETT 118 20.00    
DICEY Mar21         (swan e)JORDAN R 118 3.00 9% 10.80    
SWEET MARY M Mar21         (craddock ka)TRIANA JR 118 3.50 33% 2.10    
SHE'S SHINEY         (williams j )MEDINA ANGEL 118 8.00 24% 3.10    
RAGAN'S JET Mar21 Jan14       (offolter s)KIMES C 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
DIPPING IN Feb16 Jan13       (ashford ray)MORA GERARDO 118 8.00    
COUNTRY DAISY Feb25 Jan20       (ashford h)GONCALVES R 118 5.00    
GREEN EYED BELLE         (caster boyd)SANCHEZ OBED 118 12.00    
 
WRD-10   04/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.86K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOSPEL DANDY         (williams stev)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 30.00    
RAINBOW GOLD Mar21         (young e)WETHEY JR 118 3.50 19% 4.20    
ARBUCKLE OUTLAW Mar23 Mar09 Feb10     (tracy greg)JORDAN R 113 5.00 7% 12.70    
RODEO RIVER         (thomas dena)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 30.00    
POWER WIZARD         (caster boyd)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
MAHOMEITE Apr05 Feb25 Jan28     (blatchford geo)RICHARD RONALD 118 20.00    
HAMMER DOWN         (brooks d)CRUZ ROMAN 118 20.00    
TAKING ENERGY Mar29         (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 124 20.00    
WINDIGO SPIRIT         (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 118 12.00    
10  MUSCLE UP         (bravo franc)TRIANA JR 118 8.00    
SCR  CRAZY LOVER Mar22         (gladd kassie)KIMES C 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
12  CINCO STEVE         (offolter s)LANDEROS C 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.