The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Belmont Park
Saturday - April 30, 2022

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BEL-1   04/30/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
:232 :471 1:122     1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAKE B. 2 3 3 32 3 12 1(romero jesus)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 13.60  
MAJESTIC TIGER 4 4 2 21 2nk 22 2(rodriguez gustavo)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 4.10 P
CORKMAN 1 6 610½ 610 5 436 (levine bruce)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 10% 9.00 4.40 S
ROMAN EMPIRE 5 1 45 44 4 59 48 (giangiulio michelle)VARGAS A 121 4.00 8.50  
ROAD TO SUCCESS 6 2 1 11 1nk 358 (arriaga antonio)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 60% 0.70 0.75  
IT'S MANDATORY 3 5 5 56 612 615½ 623¼ (barker r)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 12.00  
 
BEL-2   04/30/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:52
:222 :452 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLORY ROAD 5 4 36 35   31(noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 23% 3.40 4.50 W
HAPPY FARM 4 1 21 2½   2½ 2(arriaga antonio)ORTIZ L 121 1.60 43% 1.30 1.40 P
ARISTOCRATIC 2 2 11 1½   1½ 3(baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 121 1.20 1.55 S
MOUNT TRAVERS 1 3 46 47   4411¼ (kantarmaci mertkan)LEZCANO JOSE 121 15.00 18.30  
REJECTED AGAIN 3 5 6 5   510 513 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 6.00 10.40  
UNO 6 6 5 615   625 630¾ (delauro j)CARDENAS LUIS 121 12.00 14.60  
 
BEL-3   04/30/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
:233 :464 1:113     1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSICAL AMERICA 2 4 11 1 13 11½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00 2.70  
FLOWERS FOR LISA 6 1 21 2 23 22½ (englehart s)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.60 60% 0.70 1.80 P
BLOOD MOON 1 6 5 56 47 33(barrera s)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 15.00 5% 19.00 31.50 S
EVEN THUNDER 3 2 4 46 5 510½ 412¾ (gorham e)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50 6% 16.70 4.40  
PLAYWRIGHT 4 5 6 6 611½ 614½ 517¾ (schettino a)CARDENAS LUIS 121 8.00 19.10  
MAGNETRON 5 3 3 3 3 4618 (falcone n)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 5% 18.50 2.30  
SCR  VICAR'S LEGEND               (younghans william)LUZZI J 121 20.00    
 
BEL-4   04/30/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
:231 :463 1:101 1:34   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG AGENDA 1 4 55 46 3 1½ 1¼ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 8% 11.10 4.10 W
GRAND JOURNEY 2 1 3 35 2 2½ 2¼ (maker j)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50 8% 11.00 2.45 P
SUMMER TO REMEMBER 5 3 1½ 1 1 3½ 32 (rodriguez r)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 43% 1.30 2.70 S
AMERICAN LINCOLN 3 2 2½ 2 45 44(romero jesus)LEZCANO JOSE 121 30.00 52.00  
PRIORITIZE 6 8 911½ 912½ 815 75(rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00 17.00  
DESOLATOR 7 6 6 7 610 567 (begg bentley)DAVIS DYLAN 121 15.00 16.90  
F F ROCKET 4 5 7 68 58 67(atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00 8.60  
HIEROGLYPHICS 8 7 8 810½ 713½ 812¼ 814 (chatterpaul naipaul)CARDENAS LUIS 123 12.00 5% 18.10 31.50  
10  SMILE BRYAN 9 9 43 57 917½ 930¼ 9100 (miceli michael)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 12% 7.30 4.70  
SCR  AUBURN HILLS               (giangiulio michelle)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.50    
SCR  DARK STORM               (kantarmaci mertkan)RIDER TBA 121 5.00    
SCR  GIOCARE               (rodriguez r)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00    
 
BEL-5   04/30/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:23
:224 :464 1:122     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADVERSITY 3 3 11 1½   11(casse mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 5.60  
THINKING IT OVER 5 5 21 2½   32 2(handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 14% 6.30 3.45 P
CAPTIVATING CARA 8 1 4 5   43(friedman mitchell)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00 5% 19.00 33.00 S
BANKERS DAUGHTER 9 2 3 31   24(miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 126 4.00 35% 1.90 4.50  
TRUE EMPRESS 4 6 7 65   55 5(weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 13% 6.80 6.70  
FANCY FELINE 2 4 8 89   66(bond james)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 6.10  
11  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 11 11 64 7   77(toscano t)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 20.80  
MOAM 7 7 9 1011   912½ 811 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 13.90  
PONCHO SONG 1 10 1112¾ 1115½   1114 912½ (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00 20.00  
10  BLAME IT ON MARY 10 8 5 42   811½ 1019 (barker r)ORTIZ L 126 5.00 15% 5.90 5.80  
SALSA A PARTE 6 9 10 910   1013½ 1119½ (handal raymond)SAMUEL L 120 10.00 31.50  
 
BEL-6   04/30/2022 4620ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
:231 :471 1:11     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNOW LOVES A FIGHT 5 4 65 5   2nk 1½ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 4.70  
GATHER THE FACTS 2 5 55 64   52½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 24% 3.20 3.40 P
WITH BELLS ON 6 6 3 22   1nk 32 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 7.60  
MOSTLY HARMLESS 4 7 7 75   4¾ 4(arenas marcelo)MENA E 118 20.00 5% 19.00 31.00  
DAME TIME 7 1 11 12   3.2 5(nevin michelle)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 5.00 3.30  
10  BROADWAY BOOGIE 9 2 21 32   66(tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 6.60  
DOLCE SERA 3 9 89 87   77(delauro j)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00 59.50  
BIG BEE 8 3 43 4   8812¼ (mott i)ORTIZ L 125 4.00 31% 2.20 3.80  
NOT SO GRIMM 1 8 911½ 927   9100 9100 (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 118 10.00 16.80  
SCR  PRECURSORY               (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
BEL-7   04/30/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($94K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
:233 :464 1:113 1:371   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHERN DISTRICT 3 5 6 6 41 112 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.60 38% 1.60 1.75 W
THE REDS 1 6 4 5 6 32 22 (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 9.80  
MARKET ALERT 6 1 1nk 2nk 1½ 235 (ryerson t)VARGAS A 121 15.00 15.00  
TIERGAN 4 7 5 31 2½ 546 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 15% 5.70 4.40  
WAXMAN 5 4 3 4 53 65(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 15% 5.80 2.15  
SIBELIUS 2 2 2nk 1nk 31 46(o'dwyer jeremiah)MENA E 119 8.00 22.30  
HARVARD 7 3 7 7 7 79 715¼ (brisset rodolphe)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 6.40  
SCR  TORCH OF TRUTH               (trombetta j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00 6% 16.80    
 
BEL-8   04/30/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
:233 :481 1:122 1:351   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARATOGA FLASH 6 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 1½ 1(tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00 7.50  
RALLY SQUIRREL 3 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 2½ 2(maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 125 4.00 10% 8.70 2.85 P
TIMBUKTU 2 4 6 5 53 43(cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 6.30  
MR BREADWINNER 5 6 55 74 7 57 46 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 127 8.00 12.50  
LORD FLINTSHIRE 7 8 8 8 8 78 57 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 21% 3.70 3.20  
SALUTE TO AMERICA 4 3 7 64 6 66(morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 11.10  
SANDRO THE GREAT 1 2 3 32 42 37(quick j)CARDENAS LUIS 125 15.00 27.75  
AMEDEUS MUSIC 8 9 9 9 9 810 810¼ (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00 47.25  
10  UMBRIA 9 7 4 4 3 912 917 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 127 3.00 30% 2.30 3.25  
SCR  BARLEEWON               (o'brien keith)VELAZQUEZ R 127 12.00    
SCR  BOHEMIAN RUBY               (rodriguez gustavo)CANCEL ERIC 125 30.00    
SCR  BREADMAN               (terranova p)LEZCANO JOSE 127 6.00    
SCR  CONVERTIBLE FREEZE               (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 118 6.00    
SCR  MR. KRINGLE               (terranova p)MCCARTHY TREVOR 127 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRACTICE SQUAD               (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
SCR  UNCLE CURLY               (walder r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 14% 6.00    
 
BEL-9   04/30/2022 4620ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:32
:223 :454 1:093     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCUTTLEBUZZ 5 7 5 5   1nk 11 (rodriguez r)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 15.50  
11  THERAPIST 10 6 811¼ 611   621 (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 4.20  
10  AMERICAN MONARCH 9 1 45 48   2nk 3(mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 10.80  
PROVEN STRATEGIES 3 2 1½ 1½   3.2 45 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 16.00  
VALUE PROPOSITION (GB) 6 3 2½ 2½   555 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 29% 2.40 1.30  
MILTON THE MONSTER 8 5 31 31   46(servis c)PENNINGTON F 120 12.00 10.30  
BIG PACKAGE 2 9 912¾ 913½   87(donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 8% 11.60 12.10  
MAJESTIC DUNHILL 4 10 1013¼ 1015½   78(weaver george)CARMOUCHE K 118 30.00 48.00  
PENALTY 1 8 711 713   997 (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 17% 5.00 9.80  
SNAPPER SINCLAIR 7 4 6 813½   1018½ 1027½ (asmussen m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00 20% 4.00 10.20  
SCR  TORO STRIKE               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00    
 
BEL-10   04/30/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:03
:222 :454 1:112     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP'N DE BANK 3 1 1½ 1nk   13 1½ (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 9.40  
SINFUL DANCER 1 3 43 31   33 2½ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 125 8.00 30% 2.40 3.65 P
TWO FOR CHARGING 7 7 710 5   533 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 14.80  
11  OUSTER 9 5 3 4   45 4(hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 5.00 6% 14.80 4.40  
MAJORITY PARTNER 4 4 2½ 2nk   23 5(englehart c)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 18.90  
PATRICK THE GREAT 2 9 811 6   68 6(abreu r)ORTIZ JR 125 6.00 5% 19.00 3.85  
KAZ SUGAR BANK 8 2 58 8   715 716 (synnefias dimitrios)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 27.75  
GEORGE'S GAMBIT 5 8 911½ 913¼   922 824¾ (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 3.25  
BASIS RISK 6 6 68 7   819 924¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 34% 2.00 8.00  
SCR  MISCHIEF MOGUL               (englehart s)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  N Y ANTHEM               (servis tyler)PENNINGTON F 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.