Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont Park
Saturday - April 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BEL-1   04/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORKMAN Mar31 Feb20 Feb11     (levine bruce)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 10% 9.00    
2  BLAKE B. Mar26 Feb26 Feb06     (romero j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 ★    
3  IT'S MANDATORY Feb26 Jan20       (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 ★    
4  MAJESTIC TIGER Mar31 Mar18 Feb19 Jan09   (rodriguez gust)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 ★    
5  ROMAN EMPIRE Mar26 Feb13 Jan20     (giangiuli)VARGAS A 121 4.00    
6  ROAD TO SUCCESS Apr07 Feb20 Jan05     (arriaga antonio)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 60% 0.70    
 
BEL-2   04/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOUNT TRAVERS Mar26 Feb18 Jan14     (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 121 15.00    
2  ARISTOCRATIC Mar26 Feb27       (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 121 1.20 ★    
3  REJECTED AGAIN Apr07         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 6.00 ★    
4  HAPPY FARM Feb27         (arriaga antoni)ORTIZ L 121 1.60 43% 1.30    
5  GLORY ROAD Mar27 Mar05       (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 23% 3.40    
6  UNO Mar25 Feb19       (delauro edwar)CARDENAS LUIS 121 12.00 ★    
 
BEL-3   04/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLOOD MOON Apr21 Apr01 Feb24 Feb05 Jan16 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VICAR'S LEGEND Mar19 Mar04 Feb21 Feb10   (younghans william)LUZZI J 121 20.00    
3  MUSICAL AMERICA Apr24 Feb06 Jan14     (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00 ★    
4  EVEN THUNDER Apr03 Mar19 Feb03 Jan23   (gorham mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50 6% 16.70    
5  PLAYWRIGHT Apr01 Feb24 Feb05 Jan16   (schettino dom)CARDENAS LUIS 121 8.00    
6  MAGNETRON Mar26 Mar19 Feb24 Jan16 Jan02 (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 5% 18.50    
7  FLOWERS FOR LISA Apr21 Mar19 Feb24 Jan16 Jan01 (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.60 60% 0.70    
 
BEL-4   04/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG AGENDA Apr14 Feb26 Jan30 Jan13   (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 8% 11.10    
2  GRAND JOURNEY Mar26         (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50 8% 11.00    
SCR  DARK STORM Mar27 Jan28       (kantarmaci mertka)RIDER TBA 121 5.00    
4  AMERICAN LINCOLN Mar26 Mar05 Feb06 Jan28 Jan02 (romero jesus)HARKIE K 121 30.00    
5  F F ROCKET Mar05 Jan22       (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00    
6  SUMMER TO REMEMBER         (rodriguez rudy)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
7  PRIORITIZE Mar06 Feb04       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00    
8  DESOLATOR Mar13         (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 121 15.00    
9  HIEROGLYPHICS Apr14 Jan23 Jan14     (chatterpaul n)CARDENAS LUIS 123 12.00 5% 18.10    
10  SMILE BRYAN Mar26         (miceli michae)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  AUBURN HILLS Apr08 Feb25 Jan09     (giangiul)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.50    
SCR  GIOCARE Mar26 Feb23 Jan13     (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00    
 
BEL-5   04/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PONCHO SONG         (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00    
2  FANCY FELINE Mar25 Feb25 Jan23     (bond har)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
3  ADVERSITY         (casse mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
4  TRUE EMPRESS Apr02 Feb19 Jan08     (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
5  THINKING IT OVER Mar18 Feb21 Jan22     (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 14% 6.30    
6  SALSA A PARTE Mar27 Feb19       (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 120 10.00    
7  MOAM Feb21 Jan22       (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
8  CAPTIVATING CARA Mar25 Mar18 Feb25 Jan23   (friedman mitch)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  BANKERS DAUGHTER Mar18         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 126 4.00 35% 1.90    
10  BLAME IT ON MARY Apr03 Feb11       (barker edward )ORTIZ L 126 5.00 15% 5.90    
11  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Feb05 Jan06       (toscano john)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
 
BEL-6   04/30/2022 4620ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT SO GRIMM         (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 118 10.00    
2  GATHER THE FACTS         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  PRECURSORY         (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 20% 3.90    
4  DOLCE SERA Apr08 Mar18 Jan13     (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
5  MOSTLY HARMLESS Apr09 Feb18 Jan28 Jan13   (arenas marcelo)MENA E 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  SNOW LOVES A FIGHT Apr09 Feb06       (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
7  WITH BELLS ON         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00    
8  DAME TIME Mar27         (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 5.00 ★    
9  BIG BEE         (mott i)ORTIZ L 125 4.00 31% 2.20    
10  BROADWAY BOOGIE         (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
 
BEL-7   04/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($94K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE REDS Mar25         (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
2  SIBELIUS Apr02 Feb27 Jan08     (o'dwyer jeremia)MENA E 119 8.00    
3  SOUTHERN DISTRICT Feb05 Jan09       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.60 38% 1.60    
SCR  TORCH OF TRUTH Mar19 Feb19 Jan21     (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00 6% 16.80    
5  TIERGAN Mar26 Mar06 Feb04     (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 15% 5.70    
6  WAXMAN Feb26 Jan09       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 15% 5.80    
7  MARKET ALERT Mar27 Feb12 Jan08     (ryerson j)VARGAS A 121 15.00    
8  HARVARD Mar18 Feb19       (brisset rodolp)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 ★    
 
BEL-8   04/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOHEMIAN RUBY Mar31 Feb13 Jan22 Jan02   (rodriguez gusta)CANCEL ERIC 125 30.00    
2  SANDRO THE GREAT Apr07 Jan13       (quick patrick)CARDENAS LUIS 125 15.00    
3  TIMBUKTU         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
4  RALLY SQUIRREL Feb17 Jan08       (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 125 4.00 10% 8.70    
5  SALUTE TO AMERICA Apr07 Feb05       (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
6  MR BREADWINNER Apr03 Feb04       (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 127 8.00    
7  SARATOGA FLASH         (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00    
8  LORD FLINTSHIRE         (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 21% 3.70    
9  AMEDEUS MUSIC Apr14 Mar18       (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00    
10  UMBRIA Apr07 Mar19       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 127 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  UNCLE CURLY Mar06 Feb05 Jan15     (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  BARLEEWON Apr16 Feb26 Jan09     (o'brien keith)VELAZQUEZ R 127 12.00    
SCR  BREADMAN Feb24 Feb05       (terranova john)LEZCANO JOSE 127 6.00    
SCR  PRACTICE SQUAD Feb28         (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
SCR  MR. KRINGLE Feb27 Feb05 Jan14     (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 127 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CONVERTIBLE FREEZE Mar31 Feb03       (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 118 6.00    
 
BEL-9   04/30/2022 4620ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENALTY         (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 17% 5.00    
2  BIG PACKAGE         (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 8% 11.60    
3  PROVEN STRATEGIES Mar13 Jan15       (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MAJESTIC DUNHILL Jan13         (weaver george)CARMOUCHE K 118 30.00    
5  SCUTTLEBUZZ         (rodriguez ru)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
6  VALUE PROPOSITION (GB) Apr09 Jan08       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
7  SNAPPER SINCLAIR Jan15         (asmussen st)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  TORO STRIKE Feb19         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00    
9  MILTON THE MONSTER Apr08 Feb26 Jan17     (servis c)PENNINGTON F 120 12.00    
10  AMERICAN MONARCH Mar27 Feb12 Jan08     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
11  THERAPIST Apr09         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00    
 
BEL-10   04/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SINFUL DANCER Apr03 Mar05       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 125 8.00 30% 2.40    
2  PATRICK THE GREAT Apr08         (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISCHIEF MOGUL Apr02         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  TAP'N DE BANK         (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
5  MAJORITY PARTNER Mar12         (englehart je)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
6  GEORGE'S GAMBIT         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
7  BASIS RISK         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 34% 2.00    
8  TWO FOR CHARGING         (abreu r)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
9  KAZ SUGAR BANK Mar27 Feb23       (synnefias dimit)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
SCR  N Y ANTHEM Apr05         (servis tyler)PENNINGTON F 118 15.00    
11  OUSTER Mar31         (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 5.00 6% 14.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.