The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Churchill Downs
Thursday - June 23, 2022

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CD-1   06/23/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
:222 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER WONDER GIRL 1 6 5 32   21 1¼ (williamson brian)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 2.50 35% 1.80 2.30 W
SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 4 1 1nk 1nk   11 2¼ (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 116 3.50 2.80 P
LATTE DOLCE 5 2 2nk 2nk   33(heitzman eric)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 3.00 8% 11.60 1.60 S
ECLIPSED 6 5 31 4   44 4(hancock a)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 10.20  
MIZBEHAVING SIS 2 4 6 6   6512¾ (engler jeff)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 23% 3.40 5.10  
T. K.'S JOKER 3 3 4 5   56 613¾ (gonzalez e)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 15.00 44.80  
 
CD-2   06/23/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:29
:242 :482 1:122 1:374   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAR ALLEY 7 5 21 2½ 1nk 11(casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 1.00 0.30  
EGO 6 7 6 54 3 22(contreras cipriano)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00 45% 1.20 6.20 P
RIVER ECHO (GB) 2 3 32 33 4 34 3(cano munoz)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 8% 10.90 12.50 S
JURISDICTION 4 2 43 4 5 56 410 (miller f)COURT K 118 20.00 8% 11.10 28.60  
MAJORS VINDICATION 1 4 7 78 7 68 512¼ (stall m)JOHNSON M 118 15.00 41.40  
RYE HUMOR 5 6 5 65 6 710½ 613¾ (morse l)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 9% 10.00 5.30  
UNIDENTIFIED MAN 3 1 11 1½ 2nk 45 715¼ (calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 15.50  
 
CD-3   06/23/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 5:58
:223 :461       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIALIZIN 1 4 2 2nk   11 1(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 38% 1.60 2.70 W
TELL ME WHEN 9 7 3 3.2   21 2(hamm timothy)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 3.30  
1A  CORVINA 8 6 6 4   33(ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 9.50  
AYY LADIES 2 5 7 6   55 410½ (beckman whitworth)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00 22.40  
HAPPY CLOUDS 5 3 42 5   65 511 (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 8.00 9.50  
GO ON GIRL 3 1 1 1nk   44 613¾ (rivelli larry)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 3.00  
THATSHOWSHEROLLS 4 2 54 7   77 715½ (dyer john)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 17% 5.00 8.00  
MISS ADDIE LYNN 7 8 810¼ 811¾   812½ 819¾ (lukas wayne)COHEN DAVID 119 6.00 17.00  
DICE ARM 6 9 918¼ 919¾   920½ 930 (casse w)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 23% 3.40 4.90  
 
CD-4   06/23/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
:233 :464 1:114 1:243   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORMAL ORDER 5 8 8 86 6 41½ (habeeb j)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 9.10  
1A  CAPTAIN FANTASTIC 6 2 1nk 3½ 2nk 12½ (garcia genaro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 10.00 8% 10.90 9.80 P
ICON 8 3 5 42 4¾ 234 (maker j)SANTANA JR 124 3.00 25% 3.00 3.20 S
BARSTOW 4 1 2nk 2nk 3.2 32 4(garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 111 10.00 9.80  
FED MONEY 7 7 7 6 5 65 59 (baker james)GARCIA MARTIN 124 4.50 5.00  
KISS PRINCIPAL 2 5 6 5 7 7611¼ (hamm timothy)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 7.10  
STAYIN' OUT LATE 1 6 4¾ 1nk 1nk 53 711¾ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 38% 1.70 1.20  
MO BETTA 3 4 3.2 74 812¾ 815 822¾ (warpool shane)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 10.00 21.50  
 
CD-5   06/23/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:56
:223 :454       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  ARMAN 10 8 4 2½   1½ 1(callaghan simon)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50 28% 2.50 1.60 W
EAKLY 4 2 1 1½   2½ 2(ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 15.00 47.60  
FIGHT FIERCELY 3 1 32 5   53(kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 19% 4.30 2.30 S
11  BLUFF CITY 9 3 2 31   34(catalano m)LANERIE J 119 15.00 33.10  
10  TWO PHIL'S 8 7 65 4   45(rivelli larry)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 3.50  
NAK NAK BOLT 2 6 76 65   66(hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 12.70  
DAKOTA RUN 6 10 86 76   77(simms jr)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00 20.10  
HOW DID HE DO THAT 7 5 5 8   889 (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 18.40  
SAILOR'S CHANCE 1 4 1010 1012   911½ 910 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 39.30  
SIVAKO 5 9 98 911½   1012½ 1010¾ (lynch a)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 15.60  
SCR  JEREMY'S JET               (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 10.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  TULSAN               (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 12% 7.10    
 
CD-6   06/23/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
:234 :464 1:112 1:24   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMARMY 1 5 4¼ 2nk 2nk 11 1(bauer a)LEPAROUX R 124 2.00 55% 0.80 1.80 W
ROOKERY 6 3 2nk 4¼ 1nk 21 2(catalano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 8.00 16.10 P
DUPLICITOUS 5 1 5 6 4 34 3(hawley wesley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 6.00 10.10 S
STELLAR GRACE 4 2 3.2 3.2 66 64(shirer a)GEROUX FLORENT 124 10.00 4.70  
LADY TRAVELER 2 4 1nk 1nk 3 45 59 (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.80 18% 4.60 1.40  
CODE FOR SUCCESS 3 6 6 5 54 57 610¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 6.30  
SCR  WICKED WONDER               (peitz c)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
 
CD-7   06/23/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
:243 :49 1:131 1:37   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASQUEPARADE 6 1 2nk 1½ 1nk 1½ 1hd (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.00 66% 0.50 0.40 W
INTREPID HEART 2 3 4 4 4 2½ 2hd (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 12% 7.50 3.60 P
SPA CITY 7 4 3½ 2½ 2nk 338 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 13.40 S
YOU'RE TO BLAME 5 7 7 7 6 54(dyer john)VILLASANA CARLOS 122 30.00 38.80  
MY SIXTH SENSE 3 6 52 52 5 4511¼ (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00 23.50  
SILVER DUST 1 5 6 6 31 69 617½ (calhoun bret)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.00 8.40  
WHISKEY DOUBLE 4 2 1nk 3 7 711 723½ (maker j)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 11.80  
SCR  FENWICK STATION               (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 122 10.00    
 
CD-8   06/23/2022 6270ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:23
:232 :474 1:133 1:384   1:573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  INSIGNIA 10 9 76 7 42 21 1(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 33% 2.00 0.40 W
FOREVER AFTER ALL 3 6 5 45 5 32 2(stall m)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 40.20  
SHE'S KEEN 2 1 2nk 2½ 1nk 11 3(arnold r)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 21% 3.80 7.80 S
FINE COTTON 7 2 1nk 1½ 2nk 43 47 (pessin l)DIAZ RENE 118 6.00 14% 5.90 11.20  
AMENSET 8 7 64 66 6 65(stewart dallas)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 7.90  
FIVE PRIZES 9 10 10 9 7 78 69 (pletcher a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 7% 12.50 12.10  
CINQ SOUERS 4 8 9 1010 10 89 79 (medina robert)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 65.10  
MUSIC STREET 6 4 32 3 3 58(beckman whitworth)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 33.50  
HIGH RESOLUTION 1 5 4 5 8 1014½ 918½ (arnold r)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 40.80  
SOUTH GEORGIA 5 3 87 8 9 913½ 1019¾ (medina robert)SANTANA JR 125 20.00 5% 19.00 22.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.