Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - June 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER WONDER GIRL May27 May03 Apr10 Mar06 Feb11 (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 2.50 35% 1.80    
2  MIZBEHAVING SIS May22         (engler jeff)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 23% 3.40    
3  T. K.'S JOKER May15 Mar02 Jan13     (gon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 15.00 ★    
4  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI May03 Mar27 Mar06 Jan28 Jan10 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 116 3.50 ★    
5  LATTE DOLCE Apr10 Mar06       (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 3.00 8% 11.60    
6  ECLIPSED May15 Apr10 Mar04 Jan01   (hancock john )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00    
 
CD-2   06/23/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJORS VINDICATION         (stall m)JOHNSON M 118 15.00    
2  RIVER ECHO (GB) May27 Apr23 Mar27 Feb19 Jan29 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 8% 10.90    
3  UNIDENTIFIED MAN Apr30         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
4  JURISDICTION May27 May05 Mar17 Feb24 Jan15 (miller f)COURT K 118 20.00 8% 11.10    
5  RYE HUMOR Jun10 Mar17 Jan08     (morse l)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 9% 10.00    
6  EGO May24 Apr23 Mar20 Mar04 Jan29 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
7  BEAR ALLEY May27 May08 Mar31 Mar06 Jan16 (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 1.00 ★    
 
CD-3   06/23/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY CLOUDS         (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 8.00    
1A  CORVINA         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
2  SPECIALIZIN         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  AYY LADIES         (beckman wh)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00    
4  GO ON GIRL         (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 ★    
5  THATSHOWSHEROLLS Apr29 Apr21       (dyer john)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 17% 5.00    
6  DICE ARM         (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
7  MISS ADDIE LYNN         (lukas wayne)COHEN DAVID 119 6.00 ★    
8  TELL ME WHEN         (hamm timothy)GRAHAM J 119 8.00    
 
CD-4   06/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARSTOW May30 May17 Apr20     (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 111 10.00    
1A  CAPTAIN FANTASTIC Jun11 May27 Apr20 Mar24 Mar09 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 117 10.00 8% 10.90    
2  STAYIN' OUT LATE Apr29 Mar19       (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 38% 1.70    
3  KISS PRINCIPAL May14 Mar18 Feb20 Jan30 Jan07 (hamm timothy)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 ★    
4  MO BETTA Apr22 Mar18 Feb25 Jan16   (warpool shane)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 10.00    
5  FORMAL ORDER Jun03 May22 Apr30 Apr08 Feb06 (habeeb donal)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00    
6  FED MONEY May30 May12 Mar20 Feb25 Feb04 (baker james)GARCIA MARTIN 124 4.50 ★    
7  ICON         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
CD-5   06/23/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAILOR'S CHANCE         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
2  NAK NAK BOLT         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 ★    
3  FIGHT FIERCELY         (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  JEREMY'S JET Jun09 May20 May12     (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 10.00 12% 7.10    
5  EAKLY         (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 15.00    
SCR  TULSAN         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 12% 7.10    
7  SIVAKO         (lynch br)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
8  DAKOTA RUN         (simms jr)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00    
9  HOW DID HE DO THAT         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
10  TWO PHIL'S         (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
11  BLUFF CITY         (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 119 15.00    
12  ARMAN         (callaghan sim)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50 28% 2.50    
 
CD-6   06/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMARMY May07 Mar23 Mar11     (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 124 2.00 55% 0.80    
2  LADY TRAVELER         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.80 18% 4.60    
3  CODE FOR SUCCESS May28         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  WICKED WONDER Mar16 Feb06 Jan14     (peitz c)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
5  STELLAR GRACE May12 Apr10 Feb17     (shirer matt )GEROUX FLORENT 124 10.00    
6  DUPLICITOUS Apr29 Apr08 Mar19 Feb20 Jan23 (hawley wesl)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 6.00 ★    
7  ROOKERY May21 May05 Mar19 Feb24 Jan29 (catalano )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 8.00 ★    
 
CD-7   06/23/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER DUST May26         (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.00    
2  INTREPID HEART Apr30 Mar24 Mar01 Jan02   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 12% 7.50    
3  MY SIXTH SENSE May13 Apr02 Mar13 Feb19 Jan09 (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00 ★    
4  WHISKEY DOUBLE May21 Mar05 Feb19 Jan02   (maker mi)SANTANA JR 122 12.00    
5  YOU'RE TO BLAME Apr29 Mar18 Jan09     (dyer john)VILLASANA CARLOS 122 30.00 ★    
6  MASQUEPARADE May13         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.00 66% 0.50    
SCR  FENWICK STATION Apr22 Mar19 Feb10 Jan13   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 122 10.00    
8  SPA CITY Apr22 Mar05 Feb11 Jan22   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 ★    
 
CD-8   06/23/2022 6270ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH RESOLUTION May06 Feb13       (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
2  SHE'S KEEN May27 May06 Apr08     (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 21% 3.80    
3  FOREVER AFTER ALL May27         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
4  CINQ SOUERS May29 May09       (medina robert)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
5  SOUTH GEORGIA May26 May06       (medina r)SANTANA JR 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  MUSIC STREET May27 Apr23       (beckman whitw)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00    
7  FINE COTTON May27 Apr21 Feb18 Jan21   (pessin l)DIAZ RENE 118 6.00 14% 5.90    
8  AMENSET May27 May04 Mar26 Mar01 Feb05 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00    
9  FIVE PRIZES May27 Mar06 Feb05     (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 7% 12.50    
10  INSIGNIA May01         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 33% 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.