Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:12 1:372   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUSIN LARRY 1 1 4 3 3 1 1½ (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 10.00 15.10  
BLUE JAYS 3 3 6 6 5 3 2½ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.00 36% 1.80 3.10 P
BEACHWALKER 4 4 32 54 6 53 34 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 126 2.50 3.80 S
STARRININMYDREAMS 2 5 2½ 1½ 2nk 2 45 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.80 33% 2.10 1.30  
DIRECT LINE 5 6 5 4 43 6 5 (eurton pet)SANTANA JR 124 10.00 7.70  
PRIORITIZATION 6 2 1½ 2½ 1nk 4 6 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 8.00 9% 10.50 4.90  
 
CD-2   05/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:11 1:233   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKE NOISE 2 7 1nk 1½ 12 14 115 (van thomas)DIAZ RENE 117 6.00 25% 3.10 5.80 W
ZOFFA 1 8 7 42 22 24 215 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.00 26% 2.90 1.10 P
REVENIO 3 5 4 3 3 3 315½ (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 5.30  
O CIGANO 7 4 31 52 4 4 416 (roberson dennis)CASTANON L 124 15.00 41.20  
ALTERED 4 6 5 63 55 5 518¼ (lauer michael)CANNON DECLAN 124 8.00 17.60  
TIO BLAS 5 1 8 74 7 69 622 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 5.00 11.70  
INCITATUS 6 2 2nk 2½ 66 711 726¼ (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 124 4.00 12% 7.60 3.00  
ICECAP 8 3 6 85 89 813 831¼ (kordenbrock mat)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00 8% 12.20 28.70  
 
CD-3   05/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:22 :451 :564     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP OF THE CHARTS 2 4 1½ 11   1 1 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 7.60  
IMPROBABLE JOURNEY 7 2 3 42   2 2 (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.00 3.50 P
WOODLINE 6 1 4 3   3 36 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 22% 3.50 4.70 S
HIPPODROME 3 7 63 64   66 4 (cash l)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 5% 18.60 16.60  
AMERICAN MAYHEM 4 6 5 5   5 511¼ (divito jame)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 3.10  
FELICIANO 1 8 86 78   711½ 611¾ (zito p)BEJARANO R 124 3.50 22% 3.60 5.80  
SINNER'S SIN 5 3 2½ 21   4 713¾ (moquett ronald)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 28% 2.60 3.30  
ALPHA WHISKEY 8 5 7 811½   818½ 822 (morse l)COURT K 118 10.00 30.20  
 
CD-4   05/28/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:214 :451 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOTALLY BOSS 6 3 7 8   5 1 (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.50 14% 6.00 3.50 W
INHALATION (GB) 2 5 4 4   4¼ 2 (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 12.00 27.60  
SURVEILLANCE 4 6 5 5   6 3 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 123 8.00 4.40  
OCEANIC 3 8 8 7   84 4 (blair jorda)LEPAROUX R 123 3.00 5% 19.00 2.30  
MANNY WAH 7 7 6 6   7 5 (catalano m)LANERIE J 121 4.50 7.20  
COUNTY FINAL 8 1 3.2 3.2   1nk 6 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 5.50  
MAVEN 5 4 2nk 2nk   2nk 710 (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 5.80  
SEVEN NATION ARMY 1 2 1nk 1nk   3.2 812 (moquett ronald )TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00 17.90  
SCR  EDGEMONT ROAD               (hamilton sarah)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00    
SCR  SPECIAL RESERVE               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.20 58% 0.70    
 
CD-5   05/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:14 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNAWAY WIFE 5 1 31 3 2nk 1 15 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50 2.20  
SILVERLEAF 2 2 1nk 1½ 1nk 2 25 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 4.00 1.70 P
LADY COMMANDER 1 5 4 4 4 3 3 (fires h)COURT K 125 3.00 2.00 S
LANTERN'S CANDY 3 4 55 54 5 47 410¼ (glyshaw tim)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 35% 1.90 14.90  
OUT DANCING 4 3 2nk 2½ 3½ 5 521¼ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5.50  
SCR  ECONOMIC HANGOVER               (joseph saffie )LANDEROS CHRIS 118 2.50    
SCR  PILLBOX               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  SURCHARGE               (lyster s)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
 
CD-6   05/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:112     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY ROMANCE (IRE) 3 9 53 2   21 1 (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL null   12.00  
BAD DECISIONS 6 3 2 3   3 2 (bauer a)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 4.90  
NAVAL OFFICER 2 4 1 1   11 3 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 40% 1.50 1.40 S
11  LOCO 9 2 9 9   6 44 (cano mu)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 7.20  
LUNAR ROCKET 4 8 6 6   5 5 (hancock john)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 33% 2.00 6.40  
C J ALL THE WAY 1 6 3 4   4 6 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 4.80  
RIGHT OF RUSH 7 5 8 8   7 711¾ (jazdzewski )HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 55.00  
DEVIL'S GLEN 5 7 7 77   810½ 815½ (west w)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 5% 19.00 22.10  
10  TEMPO MADNESS 8 1 4 5   915½ 928¾ (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 11.70  
SCR  NORTH BAY               (holsapple hu)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 20.00    
SCR  POLSAR               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 124 6.00    
SCR  TAFFIN               (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 118 10.00    
 
CD-7   05/28/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:12 1:371   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  EYES ON TARGET 8 7 2nk 2nk 2nk 1nk 1 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 126 3.00 22% 3.60 1.50 W
RED HORNET 4 1 5 31 31 32 2 (meah m)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00 5.60  
GRAEL 2 5 63 6 43 4 3 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 26% 2.90 5.70 S
ARABIAN PRINCE 6 6 74 83 6 5 4 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 10.00 11.20  
EVAN SING 7 3 1nk 1nk 1nk 2nk 5 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 5.70  
MR. TIP 5 9 9 7 7 7 6 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 124 8.00 6% 15.10 10.20  
ELEVEN CENTRAL 3 2 4 5 8 6 75 (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 6.00 9.80  
HIGH DEFF (FR) 1 4 85 94 9 8 87 (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 124 15.00 20.80  
11  YEARN FOR VICTORY 9 8 31 4 54 9 912¼ (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00 15.20  
SCR  AUSSIE PRIDE               (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 4.00    
SCR  GINGRICH               (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  MCLAREN VALE               (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  MOUNT KENYA               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 124 15.00    
 
CD-8   05/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:132 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR CAMPAIGN 4 5 6 7 6 4¼ 1nk (sims a)LANERIE J 118 6.00 2.30  
10  PIONEERING SPIRIT 7 8 7 5 5 1nk 2nk (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 13% 7.00 2.00 P
12  SCOTLAND YARD 9 6 3½ 31 3½ 2nk 3 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 9.10  
RIDLEY'S MAJOR 3 2 2nk 2nk 2nk 3.2 4 (brown chad)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 12% 7.70 2.90  
BON BUENO 1 3 8 8 7 6 57 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 8.40  
CIVICS CLASS 2 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 5 6 (lovell michell)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 68.50  
UNIFIED DREAMS 5 4 4 4 41 7 711½ (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 51.90  
YOUNG TURK 6 7 5 63 8 8 822½ (maker)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 20.00 46.00  
11  MY ROMEO LIMA 8 9 9 9 9 913¼ 932¾ (margolis stephen)ROCCO S 118 8.00 12.00  
SCR  BRIGHT PROSPECTER               (mcpeek g)ACHARD ALEX 125 6.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  CONSPIRACY FACT               (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  G FLAT               (ortiz alexa)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
SCR  GATE RUNNER               (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  MAGNIFICUS               (moquett ronald )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00    
SCR  SUPERCOOL               (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 125 8.00    
SCR  TOUCH CODE               (vance david)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 10% 9.20    
 
CD-9   05/28/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:092     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME GERRY 2 5 1 2½   1 1 (joseph saffi)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.00 25% 3.10 2.60 W
GUN IT 3 1 5 32   2 2 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.80 49% 1.10 1.60 P
DENNIS' MOMENT 5 4 65 6   3 3 (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 2.50 1.80 S
SHADOW MATTER 4 3 33 5   4 413½ (stewart da)SANTANA JR 121 15.00 22.60  
EBBEN 6 2 4 43   6 515½ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 5.00 7.10  
ATOKA 1 6 2 1½   57 617 (lukas wayne)COHEN DAVID 121 15.00 21.30  
 
CD-10   05/28/2022 7920ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:234 :51 1:171 1:422 2:07 2:314   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPLE CITY TERROR 5 7 7 77 3 2½ 1½ (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 33% 2.10 2.80 W
STAND TALL 1 22 21 2 1nk 1½ 2½ (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 26% 2.90 2.80 P
LA LUNE (GB) 4 3 53 5 54 44 3 (vaughan edw)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 6.90  
UNDISTURBED 7 12 11 1 2nk 34 48 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00 18.30  
LUCK MONEY 6 55 3 43 4 57 510 (delacour arn)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 6% 15.60 4.40  
GO BIG BLUE NATION 3 67 6 66 76 6 615¾ (motion graham)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 14.00  
DISAPPEARING ACT 2 44 42 33 65 714 731¼ (baltas richa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 15% 5.60 2.70  
SCR  FEDERALIST PAPERS               (brown chad)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
SCR  MALIBU MARLEE               (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 50.00    
 
CD-11   05/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:21 :442 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STATIC FIRE 1 5 1½ 12   1 1 (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00 7.20  
ONTHEONESANDTWOS 8 10 4 4   2 2 (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 25% 2.90 0.90 P
CANCEL THIS 3 8 9 8   5 3 (romans dale)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 37.00  
BALI DREAMIN 6 4 31 32   34 4 (puhic)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 6.00 16.30  
PIPELINE GIRL 5 2 75 6   6 513 (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 13.00  
10  CODE FOR SUCCESS 10 9 1010 1012½   813½ 614½ (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 15.50  
ARI OAKLEY 2 1 2½ 22   47 715 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 24% 3.10 2.60  
HIGHLAND SQUARE 9 3 53 5   712 818¼ (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 23% 3.30 16.00  
SOCIAL MANDATE 4 6 6 912¼   1016 920 (hancock a)COURT K 118 30.00 62.20  
MASSARD 7 7 8 7   915½ 1020¾ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 36.10  
SCR  TALEOFREADYCHIANTI               (stewart dall)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.