Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUSIN LARRY Apr15         (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 10.00 ★    
2  STARRININMYDREAMS May07 Apr02 Feb25 Jan27   (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.80 33% 2.10    
3  BLUE JAYS Apr15 Feb25 Jan27     (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
4  BEACHWALKER May08 Mar27 Mar18 Feb12 Jan16 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 126 2.50 ★    
5  DIRECT LINE Apr03 Feb04 Jan22     (eurton p)SANTANA JR 124 10.00    
6  PRIORITIZATION May08 Mar24 Feb26 Jan07   (calhoun w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 8.00 9% 10.50    
 
CD-2   05/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZOFFA Mar18 Feb20 Feb04 Jan08   (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.00 26% 2.90    
2  MAKE NOISE Apr16 Mar17 Feb19     (van thomas)DIAZ RENE 117 6.00 25% 3.10    
3  REVENIO Mar31 Mar11 Feb20 Jan30 Jan16 (zito nicho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50    
4  ALTERED May19 Mar24 Feb13     (lauer michael)CANNON DECLAN 124 8.00 ★    
5  TIO BLAS Mar18 Feb18       (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 5.00    
6  INCITATUS May13 May04 Mar19 Mar12 Feb16 (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 124 4.00 12% 7.60    
7  O CIGANO May13 Apr28 Mar31 Mar18 Mar09 (roberson denni)CASTANON L 124 15.00    
8  ICECAP May13 Mar19 Feb24 Feb10 Jan07 (kordenbrock m)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00 8% 12.20    
 
CD-3   05/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FELICIANO Apr23         (zito p)BEJARANO R 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
2  TOP OF THE CHARTS         (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
3  HIPPODROME Apr14         (cash norman )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 5% 18.60    
4  AMERICAN MAYHEM         (divito ja)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
5  SINNER'S SIN Apr23 Mar17 Feb21 Jan02   (moquett rona)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 28% 2.60    
6  WOODLINE Apr29         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 22% 3.50    
7  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY May07 Apr16 Mar13 Feb21 Jan29 (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.00 ★    
8  ALPHA WHISKEY Apr23 Mar17       (morse l)COURT K 118 10.00    
 
CD-4   05/28/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVEN NATION ARMY May08 Apr16 Mar05 Jan29 Jan14 (moquett ronal)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00    
2  INHALATION (GB) Apr24         (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 12.00    
3  OCEANIC Apr24 Mar05 Jan23     (blair jor)LEPAROUX R 123 3.00 5% 19.00    
4  SURVEILLANCE Apr29 Apr09 Mar10 Jan27 Jan01 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 123 8.00    
5  MAVEN Apr24         (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 ★    
6  TOTALLY BOSS         (arnold georg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.50 14% 6.00    
7  MANNY WAH May04 Apr09 Feb21 Jan22   (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 121 4.50 ★    
8  COUNTY FINAL Apr15 Feb20 Jan30     (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00    
SCR  SPECIAL RESERVE         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.20 58% 0.70    
SCR  EDGEMONT ROAD May17         (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00    
 
CD-5   05/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ECONOMIC HANGOVER         (joseph saffi)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 2.50    
SCR  PILLBOX Apr28         (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
2  LADY COMMANDER Mar31 Mar06 Feb13 Jan07   (fires h)COURT K 125 3.00 ★    
3  SILVERLEAF Apr21 Mar05 Feb09     (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 4.00 ★    
4  LANTERN'S CANDY Apr23 Mar22 Mar05 Feb12   (glyshaw t)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  SURCHARGE Apr15         (lyster s)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
6  OUT DANCING Apr15         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
7  RUNAWAY WIFE Apr30 Apr13       (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50 ★    
 
CD-6   05/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NORTH BAY         (holsapple )VILLASANA CARLOS 118 20.00    
2  C J ALL THE WAY May04         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
3  NAVAL OFFICER May03         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  POLSAR Mar03 Feb03 Jan07     (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 124 6.00 ★    
5  HAPPY ROMANCE (IRE)         (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL null      
6  LUNAR ROCKET May03 Apr20 Jan17     (hancock jo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 33% 2.00    
7  DEVIL'S GLEN Apr29         (west w)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  BAD DECISIONS         (bauer a)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
9  RIGHT OF RUSH May04 Apr20       (jazdzewsk)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
10  TEMPO MADNESS May15 Mar17       (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
11  LOCO Apr22 Mar18 Jan16     (cano juan )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 ★    
SCR  TAFFIN Apr24         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 118 10.00    
 
CD-7   05/28/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAEL Apr02 Mar05       (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  AUSSIE PRIDE Apr22 Feb25 Jan29     (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 4.00    
2  HIGH DEFF (FR) Apr24 Mar18 Jan21     (kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 124 15.00    
3  ELEVEN CENTRAL May07 Mar25       (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 6.00    
4  RED HORNET May06 Apr08       (meah m)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00    
5  MR. TIP May06 Apr16       (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 124 8.00 6% 15.10    
6  ARABIAN PRINCE May06 Apr13 Mar20 Jan22   (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 10.00    
SCR  MOUNT KENYA Apr30 Jan29       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 124 15.00    
SCR  GINGRICH Apr30 Mar12 Jan01     (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 10% 9.10    
9  EVAN SING Apr30 Mar17       (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50    
10  EYES ON TARGET Apr21         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 126 3.00 22% 3.60    
11  YEARN FOR VICTORY         (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00    
SCR  MCLAREN VALE May07 Apr16 Jan29     (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 15% 5.60    
 
CD-8   05/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BON BUENO Apr09 Feb19 Jan22     (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
2  CIVICS CLASS Apr09         (lovell miche)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
3  RIDLEY'S MAJOR Apr10         (brown ch)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 12% 7.70    
4  WAR CAMPAIGN Apr29         (sims a)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
5  UNIFIED DREAMS Apr29         (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
SCR  G FLAT Apr24         (ortiz ale)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
SCR  BRIGHT PROSPECTER Apr22 Mar05 Feb16 Jan08   (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 125 6.00 12% 7.30    
8  YOUNG TURK Apr09 Mar19       (mak)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 20.00    
SCR  TOUCH CODE May15 Mar19 Feb12 Jan08   (vance dav)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 10% 9.20    
10  PIONEERING SPIRIT May03 Apr09 Feb26 Jan22   (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 13% 7.00    
11  MY ROMEO LIMA Apr02 Mar04 Feb05     (margolis steph)ROCCO S 118 8.00    
12  SCOTLAND YARD Apr09 Feb19       (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
SCR  GATE RUNNER May03 Apr03       (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  SUPERCOOL Mar11 Jan23       (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 125 8.00    
SCR  CONSPIRACY FACT May07         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  MAGNIFICUS Apr30 Mar19 Feb26     (moquett ronal)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00    
 
CD-9   05/28/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATOKA Apr29 Apr09 Mar19 Mar05 Feb19 (lukas wayne)COHEN DAVID 121 15.00 ★    
2  AWESOME GERRY Apr16 Mar05       (joseph saf)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.00 25% 3.10    
3  GUN IT May07 Apr02 Feb21     (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.80 49% 1.10    
4  SHADOW MATTER Apr29 Feb21       (stewart )SANTANA JR 121 15.00    
5  DENNIS' MOMENT Apr29 Feb27 Jan29     (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 2.50 ★    
6  EBBEN Apr16 Mar18 Feb03     (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 5.00 ★    
 
CD-10   05/28/2022 7920ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAND TALL May06         (arnold georg)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 26% 2.90    
2  DISAPPEARING ACT Apr21 Jan17       (baltas ric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 15% 5.60    
3  GO BIG BLUE NATION Apr21         (motion graham)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 ★    
4  LA LUNE (GB) Apr29         (vaughan e)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00    
SCR  FEDERALIST PAPERS Apr27 Feb10       (brown ch)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
SCR  MALIBU MARLEE May26 May13 May03 Feb10   (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 50.00    
7  TEMPLE CITY TERROR Apr14         (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 33% 2.10    
8  LUCK MONEY May07         (delacour a)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 6% 15.60    
9  UNDISTURBED Apr24 Mar20 Jan21     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00    
 
CD-11   05/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STATIC FIRE         (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00 ★    
2  ARI OAKLEY May01 Apr07 Feb26 Jan22   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
3  CANCEL THIS Apr02 Mar10 Feb06     (romans dale)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
4  SOCIAL MANDATE May15 Apr10 Jan08     (hancock a)COURT K 118 30.00    
5  PIPELINE GIRL Mar24 Feb26       (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
6  BALI DREAMIN Apr15 Mar27       (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 6.00    
7  MASSARD Apr07 Mar12       (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  ONTHEONESANDTWOS May06         (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 25% 2.90    
9  HIGHLAND SQUARE Mar10         (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 23% 3.30    
10  CODE FOR SUCCESS         (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
SCR  TALEOFREADYCHIANTI May06 Apr22 Mar18 Feb19   (stewart da)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.