The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Churchill Downs
Friday - May 13, 2022

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CD-1   05/13/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:242 :481 1:132 1:384   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JINGLE 1 4 5 4 3 1½ 13 (lauer michael)COURT K 124 4.00 2.10  
INCITATUS 3 5 1 13 1 2½ 23 (garcia genaro)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 2.50 37% 1.70 2.20 P
O CIGANO 5 2 2 23 2 33 3(roberson dennis)DIAZ RENE 117 12.00 16.70 S
ICECAP 2 3 33 34 4 58 411 (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 9% 10.40 3.10  
BATTLE CREEK 4 1 4 57 57 46 514¼ (ali alnaz)CANNON DECLAN 124 1.80 26% 2.80 2.40  
SCR  PRETTY BOY ELM               (miller f)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.50    
 
CD-2   05/13/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:14
:224 :46       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAZZLINGDOMINIKA 6 1 1nk 2nk   11 11 (walden william)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 7.80  
VICKI ROSE 1 3 42 44   32 21 (matejka pavel)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 15.00 5% 19.00 15.60 P
JANET IS READY 7 5 3 3   435 (deville j)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 1.10 S
SKI SLOPE 4 2 2nk 1nk   21 4(mccutchen b)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 55% 0.80 2.00  
OLD SCHOOL FLASH 5 7 64 68   55 5(barkley jason)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 8% 11.00 8.40  
PHUNK 3 4 53 57   65 611 (caramori caio)DIAZ RENE 112 6.00 12.00  
K C MO 2 6 77 710   77 712¾ (jennings joseph)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
SCR  CATCHA LATER MO               (hancock dana)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 8.00    
SCR  SHESTHEBIGGAME               (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00    
 
CD-3   05/13/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:43
:251 :492 1:134 1:381   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMP INTO THE FIRE 1 1 11 11 1½ 11(colebrook ben)HERNANDEZ J 123 0.80 41% 1.40 0.30 W
JAZZY LADY 2 3 3 33 3 22(van thomas)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 30% 2.30 2.40 P
MALIBU MARLEE 3 2 21 21 2½ 33(king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 11.70 S
SINGSONG BIRD 4 4 4 4 4 47 410¾ (pincins j)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 9.10  
SCR  ANCIENT BROWN               (humphries thomas)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00    
SCR  SENSE YOU LEFT               (forster t)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
 
CD-4   05/13/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
:241 :493 1:131 1:37   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAWK OF WAR 1 5 5 6 3½ 1nk 1nk (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.60 66% 0.50 1.00 W
UNINVITED GUEST 8 7 6 2nk 2nk 2nk 2nk (margolis r)ROCCO S 118 6.00 11.50 P
EPIMYTHIUM 6 3 2½ 3.2 5 431 (meah m)MORALES EDGAR 124 12.00 13.70 S
OF THE MOMENT 2 2 41 5 4 54(williamson brian)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 10.00 7% 12.90 4.90  
OPTIMUS KAT 7 6 3½ 4¼ 7 653 (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 5.20  
COURAGEOUSLY 4 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 3.2 6(hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 1.80 4.30  
CARMEL BAY 3 4 7 83 8 87(shifflett cheryl)LEZCANO ABEL 124 20.00 42.60  
MALIBU TIME 5 8 8 7 6 788 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 23.30  
 
CD-5   05/13/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
:234 :483 1:14 1:39   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEEWINOT PASS 4 1 1nk 2½ 1½ 11(colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 111 3.00 15% 5.60 2.40 W
KEVALAR 9 6 5 6 31 22(esquivel jesus)CORRALES GERARDO 125 6.00 3.00 P
MAJOR CAM 8 5 6 42 52 335 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 5.10  
FOTHERINGAY 7 4 3 3 2½ 44 411 (colebrook ben)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 62% 0.60 5.30  
JACKYS BACK 5 2 4 52 6 510 517¼ (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00 18.80  
BLUEBANK 6 7 7 7 7 714 624½ (caramori eduardo)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 125 12.00 22.60  
CINDY'S STORM 3 3 2nk 1½ 41 611½ 727¼ (garcia genaro)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 10.00 6.30  
KEEP ON 2 8 8 8 812½ 822 840½ (williamson brian)ROCCO S 118 15.00 33.50  
HICKORY COURT 1 9 917¾ 920¼ 923½ 936½ 950 (gutierrez faustio)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 9.20  
 
CD-6   05/13/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
:224 :461 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YES TO MISCHIEF 7 2 12 11   1½ 11 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 24% 3.10 2.30 W
FOUR DAWN 3 3 22 21   2½ 21 (simms jr)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 23% 3.30 3.30 P
ZMUDA 4 1 4 3   33(hiles rick)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 8.10  
HIGH FAIR 5 8 7 6   53 4(hiles a)LANERIE J 123 6.00 3.70  
MORE ROMANCE 2 5 65 5   45(scherer marianne)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 10.00 19.10  
MY CORALENA 6 6 8 4   66 616 (garcia genaro)PEDROZA MARCELINO 123 10.00 6% 15.50 12.10  
THIRTEEN STRIPES 8 4 54 8   811 718¾ (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 123 10.00 16% 5.30 7.20  
A PAYCHEQUE SMILE 1 7 3 78   7826¼ (amescua rene)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 7.60  
SCR  IPSUM GRATUS               (van thomas)BEJARANO R 123 8.00    
 
CD-7   05/13/2022 5940ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:241 :494 1:143 1:384   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORLD CRUISER 4 5 4 42 3 2nk 1hd (vanden brittany)ROCCO S 125 5.00 12% 7.50 4.90 W
RIO KING 2 7 8 86 6 42hd (sisterson jack)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 9.30  
HASHTAG NO WONDER 7 1 3 3 42 332 (david a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 42% 1.40 1.50 S
TOLKIEN 3 3 6 5 5 54(vaccarezza carlo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 125 20.00 22.40  
MCGOLDEN 6 2 11 11 1½ 1nk 55 (walsh p)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.50 14% 6.00 2.10  
10  LOLAS BEAU 9 9 7 97 9 76(guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 111 30.00 36.40  
HABITUS 1 4 9 75 74 67(shifflett cheryl)LEZCANO ABEL 125 15.00 9% 10.10 20.90  
GULLANE 5 6 54 65 8 8816¼ (kobiskie dane)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 10.60  
RULE THE EMPIRE 8 8 21 21 2½ 9920½ (barkley jason)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 27.30  
SCR  KEROUAC               (brisset rodolphe)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00    
 
CD-8   05/13/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
:233 :47 1:11 1:351   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWILIGHT BLUE 6 4 21 2½ 2nk 1½ 1nk (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 9.60  
MASQUEPARADE 3 2 4 4 3 32nk (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 17% 4.80 2.50 P
BUCK MOON 2 1 11 1½ 1nk 2½ 3(rivelli larry)CORRALES GERARDO 124 4.00 24% 3.10 6.00 S
MAJOR FED 4 3 53 52 4 43 4(foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 6.70  
MY SIXTH SENSE 5 7 75 74 8 657 (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00 53.00  
FARMINGTON ROAD 1 6 8 8 7 55 6(arnold r)LANERIE J 122 12.00 19.90  
BIG LAKE 8 8 9 97 9 7710½ (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 17.40  
10  PROMISE KEEPER 10 9 6 63 6 8813¾ (pletcher a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 27% 2.60 1.80  
TAISHAN 9 10 10 109 10 910 916 (baltas richard)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 45.60  
COLONELSDARKTEMPER 7 5 3 3 5 1012 1030½ (sharp joe)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 10.00 8% 11.00 12.20  
 
CD-9   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
:22 :453 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEND IT TEWMEY 5 2 3½ 1   14 1(miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 4.50 4.50  
11  HOMETOWN HERO 9 8 7 54   24 2(mcgaughey reeve)LANERIE J 124 4.00 22% 3.50 2.90 P
FEROCITY 6 1 52 3   3311 (heitzman eric)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 21.10  
10  OUT WORK'N 8 7 63 43   5413½ (casse w)SANTANA JR 124 3.50 5% 19.00 1.70  
BETTER DASHER 2 6 9 810   7514 (danner doug)DIAZ RENE 111 20.00 32.90  
OFFUTT COLE 1 5 1nk 2   4614¾ (mcgaughey reeve)PETERSON FERRIN 118 6.00 6% 17.10 12.00  
MOON MISCHIEF 3 4 4 6   67 715½ (caramori caio)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.50 48% 1.10 5.60  
HE'S A KEEPER 4 3 2nk 78   810½ 821 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 124 12.00 15.60  
CONGRATS TO MI 7 9 8 918   920½ 942 (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 124 20.00 15.70  
SCR  AMAZING ROCKET               (cash l)COURT K 124 20.00    
SCR  BERNIE'S WEEKEND               (peitz c)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  EAST OF INDIA               (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00    
SCR  POPSTER               (garcia genaro)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.