Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Friday - May 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:132 1:384   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JINGLE 1 4 5 4 3 1½ 13 (lauer michael)COURT K 124 4.00 2.10  
INCITATUS 3 5 1 13 1 2½ 23 (garcia gena)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 2.50 37% 1.70 2.20 P
O CIGANO 5 2 2 23 2 33 3 (roberson dennis)DIAZ RENE 117 12.00 16.70 S
ICECAP 2 3 33 34 4 58 411 (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 9% 10.40 3.10  
BATTLE CREEK 4 1 4 57 57 46 514¼ (ali alnaz)CANNON DECLAN 124 1.80 26% 2.80 2.40  
SCR  PRETTY BOY ELM               (miller f)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.50    
 
CD-2   05/13/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:224 :46       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAZZLINGDOMINIKA 6 1 1nk 2nk   11 11 (walden willi)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 7.80  
VICKI ROSE 1 3 42 44   32 21 (matejka pave)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 15.00 5% 19.00 15.60 P
JANET IS READY 7 5 3 3   4 35 (deville j)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 1.10 S
SKI SLOPE 4 2 2nk 1nk   21 4 (mccutchen r)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 55% 0.80 2.00  
OLD SCHOOL FLASH 5 7 64 68   55 5 (barkley jason)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 8% 11.00 8.40  
PHUNK 3 4 53 57   65 611 (caramori caio)DIAZ RENE 112 6.00 12.00  
K C MO 2 6 77 710   77 712¾ (jennings jo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
SCR  CATCHA LATER MO               (hancock dana)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 8.00    
SCR  SHESTHEBIGGAME               (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00    
 
CD-3   05/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:251 :492 1:134 1:381   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMP INTO THE FIRE 1 1 11 11 1½ 1 1 (colebrook b)HERNANDEZ J 123 0.80 41% 1.40 0.30 W
JAZZY LADY 2 3 3 33 3 2 2 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 30% 2.30 2.40 P
MALIBU MARLEE 3 2 21 21 2½ 3 3 (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 11.70 S
SINGSONG BIRD 4 4 4 4 4 47 410¾ (pincins j)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 9.10  
SCR  ANCIENT BROWN               (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00    
SCR  SENSE YOU LEFT               (forster gran)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
 
CD-4   05/13/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:241 :493 1:131 1:37   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAWK OF WAR 1 5 5 6 3½ 1nk 1nk (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.60 66% 0.50 1.00 W
UNINVITED GUEST 8 7 6 2nk 2nk 2nk 2nk (margolis stephen)ROCCO S 118 6.00 11.50 P
EPIMYTHIUM 6 3 2½ 3.2 5 4 31 (meah m)MORALES EDGAR 124 12.00 13.70 S
OF THE MOMENT 2 2 41 5 4 5 4 (williamson bri)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 10.00 7% 12.90 4.90  
OPTIMUS KAT 7 6 3½ 4¼ 7 6 53 (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 5.20  
COURAGEOUSLY 4 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 3.2 6 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 1.80 4.30  
CARMEL BAY 3 4 7 83 8 8 7 (shifflett cheryl)LEZCANO ABEL 124 20.00 42.60  
MALIBU TIME 5 8 8 7 6 7 88 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 23.30  
 
CD-5   05/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:14 1:39   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEEWINOT PASS 4 1 1nk 2½ 1½ 1 1 (colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 111 3.00 15% 5.60 2.40 W
KEVALAR 9 6 5 6 31 2 2 (esquivel jes)CORRALES GERARDO 125 6.00 3.00 P
MAJOR CAM 8 5 6 42 52 3 35 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 5.10  
FOTHERINGAY 7 4 3 3 2½ 44 411 (colebrook b)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 62% 0.60 5.30  
JACKYS BACK 5 2 4 52 6 510 517¼ (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00 18.80  
BLUEBANK 6 7 7 7 7 714 624½ (caramori eduard)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 125 12.00 22.60  
CINDY'S STORM 3 3 2nk 1½ 41 611½ 727¼ (garcia gena)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 10.00 6.30  
KEEP ON 2 8 8 8 812½ 822 840½ (williamson brian)ROCCO S 118 15.00 33.50  
HICKORY COURT 1 9 917¾ 920¼ 923½ 936½ 950 (gutierrez f)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 9.20  
 
CD-6   05/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YES TO MISCHIEF 7 2 12 11   1½ 11 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 24% 3.10 2.30 W
FOUR DAWN 3 3 22 21   2½ 21 (simms jr)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 23% 3.30 3.30 P
ZMUDA 4 1 4 3   3 3 (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 8.10  
HIGH FAIR 5 8 7 6   53 4 (hiles a)LANERIE J 123 6.00 3.70  
MORE ROMANCE 2 5 65 5   4 5 (scherer maria)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 10.00 19.10  
MY CORALENA 6 6 8 4   66 616 (garcia gena)PEDROZA MARCELINO 123 10.00 6% 15.50 12.10  
THIRTEEN STRIPES 8 4 54 8   811 718¾ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 123 10.00 16% 5.30 7.20  
A PAYCHEQUE SMILE 1 7 3 78   7 826¼ (amescua re)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 7.60  
SCR  IPSUM GRATUS               (van thomas)BEJARANO R 123 8.00    
 
CD-7   05/13/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:143 1:384   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORLD CRUISER 4 5 4 42 3 2nk 1hd (vanden brit)ROCCO S 125 5.00 12% 7.50 4.90 W
RIO KING 2 7 8 86 6 4 2hd (sisterson jack)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 9.30  
HASHTAG NO WONDER 7 1 3 3 42 3 32 (david carlos)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 42% 1.40 1.50 S
TOLKIEN 3 3 6 5 5 5 4 (vaccar)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 125 20.00 22.40  
MCGOLDEN 6 2 11 11 1½ 1nk 55 (walsh p)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.50 14% 6.00 2.10  
10  LOLAS BEAU 9 9 7 97 9 7 6 (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 111 30.00 36.40  
HABITUS (GB) 1 4 9 75 74 6 7 (shifflett cheryl)LEZCANO ABEL 125 15.00 9% 10.10 20.90  
GULLANE 5 6 54 65 8 8 816¼ (kobiskie da)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 10.60  
RULE THE EMPIRE 8 8 21 21 2½ 9 920½ (barkley jason)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 27.30  
SCR  KEROUAC               (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00    
 
CD-8   05/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:11 1:351   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWILIGHT BLUE 6 4 21 2½ 2nk 1½ 1nk (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 9.60  
MASQUEPARADE 3 2 4 4 3 3 2nk (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 17% 4.80 2.50 P
BUCK MOON 2 1 11 1½ 1nk 2½ 3 (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 124 4.00 24% 3.10 6.00 S
MAJOR FED 4 3 53 52 4 43 4 (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 6.70  
MY SIXTH SENSE 5 7 75 74 8 6 57 (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00 53.00  
FARMINGTON ROAD 1 6 8 8 7 55 6 (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 12.00 19.90  
BIG LAKE 8 8 9 97 9 7 710½ (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 17.40  
10  PROMISE KEEPER 10 9 6 63 6 8 813¾ (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 27% 2.60 1.80  
TAISHAN 9 10 10 109 10 910 916 (baltas richard)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 45.60  
COLONELSDARKTEMPER 7 5 3 3 5 1012 1030½ (sharp joe)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 10.00 8% 11.00 12.20  
 
CD-9   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:22 :453 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEND IT TEWMEY 5 2 3½ 1   14 1 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 4.50 4.50  
11  HOMETOWN HERO 9 8 7 54   24 2 (mcgaughey reeve)LANERIE J 124 4.00 22% 3.50 2.90 P
FEROCITY 6 1 52 3   3 311 (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 21.10  
10  OUT WORK'N 8 7 63 43   5 413½ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 124 3.50 5% 19.00 1.70  
BETTER DASHER 2 6 9 810   7 514 (danner doug)DIAZ RENE 111 20.00 32.90  
OFFUTT COLE 1 5 1nk 2   4 614¾ (mcgaughey r)PETERSON FERRIN 118 6.00 6% 17.10 12.00  
MOON MISCHIEF 3 4 4 6   67 715½ (caramori caio)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.50 48% 1.10 5.60  
HE'S A KEEPER 4 3 2nk 78   810½ 821 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 124 12.00 15.60  
CONGRATS TO MI 7 9 8 918   920½ 942 (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 124 20.00 15.70  
SCR  AMAZING ROCKET               (cash l)COURT K 124 20.00    
SCR  BERNIE'S WEEKEND               (peitz c)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  EAST OF INDIA               (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00    
SCR  POPSTER               (garcia gena)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.