Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Friday - May 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRETTY BOY ELM Feb20         (miller jerome)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.50    
2  JINGLE Apr23         (lauer michael)COURT K 124 4.00 ★    
3  ICECAP Mar19 Feb24 Feb10 Jan07   (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 9% 10.40    
4  INCITATUS May04 Mar19 Mar12 Feb16 Jan16 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
5  BATTLE CREEK Mar19 Feb25 Feb06     (ali alnaz)CANNON DECLAN 124 1.80 26% 2.80    
6  O CIGANO Apr28 Mar31 Mar18 Mar09 Feb10 (roberson dennis)DIAZ RENE 117 12.00 ★    
 
CD-2   05/13/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICKI ROSE         (matejka pa)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  K C MO         (jennings )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CATCHA LATER MO Apr21         (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 8.00    
4  PHUNK         (caramori caio)DIAZ RENE 112 6.00    
SCR  SHESTHEBIGGAME         (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00    
6  SKI SLOPE Apr14         (mccutchen)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 55% 0.80    
7  OLD SCHOOL FLASH         (barkley jas)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 8% 11.00    
8  DAZZLINGDOMINIKA Apr29         (walden wil)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00    
9  JANET IS READY         (deville carl)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 ★    
 
CD-3   05/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANCIENT BROWN Apr27 Apr14 Feb20 Jan23 Jan01 (humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 ★    
2  JUMP INTO THE FIRE Apr22 Mar19 Feb16     (colebrook)HERNANDEZ J 123 0.80 41% 1.40    
SCR  SENSE YOU LEFT Apr22 Feb26 Jan14     (forster gr)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 ★    
4  JAZZY LADY Apr22 Apr08 Jan28     (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 30% 2.30    
5  MALIBU MARLEE May03 Feb10       (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 ★    
6  SINGSONG BIRD Apr22 Feb12       (pincins j)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
 
CD-4   05/13/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAWK OF WAR Apr21 Mar26 Feb10     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.60 66% 0.50    
2  OF THE MOMENT Apr21 Apr08 Feb17 Jan22   (williamson b)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 10.00 7% 12.90    
3  CARMEL BAY Apr29 Apr20 Mar24     (shifflett cher)LEZCANO ABEL 124 20.00    
4  COURAGEOUSLY Apr13 Mar20 Feb19 Jan29 Jan13 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 1.80    
5  MALIBU TIME Apr03 Mar06 Feb19 Jan15   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
6  EPIMYTHIUM Apr21 Mar19 Jan15 Jan02   (meah m)MORALES EDGAR 124 12.00 ★    
7  OPTIMUS KAT Apr21 Mar06       (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 ★    
8  UNINVITED GUEST Mar23 Feb26 Jan13     (margolis steph)ROCCO S 118 6.00 ★    
 
CD-5   05/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HICKORY COURT Apr24 Mar11 Jan14     (gutierrez)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 ★    
2  KEEP ON Apr30         (williamson bri)ROCCO S 118 15.00 ★    
3  CINDY'S STORM Mar25         (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 10.00    
4  TEEWINOT PASS Apr24 Mar12 Feb16 Jan07   (colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 111 3.00 15% 5.60    
5  JACKYS BACK Apr16 Apr01 Mar13 Feb19 Jan28 (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00    
6  BLUEBANK Mar02 Feb19       (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 125 12.00    
7  FOTHERINGAY Mar31 Mar12 Jan22     (colebrook)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 62% 0.60    
8  MAJOR CAM Feb23 Jan16       (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00    
9  KEVALAR Apr20 Feb23 Jan08     (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 125 6.00 ★    
 
CD-6   05/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A PAYCHEQUE SMILE Jan07         (amescua )SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
2  MORE ROMANCE         (scherer mar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 10.00    
3  FOUR DAWN Apr10 Mar04 Feb06     (simms j)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 23% 3.30    
4  ZMUDA Apr01 Mar12 Feb18 Jan23   (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 118 4.00    
5  HIGH FAIR Apr28 Feb09 Jan19     (hiles a)LANERIE J 123 6.00    
6  MY CORALENA Apr23 Feb27 Feb20 Jan28 Jan08 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 123 10.00 6% 15.50    
7  YES TO MISCHIEF Apr16         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 24% 3.10    
8  THIRTEEN STRIPES Mar09         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 123 10.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  IPSUM GRATUS Apr08 Feb20 Jan28     (van thomas)BEJARANO R 123 8.00 ★    
 
CD-7   05/13/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HABITUS (GB) Apr29 Apr05 Mar15 Mar05 Feb16 (shifflett cher)LEZCANO ABEL 125 15.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  KEROUAC Apr17 Mar06 Feb12 Jan21   (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00    
3  RIO KING         (sisterson jac)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00    
4  TOLKIEN Apr13 Mar09 Feb06     (vacc)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 125 20.00 ★    
5  WORLD CRUISER Mar18 Feb20 Jan14     (vanden br)ROCCO S 125 5.00 12% 7.50    
6  GULLANE Apr24         (kobiskie )HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
7  MCGOLDEN Mar26 Mar03       (walsh brendan )SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.50 14% 6.00    
8  HASHTAG NO WONDER Apr09 Mar19 Feb12 Jan08   (david carl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
9  RULE THE EMPIRE Feb26 Jan13       (barkley jaso)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
10  LOLAS BEAU Apr29 Apr02 Feb16 Jan22   (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 111 30.00    
 
CD-8   05/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FARMINGTON ROAD Apr15 Mar11 Jan29     (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 12.00 ★    
2  BUCK MOON Apr13 Mar26 Feb26 Feb10 Jan15 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 124 4.00 24% 3.10    
3  MASQUEPARADE         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
4  MAJOR FED Apr15 Feb19       (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00    
5  MY SIXTH SENSE Apr02 Mar13 Feb19 Jan09   (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00    
6  TWILIGHT BLUE Apr02 Feb25       (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
7  COLONELSDARKTEMPER Mar24 Mar01       (sharp joe)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 10.00 8% 11.00    
8  BIG LAKE Mar09 Feb10       (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 122 6.00    
9  TAISHAN Mar13 Jan09       (baltas richard)BEJARANO R 122 15.00    
10  PROMISE KEEPER Mar26 Feb12       (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 27% 2.60    
 
CD-9   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OFFUTT COLE Apr27 Apr02       (mcgaughey j)PETERSON FERRIN 118 6.00 6% 17.10    
2  BETTER DASHER Mar25 Feb25       (danner doug)DIAZ RENE 111 20.00 ★    
3  MOON MISCHIEF         (caramori ca)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.50 48% 1.10    
4  HE'S A KEEPER May05 Apr14       (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 124 12.00    
SCR  AMAZING ROCKET Apr24 Apr15 Apr01 Mar19 Feb10 (cash l)COURT K 124 20.00    
SCR  BERNIE'S WEEKEND         (peitz c)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
7  LEND IT TEWMEY         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 4.50    
8  FEROCITY Mar05 Feb17 Jan23     (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
9  CONGRATS TO MI Apr20         (leonard i)BEJARANO R 124 20.00    
10  OUT WORK'N Apr30 Mar06 Jan28 Jan12   (casse no)SANTANA JR 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
11  HOMETOWN HERO Apr24 Feb16       (mcgaughey ree)LANERIE J 124 4.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  EAST OF INDIA         (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00    
SCR  POPSTER Apr22 Mar05 Feb18 Jan09   (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.