The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Churchill Downs
Saturday - June 11, 2022

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CD-1   06/11/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:25 :493 1:134 1:39   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMANDER COMPTON 6 2 1nk 2nk 2nk 2nk 1¾ (bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 4.40  
MARVELOUSMOONDANCE 1 5 41 1nk 1nk 1nk 2¾ (bindner m)LANERIE J 125 3.00 41% 1.40 2.80 P
DUAL THREAT 3 4 52 5 6 436 (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 1.60 16% 5.20 1.00 S
CALIPARI 5 3 3½ 41 3.2 34 4(brisset rodolphe)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 5.20  
ARROW STRIKE 2 1 2nk 3½ 4 55(oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 14% 6.00 10.40  
BRIGHT SPARK 4 6 6 6 5 66(flint s)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 24.10  
 
CD-2   06/11/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:14
:224 :454 1:101     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESTABLISHED 3 4 4 21   21nk (baltas richard)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 26% 2.80 1.40 W
IRISH HOKIE 4 1 2 11   12nk (rankin l)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00 5.30 P
IN SKY WE TRUST 1 6 56 5   43(tomlinson a)ROCCO S 118 3.00 3.10 S
CARAMELITO 2 3 3 4   34 4(cano munoz)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 19% 4.30 8.00  
J. E.'S HANDMEDOWN 6 5 68 68   65(asmussen m)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 20% 4.00 4.20  
ESTILO VARONIL 5 2 1 31   56 610¼ (kordenbrock matt)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 9.20  
 
CD-3   06/11/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
:221 :45 1:10     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIDANIKE 6 1 2 22   11 1(asmussen m)BEJARANO R 123 1.80 19% 4.20 0.90 W
DIAMOND LYDIAMARIE 1 2 1 12   21 2(esquivel jesus)CORRALES GERARDO 123 5.00 13% 6.50 12.50 P
FIELD DAISEY 3 4 4 4   37 310¾ (williamson brian)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 10.00 6.70  
BEAUTY DAY 7 5 5 57   4411¼ (morse l)DIAZ RENE 116 4.00 16% 5.10 6.80  
MONTGOMERY PARK 2 3 3 36   5516 (contreras cipriano)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.00 28% 2.50 2.70  
HER GIANT 5 6 7 713   717 621¾ (durbin r)COURT K 123 15.00 23.80  
C V THUNDER 4 7 6 611   616½ 723¼ (evans ii)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 20.00 17.20  
 
CD-4   06/11/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 2:13
:223 :452 1:10 1:23   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  PATNA 4 5 2½ 21 1nk 12 1(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 9% 10.40 0.60 W
15  STANLEY MARKET 5 3 1½ 11 2nk 22 2(morse l)COURT K 118 10.00 6.80  
FANNIE AND FREDDIE 2 2 42 43 4 46 3(stall m)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 4.30  
QUEROBIN DOURADA 1 1 3 3 3 34 49 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 5.60  
SEQUIST 3 4 5 54 56 5511 (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.40  
SCR  LOVE TO RUN               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
SCR  RED HOT MAMA               (stewart dallas)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 15.00    
SCR  ROYAL ENGAGEMENT               (lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00    
SCR  SCHLOFMITZ               (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.00    
SCR  STREET TAPPER               (calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00    
SCR  GLENALL (IRE)               (baltas richard)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 12.00    
SCR  FANCY MARTINI               (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
SCR  WHENTHEDAWNBREAKS               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
SCR  BLISSFUL               (devaux cherie)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00    
SCR  AL QAHIRA               (mott i)GRAHAM J 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  EMINENT VICTOR               (brown c)SANTANA JR 118 2.00 30% 2.40    
 
CD-5   06/11/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
:223 :453 1:111     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN MAN DO 1 3 1nk 1nk   12 1½ (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 6.60  
DROP ANCHOR 2 4 4 4   34 2½ (walsh p)SANTANA JR 123 3.50 2.80 P
SPEED BOAT 6 2 2nk 2nk   22 3(scherer marianne)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.50 39% 1.50 1.70 S
CAPTAIN FANTASTIC 4 5 6 54   45 4(rivelli larry)CORRALES GERARDO 123 4.00 1.60  
TOM'S LAST GENERAL 5 1 33 3   55 5(hernandez javier)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 12.00 5% 19.00 22.80  
BRONZE BEAST 3 6 54 6   617 625¾ (rouck l)COURT K 123 20.00 10% 8.70 23.10  
SCR  INGERSOLL               (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 111 12.00    
SCR  TERAWATT               (moquett e)BEJARANO R 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
CD-6   06/11/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
:244 :493 1:134 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALUTE THE FLAG 3 1 3 42 4 32 1½ (jones larry)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.50 27% 2.70 2.20 W
NOSILVERSPOONSHERE 5 4 21 21 2½ 12½ (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 1.80 31% 2.30 0.70 P
SUNNY ISLE BEACH 1 3 53 5 5 53(vance r)LEPAROUX R 124 10.00 8.60 S
TAKE CHARGE LORIN 4 2 11 11 1½ 24(lukas wayne)COURT K 124 3.00 6.40  
RICHEBOURG 2 5 42 3 3½ 45(amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.50 10.20  
SCR  JAZZY LADY               (van thomas)GEROUX FLORENT 124 12.00 20% 4.10    
 
CD-7   06/11/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:221 :452 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUMAYAZ 4 1 2½ 11   12 1(peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50 24% 3.10 1.40 W
OUR TEAM 1 3 1½ 21   22 2(pitts helen)GRAHAM J 124 12.00 9.80  
SCOTCH NO ROCKS 3 6 55 56   36 3(hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 4.70  
ONYOURMARKGETSETGO 6 4 32 3   46 411¼ (barrett a)PETERSON FERRIN 118 4.50 6.80  
FEROCITY 2 2 4 4   5512¼ (heitzman eric)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 6% 16.90 10.20  
HONORABLE VOW 5 5 711 712   611 612¼ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 10.00 9.60  
GREENRIDGE THUNDER 7 7 65 66   712½ 724 (pitts helen)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 3.30  
SCR  OX DOC               (cano munoz)DIAZ RENE 111 3.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  PER DIEM               (cash l)COURT K 124 4.00 9% 10.40    
 
CD-8   06/11/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
:211 :442 :562     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  LITTLE BLAZE 11 1 2½ 12   14 1(vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 124 4.00 22% 3.60 1.80 W
10  RUN UP THE SCORE 9 5 33 3   24 2(brown c)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 4.20 P
AMERICAN PYRAMID 8 4 7 710   7313 (catalano m)GILLIGAN JACK 118 3.00 46% 1.20 5.50 S
MORE THAN VOWS 1 6 1½ 22   35 414¼ (lynch a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 3.50 10% 9.00 3.60  
MAHOMEBRED 6 8 99 6   6515 (williamson brian)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00 6.50  
11  LAMASCO 10 10 1010 812   810¼ 615 (luce nichole)COURT K 118 20.00 56.30  
TWENTYTWENTY HOAX 7 2 5 5   48 715¼ (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 10.00 22.50  
SUPER CHRISTIE 3 9 6 47   58 817½ (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 23.60  
SURCHARGE 5 3 8 1013½   917¼ 925¼ (lyster s)LANERIE J 118 20.00 26.10  
BAL A BAE BEE 4 11 1117 1116½   1119¾ 1027¾ (hill f)MILLER CHASE 118 20.00 70.40  
PISTOLPACKINPOLLY 2 7 4 912   1017¾ 1128¼ (martinez r)AYALA ISAIAS 118 15.00 55.00  
SCR  DIAL TONI               (barkley jason)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
SCR  EXAGGERATED HUMOR               (vance d)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
 
CD-9   06/11/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
:211 :441 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERTY M D 1 8 54 5   31 1½ (wilkes r)LEPAROUX R 121 3.00 42% 1.40 2.50 W
GERRI B 6 3 66 6   42½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00 5.80 P
LADY ANNA 9 2 2½ 2nk   1½ 3(devaux cherie)GEROUX FLORENT 121 30.00 10.60  
MALLOY 5 1 79 7   77 4(catalano m)GILLIGAN JACK 121 20.00 41.20  
KAELY'S SISTER 4 6 1½ 1nk   2½ 5(cox h)SANTANA JR 121 2.50 29% 2.50 1.30  
JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) 8 5 4 44   66 610¼ (meah m)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 24.70  
CONNIE K 3 4 3 3   54 710¾ (morse l)COURT K 121 6.00 8.40  
SALT PLAGE 2 9 812½ 812¾   814 823 (motion graham)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 8.00 38.80  
RAZOR GLASS 7 7 915½ 924¾   929 954¾ (walsh p)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 13.50  
 
CD-10   06/11/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($160K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
:22 :442       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST MIGHT 2 1 11 1nk   112 (lovell michelle)BEJARANO R 121 2.00 26% 2.80 0.40 W
CHARCOAL 6 2 21 2nk   222 (wisner j)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00 11.50 P
BAYTOWN BEAR 3 3 31 3   33(mcentee paul)MAYTA J 121 30.00 27.50 S
JOHNNY UNLEASHED 4 4 4 4   48 410½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00 3.40  
OCEANIC 5 6 53 5   510½ 515½ (blair jordan)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 9% 9.70 7.20  
MAJOR WAGER 1 5 6 6   612 616 (meah m)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 24.40  
SCR  CAROTARI               (lynch a)GEROUX FLORENT 125 1.40 43% 1.30    
SCR  CREATIVE CREDIT               (haehn r)GUTIERREZ REYLU 116 30.00    
SCR  SMOKIN' JAY               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.50    
 
CD-11   06/11/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
:213 :45 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERTAXED 2 7 8 7   41 12 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 7% 12.50 18.90 W
10  MR SIPPI 10 8 6 45   2nk 22 (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 4.00 28% 2.60 2.30 P
MINICONJOU 9 6 55 35   1nk 3(amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 25% 3.00 5.30 S
READY TO ANSWER 7 5 1011¾ 912   64 43 (arnold r)GEROUX FLORENT 123 5.00 5.10  
ROUGHIN THE CITY 8 10 9 1012½   95(cano munoz)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 50.00 53.40  
STAYED IN FOR HALF 4 9 7 68   56(asmussen m)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 18% 4.50 2.10  
LEND IT TEWMEY 5 1 45 57   85 7(miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 123 5.00 11.90  
LOCK UP 1 4 1 14   3½ 810¾ (lukas wayne)CORRALES GERARDO 116 15.00 29.10  
JURA 6 2 2 24   7911¼ (mcgaughey iii)CANNON DECLAN 123 10.00 18.40  
SEIZE THE TREASURE 3 3 3 811   1011 1019¾ (asmussen m)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 21.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.