Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - June 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   06/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARVELOUSMOONDANCE May14         (bindner m)LANERIE J 125 3.00 41% 1.40    
ARROW STRIKE May14 Apr22 Mar19 Feb12   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 14% 6.00    
DUAL THREAT May05 Mar19       (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 1.60 16% 5.20    
BRIGHT SPARK May15 Apr27       (flint bernar)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
CALIPARI May26 Jan08       (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 118 4.00    
COMMANDER COMPTON May14 Apr02       (bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00    
 
CD-2   06/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN SKY WE TRUST May21 Mar01 Feb05     (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 3.00    
CARAMELITO May27 May14 Apr21 Mar04 Feb11 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 19% 4.30    
ESTABLISHED May15 Feb19       (baltas rich)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
IRISH HOKIE May22 Mar01 Jan07     (rankin michael )GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00    
ESTILO VARONIL May07 Apr03 Mar27 Jan28 Jan02 (kordenbroc)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
J. E.'S HANDMEDOWN May07 Apr23 Mar17 Feb26 Feb13 (asmussen m)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 20% 4.00    
 
CD-3   06/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND LYDIAMARIE May12 Apr20 Mar02 Feb11   (esquivel jes)CORRALES GERARDO 123 5.00 13% 6.50    
MONTGOMERY PARK Apr30 Apr09 Mar25 Feb27 Feb12 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.00 28% 2.50    
FIELD DAISEY May12 Jan28 Jan13     (williamson bri)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 10.00    
C V THUNDER May27 May13 Apr28 Mar31 Mar18 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 123 20.00    
HER GIANT Jun03 Jan08       (durbin r)COURT K 123 15.00    
AIDANIKE May06 Apr03 Feb20 Jan08   (asmussen m)BEJARANO R 123 1.80 19% 4.20    
BEAUTY DAY Apr22 Mar31 Mar18 Feb12   (morse l)DIAZ RENE 116 4.00 16% 5.10    
 
CD-4   06/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EMINENT VICTOR         (brown chad)SANTANA JR 118 2.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  SCHLOFMITZ May14 Apr02 Mar03 Feb12   (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.00    
QUEROBIN DOURADA Apr22 Mar26 Feb16     (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
SCR  AL QAHIRA (GER) May04 Apr10 Feb02     (mott i)GRAHAM J 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  RED HOT MAMA May14 Apr02 Feb21     (stewart dall)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 15.00    
FANNIE AND FREDDIE May06 Jan22       (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
SCR  ROYAL ENGAGEMENT         (lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00    
SCR  STREET TAPPER May14         (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00    
SEQUIST May06 Mar26 Feb18     (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WHENTHEDAWNBREAKS Apr28 Jan29       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
SCR  BLISSFUL         (devaux cher)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00    
SCR  LOVE TO RUN May14 Apr03 Mar05     (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
SCR  FANCY MARTINI May14 Mar26 Feb05 Jan08   (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
SCR  GLENALL (IRE) May14 Apr09 Mar12 Feb20 Jan08 (balta)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 12.00    
14  PATNA Apr28 Mar26       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 9% 10.40    
15  STANLEY MARKET May22 Apr22 Mar24 Feb11 Jan07 (morse l)COURT K 118 10.00    
 
CD-5   06/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN MAN DO May19 Apr07 Mar12 Feb11 Jan01 (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00    
SCR  INGERSOLL May12 May04 Mar12     (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 111 12.00    
DROP ANCHOR May14 Apr20       (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 123 3.50    
BRONZE BEAST May22 Mar25 Mar10 Feb16 Jan09 (rouck l)COURT K 123 20.00 10% 8.70    
CAPTAIN FANTASTIC May27 Apr20 Mar24 Mar09 Feb18 (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 123 4.00    
TOM'S LAST GENERAL Apr23 Apr10 Apr02 Feb12 Jan16 (hernandez jav)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SPEED BOAT Apr30 Apr16 Mar18 Feb04   (scherer mar)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  TERAWATT Apr30 Apr08 Mar05 Jan28   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
CD-6   06/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNNY ISLE BEACH May21 Apr24 Apr08 Mar19 Mar06 (vance david)LEPAROUX R 124 10.00    
SCR  JAZZY LADY May13 Apr22 Apr08 Jan28   (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 124 12.00 20% 4.10    
RICHEBOURG May10 Feb23 Jan15     (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.50    
SALUTE THE FLAG May21 Mar31 Feb13     (jones larr)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
TAKE CHARGE LORIN         (lukas wayne)COURT K 124 3.00    
NOSILVERSPOONSHERE Apr27         (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 1.80 31% 2.30    
 
CD-7   06/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PER DIEM May22 May07       (cash l)COURT K 124 4.00 9% 10.40    
OUR TEAM May22         (pitts helen)GRAHAM J 124 12.00    
FEROCITY May13 Mar05 Feb17 Jan23   (heitzman eric)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 6% 16.90    
SCR  OX DOC May19         (cano munoz)DIAZ RENE 111 3.00 41% 1.50    
SCOTCH NO ROCKS         (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00    
MUMAYAZ Apr23 Mar26 Feb26 Jan29   (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50 24% 3.10    
HONORABLE VOW May22         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 10.00    
ONYOURMARKGETSETGO May26 May04 Apr19 Mar17 Jan16 (barrett roddi)PETERSON FERRIN 118 4.50    
GREENRIDGE THUNDER         (pitts hele)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
 
CD-8   06/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE THAN VOWS         (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 3.50 10% 9.00    
PISTOLPACKINPOLLY         (martinez matthew)AYALA ISAIAS 118 15.00    
SUPER CHRISTIE May06 Apr15 Mar09     (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00    
BAL A BAE BEE         (hill f)MILLER CHASE 118 20.00    
SCR  DIAL TONI         (barkley jason)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
SURCHARGE Apr15         (lyster s)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
MAHOMEBRED         (williamson bri)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00    
TWENTYTWENTY HOAX May26 May14       (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 10.00    
AMERICAN PYRAMID Apr27 Apr08       (catalano wayne )GILLIGAN JACK 118 3.00 46% 1.20    
10  RUN UP THE SCORE May07 Mar27       (brown chad)SANTANA JR 118 5.00    
11  LAMASCO May26         (luce nichole)COURT K 118 20.00    
12  LITTLE BLAZE May06 Apr13       (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  EXAGGERATED HUMOR         (vance d)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
 
CD-9   06/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERTY M D May14 Apr15 Mar03     (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 121 3.00 42% 1.40    
SALT PLAGE         (motion gra)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 8.00    
CONNIE K May06 Apr16 Mar05 Jan08   (morse l)COURT K 121 6.00    
KAELY'S SISTER Apr20         (cox h)SANTANA JR 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
MALLOY May14 Mar09 Jan15     (catalano wayne )GILLIGAN JACK 121 20.00    
GERRI B May14         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00    
RAZOR GLASS         (walsh p)GRAHAM J 121 5.00    
JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) May29 May03       (meah m)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
LADY ANNA         (devaux cherie)GEROUX FLORENT 121 30.00    
 
CD-10   06/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJOR WAGER May30         (meah m)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
JUST MIGHT May06 Apr09 Feb19 Jan22   (lovell michelle)BEJARANO R 121 2.00 26% 2.80    
BAYTOWN BEAR May25 May07 Apr18     (mcentee paul)MAYTA J 121 30.00    
SCR  CAROTARI May21         (lynch a)GEROUX FLORENT 125 1.40 43% 1.30    
JOHNNY UNLEASHED May06 Apr09 Mar12     (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00    
OCEANIC May28 Apr24 Mar05 Jan23   (blair jorda)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  SMOKIN' JAY May21         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.50    
SCR  CREATIVE CREDIT Jun01 Apr09       (haehn r)GUTIERREZ REYLU 116 30.00    
CHARCOAL May17         (wisner j)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00    
 
CD-11   06/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCK UP Apr08 Mar20 Feb18     (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 116 15.00    
OVERTAXED May08 Apr02 Feb09     (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 7% 12.50    
SEIZE THE TREASURE         (asmussen st)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
STAYED IN FOR HALF May07 Apr08 Feb26 Jan23   (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 18% 4.50    
LEND IT TEWMEY May13         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 123 5.00    
JURA Apr28         (mcgaughey claud)CANNON DECLAN 123 10.00    
READY TO ANSWER Apr21         (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 123 5.00    
ROUGHIN THE CITY Apr19 Mar17 Jan07     (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 50.00    
MINICONJOU May06 Apr09 Feb18 Jan29 Jan02 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
10  MR SIPPI May29 May04       (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 4.00 28% 2.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.