Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - June 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARVELOUSMOONDANCE May14         (bindner walter )LANERIE J 125 3.00 41% 1.40    
2  ARROW STRIKE May14 Apr22 Mar19 Feb12   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 14% 6.00    
3  DUAL THREAT May05 Mar19       (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 1.60 16% 5.20    
4  BRIGHT SPARK May15 Apr27       (flint bern)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
5  CALIPARI May26 Jan08       (brisset )SANTANA JR 118 4.00 ★    
6  COMMANDER COMPTON May14 Apr02       (bauer philip)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 ★    
 
CD-2   06/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN SKY WE TRUST May21 Mar01 Feb05     (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 3.00 ★    
2  CARAMELITO May27 May14 Apr21 Mar04 Feb11 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 19% 4.30    
3  ESTABLISHED May15 Feb19       (baltas ri)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
4  IRISH HOKIE May22 Mar01 Jan07     (rankin michae)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00 ★    
5  ESTILO VARONIL May07 Apr03 Mar27 Jan28 Jan02 (kordenbr)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
6  J. E.'S HANDMEDOWN May07 Apr23 Mar17 Feb26 Feb13 (asmussen steven )BEJARANO R 118 3.50 20% 4.00    
 
CD-3   06/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMOND LYDIAMARIE May12 Apr20 Mar02 Feb11   (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 123 5.00 13% 6.50    
2  MONTGOMERY PARK Apr30 Apr09 Mar25 Feb27 Feb12 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.00 28% 2.50    
3  FIELD DAISEY May12 Jan28 Jan13     (williamson b)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 10.00    
4  C V THUNDER May27 May13 Apr28 Mar31 Mar18 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 20.00    
5  HER GIANT Jun03 Jan08       (durbin r)COURT K 123 15.00 ★    
6  AIDANIKE May06 Apr03 Feb20 Jan08   (asmussen steven )BEJARANO R 123 1.80 19% 4.20    
7  BEAUTY DAY Apr22 Mar31 Mar18 Feb12   (morse l)DIAZ RENE 116 4.00 16% 5.10    
 
CD-4   06/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EMINENT VICTOR         (brown ch)SANTANA JR 118 2.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  SCHLOFMITZ May14 Apr02 Mar03 Feb12   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.00    
2  QUEROBIN DOURADA Apr22 Mar26 Feb16     (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
SCR  AL QAHIRA (GER) May04 Apr10 Feb02     (mott i)GRAHAM J 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  RED HOT MAMA May14 Apr02 Feb21     (stewart da)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 15.00    
5  FANNIE AND FREDDIE May06 Jan22       (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
SCR  ROYAL ENGAGEMENT         (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00    
SCR  STREET TAPPER May14         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00    
8  SEQUIST May06 Mar26 Feb18     (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WHENTHEDAWNBREAKS Apr28 Jan29       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  BLISSFUL         (devaux ch)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00    
SCR  LOVE TO RUN May14 Apr03 Mar05     (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
SCR  FANCY MARTINI May14 Mar26 Feb05 Jan08   (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
SCR  GLENALL (IRE) May14 Apr09 Mar12 Feb20 Jan08 (bal)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 12.00    
14  PATNA Apr28 Mar26       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 9% 10.40    
15  STANLEY MARKET May22 Apr22 Mar24 Feb11 Jan07 (morse l)COURT K 118 10.00    
 
CD-5   06/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN MAN DO May19 Apr07 Mar12 Feb11 Jan01 (hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00    
SCR  INGERSOLL May12 May04 Mar12     (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 111 12.00    
3  DROP ANCHOR May14 Apr20       (walsh br)SANTANA JR 123 3.50 ★    
4  BRONZE BEAST May22 Mar25 Mar10 Feb16 Jan09 (rouck l)COURT K 123 20.00 10% 8.70    
5  CAPTAIN FANTASTIC May27 Apr20 Mar24 Mar09 Feb18 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 123 4.00    
6  TOM'S LAST GENERAL Apr23 Apr10 Apr02 Feb12 Jan16 (hernandez j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SPEED BOAT Apr30 Apr16 Mar18 Feb04   (scherer m)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  TERAWATT Apr30 Apr08 Mar05 Jan28   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
CD-6   06/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNNY ISLE BEACH May21 Apr24 Apr08 Mar19 Mar06 (vance dav)LEPAROUX R 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  JAZZY LADY May13 Apr22 Apr08 Jan28   (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 124 12.00 20% 4.10    
3  RICHEBOURG May10 Feb23 Jan15     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 3.50 ★    
4  SALUTE THE FLAG May21 Mar31 Feb13     (jones la)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  TAKE CHARGE LORIN         (lukas wayne)COURT K 124 3.00    
6  NOSILVERSPOONSHERE Apr27         (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 1.80 31% 2.30    
 
CD-7   06/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PER DIEM May22 May07       (cash l)COURT K 124 4.00 9% 10.40    
2  OUR TEAM May22         (pitts helen)GRAHAM J 124 12.00    
3  FEROCITY May13 Mar05 Feb17 Jan23   (heitzman eric)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 6% 16.90    
SCR  OX DOC May19         (cano munoz)DIAZ RENE 111 3.00 41% 1.50    
5  SCOTCH NO ROCKS         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00    
6  MUMAYAZ Apr23 Mar26 Feb26 Jan29   (peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50 24% 3.10    
7  HONORABLE VOW May22         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 10.00    
8  ONYOURMARKGETSETGO May26 May04 Apr19 Mar17 Jan16 (barrett rod)PETERSON FERRIN 118 4.50 ★    
9  GREENRIDGE THUNDER         (pitts he)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
 
CD-8   06/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE THAN VOWS         (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 3.50 10% 9.00    
2  PISTOLPACKINPOLLY         (martinez matth)AYALA ISAIAS 118 15.00    
3  SUPER CHRISTIE May06 Apr15 Mar09     (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 ★    
4  BAL A BAE BEE         (hill f)MILLER CHASE 118 20.00    
SCR  DIAL TONI         (barkley jas)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
6  SURCHARGE Apr15         (lyster stephen )LANERIE J 118 20.00    
7  MAHOMEBRED         (williamson b)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00    
8  TWENTYTWENTY HOAX May26 May14       (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 10.00    
9  AMERICAN PYRAMID Apr27 Apr08       (catalano wayn)GILLIGAN JACK 118 3.00 46% 1.20    
10  RUN UP THE SCORE May07 Mar27       (brown ch)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 ★    
11  LAMASCO May26         (luce nichole)COURT K 118 20.00    
12  LITTLE BLAZE May06 Apr13       (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  EXAGGERATED HUMOR         (vance d)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
 
CD-9   06/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBERTY M D May14 Apr15 Mar03     (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 121 3.00 42% 1.40    
2  SALT PLAGE         (motion g)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 8.00    
3  CONNIE K May06 Apr16 Mar05 Jan08   (morse l)COURT K 121 6.00 ★    
4  KAELY'S SISTER Apr20         (cox brad)SANTANA JR 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
5  MALLOY May14 Mar09 Jan15     (catalano wayn)GILLIGAN JACK 121 20.00    
6  GERRI B May14         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00 ★    
7  RAZOR GLASS         (walsh p)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 ★    
8  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) May29 May03       (meah m)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
9  LADY ANNA         (devaux cheri)GEROUX FLORENT 121 30.00    
 
CD-10   06/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJOR WAGER May30         (meah m)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
2  JUST MIGHT May06 Apr09 Feb19 Jan22   (lovell michelle)BEJARANO R 121 2.00 26% 2.80    
3  BAYTOWN BEAR May25 May07 Apr18     (mcentee paul)MAYTA J 121 30.00 ★    
SCR  CAROTARI May21         (lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 125 1.40 43% 1.30    
5  JOHNNY UNLEASHED May06 Apr09 Mar12     (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00    
6  OCEANIC May28 Apr24 Mar05 Jan23   (blair jor)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  SMOKIN' JAY May21         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.50    
SCR  CREATIVE CREDIT Jun01 Apr09       (haehn terry)GUTIERREZ REYLU 116 30.00    
9  CHARCOAL May17         (wisner tracey)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00 ★    
 
CD-11   06/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOCK UP Apr08 Mar20 Feb18     (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 116 15.00    
2  OVERTAXED May08 Apr02 Feb09     (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 7% 12.50    
3  SEIZE THE TREASURE         (asmussen )LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
4  STAYED IN FOR HALF May07 Apr08 Feb26 Jan23   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 18% 4.50    
5  LEND IT TEWMEY May13         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 123 5.00    
6  JURA Apr28         (mcgaughey cla)CANNON DECLAN 123 10.00    
7  READY TO ANSWER Apr21         (arnold georg)GEROUX FLORENT 123 5.00 ★    
8  ROUGHIN THE CITY Apr19 Mar17 Jan07     (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 50.00    
9  MINICONJOU May06 Apr09 Feb18 Jan29 Jan02 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
10  MR SIPPI May29 May04       (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 4.00 28% 2.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.