Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Louisiana Downs
Saturday - May 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   05/21/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:124     1:324   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOW NOW MAN 2 2 2½ 32   2nk 1¾ (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 122 1.50 33% 2.10 1.90 W
DUDE DROP KID 4 4 32 2nk   1nk 2¾ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 116 5.00 6.00 P
GREY SLOAN 1 3 54 6   32 3 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.00 20% 3.90 2.70 S
ZONG TOUGH 3 1 1½ 1nk   43 4 (dison phillip )CULP BRIANNE 117 2.50 7.10  
ACTIFDASH 5 5 4 4   54 5 (melancon do)FLORES S 122 20.00 13.50  
A STAR IS BORN NOW 6 6 65 5   66 6 (de beauv)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00 12% 7.20 2.70  
 
LAD-2   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:13
See original race card.
:232 :47 :594     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT PERIGEE 1 3 11 1nk   1nk 1nk (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 122 1.60 51% 1.00 5.30 W
LT. BONURA 2 1 21 2nk   2nk 2nk (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50 0.70 P
G DON'T KNOW 4 2 33 44   35 311¾ (shamsie mik)FLORES S 120 3.50 10% 9.10 5.80 S
VELVET RIDGE 6 5 43 5   4 412½ (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 122 5.00 13% 6.80 14.10  
RAHFEES MAN 5 6 6 6   6 515¾ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00 4.30  
TRUMP MEDIA 3 4 5 33   57 620 (adcock char)MORALES ROBERTO 122 12.00 14.10  
 
LAD-3   05/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:41
See original race card.
:232 :46       1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMERALD FOREST 4 4 2nk 1½   12 1¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 0.80 31% 2.20 0.40 W
SECRETARY AT WAR 3 5 5 3   3 2¾ (ashauer norm)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 8.00 19% 4.10 4.80 P
IN SKY WE TRUST 2 6 3 43   4 3 (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 124 6.00 13.00 S
HALF AGAIN 1 1 1nk 2½   22 42 (faucheux ron)LOZADA CARLOS 121 3.00 28% 2.60 5.40  
EXTIRPATOR 5 2 4 54   5 510½ (turner patti)VARGAS P 124 4.50 7.00  
1A  HARDCORE FOLKLORE 6 3 6 67   6 612¼ (turner patt)FLORES S 124 4.50 7.00  
 
LAD-4   05/21/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:13 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGERBEACH 1 2 11 1 1 14 1 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50 10% 8.80 1.00 W
LANDOFTHEPHARAOHS 4 3 21 2 32 24 2 (jeansonne just)COTTO L 122 3.50 12% 7.40 5.10 P
GUILTY LOVER 3 6 5 43 53 5 3 (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 114 10.00 7.90  
MEDITATE (IRE) 6 1 31 3 2 35 46 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER null   10.40  
INDY TOURIST 2 5 42 5 6 46 5 (duhon o)BOREL H 122 1.80 35% 1.90 4.20  
DA GOLD ROOM 5 4 6 6 43 6 610¾ (west patrici)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00 5.30  
SCR  GUITAR SLIM               (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 119 1.60    
 
LAD-5   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:37
See original race card.
:232 :464 :593     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
O CHITA 3 3 11 1½   13 15 (asmussen st)MORALES ROBERTO 116 2.00 14% 5.90 1.60 W
LIFE OF SATURDAYS 7 2 21 2½   23 25 (broberg karl)LOZADA CARLOS 122 1.20 29% 2.40 0.80 P
MARILYN'S MAGIC 4 6 6 611   37 3 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 120 8.00 13% 6.70 15.00 S
PINTLALA 2 7 712½ 713   49 4 (ward ronnie)GUZMAN JORGE 120 4.50 9.60  
BLULU 6 1 5 5   5 512¾ (crowley alan)CULP BRIANNE 122 20.00 42.60  
MISS CHECKMARK 1 5 4 4   610 617¼ (espino)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 15.00 30.90  
KEHEI KAT 5 4 31 3   720 737¾ (rangel r)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00 12% 7.20 15.30  
 
LAD-6   05/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:12 1:263   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE AWAY 6 4 1 1 2½ 11 1 (garcia luis)VARGAS P 122 12.00 16.00  
BLESSED ANNA 5 5 2 2 1½ 21 2 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 0.80 1.30 P
BIRDIE CALL 2 3 5 4 3 34 3 (turner patt)FLORES S 122 8.00 13.90  
HEART THAT BINDS 1 6 6 5 4 45 4 (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.00 34% 1.90 3.40  
OURPERFECTPRINCESS 4 2 42 68 616½ 617 528¼ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00 10.60  
HALFGLAMOROUS 3 1 3 3 5 513 629¼ (jeansonne just)COTTO L 122 5.00 40% 1.50 1.90  
 
LAD-7   05/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:002     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA FEME JOLIE 2 3 1½ 1½   12 1¼ (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 2.00 35% 1.90 0.40 W
PAT HAND GIRL 5 5 69 5   43 2¼ (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 118 4.00 12.00 P
ASHLEY'S GIRL 4 4 3 3   33 3½ (schmidt denise)BACA L 124 6.00 8% 10.80 9.20 S
ROADSIDE GIRL 3 2 2½ 2½   22 4 (duhon o)BOREL H 118 3.50 6.90  
TRUE BLONDE AUNTIE 1 7 4 4   59 518 (ingram steve)MURRAY M 118 4.50 32% 2.10 9.00  
T W N LETSGOGIRL 7 1 5 612½   613 618½ (nixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 124 15.00 22.10  
KEEP ON DREAMING 6 6 710 714½   721 735 (beavin judy)GUZMAN JORGE 118 8.00 15.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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