Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - May 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   05/21/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREY SLOAN Mar11 Feb20 Jan15     (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
2  NOW NOW MAN May07 Mar11 Feb18 Feb06   (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 122 1.50 33% 2.10    
3  ZONG TOUGH Mar16 Mar03 Feb02 Jan07   (dison phillip )CULP BRIANNE 117 2.50 ★    
4  DUDE DROP KID May03 Apr20 Apr10 Mar12 Feb19 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 116 5.00 ★    
5  ACTIFDASH Feb17 Jan27 Jan12     (melancon do)FLORES S 122 20.00    
6  A STAR IS BORN NOW Mar04 Jan05       (de beauv)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00 12% 7.20    
 
LAD-2   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT PERIGEE Mar24 Feb28 Feb14 Jan20 Jan03 (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 122 1.60 51% 1.00    
2  LT. BONURA Mar24 Mar03 Feb09     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50 ★    
3  TRUMP MEDIA May09         (adcock charle)SMITH J 122 12.00    
4  G DON'T KNOW Apr16 Mar13 Feb24 Feb09 Jan22 (shamsie mik)FLORES S 120 3.50 10% 9.10    
5  RAHFEES MAN Mar03 Feb10 Jan20     (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00 ★    
6  VELVET RIDGE Feb16 Jan02       (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 122 5.00 13% 6.80    
 
LAD-3   05/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXTIRPATOR Feb12 Jan12       (turner patti)VARGAS P 124 4.50    
1A  HARDCORE FOLKLORE May07 Feb25 Feb10 Jan22   (turner patt)FLORES S 124 4.50 ★    
2  HALF AGAIN Apr14 Mar26       (faucheux ron)LOZADA CARLOS 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
3  IN SKY WE TRUST Mar01 Feb05       (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 124 6.00 ★    
4  SECRETARY AT WAR Apr29 Apr10 Mar26 Feb26 Feb12 (ashauer norm)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 8.00 19% 4.10    
5  EMERALD FOREST May06 Feb03 Jan09     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 0.80 31% 2.20    
 
LAD-4   05/21/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIGERBEACH Apr20 Mar23 Feb14 Jan16   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50 10% 8.80    
2  INDY TOURIST May08 Mar19 Feb14 Jan08   (duhon o)BOREL H 122 1.80 35% 1.90    
3  GUILTY LOVER May08 Feb26 Feb13 Jan23   (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 114 10.00    
4  LANDOFTHEPHARAOHS May07 Mar17 Feb24 Jan30   (jeansonne just)COTTO L 122 3.50 12% 7.40    
5  DA GOLD ROOM May08 Mar25 Feb18 Feb04 Jan21 (west patri)ALBERT S 119 8.00    
6  MEDITATE (IRE) May07 Feb26 Feb05 Jan07   (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER null      
SCR  GUITAR SLIM May07 Apr13 Mar16 Feb26 Jan07 (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 119 1.60 ★    
 
LAD-5   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS CHECKMARK         (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00    
2  PINTLALA May07 Feb24 Feb09 Jan05   (ward ronnie)GUZMAN JORGE 120 4.50 ★    
3  O CHITA Apr07 Mar02       (asmussen st)MORALES ROBERTO 116 2.00 14% 5.90    
4  MARILYN'S MAGIC Feb24 Feb04 Jan22 Jan13   (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 120 8.00 13% 6.70    
5  KEHEI KAT Jan01         (rangel r)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00 12% 7.20    
6  BLULU         (crowley alan)SMITH J 122 20.00    
7  LIFE OF SATURDAYS May06 Apr24 Mar18 Feb21 Jan14 (broberg karl)LOZADA CARLOS 122 1.20 29% 2.40    
 
LAD-6   05/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEART THAT BINDS Feb17 Feb05 Jan19     (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
2  BIRDIE CALL         (turner patt)FLORES S 122 8.00    
3  HALFGLAMOROUS Mar27 Mar13       (jeansonne just)COTTO L 122 5.00 40% 1.50    
4  OURPERFECTPRINCESS Mar03 Jan17       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00 ★    
5  BLESSED ANNA Mar05 Feb12 Jan07     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 0.80 ★    
6  DANCE AWAY Mar31 Mar03 Jan07     (garcia luis)VARGAS P 122 12.00 ★    
 
LAD-7   05/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE BLONDE AUNTIE         (ingram steve)MURRAY M 118 4.50 32% 2.10    
2  LA FEME JOLIE Mar25 Feb18       (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 2.00 35% 1.90    
3  ROADSIDE GIRL         (duhon o)BOREL H 118 3.50    
4  ASHLEY'S GIRL Mar25         (schmidt denise)BACA L 124 6.00 8% 10.80    
5  PAT HAND GIRL Mar25 Mar09 Feb14 Jan30 Jan14 (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 118 4.00 ★    
6  KEEP ON DREAMING Mar04 Jan29       (beavin judy)GUZMAN JORGE 118 8.00 ★    
7  T W N LETSGOGIRL Feb24         (nixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.