Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/19/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:223 :46       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CADILLAC CANDY 3 1 44 32   32 1nk (arnold geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 32% 2.10 1.10 W
4  SEISMIC SPIRIT (IRE) 4 2 11 2nk   11½ 2nk (ward a)GRAHAM J 119 4.00 ★ 5.90 P
6  ROMAN GIANT 6 3 32½ 42½   43 32¼ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 22% 3.60 8.00 S
5  REASON'S LEGACY 5 5 77 64¼   54½ 42½ (toy)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 6.00 24.60  
7  STARSTRIKER (GB) 7 7 21 1nk   21½ 53 (ward wesley )LANDEROS CHRIS 116 4.50 ★ 8.90  
1  ISLAND SWAGGER 1 6 66½ 75¼   75 64¼ (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 119 5.00 2.10  
2  HEZMORETHANREADY 2 4 55 54   65 74½ (davis chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 21.20  
SCR  ALCAZABA (IRE)               (arnold r)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
SCR  JEREMY'S JET               (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 12.00    
SCR  TIVY               (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
CD-2   05/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KEEN HEIR 3 3 46 45   32½ 1¾ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5.60  
5  OILER 4 1 21 1nk   11 2¾ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 ★ 0.50 P
3  OX DOC 2 4 11 2nk   21 34 (miller darrin)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.00 ★ 3.30 S
1  GO VIRTUAL 1 5 33½ 34   46½ 411¼ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.50 66% 0.50 4.90  
6  SILVESTRE 5 2 56½ 511   513½ 523¼ (cambray ig)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 15.00 38.30  
SCR  ALY STONE               (hancock a)COURT K 118 15.00 ★    
SCR  BAD BLOOD               (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 7% 14.30    
 
CD-3   05/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($134K) 3 F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:213 :45 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PARLANCE 5 1 32½ 31   1½ 13¼ (asmussen )LEPAROUX R 120 3.50 ★ 4.90  
5  CHI TOWN LADY 4 5 511½ 56½   55 23¼ (ward wesley )LANDEROS CHRIS 118 4.00 ★ 5.20 P
4  MUTED 3 3 2½ 1nk   2½ 34 (arnold geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 56% 0.80 1.50 S
2  LET'S BE CLEAR 1 4 43½ 43   43 44¼ (cox brad)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 13% 6.80 3.90  
3  PINKY TOE 2 2 1½ 2nk   31½ 55¼ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 ★ 2.40  
SCR  SUNDAY GRACE               (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
 
CD-4   05/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:113 1:242   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AMERICA'S PRIDE 2 5 52 51½ 2½ 1nk 11¼ (cox brad)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 28% 2.60 5.00 W
4  GIN N SIN 4 1 2nk 1½ 1½ 2nk 21¼ (roberson dennis)COURT K 118 10.00 4.20  
1  MCMANSION 1 8 75 63½ 42½ 32½ 31¾ (williamson bri)ROCCO S 125 8.00 ★ 9.60 S
3  JEWELOFAKID 3 6 87 85½ 54½ 55 44½ (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.50 10% 9.30 2.70  
6  YELLOW CREEK ROAD 6 3 1nk 2½ 31½ 44½ 59½ (hancock joh)PETERSON FERRIN 118 15.00 38.90  
8  SWEET BEAUTY 8 4 41 41 67 610 617½ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 9.30  
7  M M M MY SHAROANA 7 2 3½ 31 711 716 732 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 35% 1.80 2.90  
5  BUMPER GIRL 5 7 64½ 75 818 826 850½ (catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
 
CD-5   05/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($75K) Purse ($64K) 3 ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:241 :493 1:142 1:383   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  WICKED GENIUS 7 3 43 42 42 2½ 1½ (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 64% 0.60 1.00 W
2  JUST SAY WHEN 1 1 11 2nk 1½ 1½ 2½ (ward wesley )LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.00 5% 19.00 5.60 P
4  LUCKY BOSS 3 5 67½ 75¾ 52¼ 4¾ 3¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 ★ 5.70 S
3  BRIT'S WIT 2 4 21 1nk 3½ 3½ 41¾ (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 12.90  
6  STOCKPILER 5 8 79 54½ 74¾ 63¾ 57 (margolis steph)ROCCO S 118 10.00 ★ 12.20  
1  LORD ZED 4 2 31½ 3½ 2½ 5¾ 67 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 ★ 1.00  
8  NINETIES COUNTRY 8 7 89 86¾ 85¾ 96 78¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 10% 9.10 8.10  
7  KING TUFF 6 9 910½ 96¾ 97¼ 85¾ 89 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 8.10  
9  DOCTOR LOVE (FR) 9 6 55½ 64¾ 64¾ 74¾ 910½ (stewart dalla)GILLIGAN JACK 118 10.00 13.30  
SCR  MAXIMUM IMPACT               (cash norman )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
 
CD-6   05/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:22 :453 :58     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELFAST BOY 1 5 42½ 31   3.2 13 (hiles rick)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 4.50 ★ 3.40  
4  BLAME GEORGE 3 6 611¼ 68¾   53¾ 23 (lauer mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 14% 6.30 2.90 P
3  FEROCIOUSLY 2 4 52¾ 41¼   1nk 33½ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.80 22% 3.50 1.70 S
8  BAYTOWN WARRIOR 6 1 2nk 1nk   2nk 44¼ (mcentee paul)MAYTA J 118 30.00 22.10  
5  BABY QUINN 4 3 3½ 53¼   64¾ 58¾ (garcia genar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 2.00 24% 3.10 2.80  
6  CAN MAN DO 5 2 1nk 2nk   43¾ 613½ (hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 15.60  
SCR  GRAYWING               (hancock a)COURT K 123 15.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  INDIA INK (ARG)               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
 
CD-7   05/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:242 :502 1:153 1:391   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GLADYS 9 10 73½ 74 61¾ 41¼ 1¾ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 5.00 3.50  
9  JEZEBEL'S KITTEN 8 9 95½ 95½ 83¼ 51¼ 2¾ (davis chris)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 15.00 15.10  
8  SUNNY ONE 7 6 51½ 52½ 51¾ 72¾ 3¾ (murphy co)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 4.00 43% 1.30 4.00 S
3  FLATTER ME SILLY 2 3 106½ 106½ 105¼ 94¼ 41 (pessin nei)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 3.50  
6  URBAN FAIRYTALE 5 1 31 32 41½ 21 51¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 10.00 21.70  
12  LONGPANTS REQUIRED 11 8 41½ 42½ 3½ 31 62¼ (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 25.00  
4  CAFE FLEUR (FR) 3 11 118 118 117¾ 116 72¾ (brown ch)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 6% 14.50 6.70  
7  FOREVER DREAMING 6 5 1½ 11 1nk 11 84¼ (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 12.10  
5  LASHARA (GB) 4 2 62½ 63½ 72¾ 83¾ 94½ (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 6% 15.40 12.10  
11  FAIR GAME 10 7 2½ 21 2nk 61¾ 104½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 11.60  
1  VEZPA (BRZ) 1 4 84½ 85 93¾ 105¾ 115¾ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 6.00 14% 6.00 13.90  
SCR  RUSSIAN MAFIA               (rodriguez ed)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00    
SCR  UNDISTURBED               (wilkes r)LANERIE J 122 12.00 5% 17.20    
 
CD-8   05/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:22 :45 1:11     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COMEDY ACT 1 6 2½ 22   1nk 13½ (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 16.50  
1A  SUNNY RIVER 10 5 94¾ 75¾   54½ 23½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 37% 1.70 3.60  
8  EIVISSA 7 4 84¾ 65¾   43 34¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 1.70  
6  CATWINGS 5 3 53½ 44½   32½ 44¼ (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 111 8.00 8% 10.80 6.00  
7  ROYAL FLOWER 6 1 1½ 12   2nk 58½ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 13.00  
5  HOPE AND DREAMS 4 2 31½ 32   66 69 (foley greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 7.00  
10  TEXAS MELODY 9 7 106¼ 88¾   87½ 710¼ (gallagher willia)BEJARANO R 124 15.00 13% 6.60 23.30  
3  DONTGETABOVURAISIN 2 10 64½ 55½   77 813½ (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 8% 11.40 11.60  
4  SHEZAPISTOL 3 8 42½ 99¼   911 917 (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 48.30  
9  COCOA COLADA 8 9 74½ 1012¼   1013½ 1020¼ (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 8% 12.30 9.30  
SCR  SWIFT THINKER               (mott willia)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 2.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.