Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/19/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:223 :46       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CADILLAC CANDY 3 1 44 32   32 1nk (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 32% 2.10 1.10 W
SEISMIC SPIRIT (IRE) 4 2 11 2nk   1 2nk (ward a)GRAHAM J 119 4.00 5.90 P
ROMAN GIANT 6 3 3 4   43 3 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 22% 3.60 8.00 S
REASON'S LEGACY 5 5 77 6   5 4 (toye )FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 6.00 24.60  
STARSTRIKER (GB) 7 7 21 1nk   2 53 (ward a)LANDEROS CHRIS 116 4.50 8.90  
ISLAND SWAGGER 1 6 6 7   75 6 (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 119 5.00 2.10  
HEZMORETHANREADY 2 4 55 54   65 7 (davis christ)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 21.20  
SCR  ALCAZABA (IRE)               (arnold r)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
SCR  JEREMY'S JET               (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 12.00    
SCR  TIVY               (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
CD-2   05/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEN HEIR 3 3 46 45   3 1¾ (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5.60  
OILER 4 1 21 1nk   11 2¾ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 0.50 P
OX DOC 2 4 11 2nk   21 34 (miller darrin)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.00 3.30 S
GO VIRTUAL 1 5 3 34   4 411¼ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.50 66% 0.50 4.90  
SILVESTRE 5 2 5 511   513½ 523¼ (cambray igna)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 15.00 38.30  
SCR  ALY STONE               (hancock a)COURT K 118 15.00    
SCR  BAD BLOOD               (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 7% 14.30    
 
CD-3   05/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($134K) 3 F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:213 :45 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARLANCE 5 1 3 31   1½ 1 (asmussen st)LEPAROUX R 120 3.50 4.90  
CHI TOWN LADY 4 5 511½ 5   55 2 (ward a)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 4.00 5.20 P
MUTED 3 3 2½ 1nk   2½ 34 (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 56% 0.80 1.50 S
LET'S BE CLEAR 1 4 4 43   43 4 (cox h)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 13% 6.80 3.90  
PINKY TOE 2 2 1½ 2nk   3 5 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 2.40  
SCR  SUNDAY GRACE               (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
 
CD-4   05/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:113 1:242   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICA'S PRIDE 2 5 52 5 2½ 1nk 1 (cox h)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 28% 2.60 5.00 W
GIN N SIN 4 1 2nk 1½ 1½ 2nk 2 (roberson dennis)COURT K 118 10.00 4.20  
MCMANSION 1 8 75 6 4 3 3 (williamson brian)ROCCO S 125 8.00 9.60 S
JEWELOFAKID 3 6 87 8 5 55 4 (kenneally eddi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.50 10% 9.30 2.70  
YELLOW CREEK ROAD 6 3 1nk 2½ 3 4 5 (hancock john )PETERSON FERRIN 118 15.00 38.90  
SWEET BEAUTY 8 4 41 41 67 610 617½ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 9.30  
M M M MY SHAROANA 7 2 3½ 31 711 716 732 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 35% 1.80 2.90  
BUMPER GIRL 5 7 6 75 818 826 850½ (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
 
CD-5   05/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($75K) Purse ($64K) 3 ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:241 :493 1:142 1:383   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  WICKED GENIUS 7 3 43 42 42 2½ 1½ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 64% 0.60 1.00 W
JUST SAY WHEN 1 1 11 2nk 1½ 1½ 2½ (ward a)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.00 5% 19.00 5.60 P
LUCKY BOSS 3 5 6 7 5 4¾ 3¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 5.70 S
BRIT'S WIT 2 4 21 1nk 3½ 3½ 4 (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 12.90  
STOCKPILER 5 8 79 5 7 6 57 (margolis stephen)ROCCO S 118 10.00 12.20  
LORD ZED 4 2 3 3½ 2½ 5¾ 67 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 1.00  
NINETIES COUNTRY 8 7 89 8 8 96 7 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 10% 9.10 8.10  
KING TUFF 6 9 910½ 9 9 8 89 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 8.10  
DOCTOR LOVE 9 6 5 6 6 7 910½ (stewart dallas)GILLIGAN JACK 118 10.00 13.30  
SCR  MAXIMUM IMPACT               (cash l)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
 
CD-6   05/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:22 :453 :58     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELFAST BOY 1 5 4 31   3.2 13 (hiles rick)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 4.50 3.40  
BLAME GEORGE 3 6 611¼ 6   5 23 (lauer michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 14% 6.30 2.90 P
FEROCIOUSLY 2 4 5 4   1nk 3 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.80 22% 3.50 1.70 S
BAYTOWN WARRIOR 6 1 2nk 1nk   2nk 4 (mcentee paul)MAYTA J 118 30.00 22.10  
BABY QUINN 4 3 3½ 5   6 5 (garcia genaro)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 2.00 24% 3.10 2.80  
CAN MAN DO 5 2 1nk 2nk   4 613½ (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 15.60  
SCR  GRAYWING               (hancock a)COURT K 123 15.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  INDIA INK (ARG)               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
 
CD-7   05/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:242 :502 1:153 1:391   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GLADYS 9 10 7 74 6 4 1¾ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 5.00 3.50  
JEZEBEL'S KITTEN 8 9 9 9 8 5 2¾ (davis christo)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 15.00 15.10  
SUNNY ONE 7 6 5 5 5 7 3¾ (murphy cono)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 4.00 43% 1.30 4.00 S
FLATTER ME SILLY 2 3 10 10 10 9 41 (pessin neil )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 3.50  
URBAN FAIRYTALE 5 1 31 32 4 21 5 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 10.00 21.70  
12  LONGPANTS REQUIRED 11 8 4 4 3½ 31 6 (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 25.00  
CAFE FLEUR (FR) 3 11 118 118 11 116 7 (brown chad)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 6% 14.50 6.70  
FOREVER DREAMING 6 5 1½ 11 1nk 11 8 (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 12.10  
LASHARA (GB) 4 2 6 6 7 8 9 (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 6% 15.40 12.10  
11  FAIR GAME 10 7 2½ 21 2nk 6 10 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 11.60  
VEZPA (BRZ) 1 4 8 85 9 10 11 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 6.00 14% 6.00 13.90  
SCR  RUSSIAN MAFIA               (rodriguez edua)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00    
SCR  UNDISTURBED               (wilkes r)LANERIE J 122 12.00 5% 17.20    
 
CD-8   05/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:22 :45 1:11     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMEDY ACT 1 6 2½ 22   1nk 1 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 16.50  
1A  SUNNY RIVER 10 5 9 7   5 2 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 37% 1.70 3.60  
EIVISSA 7 4 8 6   43 3 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 1.70  
CATWINGS 5 3 5 4   3 4 (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 111 8.00 8% 10.80 6.00  
ROYAL FLOWER 6 1 1½ 12   2nk 5 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 13.00  
HOPE AND DREAMS 4 2 3 32   66 69 (foley greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 7.00  
10  TEXAS MELODY 9 7 10 8   8 710¼ (gallagher william )BEJARANO R 124 15.00 13% 6.60 23.30  
DONTGETABOVURAISIN 2 10 6 5   77 813½ (kenneally eddi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 8% 11.40 11.60  
SHEZAPISTOL 3 8 4 9   911 917 (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 48.30  
COCOA COLADA 8 9 7 1012¼   1013½ 1020¼ (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 8% 12.30 9.30  
SCR  SWIFT THINKER               (mott william )RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.