Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:123 1:372   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAVAL AVIATOR 2 4 46 3 3 2½ 1 (cox h)SANTANA JR 118 1.80 11% 8.30 0.50 W
CARMICHAEL 1 1 1 12 1 1½ 2 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 124 2.50 8% 11.10 3.30 P
NOTABLE EXCEPTION 4 2 35 47 4 45 3 (pincins j)MILLER CHASE 124 8.00 8.50 S
LEMONADEATTHELATCH 3 3 2 22 2 3 4 (jacobson matthew)LANERIE J 118 3.00 55% 0.80 3.40  
SCR  TONAL IMPACT               (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 3.00    
 
CD-2   05/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:224 :451 1:094     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALTERED SHOT 6 1 21 2nk   12 13 (foley greg)GRAHAM J 125 1.80 44% 1.30 2.10 W
SWEET CONFUSION 4 5 42 32   3 23 (hartman chris)LANERIE J 123 8.00 10.70 P
RUNNIN HAPPY 1 3 11 1nk   22 3 (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 15% 5.50 11.20 S
FABRICATE 3 6 53 44   46 4 (cox h)SANTANA JR 123 1.60 0.60  
DALLAS VOLUNTEER 2 2 3 5   58 511¾ (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 9% 10.10 12.70  
MOHAYLADY 5 4 68 612¼   611 612½ (danner doug)DIAZ RENE 111 6.00 26.40  
 
CD-3   05/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:113 1:232   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEGACITY 3 1 1 12 11 1nk 1hd (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 122 3.00 8% 11.00 4.20 W
MIDNIGHT TEA TIME 4 4 33 3 33 32 2hd (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 2.50 27% 2.70 2.70 P
PERFECT SPEIGHTY 6 3 2 22 21 2nk 3¾ (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 14.30  
STREET READY 2 6 67 6 6 5 4 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 5.00 3.30  
WHISKEY DOUBLE 5 2 45 46 4 4 5 (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 4.60  
PINE KNOLL 1 5 5 56 56 6 65 (cox h)SANTANA JR 122 2.00 16% 5.40 2.50  
SCR  DENNIS' MOMENT               (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 1.60 25% 3.10    
 
CD-4   05/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:121 1:371   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAYED HARD 4 1 22 21 2nk 13 1 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 124 1.20 54% 0.90 1.60 W
SALUTE THE FLAG 6 6 5 55 32 23 2 (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 126 8.00 7.30  
SUNNY ISLE BEACH 5 3 44 43 4 4 3 (vance david)LEPAROUX R 124 10.00 15.90 S
CASA DE GOAT 2 2 12 11 1nk 3 413 (cox h)SANTANA JR 118 1.40 11% 8.40 1.40  
H. T. XENA 3 5 6 6 69 510 514¼ (tomlinson mich)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 10.00 9% 9.70 26.70  
PARK ON THE NILE 1 4 33 3 56 617 6100 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 5.00 3.60  
 
CD-5   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:211 :442 :564     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOMBDIGGITY 5 3 1½ 1nk   1 1½ (asmussen st)LEPAROUX R 118 1.80 36% 1.80 1.60 W
HAZY COMMAND 2 5 6 5   3 2½ (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 2.50 30% 2.40 1.90 P
WINGS OF AN ANGEL 4 4 3 2nk   2 3 (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 4.50 6.00 S
PATHETIQUE 7 2 42 31   4 4 (bauer a)BEJARANO R 123 4.00 3.30  
ROOKERY 3 7 7 6   5 5 (catalano wayne )GILLIGAN JACK 123 12.00 26.60  
MINER'S QUEEN 6 1 2½ 43   6 610¼ (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 123 12.00 26.10  
FRACING NASTY 1 6 52 78   712½ 720½ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00 12% 7.60 20.20  
 
CD-6   05/21/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:22 :451 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONORABLY 5 3 6 42   1nk 1 (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 10.00 8% 10.80 8.10 W
HEY THERE 3 8 7 6   3 2 (cox h)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 3.10  
12  WINGS LIKE EAGLES 12 11 11 10   8 3 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 15.00 36.10  
BROADWAY BLAZE 6 2 11 1nk   2nk 4 (pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 17.00  
10  MOST EMPRESSIVE 10 5 8 7   6 54 (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00 10.80  
BEAUTIFUL FAREWELL 1 7 5 5   5 6 (medina robert)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 8% 10.90 7.20  
LEAVE IT BE 4 10 9 9   9 7 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 22.80  
MUSICAL DESIGN 2 6 4 3½   42 8 (ward a)GRAHAM J 118 2.50 33% 2.10 2.60  
MS MERRABEL 7 4 31 8   10 97 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 21.40  
11  JALEBI BABY 11 1 21 2nk   7 10 (flint s)COHEN DAVID 118 50.00 66.50  
AIR OF AUTHORITY 9 9 10 11   12 11 (lynch a)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 10.00 4.60  
STAGE QUEEN 8 12 12 1210¾   11 12 (tomlinson micha)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 42.40  
SCR  JAZZ TIME GIRL               (maker michae)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LADY PELE               (blair jordan)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
SCR  LITTLE JEWEL               (vaccarezza carlo)LEZCANO ABEL 124 15.00    
SCR  LITTLE MOMBO               (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  SHADES OF BLUE               (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
 
CD-7   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:22 :451 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON THE RISE 3 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 1½ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 124 3.00 32% 2.20 3.30 W
SHES GREEKANDSLEEK 4 1 3 2nk   2nk 2½ (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 43% 1.40 0.80 P
LADY TERRA 5 5 43 4   3 3 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 9.00  
SHE'S REDNECKER 6 2 2½ 3   4 4 (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 5.60  
COCO PUFF 1 4 5 55   5 5 (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 111 5.00 6.10  
OLIVIA'S JOY 2 6 6 6   6 614¼ (gilli)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 20.00 23.10  
SCR  SUPER CHRISTIE               (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 118 4.00    
SCR  WICKED LADY               (mcpeek kenneth )PEREIRA TIAGO 118 5.00    
 
CD-8   05/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:124 1:373   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNIN' RAY 3 1 11 1½ 1nk 1nk 1nk (sharp joe)GARCIA MARTIN 118 0.80 39% 1.60 0.40 W
THE STIFF 5 2 21 2½ 2nk 2nk 2nk (mccarthy w)DIAZ RENE 111 12.00 18.90  
LORD DRAGON 2 3 4 4 42 3 3 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 21% 3.80 4.80 S
MY BARILEY 7 5 31 3½ 31 43 4 (leonard george )MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 13% 7.00 28.60  
BALLINONABUDJET 1 6 6 6 5 54 56 (lovell michell)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00 6.80  
MY BETS 6 7 7 54 65 66 6 (sims a)TALAMO JOSEPH 113 15.00 19.30  
ZANESVILLE 4 4 5 7 7 78 710 (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 9.70  
SCR  ESKENFORIT               (garcia genaro)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00    
 
CD-9   05/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:142 1:262   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREATIVE MIRACLE 5 1 1 1½ 1nk 1 13 (cox h)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 16% 5.10 5.20 W
11  DEEP STATE 11 11 6 5 32 33 23 (lynch brian)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125 8.00 4.10 P
13  GOOD SOLDIER 12 6 53 6 4 44 3 (joseph saffie )CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 7.80  
PANCAKE HOUSE 4 7 8 7 6 56 4 (drury j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 45% 1.20 1.30  
SHIPMAN 3 9 1210¼ 11 7 67 5 (green)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 125 20.00 44.30  
KANSAS COMET 2 2 3 2½ 2nk 2 6 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 15.10  
KENTUCKY MIST 9 12 10 10 9 7 78 (dyer john)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 30.00 58.50  
A LATE ONE 6 10 11 1210¼ 1111¾ 1013 812 (matejk)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 15.00 42.40  
10  MIZZEN MAN 10 5 42 4 54 810½ 913 (flint bernar)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 42.10  
THOUGHT 7 4 2 32 87 912 1014 (asmussen m)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 28.60  
MAQAMAT 1 3 7 8 10 1115 1118¼ (engler jeff)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 62.40  
CLASSIC MARK 8 8 9 9 1226¾ 12100 12100 (callaghan simon)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 6.60  
SCR  BLUE DEVIL               (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 4.00    
SCR  POLSAR               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 125 15.00    
SCR  SAILOR'S RETURN               (habeeb j)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 15.00    
SCR  SUPERCOOL               (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 3.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  THE CLOWN               (matejk)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 20.00    
 
CD-10   05/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($134K) 3 ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:13 1:372   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOWLING TIME 5 2 11 1 11 12 15 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 5.10  
RATTLE N ROLL 4 4 6 7 66 3 25 (mcpeek g)GRAHAM J 118 2.00 0.80 P
DROPPIN G'S 7 5 21 2 21 22 37 (antonuik jerry)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 12.60 S
BROOKLYN DIAMONDS 2 3 42 42 4 4 415¾ (brisset rodol)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 3.00 50% 1.00 4.10  
AMERICAN PURE 3 7 7 5 33 512 524 (cox h)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 22% 3.50 10.40  
CLANCY'S PISTOL 6 6 5 6 56 615 630 (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 118 8.00 16.60  
BODOCK 1 1 31 3 712 765 7100 (cox h)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 8.90  
SCR  KUCHAR               (brisset rodol)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 3.00    
 
CD-11   05/21/2022 7920ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:242 :501 1:161 1:42 2:071 2:321   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  CELLIST 13 65 6 6 31 1nk 1nk (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 5.80  
14  REIGNING SPIRIT 14 9 9 7 5 3.2 2nk (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 62.20  
12  HIGHEST HONORS 12 1411 13 13 128 10 3 (brown chad)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 13.20  
CIBOLIAN 4 5 5 53 84 5 4 (brisset rodolp)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00 21.10  
BAMA BREEZE 1 1310¾ 14 147 9 7 5 (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 12.00 10.10  
10  SHAMROCKET 10 12 11 10 10 8 6 (pletcher todd)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 4.00 8% 11.30 5.80  
CAMP HOPE 9 4 4 42 21 4¼ 72 (mcpeek g)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 4.90  
MODUS OPERANDI (IRE) 7 7 8 8 6 6 8 (walsh p)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 32.60  
CAVALRY CHARGE 2 11 1 11 11 2nk 9 (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 12.40  
ANOTHER MYSTERY 8 10 10 11 117 11 10 (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 34% 1.90 10.20  
BLANKET OF ROSES 3 11 12 12 14 12 114 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 50.00 59.00  
STRONG TIDE 6 3 3 32 42 9 12 (lauer micha)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 10.00 7% 13.70 5.00  
11  CULLUM ROAD 11 21 2 21 7 13 13 (danner doug)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00 71.90  
AJOURNEYTOFREEDOM 5 8 7 9 13 14 14 (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 118 5.00 29% 2.50 6.00  
SCR  CELERITY               (cundiff way)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 50.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.